2011 Week 6 NFL Gambling Lines: Top 3 Matchups and Predictions
The odds makers continue to keep the lines sharp as last week seven favorites and six underdogs covered against the spread.
Month: October 2011
Categories
Online NFL Football Betting? – Week 6 Picks
NFL Betting – Week 6 Picks
For the second straight week, the odds have nailed us with some stressful, big spreads. Feels like almost every line is at least a touchdown. Still, there has to be value in here somewhere. Let’s see what I can dig up.
Categories
NFL Week 6 Power Rankings
2011 NFL Football Power Ratings
Each week during the heart of the NFL season, and once or twice during the NFL Preseason, we’ll gather the troops around the roundtable and hash out the NFL Power rankings. We check out the stats, looks at the records, and, most importantly, we take a close, close look at the heart of each team.
Indiana vs Wisconsin
Wisconsin 83 Indiana 20 is what the scoreboard read after last year’s meeting between these two. The Badgers absolutely annihilated the Hoosiers, and they set several Big Ten records in the process.
Indiana is just as bad as they were last year, and Wisconsin may even be better than last year.
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Indiana vs. Wisconsin
Camp Randall Stadium
Saturday October 15, 12:00 PM EST
NCAA Football Odds from Bookmaker
Moneyline: Off
College Football Spread: Wisconsin -40 (-110) Indiana +40 (-110)
Over/Under: 60
Can we expect the same type of massive blowout in this matchup?
Kevin Wilson took over the Hoosiers football program in the offseason. Wilson has implemented a new faster paced offense, but it hasn’t done anything to help the team’s results as of yet. The quarterback spot has been a big question mark this year after Ben Chappell graduated at the end of 2010. Edward Wright-Baker started the year at quarterback, but he has missed the last few games with an ankle injury. Wright-Baker is expected back this weekend, but don’t be surprised if Tre Roberson gets some time under center as well. The Hoosiers really don’t have an established running back, and that really hurts this offense. The two main play makers for this offense are Demarlo Belcher and Kofi Hughes on the outside, and they need to get the ball more often.
Indiana’s defense has been terrible for several years in a row, and things really aren’t any different this season. Despite playing a weak schedule so far this year, the defense has given up 27 points per game. The front seven continually has a horrible time stopping the run, and that will be a real issue against the Badgers.
Wisconsin’s offense was only missing a quarterback as they headed into the offseason after last year’s Rose Bowl loss. Russell Wilson transferred in to the program and the Badgers picked up a Heisman Trophy type quarterback that has become the center of the team’s offense. The Badgers offensive line continues to be dominating, and the running game is as strong as ever. Now, the Badgers also have a solid passing game to go along with the running attack. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Wilson has the mobility to keep plays alive, and he also has the big arm to stretch the defense. Wisconsin is averaging 48 points per game so far this year. This is an offense without a weakness, and they are clearly one of the best in the country.
The Wisconsin defense has been much better than most expected them to be so far this season. Wisconsin is giving up just 10.2 points per game, and they rank seventh in the nation in total defense. Chris Borland has emerged as a leader for this defense. The Badgers secondary has been great against the pass this year. If Wisconsin’s defense continues to be dominant, the Badgers will be extremely difficult to beat this year.
It’s hard to imagine Wisconsin winning this one by 63 points like they did last year, but this game should get very ugly. I think the Badgers have a good chance of getting to 55 or 60 by themselves, so I like the over in this one.
Free College Football Pick: Over 60
Score Prediction: Wisconsin 56 Indiana 10
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Michigan vs Michigan State
The state of Michigan loves its football, but there is absolutely no love between Michigan and Michigan State fans. While Michigan’s primary rival is Ohio State, Michigan State is another major rival of the school.
Michigan State has beaten the Wolverines three straight times, but Brady Hoke has engineered an impressive turnaround at Michigan this year.
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Michigan vs. Michigan State
Spartan Stadium
Saturday October 15, 12:00 PM EST
NCAA Football Odds from BetOnline
Moneyline: Michigan State (-125) Michigan (+105)
College Football Spread: Michigan State -1.5 (-110) Michigan +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 49
The tenth ranked Wolverines will invade East Lansing this Saturday.
The Michigan offense is terrific once again this year, even if it does look a little different than it did last year. Denard Robinson is averaging an impressive 7.1 yards per carry, which is slightly better than his average from last year. Fitzgerald Touissant has emerged as a solid tailback for the team, and that helps relieve a bit of the pressure that was on Robinson. The passing game still needs to improve quite a bit. Robinson has already thrown nine interceptions in just six games, and he is completing just 57% of his passes. The Wolverines are scoring 38 points per game.
