NCAAF BOWL GAME ADVANTAGE SYSTEM
(12-26-2008)
There are a lot of things to look for in Bowl games, but one thing is very clear, and if you follow this simple system, you can add to your portfolio of winning wagers.
There is a lot that goes into handicapping a game. When it comes to the Bowl season, it is much different. You must take a different approach, and motivation often becomes a big issue on what type of intensity the game will be played at from each side. Sometimes it is easy to gauge, and others very difficult.
There is also the factor, much like the NCAA Basketball Tournament of weighing the strength of each teams schedule, the conference schedules, and injury dynamics of certain players getting healthy after the long layoff. There are many other areas to focus on as well, but one aspect of these games, often overlooked, is the advantage of watching the first half, since there are usually just 1 game going to halftime at any given moment. The regular season makes this much more difficult, as on any given Saturday, many games are reaching halftime at once, and with limited time, it is nearly impossible to do the necessary work to find the advantage.
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Here is a simple system that will afford the true sports investor, an opportunity to do something very basic, and turn it into cash. Simply look at which team has outgained the opponent in the first half, and place a 2nd half wager on the team with the yardage advantage in the first half. This is the team that is winning at the line of scrimmage. We have seen 7 Bowl games thus far, and 6 of them have shown an advantage in the first half by 1 team, and if you played them to beat the 2nd half pointspread you would be 6-0!!! This won’t win 100% of the time, but if you do this for each game, your going to see a profit at the end of the Bowl season!
Here are the results so far:
Wake Forest vs Navy
1H yards = 184-139
2H bet = Wake Forest +3 WIN
Colorado St vs Fresno St
1H yards = 317-264
2H bet = Colorado St +1 WIN (PK at some sportsbooks) WIN
USF vs Memphis
1H yards = 283-197
2H bet = USF -3.5 WIN (-3 -120 at some) WIN
BYU vs Arizona
1H yards = 210-209
2H bet = NO PLAY EVEN
Southern Miss vs Troy
1H yards = 264-154
2H bet = Southern Miss +3 WIN
TCU vs Boise State
1H yards = 246-124
2H bet = TCU -4 WIN
Notre Dame vs Hawaii
1H yards = 330-98
2H bet = Notre Dame -2.5 WIN
Hope this adds to your Bowl season arsenol, and if your looking for help, check out my other articles, and track record here, and I’d be glad to assist.
