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Browns vs Bengals Trends + Week 12 Pick

NFL Betting Odds – Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-14)

NFL Betting Odds – AFC North Matchup Pits Browns at Bengals

Browns (+14) vs. Bengals (-14)
(O/U) 39½
Sunday, November 29 1:00 PM ET

The Cincinnati Bengals (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS, 5-5 O/U) were on the wrong end of arguably the biggest upset on the schedule in Week 11.

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Cincinnati lost to the Oakland Raiders 20-17 just one week after looking like one of the best teams in the AFC in their 18-12 Week 10 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Now, the Bengals will look to avoid another upset loss when they battle the Cleveland Browns (1-9 SU, 4-6 ATS, 4-6 O/U) in an important AFC North matchup.

Browns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC North.
Browns are 2-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Browns took part in arguably the most exciting game of the season in Week 11, but came up just short in a narrow loss to the Detroit Lions.

The Browns lost to the Lions 38-37 but managed to cover the game’s NFL point spread for pro football betting members as a 3-point road underdog in the thrilling affair.

Quarterback Brady Quinn looked absolutely phenomenal in completing 21 of 33 passes for 304 yards with four touchdowns in the loss, hooking up with unheralded wide receiver Mohamed Massaquoi five times for 115 yards and one TD.

The Browns snapped a three-game ATS losing streak and have gone a surprising 4-3 against the spread (ATS) over their last seven games overall.

Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.
Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC North.
Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.

The Bengals looked kind of inept in their loss to Oakland as they failed to cover the NFL moneyline as an 8.5-point road underdog in the loss.

Cincinnati fumbled a whopping five times, losing three while quarterback Carson Palmer threw one interception and failed to toss a touchdown pass against the lowly raiders.

The only bright spot for the Bengals was the fact that rookie running back Bernard Scott rushed for 119 yards on 21 carries.

Cincinnati had its three-game SU and ATS winning streaks snapped in the loss, but have managed to go a respectable 6-4 against the spread over its last 10 games.

Analysis: The Browns looked totally inept on offense until Brady Quinn opened up a can of you-know-what on the Lions last week.

Now, don’t get me wrong, I’m certainly not expecting the Browns to beat the Bengals on the road in this contest, but I’ve got a strange feeling that Cleveland could cover the spread here.

With Cincinnati going an impressive 5-1 ATS in their last six games against their AFC North rivals and Cleveland going a polar-opposite 1-5 ATS in their last six road games versus a team with a winning home record, the key trends for this contest definitely suggest a convincing Bengals NFL point spread cover.

However, the underdog in this rivalry has gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings, which is why I am going out on a limb here and taking the Browns to cover the NFL moneyline.

I may end up kicking myself over this pick later on, but I always tell gamblers to go with their gut when making any selection and mine is telling me the Browns keep it closer than expected here.

Then again, maybe I’ve got a bit of indigestion after eating too much Turkey on Thanksgiving.

NFL Free Picks: Browns +14 Points

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  1. Look for the Bengals to bounce back strong from last week’s ugly loss to the Raiders. The Browns played their best game of the year last week and still lost so you have to question what they will have left for this game.