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Bills vs Falcons Trends + Week 16 Pick

NFL Lock Alert – Buffalo Bills vs. Atlanta Falcons

Bills vs. Falcons (-9)
(O/U) 41
Sunday, December 27 – 1:00 PM ET

The Atlanta Falcons (7-7 SU, 9-5 ATS, 7-7 O/U) don’t have a shot at making the playoffs this season, but they do have something top play for entering their Week 16 matchup against the Buffalo Bills (5-9 SU, 7-7 ATS, 5-9 O/U).

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The Falcons will be looking to win their final two regular season games and record the first back-to-back winning seasons in the 44-year history of the franchise.

Key Trends

Bills are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Under is 8-2 in Bills last 10 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games overall.

“We’re disappointed in terms of not having an opportunity to play past 16 regular-season games,” coach Mike Smith said. “We still have a lot of internal goals that can be reached. Those are things we talk about as a team. We don’t talk about them publicly.”

The Falcons defeated the New York Jets 10-7 in Week 15, covering the NFL moneyline as a 5-point road underdog as Matt Ryan passed for 152 yards with one touchdown, hooking up with tight end Tony Gonzalez for the game-winning TD with just 1:42 remaining in regulation.

Atlanta cashed in for pro NFL football betting backers for the second consecutive game and have gone a solid 6-4 ATS over the last 10 games overall.

The Bills don’t have much to play for except pride in this contest. Buffalo lost to New England 17-10 as a 7-point underdog in Week 15 but have gone a respectable 5-5 ATS over its last 10 games overall.

Analysis: Despite the fact that the Bills have gone an impressive 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games, I think the Atlanta Falcons are the easy pick in this contest pro football betting backers.

The Bills have been very solid defensively this season, allowing just 20.6 points per game this season, but Atlanta has an explosive offense that should have multiple opportunities to score the ball with Buffalo’s unproductive offense likely producing a ton of three-and-outs.

Buffalo has averaged just 16 points per game over its last seven games and that’s just not going to cut it against a Falcons offense that features Matt Ryan and Tony Gonzalez.

The Falcons have been very good at covering the NFL point spread at home, going a consistent 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.

With the Under going a blistering 8-2 in Buffalo’s last 10 games and 4-0 in Atlanta’s last four games, I also like the Under to play out in this contest.

NFL Expert Picks: Falcons -9 Points/Under 41 Total Points

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