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Week 11 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 11 Totals Analysis

Points were a little harder to come by last week as ten games stayed under the total, five games went over, and one game; N.Y. Jets at New England was a push at 45. The biggest shocker by far was the thrilling 38-37 win by Detroit over Cleveland. The Lions scored 40 points combined in their last four games and the Browns have only scored 29 points combined in their last five games.


On the low end, Dallas scored late in the game to beat Washington 7-6, as the Cowboys have only managed 14 points in their last two games.

Here is a brief recap of all the games.

Thursday, Nov. 19

Miami Dolphins at Carolina Panthers
Over/Under 43.5 || Result 41 UNDER

This game flirted with going over but a desperation pass by Panther QB Jake Delhomme from the Miami 26 yard line was knocked down in the end zone as time expired to secure the 24-17 win for Miami.

Sunday, Nov. 22

Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens
Over/Under 44.5 ||  Result 32 UNDER

Once again the Colts’ defense comes up big as Peyton Manning has another subpar day throwing for 299 yards and one TD, but two interceptions. Knowing how to win ugly takes Indianapolis’ record to 10-0.

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys
Over/Under 41.5 || Result 13 UNDER

The Cowboys have only scored 14 points in their last two games, but the seven points today were enough to beat the Redskins.

Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions
Over/Under 37.5 ||  Result 75 OVER

In a wild one that nobody saw coming, the Lions score the winning TD with no time on the clock after an interference penalty in the end zone gave them an extra chance to score.

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers
Over/Under 42 || Result 54 OVER

Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers has another huge day throwing for 344 yards and two TD’s as the Packers strengthen their grip on a wildcard spot in the playoffs.

Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars
Over/Under 43 || Result 33 UNDER

The Jaguars’ 12 play, 68 yard drive late in the 4th quarter that resulted in a 3 yard touchdown pass from David Garrard to Mike Sims-Walker proved to be the difference.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs
Over/Under 40 || Result 51 OVER

The Chiefs stun the Steelers as Kansas City kicker Ryan Succop hits a 22 yard field goal in overtime to win it. The Steelers are 2-3 in games with S Troy Polamalu out of the lineup.

Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings
Over/Under 46 || Result 44 UNDER

Viking QB Brett Favre continues to amaze as he completed 88% of his passes for 4 TD’s in a 38-9 romp over the Seahawks taking Minnesota’s record to 9-1 on the year.

Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants
Over/Under 46 || Result 65 OVER

The Giants avoid a fifth straight loss by winning this one in overtime on a Lawrence Tynes 36 yard field goal after blowing a 14 point fourth quarter lead.

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Over/Under 50.5 || Result 45 UNDER

Tampa scored the first seven points but that was it as Drew Brees and company roll to a 38-7 win to run their record to a perfect 10-0.

Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams
Over/Under 47 || Result 34 UNDER

Cardinal QB Kurt Warner only played one half after suffering a head injury, but his 203 yards and 2 TD’s were enough for Arizona to hold on and get the win.

San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos
Over/Under 41.5 || Result 35 UNDER

Denver QB Kyle Orton was able to work himself into this game but it really didn’t matter as San Diego takes control of the AFC West handing the Broncos their fourth straight loss and winning their fifth straight.

New York Jets at New England Patriots
Over/Under 45 || Result 45 PUSH

Jets QB Mark Sanchez continues to struggle through his rookie season with only 8 completions on 21 attempts and four interceptions in another ugly loss.

Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders
Over/Under 36 || Result 37 OVER

The Bengals suffer a major letdown after their big win over Pittsburgh last week as they fall flat against the Raiders losing on a last second 33 yard field goal by Sebastian Janikowski.

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears
Over/Under 45 || Result 44 UNDER

Rookie RB LeSean McCoy and second year WR DeSean Jackson’s second half touchdowns lift the Eagles past the Bears in a game that was a must win for both teams.

Monday, Nov. 23

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
Over/Under 48 || Result 37 UNDER

Titan QB Vince Young uses his feet and his arm to lead his team to their fourth straight win. The Texans had a chance to tie the game at the end but Kris Brown’s 49 yard field goal attempt sailed wide left.

New Orleans and Minnesota are clearly in control in the NFC, while Indianapolis and New England created some separation in the AFC after Cincinnati’s loss to Oakland and Pittsburgh’s loss to Kansas City.

YTD Record: 76-82


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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.