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Jacksonville vs. K.C. Odds – Gambling Prediction (Week 7)

Matchup Analysis – Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs Spread Picks

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It’s Week 7 of the 2010 NFL Football season and veteran sportswriter Matt Martz will preview all of the weekly AFC West match ups throughout the season, providing some insight to help make your NFL football wagers winners. Check back every week for your complete source for NFL football gambling right here on CappersPicks.com.

Jags at Chiefs Week 7 NFL Football Predictions

Date/Time: Sunday, October 24, 1 PM ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO.
Broadcast: CBS
Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Lines from betED
Money Line: Jacksonville (+350) Kansas City (-450)
Spread: Kansas City -9
Over/Under: 37
Bet Now At Bookmaker.com —>

Historically the Jags have turned in some solid performances against the Chiefs and have won four of their last six meetings including last year’s battle 24-21. Jacksonville will now travel to one of the league’s toughest places to play –Arrowhead Stadium – to take on a Kansas City team that has dropped two consecutive games after starting the season 3-0, leaving fans wondering if the team’s hot start was just a stroke of luck.

Jacksonville is coming off a 30-3 rout by Tennessee in front of a national audience on Monday Night Football. The Titans’ defense shut down the Jags holding them off the scoreboard for the entire first half of play. Their lone points coming from a 33-yard field goal by Josh Scobee in the third.

And if that wasn’t bad enough, the Jaguars has appeared to have lost both its starting and backup quarterbacks. Starting quarterback David Garrard suffered a concussion in the second quarter of Monday night’s loss, while backup Trent Edwards, who was making his first start with Jacksonville after being claimed off waivers from Buffalo, injured his right thumb. He finished the game throwing for just 140 yards while completing 14 of 24 attempts.

Although Edwards could start, the Jags have signed NFL veterans Todd Bouman and Patrick Ramsey this week as insurance. In my opinion, this is no better coverage than Obama Care.  Bouman and Ramsey’s both hasn’t started a game since 2005.

Meanwhile, Kansas City looks to open with three straight home wins for the first time since 2003, and will be seeking to match the franchise’s best start in 12 seasons, while avoiding a second straight loss.

The Chiefs was outscored 21-7 in the fourth quarter of last Sunday’s 35-31 loss at Houston with the Texans amassing 421 yards including 185 in the final 15 minutes. It was a repeat of Week 5’s loss to Indy, where the KC defense was rolled for 10 unanswered points in the final quarter of play.

The defense had been strong limiting opponents to fewer than 12 points on average in the first four games, but has somehow faded at critical moments over the last few contests. They need to maintain their early season momentum as the offense has only scored more than 30-points twice.

In spite of the meltdowns, the rushing defense has remained strong, ranking 5th best in the NFL limiting opponents to under 91 yards.

That will come in handy, as they will need to slow down Jags running back Maurice Jones-Drew.

With the quarterback situation in flux, Jacksonville will lean on its power back that is 10th in the league with 463 rushing yards but was held to 57 on 17 carries in his last outing.

For Kansas City, the key will be whether or not QB Matt Cassell can replicate his performance in Texas.  He completed 20 of 29 for 201 yards and three TDs, connecting with WR Dwayne Bowe for a season high six receptions for 108 yards and two touchdowns. That combination could put up huge numbers against a Jaguars’ passing defense that ranks 28th in the league.

To add to that, the Chiefs will keep the Jags defense guessing by handing the ball to the AFC West’s No. 1 rushing duo of Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones. Charles (418 yards) and Jones (336) are one of two 300-yard rushing tandems, which ranks 1st overall with 164.6 per game.

In the Jags three losses, the defense has allowed 32 points on average while the Chiefs have put up an average of 22.

I’m guessing that this game will stay UNDER as Kansas City puts one in the win column a rushing game that overpowers the Jacksonville defense.

Matt’s Free Prediction: Kansas City

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Matt Martz is a sports writer for the Bakersfield Californian located in Central California. Blessed is the gambler who expects nothing, for ye shall not be disappointed.

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