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Cappers Picks Update – Dec 10th, 2008

Cappers Picks Update – Free Plays – Gambling Update + Free Sports Picks

Jack Jones is back and ready to dominate the books on Wednesday night. He has an NHL winner going tonight in order to try and extend his 17-8 run over his last 25 plays on ice.

A lot of BEST BETS going tonight, including the side and total of the Cavs/Sixers game. It’s rare for Jack to play two 20* plays on the same game, but he feels the side he likes plays into the total, giving us some great value there. FIVE NBA plays in all.  

You can also get TWO BEST BETS in college basketball on a 3-for-1 card. As always, remember to check back closer to the 7 PM EST start times to see if he has any late releases on the totals for college basketball.

 

Jack Jones Free Play for Wednesday:
1* on Rutgers -3.5

I’ll take Rutgers tonight since they have been playing some decent defense in letting opponents score only 63 points per game over the last five. Princeton on the other hand hasn’t been able to score very well, only averaging 57.8 points per game and they are also 0-3 when playing at home. A good system here is to take home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 125 points or less. 46-19 (70.8%) the last five years. Princeton is 1-8 ATS at home when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons and they are 4-13 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Click Here to view Wednesday’s Plays from Jack Jones

 

Info Plays Wednesday, December 10th Free Play:
3* on Mississippi State -7

Reasons why Mississippi State covers the spread Wednesday:

1.) The Bulldogs are just a small home favorite and have been very profitable in this spot over the years. Mississippi State is 8-1 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 3 seasons. This is a well-rested team and the Bulldogs will have their way with Charlotte Wednesday.

2.) Charlotte is 2-6 on the season and are not even in the same class as Mississippi State. Charlotte is 1-8 ATS in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. The 49ers are 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS in all road games this season. Mississippi State is 5-0 SU at home this season, winning by 25.4 PPG. The Bulldogs should be at least a double-digit favorite Wednesday against this terrible 49ers’ team.

3.) System Play. We’ll Play On – Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) – team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. This is an 89-47 ATS System hitting 65.4% since 1997. Charlotte is overmatched here and the final score will prove it. Bet Mississippi State at home.

Check out Info Plays Wednesday Plays – Click Here

 

Matt Fargo’s free play:

At first glace this seems like a lot of points for Evansville to be giving but it has gotten off to a good start thanks to returning all five starters from last season. The Purple Aces are 5-1 to start the season including a 5-0 record at home. Evansville has some impressive home wins over Austin Peay and Buffalo as well as a 10-point win over Ball St. who defeated Eastern Illinois by 13 points. The Panthers also lost at home to Austin Peay by eight points to common opponents are in favor of Evansville.

Eastern Illinois is going to be in for a long season and its current RPI of 343rd is showing that. The Panthers are 2-5 with one of those wins coming at home against Division III Manchester and the other coming against Tennessee St. who is 333rd in the RPI. They have just one starter back from their 7-22 team last year although Romain Martin is back as well after missing half of last season. Since 2003-04, Eastern Illinois is a horrendous 11-64 on the road including a 0-3 mark already this year.

Part of the problem is the defense for the Panthers as they have a 118.1 defensive efficiency rating which is 340th in the country and this is with playing a schedule ranked 281st. Conversely, Evansville is 60th in the nation with a 90.6 rating and its offensive efficiency rating is 83rd at 105.9. Those ratings are 3rd and 2nd respectively in the MVC. This is only the second time since 1999 that Evansville has won its first five home games and it isn’t going to end that string here.

Evansville defeated Eastern Illinois on the road last season and that victory ended a 10-game road losing streak for the Purple Aces. It is a revenge game but it is meaningless due to being on the road. The Purple Aces are not a favorite very often but when they are they make it count, going 14-2 ATS as a favorite over the last three seasons including a 2-0 record this season. Eastern Illinois has not fared well against teams that are playing good as it is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games against teams that are .600 or better. 3* Evansville Purple Aces

Check out Matt Fargo’s Plays – Click Here!

 

Dave Price Free Pick:
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Atlanta Hawks +8

San Antonio will be gassed after needing double OT to beat the Mavs on the road last night. While Atlanta is just 5-6 on the road this season, it is a strong 7-3-1 ATS. The Hawks played last night in Houston but playing back-to-back nights has not had the same negative effect on the Hawks as it has on the Spurs. The Hawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day while the Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. We’ll take the points.

Click here for more of today’s Dave Price Picks

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Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"


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