NFL Fearless Free Picks Week 15
The Week 14 NFL Odds and Lines laid to rest any doubts about the Colts, Titans and Steelers being the cream of the crop in the AFC. Now we have three legitimate contenders to the crown in the AFC and it could all boil down to this final week for the rest of the under card.
In the NFC, the waters only got murkier. Carolina upset Tampa Bay big time to take charge of the NFC South, while Green Bay fell farther behind Chicago with a loss to the morbid Houston Texans at Lambeau. Week 15 suddenly has way too much relevance for the playoffs. Who’s going to answer the call in the upcoming weekend of football betting? To quote one of my favorite football movies, it’s time to get a “seat at the dinner table”!
New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears -3
The Saints are pulling a John Kerry and flip-flopping week in and week out. Chicago has rewarded their fans by going 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home. With a 2-3-1 ATS record against the Saints, the oddsmakers were forced to draw an even line in the sand for the Bears. Expect the Bears to reward their betting faithful as the Saints slip and stumble in the snowy confines of Soldier Field.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Atlanta Falcons
Both teams are coming off heartbreaking losses, but the Bucs own the Falcons. Jeff Garcia is coming off his worst game of the season, but the Falcons’ special teams and defense will let the Bucs in to this game. Don’t expect a repeat of Monday Night against another division final for Tampa as they maintain pace.
Green Bay Letdowns -2.5 over JACKSONVILLE DISAPPOINTMENTS
Jesus. Uh, Green Bay? Jacksonville is atrocious and the Packers are simply graded too high overall to continue this horrendous losing streak.
Mike Holmgrem’s Retirement Plans over ST. LOUIS RAMS
Not that anyone cares, but the Seahawks have always been given fits by the Rams. Not this weekend. Building off a tight loss to the Pats, the Seahawks will take care of business for Mike Holmgren.
NEW YORK JETS -7 over Buffalo Bills
Well it looks like the Bills’ bandwagon has fully blown apart. J.P. Losman was horrific against the Dolphins. At home, coming off two stunning losses, Brett Favre needs a bounce back. The pressure will be off when the lowly Bills pay them a visit as the Jets fight for the playoff lives.
MIAMI DOLPHINS -6 over San Francisco 49ers
Love the Dolphins right now. Love ‘em. The return of Ricky Williams to the Skydome in Toronto was an unheralded story last weekend. Putting together a hard fought win against the 49ers, who are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on the road, will legitimize the Dolphins on their way to the Wildcard.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +4.5 over San Diego Chargers
Yep. I’m going there. The Chiefs are stringing together some very hard fought wins, and playing at home in front of their ten remaining fans will get them jacked up enough to challenge the Chargers. The Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games, while San Diego has gone just 2-3-1 ATS I their last 6 roadies.
INDINAPOLIS COLTS -16.5 over 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
How excited are the veterans of the 1976 Bucs to see these Lions? GM isn’t the only franchise in Detroit that needs a bailout apparently. Too bad the pass happy Colts are hosting them this weekend for beat downs and face washes. Colts by pure domination.
Tennessee Titans -3 over HOUSTON TEXANS
Do you think that if Kerry Collins does eventually get to the Superbowl, and Tony Saragusa is on the sidelines doing reporting, that The Goose will gave Kerry a wave and a grin and Collins will just start vomiting uncontrollably? That would be awesome.
Washington Redskins -7 over CINCINNATI BENGALS
Start tanking, Bengals. It’s time to go draft pick hunting!
I don’t trust the Vikings at all this year in terms of betting, and a spread loss to the Lions only reinforces that notion. The Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 at home, and are going to need to lean on Tim Hightower to power them over Minnesota. If this line is anywhere over a touchdown, go with the Vikings. But the Cardinals are a safe bet here otherwise.
New England Patriots -8 over COMMITMENT TO SUCKING
What the hell happened to home field advantage? The Raiders have shot themselves in the foot, knee and shoulder all season long and are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. I wonder if Al Davis is crazy enough to hire McMillan, the former Detroit Lions GM? How awesome would that be! Al Davis can’t be that crazy can he? I sure as hell hope so.
Denver Broncos over CAROLINA PANTHERS
The Broncos are down to their sixth running back this weekend. Yep – Tatum Bell was selling cell phones last month and couldn’t beat an unknown white guy to start for the Broncos. Well now Shanny has no choice – and I just don’t think that the Panther are good enough to turn a blowout win over Tampa in to enough to challenge a viscious Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall.
STEEL CURTAIN over Ravens Defense
Ed Reed or Troy Polamalu? One is so pick happy and turnover crazy, while the other simply makes plays. The Steelers stunned me last weekend by vanquishing the Dallas Cowboys. Now they can show their offensive mettle by punching the Ravens square in the mouth and send them packing.
New York Giants -3 over Tony Romo
Tony Romo has botched every big game in his professional career. Eli Manning is coming off a letdown to the Eagles but is otherwise 12-2 this season. Who do you think I’m siding with? If the cameras keep showing Jessica Simpson in the stands, this game is over.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -14 over Ken Dorsey
Yep, the Browns only three months to revert back in to the suckfest that we’ve all known them to be. I hate siding with Andy “The Human Challenge Flag” Reid, but I’m not going to encourage the Browns’ betting faithful here. That dog was put to rest in Week 2.
