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The Dog is 43-25 (63%) for +72 units this past week in all sports.Tonight he has 1 NBA, 4 NHL and 3 CBB plays. He also has 9 CFB picks ready for Saturday and 6 NFL picks ready for Sunday. Grab them now!
WUNDERDOG'S TOP PLAY OF THE DAY - NFL
Wunderdog Sports is coming off a win on Thursday night's NFL Network BLITZ with Miami as the Dolphins won outright. Wunderdog Sports is on another easy one this Sunday for Week 11. Get on board with WD Sports and this RARE NFL TOP PLAY of the DAY!
WUNDERDOG'S NFL MEGA WATT Total
Wunderdog Sports has identified a total for NFL week 11 that flashes "pick me, pick me!" The Dog rolled to an easy win on Thursday night's NFL Network game with a victory on the Dolphins and is looking for more. Get on board today and shock your book with the MEGA WATT totals play!
WUNDERDOG'S NBA Totals NIGHTCAP
Tonight, Wunderdog Sports has a play on the total in one of the late-night games. Go to bed at ease knowing that you have just claimed another NBA victory. Over the last 10 days Wunderdog Sports is hitting 62% (16-10) on the NBA floor, good for +31 units.
WUNDERDOG'S CBB ATS MIDNIGHT SNACK
The Dog is staying up late tonight to satisfy your hunger for more college hoops victories!
WUNDERDOG'S CFB TOOLSHED ATS
Wunderdog Sports is ready to take to the college gridiron as one team in this one gets taken behind the proverbial "TOOLSHED" for a whippin! Make sure that you are on the right side of this BEATDOWN and get with The Dog!
WUNDERDOG'S CFB ROAD DOG
Two teams that are heading in different directions meet up in this one. One team could be playing out the string, while the other is still hungry, setting the stage for a huge upset. The Dog knows a strong underdog when he sees one and is backing the ROAD DOG in this game!
WUNDERDOG's CFB DANDY DOG
Wunderdog Sports has identified an underdog in this one with plenty of bite! Get on baord with WD Sports and get this Saturday afternoon gem of an ATS play!
WUNDERDOG'S CFB ROAD WARRIOR
This series has been dominated by the visiting team, and this one is setting up for exactly thew same results. Wunderdog sports is all over the road team in this one. Find out which team will be a bad dinner guest and get with WD Sports!
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SHORT STATS
Last 7 days
Units
ROI
Pct
WL
Moneyline Picks
+403.0 units
+18.1%
61%
11-7
O/U Picks
+243.0 units
+9.0%
57%
13-10
Last 30 days
Units
ROI
Pct
WL
Top Play Picks
+561.0 units
+5.7%
56%
44-34
O/U Picks
+281.0 units
+4.2%
54%
32-27
Last 60 days
Units
ROI
Pct
WL
Top Play Picks
+218.0 units
+1.2%
54%
74-62
FREE PICKS
Matchup
Selection
Starts
NFL | Nov 22, 2009 Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Giants
This game has become a pivotal one in the NFC as both of these teams sit at 5-4. The fact that the wildcard race sees four teams in the NFC at 5-4, the winner takes a leg up here while the loser could be in big trouble. The Giants opened the season with five straight wins, but have suddenly dropped four in a row. They own four of their five wins vs. teams that have a combined record of 8-28, so the jury is still out on just how good this team really is. The proof may be in the fact that this Giants team has allowed just 40 points in four games vs. losing teams (10 points per game), but they have been torched for 32.8 ppg in their five games against winning teams. New York's running game has not been as lethal this season, as in seasons' past. They are still gaining a respectable 4.37 yards per carry, but that pales in contrast to the potent land attack they had a year ago when they produced over five yards a pop. That has put QB Eli Manning in more situations of third and long. It has also shown itself in the interception department as Eli threw just 10 picks all last year and this year he has thrown eight already. The Giants No. 1 defensive ranking in yards allowed is misleading as they rank just No. 21 in the league in points allowed - worse than Atlanta. The Falcons have played their best after a straight-up loss where they are now 10-1 ATS, and I would expect their "A" game here which they have brought every time after a loss. This has been a road-dominated series over the years with the road team collecting the cash in the last seven, and that includes Atlanta getting the money in the last four played in New York. My computer matchup for this game has Atlanta keeping this one close. I agree that they will keep it close, and may even win.
