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CT’s 2009 Mid Major Predictions + Bubble Watch

Mid Major Team Predictions: NCAA Tournament

Last in a series of article by sports handicapper Craig Trapp where he brought you his predictions for top teams in all the major conferences. Today he will look at the mid major at large selections candidates and predict seeding’s and also how they might do in the NCAA Tournament. As always many mid major teams find themselves on the bubble and will find themselves fighting for a spot against the BCS conferences.


Memphis: Nobody is surprised they are going to make the NCAA Tournament but not many could predict that they would be ranked in the top 10 and fighting for top seeding. Tyrike Evan has been unbelievable all year and now playing point guard makes them much more explosive scoring the ball. Most likely a #2 seed and can’t imagine if they could get up to the #1 line. Not a ton of impressive victories and come 2nd round see them getting beat by a team with equal talent from a major conference.

Gonzaga: The best talent of any mid major team makes this team a very scary match up for any team. They say point guards win games come NCAA Tournament time and Pargo is a great one for the Zags. Seeding for this team is tough with an average or poor conference, the selection committee will have a tough decision. Craig predicts they will get a #6 seed and win one game and lose to the #3 seed most likely a PAC 10 school.

Xavier: Early in this season the Muskies were ranked in the top 10 for several weeks. But lately this team has fallen apart at one stretch losing 3 of 5 games. Lack of PG play will be costly for this team in the NCAA Tournament. Derrick Brown can be a nice player but lately his outside shot has gone missing. Looks like a solid #5 seed. Lack of PG play costs them as they go down in the first round to always dangerous #10 seed.

Butler: Very young but talented mid major squad. Key wins at Davidson and at Xavier shows that this team can play with any team in the nation. Tough style of play for any BCS conference team. Defense and efficient offense makes this team a cinderella team to watch. Most likely a #8 seed but the selection committee could move them up to the #7 line if they win out.  Somehow someway this team ends up in the sweet 16 and lose a close one.

Bubble is always the word for Mid Major teams if they don’t win their conference tournaments. Strength of schedule and RPI are always lower than the BCS conference teams. With the strength of the Big East and the ACC can’t imagine more than 2 more at large bids from the Mid Majors conferences. Can’t wait for Selection Sunday and of course the Big Dance.



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NCAABGEN1M320X110 Oddsmakers Five Favorites - 2009 NCAAB Championship


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  1. I always like Gonzaga’s chances come Tournament time. This year started out with very high expectations and I’m not ready to count them out in round two. Depending on their bracket, I have them lined up as an early upset special to get into the Sweet Sixteen