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Rocketman’s Weekly NFL Football Analysis

Rocketman sports handicapping angle and analysis for Week 5 NFL football…

NFL Week 5: What We Learned

Rocketman
Rocketman

Oakland, St. Louis, and Tampa Bay can’t cover any number:

The Oakland Raiders were 15.5 point road underdogs against the New York Giants this past Sunday and got beaten to a bloody pulp, losing 44-7. Their offense is just plain awful. They are averaging 9.8 points per game and only 191.6 yards of total offense. JaMarcus Russell, the former number one overall pick, is a total bust as he thrown only 1 touchdown pass in the first five games. Defensively, the Raiders aren’t much better, giving up 26 points per game.

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St. Louis lost to Minnesota by a final score of 38-10 as 10 point home underdogs. Believe it or not, their offense is even worse than Oakland’s as they are averaging just 6.8 points per game. Kyle Boller has taken over for the injured Marc Bulger but it doesn’t seem to matter who plays quarterback. This team hasn’t been competitive in any of their games except in their 9-7 loss to the Washington Redskins.

Tampa Bay is now 0-5 after getting crushed by the Philadelphia Eagles 33-14. Tampa is also just 1-4 against the spread. Their offense has been a little better than the Raiders and Rams but their defense is extremely poor. The Bucs are giving up an average of 28 points and just under 380 total yards per game. Much like the Rams, the Buccaneers have only been competitive in one game against the Washington Redskins. It seems as if no matter what the spread is, these three teams can’t cover. Vegas odds makers are trying to compensate for the lack of talent on these teams but still haven’t found a spread that is manageable.

Denver wins in a statement game:

There was still a lot of question marks about just how good the Denver Broncos were heading into this past weekend’s game against the Patriots. Yes the Broncos were 4-0 but they had beaten up on the likes of Cincinnati, Cleveland, and Oakland. Their biggest win came two weeks ago against a Dallas team that really doesn’t look like a true contender. Then, the New England Patriots rolled into town and this Denver team answered the bell. Their defense is for real, shutting out Tom Brady and company in the second half. Kyle Orton was spectacular taking advantage of the loose man coverage that the Patriots’ defense was playing. Orton finally has weapons around him in Eddie Royal and Brandon Marshall. With Orton playing well and an outstanding defense to go with it, this could be a very dangerous team down the stretch.

Miami’s Wildcat Offense gets them a big win:

Miami is just 2-3 but their offense was very impressive in Monday Night’s win. Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams are two outstanding backs and probably the best duo in the NFL. Against a very good Jets defense, the Dolphins rushed for 151 yards on 36 carries. It seemed as if every time they went to the Wildcat, the Jets simply could not stop it. The Dolphins ran the ball right down the throat of the Jets defense on the final drive. They were determined to win that football game and Chad Henne is playing extremely well despite his inexperience. He was 20 for 26 and threw for 241 yards and 2 touchdown passes. Henne did a great job of managing the game and the rushing attack really seems to be taking pressure off of Henne. Defenses are so focused on stopping Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams to the point where there aren’t too many defenders in pass coverage which gives Henne the opportunity to find holes in the secondary.

NFL’s Most Profitable Teams in 2009 Thus Far

Denver Broncos: 5-0 ATS

The Denver Broncos are the most surprising team of the 2009 season. No one expected them to be both 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS heading into Week 6 with Kyle Orton at quarterback and a suspect defense. However, the Broncos have been outstanding on both sides of the ball. Defensively, they are allowing just 8.6 points and 252 yards per game. As for Kyle Orton, he seems to be thriving in Josh McDaniels system and finally has extremely talented wide receivers to throw to that he didn’t have in Chicago. Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal are two big play threats and Orton was able to find them in key situations last week against the New England Patriots Knowshon Moreno is starting to look like a full time running back giving this offense great balance. With the way the defense has stepped up with 8 new starters this team can be a dangerous threat in the AFC.

New York Giants: 4-0-1 ATS

The Giants have not played a very tough schedule thus far as they have wracked up wins against Washington, Tampa Bay, Kansas City, and Oakland. Their toughest game came on the road against the Dallas Cowboys where the Giants escaped with an outright win as 3 point underdogs. Eli Manning has been spectacular as he has thrown for 1,212 yards, 10 touchdowns, and has a passer rating of 111.7. Not only have the Giants had success throwing the ball but the duo of Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw has provided great balance to this offense as the Giants are averaging over 160 yards per game on the ground. Steve Smith and Mario Manningham have emerged as big play receivers erasing the loss of Plaxico Burress. The defense has also been outstanding giving up just over 210 yards of total offense per game. New York will be tested this week against a very good New Orleans Saints team and we will find out just how good they are. But for now they are cashing tickets for bettors backing their squad.

New Orleans Saints: 4-0 ATS

New Orleans has weapons all over the field on the offensive side of the ball. Drew Brees is one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL and he has a ton of weapons to throw to. Marques Coltston, Reggie Bush, and Jeremy Shockey can really stretch defenses. Then when you throw in the fact that the Saints have two quality running backs in Pierre Thomas and Mike Bell, this team is virtually unstoppable. They just have too many weapons in order for defense coordinators to key in on. The biggest question mark heading into the season was whether or not the Saints’ defense could stop anybody but they have improved immensely on the defensive side of the ball. They are allowing just 16.5 points and 295.2 yards of total offense per game. If the defense continues to play like they have in the first four games, New Orleans could be a cash cow this season. The Saints are clicking on all cylinders offensively and have the ability to outscore almost anybody in the NFL

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