Sunday Night Baseball Pick: Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers
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First word of advice: think hard about betting the OVER when the powerful Phillies and Brewers duke it out on Sunday Night Baseball this weekend. Both squads have sluggers galore and both squads send questionable hurlers to the mound.
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Sunday, May 16, 8:05 p.m. ET
Philadelphia: 22-13 SU, Philadelphia has won 2 straight games.
Milwaukee: 15-21 SU, Milwaukee has lost 5 straight games.
No point beating around the bush: the Phillies and Brewers are both trotting out their bottom-of-the-barrel hurlers on Sunday night. We can only assume it’ll be an adventure for Kyle Kendrick and Doug Davis.
Kyle Kendrick (1-1, 5.89)
Doug Davis (1-4, 7.56)
Think the Phillies miss Pedro Martinez? Kyle Kendrick hasn’t exactly been an adequate replacement so far. He’s won just one of his seven starts, walking 14 batters and allowing six homers over 36.2 innings. However, there are some numbers suggesting he could survive his trip to Miller Park on Sunday night. 
First off, he’s been decent in his previous trips to Milwaukee, amassing a 3.27 ERA and keeping the ball in the park. A big reason why is that he’s far more effective against righties (1.15 career WHIP) than lefties (1.82 WHIP). Most of the Brewers’ top power bats – Ryan Braun, Rickie Weeks, Casey McGehee, Corey Hart – bat from the right side.
Kendrick’s biggest threat is definitely Prince Fielder but Prince hasn’t heated up yet; he’s popped only four homers in 34 games.
The prognosis isn’t as promising for Doug Davis. A shadow of his former self, Davis still racks up strikeouts but he walks guys like crazy and he hasn’t done a great job keeping the ball in the park.
He’s tougher on lefties but the Phillies’ talent often overcomes matchups; Ryan Howard bats .375 off Davis in his career with a pair of homers in eight at-bats. Also, red-hot Jayson Werth is a .556 hitter against Davis all-time.
It’s safe to say both pitchers will take their lumps Sunday night, but the matchup seems to favor Kendrick. Sure, the Brewers will probably sprinkle lefties into their lineup, like Jim Edmonds, but it probably won’t be enough. The Phillies should get to Davis.
Gambling Trends:
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Milwaukee is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Sunday Night Baseball FREE PICK for Philadelphia vs Milwaukee
Pick: Philadelphia
ESPN Sunday Night Baseball Prediction (Shea Matthews’ record: 3-2)
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