The main reason for Michigan’s 6-0 start is the much improved play of the defense. This unit was the worst in school history last year, but they have been very good so far this season. Michigan has given up quite a few yards, but they have forced more turnovers than any other defense in the conference. The defense will get some much bigger tests in the next few weeks, and it will be interesting to see how they hold up.
Michigan State is coming off a year where they tied for the Big Ten title, but they embarrassed themselves against Alabama in the Capital One Bowl. Mark Dantonio’s team is trying to continue to improve and take that next step. Kirk Cousins is the senior under center for the Spartans. Cousins makes good decisions with the football and he knows the offense very well. B.J. Cunningham already has 38 receptions in just five games, and he is a big play threat on the outside. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
The Spartans are extremely deep in the backfield, but the offensive line has been dinged up this year. They’ll need to be able to run the ball well against the Wolverines front seven in this one.
Who would have thought that Michigan State would have the top ranked defense in the nation half way through the college football season? The Spartans are allowing just 173 yards per contest. Jerrell Worthy is a beast in the middle of the defensive line, and he often takes up two or three blockers.
The Spartans are second in the nation in pass defense and third in run defense, but those numbers will be tested this week.
I expect a very hard fought game this weekend between these intrastate rivals. Michigan is definitely on the way up, but I believe Michigan State is a solid value here at home.
Free College Football Pick: Michigan State -1.5
Score Prediction: Michigan State 27 Michigan 24
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Big East Football Previews – Utah Utes vs Pittsburgh Panthers
The PAC-12’s Utah Utes, playing out of their new conference, will be in Heinz Field this Saturday afternoon for a tilt with the Big East’s Pittsburgh Panthers in a battle of two teams desperate for a win. The game is slated to get underway at 12 p.m. and it will be broadcast nationally on ESPNU.
MLB Gambling – Brewers vs. Cardinals Game 3 NLCS Preview & Pick
The St. Louis Cardinals evened up the National League Championship Series on Monday.
Sun Devils vs Ducks NCAA Football Odds
If the #18 ASU Sun Devils (5-1, 3-0) can overcome the #9 Oregon Ducks (4-1, 2-0) they’ve got a pretty good shot at running the table for the rest of the season. But getting by the hurry up Duck offense is no small hurdle.
Stanford vs WSU NCAA Football Odds
Washington State (3-2, 1-1) takes on its first ranked opponent of the season on Saturday when they host the #7 Stanford Cardinal (5-0, 3-0).
Buffaloes vs Huskies NCAA Football Odds
The Washington Huskies (4-1, 2-0) have a chance to knock off their second PAC 12 newbie in a row when they face the Colorado Buffaloes (1-4, -02) at Husky Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Trojans vs Golden Bears NCAA Football Odds
The biggest problem facing the Cal Bears (3-2, -02) when they host the USC Trojans (4-1, 2-1) at AT&T Park on Saturday is that their offense is not particularly productive when faced with a challenging opponent.
CFB Football Previews – Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Miami almost pulled off a major statement win at Virginia Tech last week but fell just short, losing a 38-35 heartbreaker. Next up, the ’Canes face another difficult test on the road against a 5-1 North Carolina team. Was last week as close as it gets for Miami or was it a preview of a triumph to come this week?
PGA Golf Handicapping – McGladrey Classic Preview & Pick
Cappers Picks Golf handicappers have all your latest golf news and information so be sure to make us your trusted source for up-to-the-minute golf details. PGA Golf betting fans will also have plenty golf action to focus on as this year’s PGA Fall Silly season is here.
Categories
2011 Handicapping – NFL Week 5 Game Capsules
NFL Betting – Week 5 Roundup
I’d describe Week 5 in the NFL as “telling.” It told us which surprise teams were for real and which weren’t.
It also told us which slow-starters would be fine and which ones have reason to panic.
MLB Playoff Betting – Rangers vs Tigers Game 3 Preview & Pick
The Texas Rangers head to the Motor City in the, er, driver’s seat for Game 3 of the American League Championship series.
Who To Pick Up? Waiver Wire
With another week of byes slated to take place in Week 6, the Waiver Wire becomes even more important. Those who grabbed and started Doug Baldwin or Victor Cruz last week were undoubtedly very happy. So who is this week’s Victor Cruz?
