CFB Handicapping Week 4
I will make an effort to give my sports betting advice or a quick over view of the games you want to know about. The Top 25 match ups each week is where most of the eyes turn. Last week I went 4-1 on Saturday and I’m 4-1 this year on my College Football POD’s! Make sure you check out all of my premium sports picks this weekend as well as my free college football pick between Houston and Texas Tech!
The Top 25 match ups each week is where most of the eyes turn.
#14 Georgia Tech @ #20 Miami (Miami -5, 53.5)
(Thursday 7:45 pm et)
Freddy Wills has a 2.5 Dime (1-5 scale) play on this play for Thursday night and you can purchase it here. The question surrounding this game will be Miami and how much it has improved? Are they ready to really have revenge on Georgia Tech. Tech has defeated Miami 4 times straight up and against the spread.
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#7 LSU @ Mississippi State
(Saturday 12pm et)
Mississippi State will have a challenging schedule through the rest of the year as they will play a ranked opponent every other match up. LSU will look to continue it’s nine game winning streak over Miss. State and have outscored them by more than 250 points in those 9 wins.
#14 Cincinnati Fresno State (Cincinnati -16.5)
(Saturday 12pm et)
Cincinnati has gotten off to a very strong start as they did not start the season as a ranked team, but now finds themselves at #14. Both of these teams are ranked in the top 10 in total offense, but it will be the Bearcats and QB Tony Pike who do most of the scoring on Saturday.
#20 Kansas Southern Miss (Kansas -13.5)
(Saturday 12 pm et)
We were all over an 0-2 Virginia team as +15.5 dogs last week when they visited Southern Miss and almost got an outright win, but instead Virginia lost by a field goal. Southern Miss now travels to visit a ranked opponent in Kansas. Kansas will look to win their 20th consecutive non-conference home victory. I think Southern Miss’ second longest win streak ends here on Saturday in a blowout.
#23 Michigan Indiana (Michigan, -21)
(Saturday 12:00 pm et)
Michigan will host Indiana, while Indiana were big winners as a 4 point dog on the road Akron last week. You’d think the line which is at 21 points would be slightly lower based on how Vegas underestimated this team last week. However, Indiana has not won in the big house in 42 years and I think it is safe to say that streak will continue.
#18 Florida State South Florida (Florida State -14.5)
(Saturday 12 pm et)
Florida State is coming off a huge when at BYU when they won 54-28, and I had them as a huge lean, but did not play into my top 5 plays on Saturday unfortunately. USF will be without their starting QB Matt Grothe in what looks like a major challenge.
#22 North Carolina @ Georgia Tech (Georgia Tech -2.5)
(Saturday 12:00 pm et)
Georgia Tech is ranked 16th in the country in rushing with their triple option that did not get them much last week against Miami on Thursday Night. However, they have had extra time to regroup and prepare for North Carolina. The Tarheels has the 7th ranked defense when it comes to the run. However, they’ll be facing a different type of running game on Saturday and as road dogs despite being ranked in the Top 25.
#3 Alabama Arkansas (Alabama -15.5)
(Saturday 3:30pm et)
Arkansas was a disappointment last week against Georgia as many had them to win the game. This week they have to face Alabama so it does not get any easier although they will be 15.5 point underdogs in SEC play. It will be a battle of defense offense. Alabama ranks #3 in the nation in defense while Arkansas is ranked #2 in offense.
#14 Ohio State Illinois (Ohio State -14.5)
(Saturday 3:30pm et)
Big 10 play kicks off for Illinois and Ohio State. Ohio State is 4-0 in conference openers in the last 4 years and have out scored those opponents by 111 points.
#6 California @ Oregon (California -6)
(Saturday 3:30 pm et)
Another conference opener with California visiting Oregon. This match up is not as interesting as it once would have been with two top flight running backs in Blount and Best. However, Blount gone for the season and Best has just looked like the best (no pun intended) running back in the country rushing for 5 TD’s last week @ Minnesota. I had a my POD runner up play in that match up on Cal and was happy to see Best dominate the game.
