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On Sunday the NFL system club play is Over the total in the Colts at Ravens game. Rotation numbers 413/414 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system I use that dates to 1989. What we want to do is go over the total for teams on the road when the spread is -3 to +3 if they are off a home game where the spread was -3 to +3 and they scored 35 or more points, with 250 or more yards passing,and today's opponent is coming off a road game. This system has cashed over 85% of the time and averages 52 points per game in all games it has applied to over the last 20 years.
The Colts are coming off the big gift win at home against the Patriots,a game they should have lost. The last 2 years they have had no problems with the Ravens defense,torching them for 75 points. In fact the last time these 2 teams played here the game produced 64 points. The Colts should have no problems scoring today.
Baltimore is coming off a solid defensive effort in shutting out the pathetic Cleveland Offense. However they were somewhat conservative on offense knowing the Browns would be hard pressed to score on them. Look for the Ravens to open it up on offense today and score some points on an Indy defense that was really picked apart last week by the Patriots. Take the Over here today. In late phone action I have a Huge card with the NFC Game of the year, the Big Triple system dog of the week,which cashed again last week with Gbay and the Blowout system with a 100% subset system plus 1 other big 92% system play. NFL has been piping hot cashing 9 of the last 12. NBA and College hoops system plays will be on later report.Saturday we crushed big again in football.More damage today. Dont miss out,jump on and make some nice change with the Holidays fast approaching. Go over the total here with The Colts and Ravens. RV.
Ryan won his 25* NFL Game of the year w/Dallas defeating Philadelphia as a 3 pt. Dog + just yesterday won his 25* CFB Game of the Year with 8.5 DOG Syracuse destroying Rutgers 31-13. Ryan loves this play just as much + comes with a 27-year proven system + angles sporting a 31-6 ATS mark for 84% winners.
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Cleveland as they take on the Detroit Lions in what has to be to regarded as the 2009 Toilet Bowl. AiS shows a 78% probability that Cleveland will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and has a 58% probability of winning the game. Without the aid of my AiS neural net, I would not even look at this game – nor would you for that matter. But, this is one of countless reasons the AiS has given me the opportunity to make more money with opportunities that I would have overlooked simply because of subjective reasoning. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 73-41 ATS since 1999. Play against home teams in November where the line is +3 to -3 after 1 or more consecutive losses. The Browns Cribbs may be the single player on the field that will have the greatest impact in propelling the browns to their 2nd win. Detroit is one of the worst kick coverage teams in the league period. I will even go out on a limb and state that he will run one back. Despite the fact that the Browns rank 32nd in passing offense they are going up against the 32nd ranked passing defense. Quinn had pressure in his face as soon as he planted to throw in the MNF game against Baltimore. He will certainly have more time to throw. When he does get time he is a very accurate QB with loads of confidence. The biggest difference in this game is that the Browns defense is a far superior unit to their Lions counterparts. They played well and with heart throughout the entire loss to the Ravens. Take Cleveland.
This game has become a pivotal one in the NFC as both of these teams sit at 5-4. The fact that the wildcard race sees four teams in the NFC at 5-4, the winner takes a leg up here while the loser could be in big trouble. The Giants opened the season with five straight wins, but have suddenly dropped four in a row. They own four of their five wins vs. teams that have a combined record of 8-28, so the jury is still out on just how good this team really is. The proof may be in the fact that this Giants team has allowed just 40 points in four games vs. losing teams (10 points per game), but they have been torched for 32.8 ppg in their five games against winning teams. New York's running game has not been as lethal this season, as in seasons' past. They are still gaining a respectable 4.37 yards per carry, but that pales in contrast to the potent land attack they had a year ago when they produced over five yards a pop. That has put QB Eli Manning in more situations of third and long. It has also shown itself in the interception department as Eli threw just 10 picks all last year and this year he has thrown eight already. The Giants No. 1 defensive ranking in yards allowed is misleading as they rank just No. 21 in the league in points allowed - worse than Atlanta. The Falcons have played their best after a straight-up loss where they are now 10-1 ATS, and I would expect their "A" game here which they have brought every time after a loss. This has been a road-dominated series over the years with the road team collecting the cash in the last seven, and that includes Atlanta getting the money in the last four played in New York. My computer matchup for this game has Atlanta keeping this one close. I agree that they will keep it close, and may even win.
