NFL Week 9 Lock Alert – Washington Redskins at Atlanta Falcons
Washington (+10) vs. Atlanta (-10)
Over/Under
Sunday, November 8 1:00 PM ET
The Atlanta Falcons (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS, 4-3 O/U) will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak when they host the struggling Washington Redskins (2-5 SU, 1-5-1 ATS, 2-5 O/U) at the Georgia Dome on Sunday at 1 PM ET.
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The Redskins lost to Philadelphia 27-17 last time out, failing to cover the NFL moneyline as 9-point home underdogs while the game’s final score played Over the 38-point O/U total.
Maligned quarterback Jason Campbell completed 29-of-43 passes for 284 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for Washington in a losing effort.
Atlanta lost to the undefeated New Orleans Saints in a Week 8 Monday night matchup despite limiting the Saints to just seven second half points, but managed to cover the game’s NFL point spread as 11.5-point road underdogs as I correctly predicted in the BetUS Locker Room that day while the game’s final score played Over the 55.5-point O/U total.
Michael Turner rushed for 151 yards on 20 carries with one touchdown for Atlanta but second-year quarterback Matt Ryan threw three costly interceptions in the loss.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends and NFL Betting Odds, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert NFL Free Picks.
Redskins are 1-3-3 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Redskins are 3-12-3 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Redskins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Falcons are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an SU loss.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Falcons are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 vs. NFC.
Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 vs. NFC.
NFL Odds
Atlanta Falcons -10 Points
Over/Under 42 Points
Analysis: You don’t have to be Albert Einstein to realize the Washington Redskins are in trouble in this matchup as they face a ticked-off Falcons squad intent on not dropping three consecutive games.
Atlanta has posted some stellar ATS wagering statistics coming into this ballgame despite losing each of its last two games.
The Falcons have gone a blistering 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an SU loss, 4-1 ATS versus a team with a losing record and a consistent 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.
The Washington Redskins on the other hand, have gone a pitiful 1-3-3 ATS in their last seven road games, 3-12-3 ATS in their last 18 games overall and 1-5 ATS versus a team with a winning record.
I’ll use the KISS method (Keep It Simple Stupid) on this wager NFL pro football betting enthusiasts and take the often-explosive (24.4 ppg) Falcons to crush the offensively-challenged (13.7 ppg) Redskins at home here.
NFL Free Picks: Falcons -10 Points
