BCS Bowl Trends use them to your advantage this year!
Since the BCS system started there has been 42 games! One of those was a pick em game that was won by USC in the Rose bowl in 2007 over Michigain. Of the rest of the 41 games the underdog is 21-20 against the spread! Which is what you would expect, but what you would not expect is that of those underdogs 16 of those covers were actually wins straight up! Even more to this point is that the last three seasons underdogs are 7-6 against the number and 6-7 straight up. Now that is unbelievable profit if you bet the underdogs straight up! You probably are saying well those are all close spreads winning and covering well of double digit underdogs were 3-4 against the spread and two times they won the game straight up. Lets breakdown per bowl to see how this breaks out to help us this year!
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Rose Bowl– nine games total here have been played minus the one that was a pick em. Favorites have won seven times straight up and cover five times
Sugar Bowl– 10 total games favorites and underdogs split against the spread with five apiece, but favorites have won seven of the ten games
Orange Bowl – Favorites and dogs split against the spread five apiece but favorites won six of the ten games straight up
Fiesta Bowl- Underdogs are six of ten both against the spread and straight up
BCS Championship Game– Only 2 games as stand alone game. Favorites and underdogs have split for both against the spread and straight up
Further break this down the conference breakdown against the spread is below PAC 10 (9-3) Big East (7-3) SEC (9-6) Big 12 (6-8) Big 10 (6-11) ACC (3-7) MWC (1-0) WAC (1-1) Independent (0-3)
What does this teach us this year all these numbers. Well first of all I would stay away from the conferences with a losing record. Second if you are playing an underdog against the spread also play straight up. Last make sure you break down which bowls have had more upsets and examine them extra careful. Hope this helps all of you make tons of money this BCS bowl season.
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