Dave B’s 2011 Projected Fantasy Top 20
With the Lockout talk in the past, now is time to focus on getting your ducks in order for the impending fantasy season. Who will you take with your first two picks?
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Who is going to carry you to the Fantasy Football promise land?
Dave B has compiled a list of his Top 20 and predicts the numbers that they will yield for your Fantasy squad. Take a gander and by all means, leave a comment and let me know what you think!
1. Arian Foster, RB Houston – Foster won’t catch anybody by surprise this season! This year he is Dave B’s #1 Overall pick. Why? Receptions! He should be close to the rushing leaders in the NHL but his catches will make him the most valuable back in the NFL. Close to 2000 yards and 13-15 touchdown can surely be counted on.
2. Adrian Peterson, RB Minnesota – I have to admit, I had little faith in AP but with the arrival of Donovan McNabb, Peterson is now a 1B type of guy. McNabb will make AP better and should get the ball to him out of the backfield. Peterson should win the rushing title with 1500 or so yards and he should get 12-14 touchdowns as well.
3. Jamaal Charles, RB Kansas City – 6.4 yards per carry last season – 6.4! The only thing keeping Charles from #1 is Thomas Jones who figures to keep Charles below 300 touches again. He should improve upon his 8 tds from last season but don’t expect 15!
4. Chris Johnson, RB Tennessee – Johnson, like Peterson has become more attractive recently with the addition of a proven matt Hasselbeck under center in Tennessee. Johnson has registered 10+tds in the last 3 seasons, averaging nearly 1500 yards. I see the same this season.
5. Aaron Rodgers, QB Green Bay – I may be one that ranks QBs a little high on my board but there is no denying that the prospect of 35-40 tds is tempting. Rogers throws for yards and scored and is also good for 25-20 rushing yards per game. He has been a top two Fantasy Producer in two of the last three seasons.
6. Ray Rice, RB Baltimore – Rice had 63 catches last season. In a PPR league those are incredible numbers! With the Ravens clearing out some of their RB dead weight, Rice figures to see a ton of action on a very, very good team. I know I’ve touted him before but this year could be the year of the Rice
7. Michael Turner, RB Atlanta – Turner is a battering ram who should be the unquestioned feature back after the Falcons rid themselves of Jurious Norwood. All he does is score. I, like some am not worried about him wearing down toward the end of the season. I think 15 tds is certainly realistic for Mr. Turner.
8. Maurice Jones-Drew, RB Jacksonville – I am cautiously optimistic that MJD’s injuries are behind him. One thing is certain, if he is right, he will be the unquestioned focal point of an offense that gets the Colts, the Texans and the Titans twice this season. Worth the slight risk!
9. Andre Johnson, WR Houston – AJ has been a Top three Fantasy WR in the last three seasons and last season he was injured almost all year. He is the best in the game, averages double-digit targets each week and is as trustworthy as any Fantasy player. 100 catches, a typical 1500 yards and 10-13 touchdowns lands Johnson in the Top 10.
10. Calvin Johnson, WR Detroit – Johnson caught 12 touchdowns last season, from three different QBs and on a bad ankle. He is firmly entrenched in the Top tier of NFL WRs whose upside is as big as any in the game. I see 90-100 catches, close to 1500 yards and an absolute minimum of 12 tds this season.
11. Michael Vick, QB Philadelphia – Vick had 30 touchdowns in just 12 games played last season – amazing. You can bet that Coach Andy Reid will have worked on some schemes to keep this guy healthy this season – when he’s healthy, he’s money! Along with 3500 yards passing this season, you can count on 50 or so yards rushing per game and up to 8 scores on the ground – not too shabby at #11.
12. Rashard Mendenhall, RB Pittsburgh – Any player that gets 300+ touches on an elite NFL team has to be in the Top 20. Mendenhall will be a workhorse this season and could be a 1500 yard/15 touchdown guy.
13. Roddy White, WR Atlanta – White had a staggering 115 catches last season and with Julio Jones certain to soak up some of the defensive attention, White should have more room to roam this season. 100 catches is almost a certainty – 12-15 tds is as well.
14. LeSean McCoy, RB Philadelphia – McCoy is a tremendous asset in PPR leagues – he may only get 250 or so rushing opportunities but 70-90 catches make him a very attractive option. McCoy is good for at least 11 tds this season with serious upside. Don’t be surprised to see McCoy hit pay dirt 15 times and be a key cog in keeping Mike Vick healthy. [ad-8469823]
15. Peyton Manning, QB Indianapolis – Scared? I am a little too. But consider that Manning threw for 4700 yards last season and 33 tds – all during what was considered to be one of his worst seasons. With Dallas Clark and Austin Collie back, Manning will be better. He has to be – the Colts still have absolutely no running game!
16. Drew Brees, QB New Orleans – 4620 yards and 33 touchdowns for Brees was a disappointment last season! Insane. With a better running game this season, Brees will eclipse last season’s impressive numbers – 4500 yards and 35 touchdowns seem to be a lock.
17. Darren McFadden, RB Oakland – Rumors have Michael Bush leaving town. Cha-ching! McFadden, barring all-too-familiar injury should approach 250 rushes and 50-70 catches. At least 10 touchdowns should result.
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18. Frank Gore, RB San Francisco – Gore’s injury concerns have him slipping down my board – he hasn’t played a full season since 2006! Now comes word of a holdout and a contract battle! When Gore is right, he’s a stud, but something just doesn’t seem right to me!
19. Greg Jennings, WR Green Bay – Jennings is a big play guy who makes things happen after the catch. Although he may only catch 80 balls (Andre Johnson, Megatron and Roddy White should be around 100), Jennings will get his scores. 1300-1500 yards and 10-13 scores is what I see.
20. Tom Brady, QB New England – The dude is a Stud – maybe ranked a little low. But consider his lack of weapons and the Pats emerging running game. He’ll be good for sure but not quite as good as last year. Ochocinco has just arrived in town to boot!
After all of the weekly games are finished be sure to check our cheatsheets, a who’s hot, and who’s not report plus more in our fantasy football guide.
