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NFL Week 12 Handicapping Tips

David Schwab weighs in with a short preview for Week 12 of the 2010 NFL season and provides some handicapping analysis. Week Twelve nfl betting, its fantastic…

NFL Preview & Predictions – Week 12

Last week nine home teams won straight-up. Seven home teams and eight road teams won against the spread and there was one ‘push’; New England -3 vs. Indianapolis. For the ninth time in 11 weeks the total bet favored the ‘over’ with seven games scoring more points than the total line, six scoring less, and two games ending in a ‘push’; Arizona vs. Kansas City and Cleveland vs. Jacksonville.

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Both games had a total line of 44.

Here is a brief preview and pick for all the games in Week 12. All lines are provided by Bookmaker.com

Thursday, Nov. 25

12:30 P.M. New England (-7) at Detroit
Over/Under: 51

The Patriots are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite and 2-5 ATS in their last seven as a road favorite. The Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Pick: Detroit +7 and OVER

4:15 P.M. New Orleans (-3) at Dallas
Over/Under: 50 ½

The Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last five games against Dallas and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against the NFC and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The total has gone ‘over’  in Dallas’s last seven games overall. The Pick: New Orleans -3 and OVER

8:20 P.M. Cincinnati at N.Y. Jets (-9)
Over/Under: 44

The Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against New York. The favorite and the home team are each 4-1 ATS in the last five games between these two and the total has gone ‘over’ in four of them. The Pick: New York -9 and OVER

Sunday, Nov. 28

1:00 P.M. Carolina at Cleveland (-11)
Over/Under: 37 ½

The Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after an ATS loss and 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall. The Browns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss. The total has gone ‘over’ in Cleveland’s last five games overall. The Pick: Cleveland -11 and OVER

Jacksonville at N.Y. Giants (-8 ½)
Over/Under: 45 ½

The Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Giants are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of New York’s last five games overall. The Pick: Jacksonville +8 ½ and OVER

Pittsburgh (-6) at Buffalo
Over/Under: 43

The Steelers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against Buffalo. The Bills are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 11 of Buffalo’s last 16 home games. The Pick: Pittsburgh -6 and UNDER

Green Bay at Atlanta (-2 ½)
Over/Under: 48

The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against Atlanta, but the road team and underdog are each 5-0 ATS in the last five games between these two. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of their last five meetings. The Pick: Green Bay +2 ½ and OVER

Tennessee at Houston (-7)
Over/Under: 45

The Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Texans and 4-1 ATS in the last five games in Houston. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of the last eight games between these two. The Pick: Tennessee +7 and OVER

Minnesota at Washington (-3)
Over/Under: 42

The Vikings are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as an underdog and 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. The Redskins are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 homes games and 0-6 ATS in their last six as a home favorite. The Pick: Minnesota +3 and UNDER

4:05 P.M. Kansas City (-1) at Seattle
Over/Under: 44

The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of Kansas City’s last seven games as a road favorite. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. The Pick: Seattle +1 and OVER

Tampa Bay at Baltimore (-9)
Over/Under: 41

The Buccaneers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games and 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 12 of Tampa Bay’s last 17 games overall. The Ravens are 1-3-2 in their last six games following an ATS win. The Pick: Tampa Bay +9 and UNDER

Miami at Oakland (-3)
Over/Under: 38 ½

The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last five games in Oakland and 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of the last seven games between these two teams. The Pick: Miami +3 and UNDER

St. Louis at Denver (-4)
Over/Under: 45

The Rams are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog and 6-1 ATS in their last seven following an ATS loss. The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. The Pick: St. Louis +4 and UNDER

Philadelphia (-3 ½) at Chicago
Over/Under: 42

The Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last four games against the NFC. The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. The total has stayed ‘under’ in four of the last five games between these two. The Pick: Philadelphia – 3 ½ and UNDER

8:20 P.M. San Diego at Indianapolis (-3 ½)
Over/Under: 54

The Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Colts and the total has gone ‘over’ in seven of their last eight games following an ATS win. The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games between these two. The Pick: San Diego +3 ½ and OVER

Monday, Nov. 29

8:30 P.M. San Francisco (-1) at Arizona
Over/Under: 39 ½

The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Cardinals and the total has gone ‘over’  in five of the last six games in Arizona. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. The road team is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. The Pick: San Francisco -1 and OVER

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By Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.