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Broncos vs Colts Trends + Week 14 Pick

Pro Football Betting – Broncos and Colts Won’t Be Horsing Around

The Indianapolis Colts have met all challenges this season, mostly in convincing fashion, thanks in large part to quarterback Peyton Manning, the most studious player in the game in my estimation.

This week, the Colts will face another stiff test when they battle the Denver Broncos in an AFC matchup that could turn out to be the best game on the docket for Week 14.

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Denver has gotten back on track following a shaky four-game losing streak, winning two straight games in absolutely convincing fashion coming into this matchup.

Broncos (+7) vs. Colts
(O/U) 44
Sunday, December 13 1:00 PM ET

Broncos (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS, 3-9 O/U)
Colts (12-0 SU, 8-3-1 ATS, 5-7 O/U)

Head-to-Head Trends

Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Indianapolis.
Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

What the Broncos need to do to win

Force Peyton Manning into two picks – and score the ball

First and foremost, the Broncos need to continue playing the outstanding defense that has led them to victory in each of their eight wins this season – and that starts by stopping Peyton Manning.

Manning didn’t throw an interception in Week 13, but Indy’s main man three two interceptions in three consecutive starts prior to that. If the Broncos can pick manning off at least twice, they stand a much better chance of pulling off an upset in this tough road game.

Denver also needs to put some pints on the board against an underrated Colts defense that is ranked fifth in the league and has allowed more than 17 points just twice in their last 10 games. With the Colts averaging 27.6 points per game this season, I think Denver may need at least 28 points in order to win this matchup and that is a pretty tall order.

What the Colts need to do to win

Avoid turnovers, shut down Denver’s rushing attack and get after Kyle Orton

Peyton Manning will have to avoid turning the ball over by forcing passes into coverage against Denver’s third-ranked outstanding defense. The Broncos are allowing just 16.8 points per game this season (and so are the Colts) and have allowed over 17 points just once in their last six victories.

Indianapolis will also want to shut down Denver’s blossoming rushing attack and put major pressure on quarterback Kyle Orton.

The Broncos rushed for a whopping 245 yards on 45 carries in Week 13 after recording 138 rushing yards in their 26-6 win over the Giants in Week 12. Indianapolis will find stopping the Broncos offense a lot more difficult if they can’t contain Knowshown Moreno and force Orton into obvious passing situations.

Analysis: With both teams allowing an identical 16.8 points per game defensively, the outcome of this contest will likely boil down to the team with the better offense – and that team is the Indianapolis Colts.

The Colts are putting up 27.6 points per game while the Broncos have averaged just 20.0 points per game this season.

Indianapolis has been playing really well on defense lately which I think they indicated in keep Vince Young and the Tennessee Titans in check last week and I like them to do the same this week, though I will admit that Kyle Orton is a very bright guy who has a flat-out star in wideout Brandon Marshall.

I like the Broncos to give the Colts all they can handle, but in the end, I say they fall just short while covering the BetUS NFL point spread in a narrow loss.

Expert NFL Picks: Broncos +7 Points

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