How bad is it in Colorado? Really bad. No one but the clueless Colorado AD has any confidence in Dan Hawkins anymore. His record speaks for himself and the Buffs simply can't compete in the Big 12, or even outside of it for that matter. CU is 3-7 on the season and that includes losses to Colorado State and Toledo. Oklahoma State is in another class. The Cowboys have only lost two games this season - to Houston and Texas. They have only dropped one game ATS in their last seven games, that again coming to the mighty Longhorns. Outside of that Texas game, they have held their last six opponents to just 14 points per game. Versus four common opponents this season, Colrado has gone 1-3, losing on average by a score of 19-31. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State has gone 3-1, winning by an average of 5 points per game - a 17 point difference. On the road the Buffs are averaging just 18 points per game while giving up 33. The Cowboys are 11-3 ATS dating back to last season as a favorite and I like them to take that to 12-3 after tonight.
NHL | Nov 19, 2009 Chicago Blackhawks vs. Calgary Flames
The Chicago Blackhawks have three things going for them in this game. They are every bit as good as Calgary as both have identical records on the season. They are red hot winning four in a row, and they have owned this team winning nine of the last 11, including a win already this season. They have also won six of the last eight played in Calgary, so the Blackhawks are playing with confidence and have to be inside the Flames’ heads some here. Getting the plus side of the puckline is loaded with value on a hot team that is handling their opponent every time out. I'll go with Chicago on the puckline here.
NHL | Nov 19, 2009 Chicago Blackhawks vs. Calgary Flames
This should be an intensely played hockey game with both entering with solid 12-5-2 marks. The Blackhawks have been sizzling of late winning each of their last four games, and playing their best hockey of the season right now. They have already claimed an overtime decision vs. the Flames early in the season. Calgary has been mysteriously playing its best hockey on the road as they have now dropped three of their last four on home ice. That doesn't bode well vs. a hot opponent, especially when you consider that the Blackhawks have the Flames’ number. The Blackhawks have won nine of the last 11 meetings between these clubs, including six of the last eight played in Calgary. Hot team with a mental edge on their opponent points to a live dog, so I'll go with Chicago here.
NHL | Nov 19, 2009 Columbus Blue Jackets vs. Dallas Stars
The Columbus Blue Jackets got out of the gate with five clean wins in their first six games, meaning it was all handled in regulation. There have been only six wins since then, and half of those were decided in OT, or a shootout, so this team has definitely taken a step back. Dallas finally comes home after a four-game road trip and will be ready to be greeted with cheers after not playing on home ice for almost two weeks. The Blue Jackets, off of two day’s rest are 19-6-1 to the UNDER, while Dallas has played five straight UNDER as a favorite of -110 to -150. I'll go with the UNDER in this one.
NHL | Nov 19, 2009 New Jersey Devils vs. Nashville Predators
The Predators have been hot, but they haven't just been winning against soft touches, they have been beating the big boys as well. The Predators own an impressive 8-2 mark vs. teams that are amongst the best the league has to offer - those that are winning at a .600 rate or better. Getting a goal plus with this hot team against a team that just saw a big streak end, and is likely to be flat, is the way to go here, especially with the Predators dropping just one of their last nine by more than a single goal. I’m on Nashville on the puckline.
NHL | Nov 19, 2009 New Jersey Devils vs. Nashville Predators
The New Jersey Devils saw their remarkable road winning streak halted at nine by the Philadelphia Flyers. Streaks like that require intensity every single night as the players are aware and try to extend, and often there is a letdown in the next game. The Nashville Predators suffered a six-game winless streak early on, but are playing as well as anyone right now as they have won three straight and seven of their last nine. The difference is a team that was scoring 1.5 goals per game through their first eight, to one that is now scoring nearly three per contest. They have virtually doubled their output and this series has played 6-2-1 to the OVER in the last nine, so I will go with the OVER.
NHL | Nov 19, 2009 New Jersey Devils vs. Nashville Predators
The New Jersey Devils saw their remarkable road winning streak halted at nine by the Philadelphia Flyers. Streaks like that require intensity every single night as the players are aware and try to extend, and often there is a letdown in the next game. The Nashville Predators suffered a six-game winless streak early on, but are playing as well as anyone right now as they have won three straight and seven of their last nine. The difference is a team that was scoring 1.5 goals per game through their first eight, to one that is now scoring nearly three per contest. They have virtually doubled their output. The Predators have also been beating up on the good teams as they are 8-2 in their last 10 against a team with a winning percentage of .600 or higher. I like Nashville in this one, catching the Devils flat.