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #98 Take San Jose State over Hawaii (Saturday 8 pm) This game features a battle of two of the bottom teams in the WAC Conference Saturday night in California. Hawaii is set to make its last trip to the mainland and they have just one win this season off of the island. That came against Central Arkansas, a FCS team. The Warriors are still banged up at the quarterback position with Greg Alexander out for the year with knee surgery. Current QB Bryant Moniz is questionable with a rib injury and thus this will allow the Spartans to earn their first victory on the season. San Jose State has played the tough part of their schedule that included Boise State, Fresno State, Nevada, USC, and Stanford. They now have three winnable games and expect them to win at least two of these games. Play the home dog and watch your money grow. Do not miss Doc’s Sports top play winners this weekend in college and NFL football.
The Atlanta Falcons become much more one dimensional with Michael Turner out of the lineup. Matt Ryan is having a tough time lately and the Giants defense will likely be swarming in this one. I see the Giants trying to run the football quite a bit in this one and the clock rolling while this one stays low scoring. The Giants know they need this win badly, and I think that will lead to one of the best defensive efforts we have seen from them in a while.
Oakland is 15-5-1 UNDER their last 21 November games and they are 8-3 UNDER their last 11 home games. The Raiders are 40-16-2 UNDER their last 58 games vs. a team with a winning record 20-8-2 OVER after scoring less than 15 points in their last game. Cincinnati is 7-0 UNDER their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 yards in their last game. Cincinnati is 6-1 UNDER their last 7 games as favorites. The Bengals are 10-3 UNDER off an ATS win. PLAY ON 'UNDER'
Nevada is 13-3 ATS their last 16 games as favorites of 10.5 or higher and they are 9-3 ATS their last 12 games after passing for less than 170 yards in their last game. The Wolfpack is 5-2 ATS their last 7 games overall and they are 5-2 ATS after running for 200 or more yards in their last game. New Mexico St is 5-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and they are 2-6 ATS their last 8 games as underdogs. The Aggies are 2-8 ATS their last 10 home games. The Aggies are in the wrong place here as they beat Nevada 48-45 last year. PLAY ON NEVADA -
The Chiefs have not been an impressive football team this season but they are in a favorable position to cover the number against the Steelers. Troy Polomalu is out and this information alone gives us the green light to play K.C. as a double digit home underdog. Polomalu's presence makes the Pittsburgh Steelers a Super Bowl Contender. Without him Pittsburgh is not much better than an average football team. The Steelers are 1-5 ATS this season in games played without Polomalu and also including the games he played but left because of injury. The Steelers are not great at covering spreads, particularly on the road as they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road contests. One thing you have to understand with Mike Tomlin is that he plays to win and couldn't care less whether his team wins by 3 touchdowns or a field goal. As a result, the Steelers are only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite. That being said, expect the Steelers to win but most likely by no more than a touchdown.
Alex is the #1 Ranked NFL Capper over the last 60 days and #3 on the NFL Leaderboard! His last 2 5Packs were 4-1! He has another winning 5Pack which includes a 5* Platinum Selection for this coming Sunday at a very special rate of only $39.99! If Alex fails to win at least 3 out of 5 selections you will have a 3 Day Subscription ABSOLUTELY FREE!
Free Play for November 21, 2009
1 Unit on New Mexico State +30
Bottom Line: Sandwich game for Nevada after a big win over Fresno State and with Boise State up next. This is the last home game of the year for New Mexico State so I expect to see the best effort we've seen in a while out of this team. New Mexico State beat Nevada last season and played the Wolf Pack to a 2-point game the year before. Plays on any team after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games against an opponent after scoring 37 points or more last game are 38-12 ATS the last 5 seasons. We'll ride this 76% system for 1 Unit Saturday.
Another profit producing week for Craig! Craig has been heating it up lately going a sizzling 6-2 to start the week. A big week ahead for Craig as he has some huge football and basketball winners starting on THURSDAY and rolling all the way thru Sunday. Get in and buy a weekly package and save over 60%! GUARANTEED to show a profit!
