College Football Handicapping / Betting Tips
The College Football begins their NCAAF Picks season this week and with it comes a plethora of opportunities for profitable bets.
One of the problems however, is that with so many teams how do you actually pinpoint opportunities for NCAAF picks profits?
One way that I have routinely done this and created profits is to go into the season with a plan.
One way is to understand the trends of how a team is going to react in the Won/Loss column after either improvement or decline from the previous year.
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This will allow us to narrow down each weeks possible NCAAF Picks.
So, let’s take a look at the most recent trends:
One thing that I like to look at is the won-loss record of teams that either improved or got worse by three games or more from the season before. 
When comparing last year to 2007, 44 of the 120 Divison 1A schools either improved or declined.
So what if a team won three or less games than the year before?
Teams in this category actually improved their record the following season. In fact, 63 out of 74 teams in this scenerio improved.
Which means that only 11 teams had a worse record. Last year teams who got worse were Tennessee, Michigan, and Central Florida.
What about teams that actually improved by three games from one season compared to their previous?
Looking at teams in this scenerio a whopping 80% failed to improved the subsequent year.
So, if you’re looking at teams that you might want to consider fading this season are Rice, Minnesota, and Ball State.
So if you’re looking at betting futures in wins and/or losses for this seasons NCAAF picks keep in mind the above scenerios and you’ll be on your way to a profitable season.
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One reply on “NCAAF Week 1 Betting Tips”
Good insight into potential win totals. My question with college football is variations in schedules from one year to the next in repsect to non conference games. These could easily account for those 2 -3 extra wins.