This one is being held down for one reason - the Tribe went to No. 12 ranked UConn and gave the Huskies a handful. What we have learned from that game is that UConn is overrated as all three inferior teams they have played thus far gave them trouble. The telling point for William & Mary was going against Harvard and losing to a below-average Ivy League team. Richmond is an improving team, very quick and athletic, and will surprise people this season. The surprise will be a team that played in the half-court because of being under-manned is now experienced, athletic, deep and will run. They have four starters back as well as an All-Conference center that missed last season with a knee injury. Richmond is by far the better team here, so I'll go with the Spiders and lay the points.
NBA | Nov 19, 2009 Utah Jazz vs. San Antonio Spurs
The last four times these teams have met, an average of 209 points per game were scored. This season, Jazz games have averaged 202 points per game while Spurs games have averaged 201 per game. Yet, this total is posted below the 200 mark. Since last season, the Jazz are 14-4 OVER on the road vs. good shooting teams (those that hit 46%+ from the field). They are also 24-7 OVER as a road dog over that same span! San Antonio tends to bean UNDER team, but this is a good situation for the OVER as the Spurs are 13-3 OVER since last seasons when revenging a road loss as they are here. I like this one to get to 200+ and I like the OVER.
NFL | Nov 19, 2009 Miami Dolphins vs. Carolina Panthers
The Dolphins took a big hit this week as they placed Ronnie Brown on the IR. He's done for the season and the Fins one of their most potent weapons. Many will point towards that as the demise of the wildcat offense with his departure. That may have been the case with Chad Pennington at QB who can't throw the ball downfield. With Pennington at the helm, the Dolphins passing attack averaged just 5.5 yards a pass attempt. Those numbers have grown under Chad Henne, and I expect the Dolphins to be effective with Ricky Williams running the ball. Williams was generating almost 1 yard per carry more than Brown, and there is now a bigger role for another talented back in Pat White, who can throw the ball as well. In the end, this will cause the Miami offense to adjust, but it won't completely break. Most of the pieces, including the schemes, are still there. This line appears to be an overreaction to the loss of one cog. After a terrible start to the season, the Panthers have looked good. Jake Delhomme has not thrown an INT in three games, but he is always on the brink of a disasterous game. While Carolina has won three of their last five games, the reality remains that one win was vs. Tampa Bay and they lost during that run to lowly Buffalo. The Carolina offense has turned to the running game, and it has worked. But the Dolphins are a bigtime run defense, allowing less than 3.75 yards a carry, and that has not worked out well for Carolina. The last eight times the Panthers have played a run-stop unit that keeps foes under 3.75 yards a carry, they have gone 0-8 ATS at home, losing by an average of nearly 17 points a game! Carolina still is a mediocre team and they really aren't as good as Miami. Teams rebound the first game after a key player goes down, as the other players feel a need to step up and they leave it all out there. I like the Dolphins to unite and likely get the win here.
NHL | Nov 19, 2009 Columbus Blue Jackets vs. Dallas Stars
The Columbus Blue Jackets got out of the gate with five clean wins in their first six games, meaning it was all handled in regulation. Their have been only six wins since then, and half of those were decided in OT, or a shootout, so this team has definitely taken a step back. They have also had the benefit of playing their last four at home and look to be vulnerable here. Dallas finally comes home after a four-game road trip and will be ready to be greeted with cheers after not playing on home ice for almost two weeks. The reason I mention this is, is because Dallas is 13-6-1 on home ice after a road trip of seven days or more. The Blue Jackets are reeling against the Pacific at just 10-21 in their last 31 played. I'll go with Dallas in this one.
SERVICE BIO
Based on nearly 20 years of research and practice, I have developed a consistent successful method for handicapping and picking NFL, College Football, NCAA Basketball, NBA Basketball. Major League Baseball and NHL hockey games. My approach is to make educated decisions based on data, not guesses. I majored in statistics while getting my MBA from the nation's top business school as ranked by BusinessWeek (Kellogg). My professional experience includes helping run a company that utilized statistics and past behavior (predictive modeling) to predict future performance. Wunderdog analysis includes the use of statistics, power ratings, and hundreds of very high-percentage proprietary historical situational systems. The systems purposefully avoids hunches, "soft" data or personal gut opinions. We look for agreement between all of my sources which results in a few games selected, but they are the cream of the crop.
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