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Cowboys vs. Vikings Gambling & NFL Free Prediction (Week 6)

Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings

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Cowboys at Vikings Matchup / Lines

Sunday October 17 – 4:15PM
Hubert H. Humprey Metrodome – Minneapolis, Minnesota
Broadcast: FOX
Dallas (1-3) +105 vs Minnesota (1-3) -125
Spread Favourite: Minnesota -1.5
Over/Under: 45
(odds courtesy of BetUS – BET NOW Click Here!)


The most disappointing team in the NFL is on the road this week.  At 1-3 the Cowboys have to find some answers quickly or else all that bravado in the offseason will have been false.  Last week’s loss to Tennessee was especially hard as they outgained the Titans significantly but still took the loss.  Tony Romo threw for over 400 yards but when you combine that with three interceptions it is not a good formula.

Romo takes a lot of heat but a lot of that should be directed at the offensive line as well.  Running the ball was supposed to be a strength for the Cowboys but they are currently averaging less than 100 yards per game.  Romo has talent but being cool under fire is not his specialty.  When he is spending most of his time avoiding the rush it takes away from his playmaking abilities, he just can’t maximize his weapons when he is harried.

No matter what happens one of these teams is going be 1-4 and behind the eight ball for the rest of the season.  If it’s Dallas who knows what Jerry Jones will do.  The last time these two played was in last year’s playoffs and it was a bad loss for the Cowboys.  Prior to that Dallas had won the previous three against the Vikings and 4 of 5.  I wouldn’t call it a rivalry but these guys have played each other a lot for non divisional foes.


There is so much talk about the Vikings these days and little of it is football.  This whole Jenn Sterger thing has become non-stop, I even hear a conspiracy theory that the NFL is going to suspend him but let him mask it with an injury to save face.  Can they really do that?  Does anybody even care?  This team is pretty messed up and another loss will only make it that much crazier.

The Vikings are another team that when you look at their stats should be better.  Their defense is still pretty good and Adrian Peterson can still run all day…the difference gas been the passing game, er Favre.  Last year was a magical season in purple but this season has been a complete disaster so far.  I honestly think that injured or not they should throw in Tavaris Jackson just to see of he can snap them out of it.  Its worth a shot.

With the state of the offense it is fortunate for the Vikings that their defense is still pretty stout.  They are 7th in the NFL in yards allowed and 5th in points allowed per game at under 16.  The Cowboys offensive line is a mess so you can bet that Jared Allen and the rest of the defensive line are licking their chops.  In the playoff demolition of the Cowboys last January the Viking sacked Romo 6 times.  If they reach that total again they could eke out a victory this time as well.

The Pick: Amidst the turmoil would it really be a shock if Favre came up big?  I still think playing Jackson is the way to go and that he would give them just enough of a spark to win.  It may be bold to predict a relief pitcher but that is what I see here.

College Football Gambling Trends

Cowboys are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Cowboys are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cowboys are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Vikings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Vikings are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Vikings are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.

Score Prediction:  Minnesota 24 – Dallas 17

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.