#15 TCU @ Clemson (Clemson -3)
(Saturday 3:30 pm et)
TCU beat another ACC opponent in Virginia, but Virginia is off to an 0-3 start now, and TCU will have its hands full on Saturday when they visit Clemson as 3 point under dogs. Clemson looked good against Boston College last week and we’ll see if they can be consistent backing that performance up here against a ranked opponent.
#2 Texas UTEP (Texas -34)
(Saturday 3:30 pm et)
Texas could not score a 1st half offensive TD last week, but still managed to beat Texas Tech in a huge revenge spot last week at home. They will be home against UTEP as nearly 5 TD favorites. Since the 2001 season Texas is 25-1 against teams outside the Big 12.
#9 Miami @ #11 Virginia Tech (Virginia Tech +3)
(Saturday 3:30 pm et)
Miami in my opinion is getting a lot of hype because they are Miami and people have waited for them to get back into the spot light for so long. Nonetheless they are here and they are three point favorites when they visit a conference opponent in Virginia Tech. Tech is a tough team to beat at home and it will definitely be the game of the weekend. If Miami beats Tech I just may be drinking the kool-aid too.
#1 Florida @ Kentucky (Florida -22)
(Saturday 6:00 pm et)
Kentucky has lost to Florida 22 straight times by an average of 28.8 points in their last 15. Gators have got to be a little angry that they did not get to beat up on Tennessee like they originally wanted to. I feel sorry for Kentucky, because this might mean that they will face an angry Florida team. 22 points is a lot, but we’ve seen Florida beat up on teams with similar lines before.
#19 BYU Colorado State (BYU -15)
(Saturday 6:00 pm et)
BYU looks to rebound after getting crushed at home against Florida State. They will have to face Colorado State who pulled a big upset last week against Nevada. We were right on Colorado State as +3 point under dogs as our free pick, but Colorado State cruised to a 35-20 victory.
#25 Nebraska @ LA Lafayette (Nebraska -26.5)
(Saturday 7:00 pm et)
This will be the first match up between the two schools, as Nebraska will face it’s third consecutive Sun Belt team. Nebraska has been impressive and they are 26.5 point under dogs and will be on the road again.
#8 Boise State @ Bowling Green (Boise State -17)
(Saturday 7:00 pm et)
Bowling Green will face a Top-10 team for the first time at home ever. The Broncos will be playing the rest of the season without their RB D.J Harper. 17 points seems a little much, but I would not be going against Boise as many point spreads seem to be too high for them, but they always come out on top.
#16 Oklahoma State vs Grambling (NL)
(Saturday 7:00 pm et)
Oklahoma State takes a break from FBS play and will host Grambling State.
#21 Georgia Arizona State (Georgia -12.5)
(Saturday 7:00 pm et)
Georgia has scored 41 and 52 points in their last two games after only managing 10 in their opener. I’d say they got their offense under control. Bulldogs will host a very talented team from a talented Pac-10 conference. Arizona State ranks #1 in total defense and should bring some challenges to Georgia.
#5 Penn State vs Iowa (Penn State -10)
(Saturday 8:00 pm et)
The Nittany Lions will have revenge on Saturday as Iowa spoiled Penn State’s national title hopes with a last second upset. This is similar to what Texas was dealing with last week with Texas Tech and Texas could not cover the spread despite having the revenge. I look for Iowa to cover despite being on the road.
#24 Washington @ Stanford (Stanford -7)
(Saturday 9:00 pm et)
You beat a Top 5 team in the nation and you climb into the Top 25 rankings. That is exactly what Washington did and I’m a little surprised. Stanford has beaten the Huskies 3 of the last 4 times they faced. Look for the Huskies to come back to earth after an emotional win last week.
#17 Houston Texas Tech (Houston pk)
(Saturday 9:15 pm et)
Houston will have an opportunity to defeat another Big 12 opponent on Saturday. Houston still riding high off their shocking 45-35 win over Oklahoma State in week 2 and will be well rested or rusty when they host Texas Tech fresh off a 10 point defeat to Texas. I have a free college football pick on this play already released.
#12 USC Washington State (USC -44)
(Saturday 10:15 pm et)
USC will take their loss to Washington out on Washington State this week, but it won’t matter much because they are 44 point favorites. I still see them covering this spread just because this team is going to want to send a message to voters who dropped them outside the Top 10.
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