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New England vs. San Diego: Week 7 NFL Lines & Spread Prediction

Point spread, ATS odds, and moneyline betting and preview article for the 2010 NFL Week 7 clash between the New England Patriots vs. San Diego Chargers…

Sunday NFL Betting – Injuries, Sloppiness Hampers Chargers Again

The San Diego Chargers are coming off yet another disappointing road loss. Once again, a slow start under Norv Turner has cost the Chargers a chance to be playing from ahead and now, at 2-4, they face what would be a must-win in most cases this Sunday.

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New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers
Odds: Patriots +3, Chargers -3
Total: 47
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But the Chargers play in the AFC West, where apparently no one is interested in winning the division. That will make another loss this week a little more forgivable.

How Can New England Win?

Continue to play ball-control on offense.

With Randy Moss off in Minnesota, the lure of throwing up passing to him on every play is gone. The bad news is the Patriots lack a deep threat now but the good news is that Brady has several weapons to spread the ball around to.

Deion Branch, Brandon Tate, Wes Welker are excellent weapons to keep the chains moving while rookie tight ends Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez have been integral parts as well.

The Chargers pass rush has diminished in recent years. While they have 17 on the year, 11 have come in the two wins (Arizona and Jacksonville), which leaves just six sacks in their four losses. The Patriots should be able to protect Brady all game long, which means they’ll be able to rack up the points.

They’ll need it on the road in a game that figures to be a shootout.

How Can San Diego Win?

Focus on picking apart the 30th-ranked defense in the NFL.

The Chargers are bruised, battered and banged up, but the Patriots defense hasn’t been able to stop anyone this season. Going on the road to San Diego won’t help their cause.

The Patriots give up 273.4 yards through the air, which slots them 29th in the NFL. Those numbers will only get worse when they face MVP-candidate Philip Rivers on Sunday.

The good news for San Diego is they are back at home. Yes, they are 2-4 but their four losses have all been on the road and their two wins have come at home by a margin of 79-23.

Lastly, the Chargers would be wise to get Ryan Mathews in the mix. He’s run very well in spot duty but with the beating that Rivers took last week, they’ll be able to keep the Patriots off-balance if they can run and pass this week – not just pass.

Outlook

Under Norv Turner, the San Diego Chargers have never been over .500 through six games and for the first time, it will cost them.

The sloppy Chargers thought they could get past the Kansas City Chiefs, Seattle Seahawks, Oakland Raiders and St. Louis Rams based on reputation but instead, it brought them four losses. At 2-4, they need this game badly but the slew of injuries is going to seriously hamper their chances of winning.

Already without wideout Vincent Jackson, the Chargers will be without Malcolm Floyd this week. Also, Legedu Naanee, who missed last week’s game with a bad hamstring, is expected to play but he might not be 100%.

Beyond that, there are questions regarding Antonio Gates’ health. He has a high tolerance for pain and will probably play, but he also won’t be at full strength.

Lastly, kicker Nate Kaeding is out, which means the Chargers will bring someone in off the street for field goal duties.

All this adds up to the fact that you can’t lay points with the Chargers this week – even at home. Take the Patriots plus the field goal as they are healthier and have played better than the Chargers this season.

Pick: Patriots +3

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