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Bears vs. Cowboys Gambling & NFL Free Prediction (Week 2)

Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys

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Sunday September 19 – 1:00PM
Cowboys Stadium – Arlington, Texas
Chicago (1-0) vs. Dallas (0-1)
Moneyline: Dallas -350, Chicago +290
Spread Favourite: Dallas -7 (-110)
Over/Under: 40.5
(odds courtesy of BetUS – BET NOW Click Here!)

Chicago

The Bears stole victory out of the hands of defeat in the opening week against the Lions.  They were losing for most of the second half and were it not for a controversial call at the end of the game they would have lost to Detroit, beginning another season of disappointment.  Instead they slink away with the victory heading into a date with Dallas in Big D on Sunday.

Lost among the final result is that the Bears put up over 460 yards of offense, a total they did not match a year ago.  Matt Forte might have been stymied in the running games but he had 151 yards on seven receptions including two TDs proving that he can be a very dangerous playmaker after a down year last year.  QB Jay Cutler seems to be adjusting just fine to new OC Mike Martz’ offense, throwing for over 350 yards against Detroit.  Never one to be perfect he did have the one pick but he moved the offense consistently.  The main reason this game was close was turnovers.  The Bears loss three fumbles against the Lions.  Against a better team like Dallas it will be hard for them to win if they don’t protect the ball.

The Bears and Cowboys have not met in the regular season since 2007, an easy 34-10 victory for Dallas.  Despite being conference mates and historic franchises there isn’t much in the way of history between these clubs.  Don’t quote me but I do not even think they have ever met in the playoffs(I’m sure that is wrong but I just can’t remember it happening).  Based on last week’s results Dallas really needs this game and will be highly motivated in their first home contest.  Look out Chicago!

Dallas

Other than the Jets there was no team that received more hype this offseason than Dallas.  Hoping to become the first team to play a Super Bowl in their home stadium they were a trendy pick for the big game from everyone including the owner Jerry Jones.  Then they went out and stunk it up during the preseason, following that with an ugly opening game loss to division rival Washington.  As a result no team needs a victory more this week than the Cowboys.

On the surface  the Cowboys should have been victorious last week.  They outgained their opponent by more than 100 yards, averaged a solid 4.7 yards per carry and only turned the ball over once.

They lost because they mismanaged the game, creating a controversy this week regarding who was responsible for their gaffe at the end of the first half, where a fumble recovery for a TD led to a 10-0 halftime deficit.  Also not to be overlooked is the fact that they had a dozen penalties in the game.

Dallas has a lot of talent but they make it easier for less talented teams to beat them when they don’t play disciplined football.

As alluded to earlier Dallas desperately needs this game.  An 0-2 start including a home loss to the Bears would create an unmanageable environment for the team, especially with a couple of tough games later this month.  If I liked the Bears more as a team I might be prompted to predict a Dallas implosion but I think the talent gap is too wide.

Even though Cowboys coach Wade Phillips isn’t highly thought of as a motivator, the material he has to work with is definitely on his side and in an emotional environment, like it will be a Cowboys stadium this Sunday, the Bears are likely to make a mistake or two with Cutler at the controls.

The Pick: As long as this stays at 7 I think the Cowboys are a comfortable pick here.  Any higher and the ledge they are standing on seems a little too thin.  Would love for this to come down a half point….they could also win 34-10.

NFL Football Gambling Trends

Bears are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 2.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Bears are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. win.
Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Cowboys are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf.
Cowboys are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in September.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Score Prediction:  Dallas 28 – Chicago 13

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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