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Giants vs. Packers Gambling & NFL Free Prediction (Week 16)

Week Sixteen Gambling – New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

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Giants at Packers – Week 16

Sunday December 26 – 4:15 PM
Venue:
Lambeau Field – Green Bay Wisconsin
Broadcast:  FOX
New York (9-5) +125 vs Green Bay (8-6) -145 (Odds courtesy of BetUS)
Spread Favourite: Green Bay -3
Over/Under: 43
Go Inside This Matchup With Our NFL ATS Stats —>
(odds courtesy of BetUS – BET NOW Click Here!)

New York Giants
This week is a really tough spot for the Giants.  Last week’s loss to the Eagles was both heartbreaking and humiliating as they squandered a huge lead.  It also hurt their playoff chances and now they are on the road facing another team fighting for their playoff life, the Packers.  It is amazing how one horribly bad half of a quarter of football can affect the outcome of a whole season and it will be a real test for coach Coughlin to get the team ready to compete.

Everything went wrong in that 4th quarter on Sunday – offense, defense and especially special teams.  The Giants need to get their running game back on track so they can grind out games where that they are leading.  That is the M.O. of Coughlin’s squad, get the lead, pressure the QB than salt away the victory with the running game.  They have the right personnel for this they just need to execute.  Lets call last week a bit of a fluke.

Two years ago the Giants walked into a chilly Lambeau Field and upset the Packers in the playoffs.  This game has the same sort of urgency and the Giants need to turn the trick again.  It is never easy winning with the cheeseheads screaming their heads off but the Giants have done so the last two times they have visited Green Bay.

Green Bay
The Packers have frittered away too many games and can’t afford another loss.  They have a very tough end to their schedule with the Giants visiting next week and a game against the Bears the week after.  If they don’t win on Sunday they will be eliminated from the race which would be a huge disappointment given the expectations they had coming into this season.

With so much on the line the Packers must feel fortunate to get QB Aaron Rodgers back from his concussion.  Matt Flynn was very good against New England last week but the vision of him against Detroit still lingers.  If Rodgers is healthy than Green Bay has a great chance provided they can keep him upright.  The Giants have one of the most menacing pass rushes in the league and you know they will be after the skittish QB, looking to eliminate him the way they have others throughout the season.

As much as they need Rodgers to perform the Packers also need the defense to step up.  Green Bay has the #1 scoring defense in the NFL but they couldn’t hold the lead that Matt Flynn and the offense built last weekend against New England.  The Giants offense may be a notch below New England but it is still very good.  Green Bay’s D will have to help out Rodgers by putting him in some good situations and by not allowing the Giants to control the ball for long stretches.

The Pick: Sorry Packer fans, I think the Giants are going to rip your heart out again…after they knock Rodgers out of the game.  Without a running game to keep them honest the Giants pass rushers will pin their ears back and give Matt Flynn some more playing time.

NFL Gambling Trends

Giants are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Giants are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Giants are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog.
Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Packers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Score Prediction:  New York 27 – Green Bay 24

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