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Jags vs. Colts Week 15 NFL Betting Odds

Week 15: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts Preview & Free Pick

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Consider Sunday’s battle between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts the defacto AFC South division championship. With a win, the Jaguars can take a two-game lead—including the crucial head-to-head tie-breaker—and all but assure themselves the title. But the Colts still control their own destiny and, if they win out, they’ll earn the division title.

Jaguars vs. Colts
Go Inside This Matchup With Our NFL ATS Stats —>
Date: Sunday, December 19, 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Broadcast: CBS
Jaguars vs. Colts lines from BetUS.com.com
Jaguars: +5
Colts: -5
Total: 48.5
Bet Now @ Bodog.com

Indianapolis (7-6, 9-4 ATS) bounced back from a three-game losing streak with a 30-28 win over Tennessee last week. That didn’t help NFL betting fans, though, as the Titans scored a touchdown as time expired and gave Indy its third consecutive loss against the spread.

For the first time in a long while, Peyton Manning looked right. After throwing 11 interceptions in a three-game span, Manning torched the Titans for 319 yards, two touchdowns and—most importantly—no interceptions. Manning was also sacked just once. Pierre Garcon, talented by wildly inconsistent, finally delivered a big game. He caught six passes for 93 yards and a pair of scores. The running game was still non-existent, though, as Indy averaged less than three yards per carry on 32 rushes.

The defense needs some help, and there doesn’t appear to be any coming. Indy has built its “D” on small, quick defenders for a decade now. It’s always been a source of big plays, but also a liability against the run. This season is no different, as the Colts own the NFL’s fourth-worst run defense at 141 yards per game. They actually did a solid job against the Titans. Chris Johnson ran for 111 yards on 22 carries, but he didn’t gash the Colts on too many big plays.

Jacksonville (8-5, 9-4 ATS) is one of the hottest teams in the NFL. The Jags have won five of their last six games, including a wild 38-31 victory over Oakland last week. The Jags improved to 6-0 ATS in their last six.

The rushing attack is out of control. Maurice Jones-Drew has rushed for over 100 yards in six consecutive games; his backup, Rashad Jennings, has piled up 206 yards and three touchdowns in his last three games. With David Garrard more than capable of the occasional big play, the Jaguars are running a very impressive, balanced offense right now.

The “D” is a little hit or miss. Two weeks after shutting down the Titans, the Jaguars were lit up for 31 points by Oakland. Darren McFadden killed Jacksonville out of the backfield, racking up 209 yards from scrimmage and three total touchdowns.

The Jaguars were burned by Jason Campbell last week, so there’s no doubt Manning will have his way with them. But the Colts have no hope in stopping the run, and Jacksonville might have the NFL’s best rushing attack at the moment. Not only will that lead to Jacksonville points, it’ll keep Manning off the field. The Colts will probably pull this one out in the end, but it’s going to be awfully tight—tight enough for Jags cover.

Jacksonville at Indianapolis pick: Jacksonville +5

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About Ian Van Den Hurk

Ian Van Den Hurk has covered amateur and pro sports for years, including a successful run handicapping anything from football to mixed martial arts. Looking for more sports betting tips and expert sports handicapping articles from Ian V? We've got your back...


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