PHI -3: One of the most dissapointing teams this season has been the CHI Bears. This will be the 2nd straight week that they are featured in a prime time game and think we will see the same results. When the trade of Cutler was made I wrote an article stating how over rated he was. His accuracy has been even worse this season and his decision making has been dowright terrible. The Bears have a lack of playmakers on offense that makes it even more difficult for an average QB to shine. The Eagles on the other hand have an abundance of playmakers. Jackson has been one of the better WR's in the league this year and is a threat to take it to the house on nearly every play. The Eagles have put themselves in a position where they need to finish 5-2 at a minimum and looking at their schedule this one is a must win. The Eagles defense has been exposed the last two weeks with the blitzes not finding their home very often. Good news this week is that the Bears offensive line can't protect Cutler and have been giving up a ton of sacks. This week the Eagles defense will carry the load creating a ton of to's and possibly even TD's. A double digit win by the Eagles.
If the guy thought his defense was any good, he would have punted on 4th down. After the Patriots’ defense gives up yards and points to the sorry Jets and their seriously deluded rookie QB, people will start to understand. The Patriots are back in we must out- score the opponent mode. The New England Patriots are ranked 2 on offense, averaging 416.8 yards per game. The Patriots are averaging 114.1 yards rushing and 302.7 yards passing so far this season. Over is 6-0-1 in Jets last 7 games in November and 5-1 in Jets last 6 vs. AFC. Over is 4-0-1 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. TAKE THE OVER HERE
Off a devastating loss to the Bengals last week, the Steelers realize there is no longer any margin for error. Pittsburgh now sits 2 games behind Cincinnati in the AFC North after getting swept by the Bengals this season. We fully expect the Steelers to come into Kansas City 100% focused, which will allow them to dominate from start to finish. The Chiefs are scoring just 12.3 points/game at home this season, with their last home contest resulting in a 7-37 loss to San Diego. The Chiefs are just 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons. The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a non-losing road record. Kansas City is losing by an average of 12.5 points/game at home this season, so there is some value with Pittsburgh who is still one of the best teams in the league despite their 6-3 record. The Steelers' losses have come by 3, 3 and 6 points so they aren't far from being undefeated. We strongly feel a double-digit blowout in favor of Pittsburgh is inevitable by game's end in this one. Take the Steelers and lay the points.
***JAW-DROPPING 52-26 (67%) NFL Record Since 2008!*** The Widow is 45-24 in the NFL in 2009 alone, and he's the #1 Ranked NFL Handicapper in 2009 by a LANDSLIDE! Check the leaderboard and see for yourself folks! Come play with the best in Week 11 with The Widow's Sunday NFL 7-Pack for $50.00! You pay only $7.15/play which is a small price to pay for the MASSIVE PROFITS you are about to receive! As always, this Sunday NFL 7-Pack is GUARANTEED to WIN or you PLAY FOR FREE Monday!
1* Take the Washington Redskins ATS, This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and we are getting very good line value with the Redskins here Sunday afternoon. The Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Cowboys and the Underdog has covered in 20 of the last 27 games between these two teams. The Cowboys are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of -10.5 points or more and they are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against an NFC East opponent. Dallas has not beaten the Redskins by more than 5 points over their last 4 meetings and the Redskins have won 2 of the last 4 meetings with the Cowboys outright. The Redskins are coming off a big win at home against Denver and I look for them to build on that win heading to Dallas. Take the Washington Redskins as my NFL Free Play for Sunday as they keep this game close.
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Today's FREE WINNER is New Orleans over Tampa Bay.
The Buc's have taken alot of hits to their defense this year. Now, in the past week they have lost Safety Will Allen and LB Rod Wilson. That will just open the door even wider for the NFL's most explosive air attack. QB Drew Brees will add to his 19 TD's and 2559 YP. The successful running game of the Saint's, now makes them a double threat. Tampa's biggest losses this season were to New England 35-7, Philly 33-14, and New York 24-0. All teams that are considered passing teams. Today they must face the most feared passing team in the league. The Buc's will rely on the very inexperienced Josh Freeman at QB. The road team is 9-3 ATS their L12 meetings and the Saint's are 5-2 ATS their L7 in Tampa Bay. New Orleans is also 6-1-1 ATS their L8 road games and 11-3 ATS their L14 as a favorite. Tampa Bay is 3-8 ATS their L11 overall and 1-7 ATS their L8 at home. New Orleans lights up Tampa Bay. Thank you.
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