Month: October 2013

NFL Parlay of the Week

For the second week in a row the favorites carved out a slight edge by covering in nine of the 15 contests on Week 4’s slate. The total followed suit by going OVER in nine games as well. The good news is that I cashed-in on last week’s parlay with Seattle -1 against Houston and the OVER on the Eagles vs. Broncos game.

Looking ahead to Week 5, I have uncovered a couple of matchups that come together perfectly to form this Sunday’s NFL parlay of the week based on lines provided by [dfads params=’groups=63740&limit=1&return_javascript=0′].

Game 1- Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers

Pointspread: Green Bay -7.5
Total Line: 53.5
ATS Matchup Stats | NFL Gambling Insight!

After a surprising 3-1 start both straight-up and against the spread, the Lions find themselves in first place in the NFC North. They took that lead after stunning Chicago 40-32 last Sunday as three-point favorites at home.

While there is no doubt that this offense can put points on the board behind Matthew Stafford and a passing game that is racking-up over 300 yards a game, the Lions’ defense remains suspect against both the pass and the run.

Green Bay comes into this division showdown well rested after an early bye week, but there are some major questions with this team after posting a 1-2 record SU and ATS in its first three games. The offense keeps churning right along with an average of 32 points a game.

Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 1,057 yards and eight touchdowns and the Packers have suddenly found a rushing attack with an average of 128 yards a game. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

The problem has been a defense that is ranked 27th in points allowed (29.3) which sets up perfectly for a play on the OVER 53.5 points in the front end of this week’s parlay.

Game 2- Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys

Pointspread: Denver -8.5
Total Line: 56
ATS Matchup Stats | NFL Gambling Insight!

Denver is another team that has had no problem finding the end zone this season with a league-high 179 points in a perfect 4-0 SU (3-0-1 ATS) start. Peyton Manning is on pace to shatter a couple of single-season passing records with 1,470 yards and 16 touchdown throws while completing 75 percent of his attempts.

The Broncos have feasted on the NFC East this season with a 41-23 victory over New York in Week 2 and a 52-20 romp over Philadelphia this past Sunday.

Dallas is the early cream of the crop in the NFC East at 2-2. Behind Tony Romo, the offense is ranked 10th in the NFL in scoring with an average of 26 points a game.

The main reason it has lost as many games as it has won is a defense that is ranked 19th in total yards allowed and 27th against the pass, If Philip Rivers torched this secondary for 401 yards and three touchdowns is last week’s 30-21 loss to San Diego, what kind of numbers is Manning going to put up this Sunday?

The kind that will take this total well OVER and already elevated 56-point line to seal the back-end of this parlay.

N.Y. vs Atlanta NFL Betting?

Flacons Look To Rebound – Host Dysfunction Jets on Monday Night

Two surprising teams meet in the NFL Monday nighter in Week 5 of the NFL season – surprising for totally different reasons. For the New York Jets they sit at .500 early in the season and could be 3-1 if not for a near upset of the Patriots in Week 2 while the Falcons, viewed as one of the teams to beat in the NFL sit at 3-1 after their loss to New England on Sunday night.

New England vs Cincinnati Betting?

The Patriots head to Cincinnati to take on the Bengals in what is sure to be a display of both power offenses. While both teams are improving their defenses slowly but surely, the juggernaut offenses still reign supreme.

Denver vs Dallas NFL Football Spread/Handicapping

The way they have been playing it looks like nobody is going to beat Denver this year. Their offense is so potent that it is carrying a defensive unit that should get better when LB Von Miller rejoins the team later this month, making them an even more formidable foe.

Denver Broncos (4-0) vs. Dallas Cowboys
Sunday October 6
Cowboys Stadium – Arlington, TX
4:25PM
Moneyline: Denver -330, Dallas +270
Spread: Denver -7.5
O/U: 56
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ATS Matchup Stats | Gambling Insight!

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The Cowboys have not been great this season at just 2-2 but they are just the kind of potent offensive team that could have at least have a chance of beating the Broncos.

You have to be able to score with them because the chances of really shutting down the defense are not very good.

Denver

In a word the Denver offense has been awesome. With so many weapons at his disposal QB Peyton Manning has been near perfect completing an even 75% of his passes while throwing for 16 touchdowns with zero interceptions – it is actually kind of ridiculous.

Even the running game is showing a little more lately with three different backs contributing 120 yards on the ground to keep defenses relatively honest.

The Broncos’ own defense has given up a bunch of yards, primarily through the air, but those stats are skewed by the fact that Denver has been playing from ahead, usually a lot ahead, so opponents are chucking it around while trying to catch up. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Also, their best cornerback, Hall of Famer Champ Bailey has yet to play a down this year.

He questionable again this week as there is no reason to force him out there. the way the team is playing.

Dallas

When clicking on all cylinders the Dallas Cowboys can also have a great offense. QB Tony Romo has a great set of targets in receivers Dez Bryant, Miles Austin and Terrance Williams, while tight end Jason Witten probably doesn’t get enough mention as being an elite at his position.

Running the ball RB DeMarco Murray is capable of greatness like the 175 yards he hung on St. Louis potentially giving the Cowboys some great balance. In short Dallas has the kind of offense that could potentially keep pace with Denver’s (if that is even possible).

Be that as it may the real reason to like Dallas this weekend is on the defensive side where an elite pass rusher like DE DeMarcus Ware might be just what you need to make Manning just a little uncomfortable. If you let him just stand there are toast and I think Dallas can get some heat on him.

If they do than all bets are off so to speak.

It should be a fun game to watch.

Spread Pick: Dallas +7.5
O/U Pick: Over
Score Prediction: Denver 38 – Dallas 35

New Orleans vs Chicago Betting?

Last week, the New Orleans Saints kept their undefeated season alive after beating then-also-unbeaten Miami in a showdown in the Big Easy. This week, they head to Chicago where the Bears are licking their chops after dropping their first game of the year last week.

Seattle vs. Indianapolis Betting?

Seahawks Look to Remain Perfect – Visit Colts in Week 5

The Seattle Seahawks head to Indianapolis this Sunday to play their second straight game on the road after an emotional and character building overtime win over Houston. Their opposition this week – the 3-1 Indianapolis Colts who already dealt a blow to one of the NFC West favorites – the San Francisco 49ers.

Philadelphia vs New York NFL Football Spread/Handicapping

The Philadelphia Eagles will look to get their season back on track after three straight losses, when they take on the winless New York Giants in East Rutherford on Sunday afternoon.

Baltimore vs Miami NFL Football Spread/Handicapping

The home Dolphins were riding high before getting punched in the mouth at New Orleans last week. There is definitely no shame in losing to the Saints who are just lethal at home but the loss also affirmed that the Dolphins are certainly not NFL elite yet, despite their fast 3-0 start.

San Diego vs Oakland Football Spread/Handicapping

These two are the bottom feeders in the suddenly very challenging AFC West. The Chargers have to be sort of pleased with their 2-2 start but still find themselves 2 games back of still perfect Kansas City and Denver.