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2013 AL Central Division Odds / Season Predictions + Win Total Lines

Handicapping MLB 2013 Division Odds – AL Central

The 2013 MLB season is only a few weeks away. Spring Training action is going on right now, which means Opening Day is right around the corner. We’re taking a division-by-division look at betting odds and team by team season win totals. Let’s take a look at the AL Central.

Detroit was expected to run away with the AL Central Division in 2012, but the Chicago White Sox led the division most of the way. In the end, it was the Tigers who put together a good last month to win the division as Chicago sputtered a bit down the stretch.

The rest of the division was extremely weak in 2012. Can anyone else from the division move up the ladder this year? The oddsmakers are once again expecting a Detroit rout in the AL Central. Is there anything that could derail the Tigers train in 2013?

MLB 2013 Previews and Predictions- AL Central

AL Central Odds: Detroit Tigers

Season Win Total: 92.5

The Tigers are expected to dominate this division, as evidenced by their price of -290 to win the AL Central. It’s a combination of the Tigers having one of the best rosters in baseball and the AL Central being so weak that makes this such a high price. The lineup disappointed for part of the 2012 season, but they should be much better with a healthy Victor Martinez in the lineup. Torii Hunter was also a very good offseason pickup for this lineup.

Justin Verlander is the top pitcher in the game right now, and the Tigers have done a nice job putting together a quality rotation after him. Doug Fister has been excellent since coming over from Seattle, and Max Scherzer was one of the best pitchers in baseball down the stretch last year. Anibal Sanchez is a terrific number four starter. The one major question mark for this team is their bullpen.

AL Central Odds: Chicago White Sox +650
Season Win Total: 81

Can the White Sox make another run at a division title? They led the AL Central for more than 100 days last year, but they couldn’t hold on in September. Jake Peavy’s resurgence helped lead the rotation in 2012. Adam Dunn and Alex Rios both had great bounce back campaigns to lead the offense. They’ll need all three of those guys to be excellent again this year. The White Sox lineup had several guys who put together career years last year, and I’m not sure they can repeat that performance.

Chicago will need guys like John Danks and Gavin Floyd to be better in the middle of the rotation this year. Danks missed almost all year with an injury, while Floyd had a disappointing 2012 campaign. There won’t be any margin for error in Chicago, so these guys have to be on their game. Can the White Sox bullpen find a replacement for Sergio Santos?

AL Central Odds: Kansas City Royals +875
Season Win Total: 77.5

It seems like every year the Royals are expected to break out and contend for the division, and they end up near the bottom of the division every time. Kansas City fans are definitely getting tired of waiting for a winner. The lineup struggled much more than expected last year because of Eric Hosmer and Mike Moustakas having a sophomore slump. Those two are high quality prospects who I expect to be much better this year. Billy Butler is one of the most consistent .300 hitters in the game. This offense should score runs.

The problem here is their pitching staff. James Shields was a nice offseason pickup, but behind him the Royals starting staff is a major question mark. I wouldn’t want to depend on Wade Davis and Luke Hochevar based on their past history. The Royals will be better, but the pitching staff will keep them getting above .500.


AL Central Odds: Cleveland Indians +1,100
Season Win Total: 77.5

Who are these guys anyways? This team might have made more changes than anyone in the offseason. The outfield looks completely different with Drew Stubbs and Michael Bourn as everyday starters now. Lonnie Chisenhall is going to get a chance to play third base every day, and he could be very good. Asdrubal Cabrera was banged up a lot of last year, but he is still one of the best hitting middle infielders in the game.

The starting rotation is the problem. Ubaldo Jimenez continues to be a disappointment, and Justin Masterson took a big step back last year. Both of those two have to pull it together for the Tribe to contend in 2013. I think this team has more upside than most in this division, so the ‘over’ on the season win total might be a nice play.

AL Central Odds: Minnesota Twins +2,200
Season Win Total: 67.5

It was just a few years ago when it was the Twins who dominated the AL Central every year. In the past two seasons, the Twins have lost 95 or more games twice in a row. Joe Mauer is in his prime and he has Justin Morneau and Josh Willingham around him in the order. The Twins should hit quite a few homers and score a lot of runs, but it isn’t likely to be enough.

Minnesota was dead last in the majors in team ERA last year, and I don’t see any reason to be upbeat about an improvement this season. The Twins are choosing between Vance Worley and Kevin Correia for their Opening Day starter. It’s going to be a long season for the Twins.

AL Central Prediction: Detroit Tigers (-290)

Detroit is better than last season, and this should be the year they lap the rest of the field in the Central.

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