Kansas City Chiefs vs San Diego Chargers Week 14 NFL Football Pick
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Week 14: Chiefs at Chargers Matchup Handicapping Analysis
It’s Week 14 of the 2010 NFL Football season and veteran sportswriter Matt Martz will preview all of the weekly AFC West match ups throughout the season, providing some insight to help make your NFL football wagers winners. Check back every week for your complete source for NFL football gambling right here on CappersPicks.com.
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Date/Time: Sunday, December 12, 4:15 PM ET
Venue: Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, Ca.
Broadcast: CBS
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Betting Lines from Bookmaker.com
Money Line: Kansas City (-125) San Diego (+105)
Spread: San Diego -7
Over/Under: 47
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The Chiefs are in the driver’s seat and look to cement their lead in the AFC West with a win over an inconsistent Chargers team on Sunday.
Since San Diego already lost to Kansas City in week one, and with only three games remaining, the Bolts would be mathematically eliminated in their hunt for an AFC West title with a loss this weekend.
Kansas City will bring its first-ranked running offense to the Q to face off against stingy bunch of San Diego run stoppers who have been tenacious until being shredded for 251 rushing yards by Oakland last week.
The Chiefs’ Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones will attempt to continue that trend as the two not only try to break the combined 2,000-yard mark for the season, but also in an effort to make up for the possible loss of quarterback Matt Cassel who underwent an appendectomy and is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game.
With a lot of attention placed on the Chiefs potent running game, Cassel has quietly become one of the most efficient QBs around as he has completed 59.9 percent of his passes for 2,503 yards and 23-to-4 touchdowns to interceptions ratio. He has received a lot of help from an under praised receiving corps led by Dwayne Bowe who has 58 catches for 885 yards and 14 touchdowns and Tony Meoki with 36 catches, 438 yards and three touchdowns.
Without Cassel, the San Diego defense will get the luxury of stacking the box, which should better its chances of stopping Charles and Jones. 
For the Chargers, they will search for a way to expose a mediocre Chiefs secondary as Phillip Rivers, who is second in the league with 3,642 passing yards, looks to get back on the rails after an uncharacteristic performance versus Oakland last weekend. For the season, Rivers has completed 65.5 percent of his passes with 24 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.
It won’t be easy as Rivers will likely be without Patrick Crayton, Legendu Naanee, and Antonio Gates, who have all been hit with injuries. Gates leads the Chargers in receiving with 50 catches for 782 yards and 10 touchdowns.
This will force San Diego to rely on the one area that has not been its strongest all season—its running game. The Chargers were limited to 21 yards on the ground last weekend against the Raiders.
Does this mean we can expect to see rookie running back Ryan Mathews back in the lineup this Sunday? Mathews, who missed the previous two games due to a high ankle sprain, ran for 78 yards on 20 carries in the opener. Filling in has been Mike Tolbert who has gained 625 yards and scored nine touchdowns. The running game has gotten better, but it is still ranked in the lower half of the league.
Defensively, the Chargers hold an advantage in this one giving up less than three points more per game than KC at 21.1, but limiting opponent’s opportunities by yielding nearly 60 yards less per game than the Chiefs at 334.9 yards per game.
When the two played in Week 1 at Kansas City, the Chiefs special teams made the difference. San Diego has won five of the last seven home games against Kansas City, but even with the possibility of being without Cassel, I expect the Chiefs to pound out a win on the ground in this one.
Matt’s Free Prediction: Kansas City
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Matt Martz is a sports writer for the Bakersfield Californian located in Central California. Blessed is the gambler who expects nothing, for ye shall not be disappointed.
