MLB: Toronto vs Seattle Prediction
The Seattle Mariners host the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday night in the opening game of a three-game set at Safeco Field.
MLB Odds
Toronto Blue Jays (49-48) at Seattle Mariners (44-52)
Date: Friday, July 24, 2015
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
Venue: Safeco Field
City: Seattle, Washington
O/U Odds: 7
Money Line: Seattle -141, Toronto +131
Pitching Matchup: RH Drew Hutchison (9-2, 5.19 ERA) at RH Felix Hernandez (11-5, 2.77 ERA)
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The Mariners send out their ace in the opener of this series. Despite allowing two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, Felix Hernandez has just one win in those five outings.
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He earned a no-decision in his last start against the New York Yankees, surrendering one run on five hits over six innings of work.
Few teams have given Hernandez as much trouble as the Blue Jays have. He’s 6-6 against them in his career, sporting a 4.53 ERA in 14 career starts.
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However, he earned the victory in his last start against them on May 22, allowing one run on four hits over seven innings. Hernandez’s 4.53 ERA against the Blue Jays is the highest of any opponent he’s faced more than once.
Drew Hutchison gets the nod for the Blue Jays in the opener of this series. He’s been hit or miss all season, and his home-road splits tell the tale of his year. When getting the ball at the Rogers Centre, he’s sporting a 2.21 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. When starting on the road, he’s posted an 8.81 ERA and 1.98 WHIP. At the Rogers Centre, opponents are hitting .219 off of Hutchison, while managing a .372 clip elsewhere.
FREE Blue Jays vs. Mariners Pick:
The Mariners have a significant edge on the mound in this one, even if the Blue Jays do have a history of getting to Hernandez.
With that said, the over looks like the best play here. Hutchison’s been a train wreck on the road this season, and even a weak Mariners offense should be able to find a way to get to him in this one. The Blue Jays figure to knock a couple runs in off of Hernandez as well.
MLB Betting Trends:
The Blue Jays are 1-8 in their last nine games following a win, and they are 2-5 in Hutchison’s last seven road starts.
The Mariners are 8-3 in Hernandez’s last 11 home starts, and they are 11-4 in Hernandez’s last 15 starts when pitching in the opening game of a series.
The Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last four games in Seattle.
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The over is 19-7 in Hutchison’s last 26 road starts, and it is 5-2 in his last seven starts in the opening game of a series.
The over is 12-3 in Hutchison’s last 15 starts against opponents with a losing record, and it is 8-0 in his last eight road starts against opponents with a losing record.
The over is 4-0 in Hernandez’s last four home starts against the Blue Jays, and it is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these teams in Seattle.
The play: Seattle -141, Over 7
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