Second Half NBA Picks, Trends, and Recommendations….
The All Star Break is in the past signaling the “second half” of the NBA Picks season. Like any season in the past, the first part has brought both surprises (Atlanta) and disappointments (Phoenix) of NBA Picks. However, even though we might have had an advantage in NBA Picks early in the season the odds makers have a tendency to even the score out making the necessary adjustments to the number.With that being said, I still decided to search for any angles that we might be able to capatilize on with our NBA Picks. After all, teams don’t necessarily perform later in the season as they did in the first part (Philly last season went from 18-30 SU in the first part to 22-12 and a 61% ATS performance). So, what NBA Picks angles might we have this year?
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Let’s take a look:
Scenerio #1 – Home Favorites
It doesn’t appear that we have an advantage here as home favorites in the past hit 50.9% ATS in the second half versus 49.4% in the first half of NBA picks.
Scenerio #2 – Double Digit Home Favorites
This angle showed a bit more promise, but not much as double digit home favorites in the second half were 41.7% ATS versus 47% previously.
Scenerio #3 – Home Underdogs
This trend is one to stay away from as home dogs actually did better during the first half of the season going from 49.2% ATS to 45%. Looking at it from the reverse side it give us Road Favorites a 55% ATS NBA Picks (certainly a money maker).
Scenerio #4 – Double Digit Home Underdogs
This angle produced a very solid betting proposition as double digit home underdogs did a complete reversal from the first half of the season hitting 61.3% ATS versus only 26.7% the second half. It could be that our double digit home pups realize that the playoffs are more than likely a dream and are just playing out the season.
So all and all if you are looking for an angle that historically has produced some solid ATS NBA Picks performance during the second half of the season it is our Double Digit Road Favorites (73.3% ATS).
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