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NFL Week 11 Handicapping Tips

NFL Preview & Predictions – Week 11

Last week nine home teams won straight-up. Six home teams and eight road teams won against the spread. For the second week in a row the total bet heavily favored the ‘over’ as 11 games scored more points than the total line and only three scored less.

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Here is a brief preview and pick for all the games in Week 11. All lines are provided by Bookmaker.com

Thursday, Nov. 18

8:20 P.M. Chicago at Miami (-1 ½)
Over/Under: 39 ½

The Bears are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. The Dolphins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Pick: Miami -1 ½ and UNDER

Sunday, Nov. 21

1:00 P.M. Detroit at Dallas (-7)
Over/Under: 46 ½

The Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last six games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against the NFC and 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. The total has gone ‘over’  in four of the last five games between these two. The Pick: Detroit +7 and OVER

Arizona at Kansas City (-7 ½)
Over/Under: 44

The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. The Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played on grass and 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss. The Pick: Kansas City -7 ½ and UNDER

Green Bay (-3)at Minnesota
Over/Under: 44

The road team is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 games of this series. The Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Vikings. The total has gone ‘over’ in 15 of the last 21 meetings between these two and in three of the last four games in Minnesota. The Pick: Green Bay -3 and OVER

Baltimore (-9 ½) at Carolina
Over/Under: 37

The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. The Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss. The total has stayed ‘under’  in 12 of Carolina’s last 16 games overall. The Pick: Baltimore -9 ½ and UNDER

Cleveland at Jacksonville (-2)
Over/Under: 42 ½

The Browns are 12-4 in their last 16 games against the AFC and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Jaguars are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games a favorite. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of Jacksonville’s last six games overall. The Pick: Cleveland +2 and OVER

Oakland at Pittsburgh (-7 ½)
Over/Under: 41 ½

The Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games on the road and 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall. The Steelers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games and 0-4 ATS in its last four games against a team with a winning record. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven games of this series. The Pick: Oakland +7 ½ and OVER

Buffalo at Cincinnati (-5)
Over/Under: 44

The Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against Cincinnati and 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games overall. The Bengals are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against the AFC. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of the last seven games of this series. The Pick: Buffalo +5 and OVER

Washington at Tennessee (-6)
Over/Under: 43 ½

The Redskins are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of Washington’s last seven games on the road. The Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite of more than 3 ½ points. The Pick: Washington +6 and OVER

Houston at N.Y. Jets (-7)
Over/Under: 45 ½

The Texans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. The Jets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. The total has stayed ‘under’ in the last four games between these two teams. The Pick: Houston +7 and UNDER

4:05 P.M. Atlanta (-3) at St. Louis
Over/Under: 42 ½

The Falcons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against St. Louis. The Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six games between these two and the total has gone ‘over’ in the last four. The Pick: St. Louis +3 and OVER

Tampa Bay at San Francisco (-3)
Over/Under: 41 ½

The Buccaneers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. The 49ers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite. The total has stayed ‘under’  in five of the last six games between these two teams. The Pick: Tampa Bay +3 and UNDER

Seattle at New Orleans (-11 ½)
Over/Under: 44

The Seahawks are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog. The Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record. The total has stayed ‘under’ in four of the last five games between these two teams. The Pick: New Orleans -11 ½ and UNDER

Indianapolis at New England (-3)
Over/Under: 50 ½

The Colts are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against the Patriots and 5-1 in their last six games as an underdog. The underdog is 11-3-2 in the last 16 games between these two teams. The total has gone ‘over’ in nine of the Patriots last 11 games overall. The Pick: Indianapolis +3 and OVER

8:20 P.M. N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia (-3)
Over/Under: 49

The Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played in Philadelphia. The underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 games in this series and the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six games. The total has gone ‘over’ in eight of the last 12 games played in Philadelphia. The Pick: New York +3 and OVER

Monday, Nov. 22

8:30 P.M. Denver at San Diego (-9 ½)
Over/Under: 50

The Broncos are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games against San Diego and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against the AFC. The favorite is 5-1-1 in the last seven games between these two and the total has gone ‘over’ in six of the last eight games of this series. The Pick: San Diego – 9 ½ and OVER

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.


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