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Free UFC Picks – UFC 127 Lines

Looking for some inside UFC 127 betting info? UFC 127 Odds to Win for all the matchups, plus the full UFC 127 fight card for this week’s Ultimate fighting championship in Sydney Australia at the Acer Arena…

UFC 127 Penn vs Fitch Preview & Picks

While UFC 127 lacks the allure of a title fight, its main event has title implications. The winner of BJ Penn vs Jon Fitch will likely meet the winner of Georges St-Pierre and Jake Shields or, if GSP wins and moves up a weight class, will battle for the vacated welterweight belt.

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UFC 127 – EVENT INFO
Promotion – Ultimate Fighting Championship
Date – February 26, 2011
Time – 10PM ET/7PM PM Venue – Acer Arena, Sydney, Australia
Broadcast – Pay-per-view
Betting:
Bet on UFC 127

Here’s a pick for the main event and a couple of other important bouts.

BJ Penn (16-7-1) vs Jon Fitch (23-3, 1 NC)
UFC 127 odds: Penn +160, Fitch -190

After losing twice to UFC lightweight champ Frankie Edgar, BJ Penn decided he was better off seeking new challenges at 170 pounds. His return to the welterweight division was a glorious one, as he needed just 21 seconds to rearrange Matt Hughes’ face last November.

But Saturday’s fight is a different animal. Knocking out the washed up Hughes is a different story than taking out Jon Fitch, one of the UFC’s most underrated and consistently dominant fighters. Fitch has won 20 of his last 21 professional fights; relying on his long reach but primarily on his outstanding wrestling to dominate opponents.

There’s no doubting Penn’s amazing natural talents; he can box with the best of ’em and his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu is amazing. But there’s also no doubt that Fitch is a horrible matchup for him. Penn struggles with (a) wrestlers and (b) wrestlers who are bigger than him. He got manhandled by St-Pierre the last time they fought and by Hughes in their second fight during Hughes’ prime. Fitch is precisely the type of fighter who smothers Penn’s strengths. He has a strong jaw to handle any power punches from Penn and good submission defense.

I’d love to see Penn do something spectacular – simply because I’m tired of watching Fitch. He’s among the sport’s most boring fighters. His last five wins have come via decision and his last eight fights went to decision. But he’s very good at what he does. I’d expect three rounds of Fitch lying on top of Penn while Penn struggles unsuccessfully to wriggle free. If Fitch can hold down the huge, dangerous Thiago Alves as easily as he did in his last bout, he can do the same with Penn. Pick: Fitch -190

Michael Bisping (20-3) vs Jorge Rivera (19-7)
UFC 127 odds: Bisping -330, Rivera +265

Ever since Michael Bisping suffered his famously devastating knockout loss to Dan Henderson, bettors have been afraid to throw down on him, worried about his chin. But Bisping survived Wanderlei Silva and Yoshihiro Akiyama without getting knocked out (though he lost to Silva), so maybe it’s time we started trusting him again.

Jorge Rivera has major knockout power, sure, but he’s not nearly as talented as Bisping. He can’t match Bisping’s speed, elusiveness or athleticism. It won’t necessarily be the most exciting fight but I think Bisping will stick-and-move his way to a decision victory. Pick: Bisping -330

George Sotiropoulos (14-2) vs Dennis Siver (17-7)
UFC 127 odds: Sotiropoulos -320, Siver +260

Is George Sotiropoulos one win away from earning a lightweight title shot? The contending picture is crowded but the Aussie Sotiropoulos certain deserves consideration. He’s a perfect 6-0 since entering the UFC and has beaten quality opponents like Joe Stevenson, Kurt Pellegrino and Joe Lauzon. Sotiropoulos is a very well-rounded fighter, a Jiu-Jitsu submission ace but also a guy who uses his long reach very well in the striking game.

His opponent, Dennis Siver, is a dangerous guy. Siver has heavy hands and devastating kicks; he’s also capable of pulling out submissions on the ground.

However, Siver is also a stump of a man at 5’7” compared to the lanky Sotiropoulos, who stands 5’10”. I think Sotiropoulos will use his reach to at least neutralize Siver’s standup attacks and eventually get this fight to the ground, where he is the superior fighter. Pick: Sotiropoulos -320

UFC 127: OFFICIAL FIGHT CARD

Main Event:
170 lbs: B.J. Penn vs. Jon Fitch

Main Card (Televised):
185 lbs: Michael Bisping vs. Jorge Rivera
155 lbs: Dennis Siver vs. George Sotiropoulosv
170 lbs: Brian Ebersole vs. Chris Lytle
185 lbs: Chris Camozzi vs. Kyle Noke

Undercard (May not be broadcast):
155 lbs: Spencer Fisher vs. Ross Pearson
205 lbs: Alexander Gustafsson vs. James Te Huna
205 lbs: Tom Blackledge vs. Anthony Perosh
185 lbs: Riki Fukuda vs. Nick Ring
155 lbs: Maciej Jewtuszko vs. Curt Warburton
265 lbs: Mark Hunt vs. Chris Tuchscherer
155 lbs: Jason Reinhardt vs. Tiequan Zhang

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By Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.