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Matchup
Selection
Starts
MLB | Sep 06, 2010 Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
Houston at Chicago
There has been no better pitcher over the last two months than Houston's Wandy Rodriguez. In his last eight starts he's allowed a grand total of six earned runs. That's covering 55.1 innings of work. He's dominated the strike zone with an amazing 59 to 6 strikeout to walk ratio. The Astros have beaten Chicago 7 of his last 9 starts against them. In seven of those starts he held the Cubs to two earned runs or less.
Casey Coleman takes the hill for the Cubs. Unlike Rodriguez he doesn't have lights out stuff. In fact, in three starts since his call-up he's struck out just six batters in 16.2 innings. Without a go-to pitch he could be in for a long day on the mound.
The Astros have won 8 of the last 11 games against the Cubs and the Chicago bullpen is reeling after allowing the Mets to tee off on Sunday. Nice price with the far superior hurler.
PLAY HOUSTON
North Texas at Clemson
We're pretty amazed at the offseason credit this Mean Green team is receiving. Sure they have 17 returning starters but this is a squad that went 2-10 last year and has posted a 10-49 record the past five seasons. And they haven't been facing an SEC type schedule either as the Sun Belt Conference is widely considered the weakest in Division 1A. Against teams from the BCS conferences the Mean Green lost by 46 to Alabama, 38 to LSU, 39 to Kansas State, 59 to Arkansas, 69 to Oklahoma, 49 to Texas, 53 to LSU and 47 to Kansas State. That's all the big boys they have faced in the last five years. So why are they receiving such a low tariff against a Top 25 ranked Clemson squad? North Texas is 0-16 straight up all-time against ranked opponents losing by an average of 40 points per game. They have winnable games on deck against Rice, Army and Florida Atlantic. We simply can't see head coach Todd Dodge putting his team through the ringer here with rare winning opportunities on the horizon.
Clemson returns 13 starters from a year ago including QB Kyle Parker who put a major league baseball career on hold to return to this nine win team from a year ago. Clemson is very excited about their defense and the players are expecting to completely shut down this North Texas squad. With only Presbyterian on deck there is absolutely no lookahead for this Tiger squad. Clemson beat a much better Sun Belt Squad in the opener last year as the Tigers pounded Middle Tennessee 37-14. Even without graduated stud RB CJ Spiller you can expect a huge offensive day for the host. Against lesser squads the past few seasons Clemson has scored 49 against Coastal Carolina, 37 against MIddle Tennessee, 45 against The Citadel, 70 against Central Michigan, 38 vs Furman, 63 vs Temple, 51 against Louisiana Tech and 54 against Florida Atlantic. This line is way underpriced as the Tigers get out of the gate in fine fashion.
PLAY CLEMSON
Miami Ohio at Florida
Good news and bad news for the Redhawks of Miami. The good news is they return 19 starters, the bad news is that those starters contributed to a 1-11 season in 2009. At first glance the Redhawks should have performed much better considering that they were only outgained by 33 yards per contest and they posted a negative 24 turnover ratio. But looking closer we see that they have been pounded the last two seasons by non-conference opponents. Like Miami, the MAC as a whole has regressed the past few seasons. The last two years Miami has lost to the pointspread by a combined 78 points in eight games against non-MAC entrants. Last year Miami Ohio traveled to Boise State right before their conference opener and were pounded on the Blue Turf 48-0. With a winnable home game against Eastern Michigan on deck we can't see head coach Mike Haywood pulling out all the stops.
Despite a 13-1 record a season ago we can't shake the fact that Florida looks to be a team on a mission this year. After all they were virtually given the national championship before the season even started last year, only to lose the SEC Championship to Alabama. Head coach Urban Meyer has always looked to veterans to lead his teams, but this year he's giddy over his incoming freshman class. Meyer said as many as 16 freshmen will see action this week. That means loads of fresh bodies to take advantage of the Florida humidity and a leaner Miami Ohio traveling roster. The Gators are 13-5 ATS as a home favorite the past three seasons including a perfect 8-0 ATS hosting non-conference opposition. They are 4-0 ATS the past three years here laying 30+ points to a non-conference opponent.
Florida brings back just 11 returning starters and QB Tim Tebow is off to the Denver Broncos. But make no mistake about it the Gators don't rebuild they reload. Look for Florida to do what it does best, show no mercy against a non-SEC school.
PLAY FLORIDA
NCAA-F | Sep 04, 2010 Washington State Cougars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
Washington State at Oklahoma State
Make no bones about it this Washington State team has been horrendous the past two seasons posting a 3-22 record. They were 9-15 ATS and the linesmaker knows he has to increase the tariff in order to get action on the Cougars. That said, this is the third year of Paul Wulff's system and there is a light at the end of the tunnel. There are 15 returning starters including the quarterback and the line play is really improving. For those that follow football closely you are well aware that the game is won and lost in the trenches and this team is getting better and better on the lines. In fact, the defensive line has been the strength of the team in camp.
While we like the improvement of the Cougars the real reason we look to take the underdog here is that Oklahoma State lost a ton of talent in the offseason. They return just eight starters and 11 players will be making their very first starts of their college careers. As many as 10 true freshmen could see action Saturday for the Cowboys. In addition to the huge graduation losses Oklahoma State has lost three defensive players in the two deep to season ending injuries. They have also lost three middle linebackers for the season. After improving from 28.1 ppg allowed in 2008 to 21.7 ppg permitted last season we expect a huge jump in points allowed this year. The Cowboys were a combined 18-8 the last two seasons but you can argue that no other team in the country can match the Cowboy losses.
With so many new faces on the roster it's virtually impossible for head coach Mike Gundy to have his team hitting on all cylinders this early in the season. Last year the Cowboys were double digit favorites four times posting a 1-3 spread record, the only spread win was against non-FBS squad Grambling State. Not only did the Cowboys struggle to put away the opposition, but they lost outright hosting Houston as a 15 point favorite. In fact, against regularly lined teams Oklahoma State lost to the spread when favored by double digits by a combined 56 points! Gundy will be looking to play a lot of players in this game to get a better idea of what he has before hosting a solid Troy team next week. Does that sound like a team worthy of laying more that two touchdowns with?
PLAY WASHINGTON STATE
SERVICE BIO
Owner of Bryan Leonard Sports for the last 26 years. Multiple award winning documented service in all sports. Participant in the Stardust Invitational, finalist in both the Leroy's Money Talks contest and the Sunset Station Invitational here in Las Vegas. Featured speaker the past two seasons in the LasVegas Football Handicapping Seminar.
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