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Current package streaks and records:
"BOOKIEKILLER" (highest rated play): 6-1 (86%) short term/21-10 (68%) long term!
"BIG EA$Y" (BIG BLOWOUT): 69-46 (60%)
Sports Watch of Las Vegas MLB record: 81-54
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Writeup: For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the home side:
The Buffaloes are sitting 3-7 overall and 2-4 in the Big 12 heading into Thursday night’s game at Oklahoma State, and Dan Hawkins job could be on the line.
Colorado is assured of missing out on postseason play for the third time in four seasons under Hawkins.
Problems with execution have plagued the Buffs all season on both sides of the ball.
The Buffaloes are playing on an unusual day, the fourth of five games this season they’ll play on a day other than Saturday. Thus far they’re 0-3 in such matchups, losing to Colorado State, Toledo and West Virginia in nonconference games.
Colorado always struggle on the road; 6-15 ATS its last 21 away from friendly confines!
On the other side of the field: QB Zac Robinson is one of the most efficient passers in the Big 12 and also a threat to run. RB Keith Toston has capably replaced Hunter, who is back sharing the load. Defensively, OSU is much-improved and tough in coverage with CB Perrish Cox and LB Patrick Lavine.
If Oklahoma State continues to get the kind of production from its ground game that it did in the second half against Texas Tech, the Cowboys could be unstoppable. They generated 207 yards rushing after the break while holding the football for long segments to effectively wear down the Tech defense.
Not only is Oklahoma State 7-1 SU its last eight overall, its also 4-1 SU its last five at Boone Pickens Stadium and is 4-1 ATS its last five overall!
Bottom line: While its chances to reach the title game are slim, Oklahoma State will try to finish the season strong behind its powerful running attack; look for OKLAHOMA STATE to move to 7-2 ATS this season as a favorite and for Colorado to fall to 3-4 ATS vs. conference opponents!
*10*
NFL | Nov 19, 2009 Miami Dolphins vs. Carolina Panthers
Writeup: Ronnie Brown’s absence could limit the effectiveness of the Dolphins’ wildcat formation Thursday night in Charlotte, while the Panthers will try to get back in the wild-card mix without star tackle Jordan Gross paving the way for their tailback tandem; a couple of teams on the cusp here, but I believe the Dolphins are the sharp move in this instance:
Carolina ranks 25th against the run and I expect the Dolphins to continue their running attack even without Brown in the lineup as the offensive line continues to be a strength for the Fish.
If pressured, Jake Delhomme turns into a turnover machine (13 so far this season) so I look for the Dolphins secondary to get into the backfield and harass the Panthers QB all night.
Tony Sparano also says that Joey Porter would be in the line-up despite ESPN reports to the contrary.
Chad Henne looked sharp in his final drive last week vs. Tampa Bay and I look for the rookie to continue to improve.
Miami is 4-2 ATS its last six overall and dating back to last season is 8-3 ATS its last 11 on the road.
On the other side of the field: The Dolphins figure to be in better position to stop the run, considering they feature the league’s seventh-best rush defense (97.6). Carolina allows 128.1 yards per game on the ground to rank 25th.
Although the Panthers have played their best football of the season the past three weeks, the reality is it will be tough to maintain that momentum if they continue to lose star players to injuries.
It's true that Carolina is 4-1 ATS its last five overall, but its just 1-4 ATS its last five at the Bank of American Stadium.
Bottom line: Simply too many injuries to the Panthers; I expect the Dolphins to continue to run the wildcat behind Ricky Williams and pound the suspect run defense of the Panthers and for Henne to have another quiet/efficient game; look for MIAMI to improve to 2-0 ATS this year as a road dog of 3 1/2 points or less and for Carolina to fall to 1-4 ATS off of a division contest!
*10*
SERVICE BIO
Name: Nick “The BookieKiller” Parsons
Age: 36
Years in handicapping: 12 years overall, 10 professionally
Achievements in handicapping: Nick Parsons has been seriously involved in the sports handicapping industry since the late 1990s and has been successfully wagering on sports for his entire adult life. He has shown an uncanny ability to win at all the major North American sports, as demonstrated by his numerous national titles.
Nick’s long-term statistics are sensational. However, in this industry, many like to say “it’s not “what have you done”, but “what have you done for me lately.” That’s just fine with Nick, as his current documented records are every bit as impressive as his legendary long term numbers. Indeed, the first half of 2009 has truly been outstanding.
Nick wrapped up the recent NBA playoffs as the number #1 ranked handicapper, as documented by Sports-Watch of Las Vegas. Not satisfied to rest on his laurels, as of his debut at Covers, he is also currently the number #1 ranked baseball handicapper for 2009.
Nick’s highest rated play, “The BookieKiller” first gained notoriety in the 2004 college football season, going an astonishing 18-5 for the year. Naturally, that incredible 78.3% win percentage was the highest mark in the nation, (of any service that released a minimum of 20 plays) as documented by the Sports Monitor of Oklahoma City. The following season, Parsons’ “BookieKiller” releases were a powerful 67% in the NFL, again ranking among the best win percentages in the country. Currently, as of July 2009, these plays are on a 18-9 run. Note that Nick generally only releases one or two “BKs” per week.
Bookmakers have also learned to fear Nick’s renowned “Big Easy” selections.
These tickets, games which Nick feels will be “lopsided in nature,” are currently on a long-term 67-43 run.
Parsons earned several notable academic awards while attending University. During this time, he hosted his own sports show on a popular radio station. Listeners in the Pacific North West became familiar with his prowess at picking winners as he dazzled them with a 13-4 record during the NFL regular season, releasing one pick per weekend. He followed that up with a 4-1 mark through the playoffs.
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