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Missouri Tigers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes 2010 Free Insight Bowl Pick

On Tuesday, December 28, 2010 from Tempe Arizona its the Insight Bowl matchup featuring the Missouri Tigers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes. Odds have the Tigers listed as 1-point favorites. The game’s total is posted at 47. Here then is a preview, free pick plus the college football betting angle.

Missouri Tigers vs Iowa Hawkeyes Gambling Preview + Predictions

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2010 Insight Bowl Preview – No. 12 Tigers vs. Hawkeyes Lines

Date/Time: Tuesday, December 28, 10 PM ET
Venue: Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe AZ
Broadcast: ESPN / ESPN3
Missouri Tigers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Lines from Bodog
Money Line: Iowa (+130) Missouri (-150)
Spread: Missouri -1
Over/Under: 47
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No. 12 Missouri Tigers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Preview

Missouri (10-2) ended the season strong winning their last 3 games of the season while Iowa (7-5) lost their last 3 games. College football lines have Missouri as slight 1-point betting favorites in this Insight Bowl with a total of 47.

In their last games of the season Missouri beat Kansas 35-7 and Iowa lost to Minnesota 27-24. The Tigers finished the season as the nation’s 12th ranked team and this season Iowa was 2-3 against ranked teams.

Kind of surprising that the Tigers are only favored by 1-point in this game, as They ended the season much better and the Hawkeyes will be without their leading WR and RB for this bowl game. WR Derrell Johnson-Koulianos (46 rec 745 yards 10 TD) was kicked of the team after a drug arrest and RB Adam Robinson (941 yards 10 TD) has been suspended for not complying with team policies. With 2 of Iowa’s main offensive weapons not playing they may need to rely more on their 15th ranked defense.

Mizzou leads the all time series against Iowa, but these teams have not faced each other since 1910!

The Tigers run a very well-balanced offense with the nation’s 43rd ranked passing offense and 48th ranked rushing offense. QB Blaine Gabbert (2,752 yards 15 TD) had a solid season, but even though the Tigers won their last 3 games he only had 3 TD and 3 INT in that span including getting picked off 2 times in the Kansas game. His main targets are TE Michael Egnew (83 rec 698 yards 4 TD) and WR T.J. Moe (77 rec 893 yards 6 TD). Egnew is a finalist for the John Mackey Award given to the best TE in the nation.

This season Gabbert struggled against teams with a solid pass rush. Even though Iowa features one of the best DL in the nation in Adrian Clayborn the Hwakeyes only rank 83rd in the nation with 20 sacks and their pass defense only ranks 55th.

Mizzou’s rushing attack is led by the RB duo of De’Vion Moore (485 yards 8 TD) and Henry Josey (425 yards 4 TD), who both averaged over 5 yards per carry this season. Iowa has the nation’s 6th ranked rushing defense, but in losing their last 3 games of the season they gave up an average of 158 rushing yards per game including 216 in their last game against Minnesota.

QB Ricky Stanzi leads Iowa and their 45th ranked passing offense and with Johnson-Koulianos out WR Marvin McNutt (51 rec 798 yards 8 TD) is his main target and will have to make some plays. Mizzou has the nation’s 36th ranked pass defense and the Iowa offensive line has to play well against a Tigers’ pass rush that ranks 6th in the nation with 37 sacks.

With Robinson suspended Freshman RB Marcus Coker (403 yards 1 TD) will be the featured back for Iowa in this game. Mizzou ranks 57th in the nation in rushing defense and if they can stuff Coker and their pass rush can pressure Stanzi they should win this game.

Iowa has won 2 straight bowl games while Missouri lost last season in the Texas Bowl.

I am still surprised Mizzou is not favored by more than a single point, but they will win by more than that, as their offense is solid and their D will step up. The Tigers will win this game and while it will not be a blowout they will cover the 1-point spread and win this season’s Insight Bowl.

This season Mizzou was a better betting team going 7-5 ATS while Iowa was only 5-6-1 ATS.

Betting Trends

Missouri is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a an ATS win, but only 5-12 in their last 17 games facing teams with a winning record. Iowa is only 0-3-1 in their last 4 games, but they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 bowl games.

The Under may be a good pick in this game with Mizzou having an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games and Iowa having an Under record of 4-0-1 in their last 5 games.

Pick: Missouri -1

Jason Green is a new contributor to Cappers Picks and is hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of  Cubs fans.

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3 replies on “Missouri Tigers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes 2010 Free Insight Bowl Pick”

“I am still surprised Mizzou is not favored by more than a single point, but they will win by more than that, as their offense is solid and their D will step up. The Tigers will win this game and while it will not be a blowout they will cover the 1-point spread and win this season’s Insight Bowl”

Wrongo Jason. Don’t count the Hawkeyes out. They play too well in bowl games. Missing their two best offensive guys and dessimated with key linebacker injuries, they found a way! Glad I bet against your advice!!

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