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Super Bowl 44 Handicapping Tips

Super Bowl XLIV- Match Ups

The Super Bowl is the most over analyzed sporting event in the world as every expert has two weeks to completely dissect every possible aspect of this game in an effort to convince you which team is a lock to win and why. The bottom line is there are many different ways you can try and handicap this game in order to come up with the best strategy to make your picks.

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Not only do you have the option of taking or giving the points and betting the over or under on the point total, there are dozens of other prop bets you can make on just about any result this game will produce. Below are a few facts and figures that will help when it comes to making your picks for Sunday.

Super Bowl XLIV- Sunday February 7th , 6:20 P.M       Sun Life Stadium, Miami Fl.
New Orleans Saints vs. Indianapolis Colts

The various sports books has Indianapolis favored anywhere from a five to six points. The total line is currently set at 56.5. The spread line opened at five and the total line opened at 55.

The overall series record between these two teams is split at 5-5.

The last time they met was back in the 2007 Kickoff Game to start the regular season. The Colts hammered the Saints 41-10.

In the regular season, New Orleans QB Drew Brees completed 363 passes on 514 attempts (70.6%) for a total of 4388 yards. He threw a league high 34 TD’s, 11 interceptions, and was sacked 20 times. His overall passer rating was also a league high 109.6.

In his two postseason games he completed 40 passes on 63 attempts (63.5%) for a total of 444 yards. He threw six TD’s, 0 interceptions, and was sacked once. His passer rating was 116.1

In the regular season, Indianapolis QB Peyton Manning completed 393 passes on 571 attempts (68.8%) for a total of 4500 yards. He threw 33 TD’s, 16 interceptions, and was sacked 10 times. His overall passer rating was 99.9. In his two postseason games he completed 56 passes on 83 attempts (67.5%) for a total of 623 yards. He threw 5 TD’s, 1 interception, and was sacked four times. His passer rating was 104.6.

The Saints top two receivers; Marques Colston and Devery Henderson combined for 121 receptions for 1878 yards and 11 TD’s. Overall, nine different players had 10 or more receptions on the year.

The Colts top two receivers; Reggie Wayne and TE Dallas Clark combined for 200 receptions for 2370 yards and 20 TD’s. Overall, six different players had 10 or more receptions on the year.

This Super Bowl will be the first time in history that both starting quarterbacks threw for over 4000 yards in the regular season.

The Saints recorded a total of 35 sacks in the regular season. DE Will Smith led the team with 13

The Colts recorded a total of 34 sacks in the regular season. DE Dwight Freeney led the team with 13 ½.

The Saints turnover ratio was +11 in the regular season and +6 in the postseason.

The Colts turnover ratio was +2 in the regular season and +3 in the postseason.

The AFC has won 21 Super Bowls and the NFC has won 22. The AFC has won seven out of the last 10.

The average margin of victory in the last 10 Super Bowls has been 10 points. In the last five games it is 6.6 points.

Good luck with all of your picks and enjoy the game as this one has all the makings of another fantastic finish.

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.