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Matt has (3) Plays Wednesday.
Fargo won with his Tuesday Trifecta as one game was scratched but his Winner on the +141 Mets sealed the profits! Tonight he comes right back with another Three-Pack!
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SHORT STATS
Last 60 days
Units
ROI
Pct
WL
ATS Picks
+490.0 units
+64.5%
86%
6-1
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup
Selection
W/L
MLB | Jul 28, 2010 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
We won with the Dodgers in this spot last night and we will come right back with them again tonight. They got the victory last night behind another great pitching performance and that moved them to within five games of San Diego in the National League West. As mentioned yesterday, this series is huge for Los Angeles and its pitching remains the key. The Dodgers have shut out the opposition in four of the last six games and they want to continue that trend.
The loss put San Diego 10 games over .500 at home which is still extremely solid but the recent string of wins have come against teams with losing records as it is now 2-5 over its last seven home games against teams with a wining record. It is also 3-7 in its last 10 games overall against winning teams. The offense has been up and down and the season batting average of .251 is sixth worst in all of baseball.
As mentioned, the Dodgers pitching has been outstanding of late and I once again see it continuing tonight.
Hiroki Kuroda has been solid all season long with a 3.48 ERA and after a rough ending to the first half, he has picked it up once again in his starts after the All-Star break. He has allowed just one run in two starts covering 14 innings to go along with a 13:2 K:BB ratio. He has a 3.68 ERA in his last four starts against the Padres, three of which resulted in Dodgers victories.
San Diego counters with Clayton Richard, who is also having a great season but he looks to be fading. Richard came into July with a 2.74 ERA, but he's 1-1 with a 7.13 ERA in four starts this month and even though his last was the best, he is clearly not the same right now.
The Dodgers fall into a great contrarian run as well as they are 25-8 in their last 33 games after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span. They are also 22-8 in their last 30 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. As for the pitchers, Los Angeles is 18-6 in Kuroda’s last 24 starts following a quality outing in his last game while San Diego is 1-5 in Richard’s last six starts following a quality outing in his last game. 3* Los Angeles Dodgers
Fargo won with his Tuesday Trifecta as one game was scratched but his Winner on the +141 Mets sealed the profits! Tonight he comes right back with another Three-Pack and he anticipates a CLEAN SWEEP! He is releasing another 10* TOP PLAY Underdog to go along with two other pups and this is one card you cannot miss! Pound it now! Grab the card and CASH big Wednesday!
MLB | Jul 28, 2010 Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Oakland lost a tough opener last night in extra innings as it was able to hang around against Cliff Lee who went nine innings once again. The A’s are now 9-3 over their last 12 games and while it may seem farfetched, they are still alive in the division, trailing by 8.5 games. While unlikely to make a run, the young pitching is keeping them around and that will be the case again tonight. The Rangers are proving they will not go away as they continue to increase their lead in the American League West. Like Oakland, Texas is also 9-3 over its last 12 games but one thing that has been an issue has been the offense. The Rangers have scored three runs or fewer in eight of their last 14 games while averaging just 3.9 rpg over that stretch. This includes three games of eight runs each which makes the consistent run that much worse. Trevor Cahill is one of those young pitchers mentioned earlier. He has been outstanding with a 3.15 ERA and 1.04 WHIP on the season through 17 starts. Overall, Oakland is 12-5 in those 17 games and for himself, he has won eight of his last 10 decisions. After giving up three homers and six runs in his first start of the season, Cahill was sensational for the remainder of the first half, going 9-2 with a 2.50 ERA over 14 trips to the hill. He surrendered more than two earned runs just four times in that span, which helped him earn his first All-Star nod. He squares off against Colby Lewis who has surprised many with his sensational season, his first in the Majors since 2007. He has been very steady with a 3.52 ERA on the season but of his 19 starts, only 11 have been quality outings and Texas is just 10-9 in his games which is certainly nothing special. Two of his quality performances this season came against Oakland however both resulted in losses for the Rangers. Play on American League road underdogs of less than +150 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better on the season as well as with a WHIP of 1.10 or better over his last 10 games. This situation is 48-23 (67.6 percent) since 1997. 9* Oakland A’s
MLB | Jul 28, 2010 New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians
The Indians came away with a win last night over C.C. Sabathia which helped ease some of the pain from the previous night in a 3-2 late-inning loss. Cleveland continues to play some excellent baseball despite dropping three straight against Tampa Bay as it is now 8-4 over its last 12 games and it remains fairly strong at home with a 23-25 record. The offense has hit a rough patch but I see it getting back on track tonight. The Yankees remain overpriced on the road. They were big favorites last night with Sabathia and that I can understand as he is one of the elite pitchers out there. That is not the case tonight however. New York is 29-20 on the road but it has netted just two units because of the inflated numbers almost every time out. The potent offense has been shut down the first two games of this series, scoring just four runs total. The pitcher in question for the Yankees is A.J. Burnett who has no reason to be laying this price on the road. He has a 4.77 ERA and 1.46 WHIP overall including a 6.06 ERA and 1.57 WHIP on the road where New York is 5-6 in his 11 road starts. He is coming off a decent outing against Kansas City in his last start but it still was not a quality performance and since the start of June, his ERA sits at 7.21. Fausto Carmona meanwhile has been outstanding and is easily the most consistent and reliable Indians starting pitcher. He has allowed three runs or fewer in 17 of 20 starts on the season and has a 3.51 ERA compared to a putrid 6.32 ERA last season. The biggest reason for Carmona's turnaround is his improved control. After averaging five walks per nine innings in each of the previous two seasons, Carmona's control has been much better this season as he is averaging 3.5 walks per nine innings. Cleveland has won six of his last eight starts including four of five at home. 9* Cleveland Indians
MLB | Jul 28, 2010 Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals
Our play yesterday on Atlanta was scratched due to a pitching change for the Nationals as Stephen Strasburg did not make the start. Tonight we see the line do a complete 180 as the Braves are now the favorites and we will also switch sides for this one. Atlanta is now 23-29 on the road this season after getting shutout as the road offense continues to struggle. The Braves are hitting only .253 away from home and last night was the seventh time in the last 11 meetings they were held to three runs or fewer against Washington. The Nationals improved to 26-21 at home so they have been very solid in front of their home fans. The victory snapped a three-game losing streak as well as put an end to a 2-7 from the most recent roadtrip. Washington is hitting .276 at home while posting a 3.88 ERA from the pitching staff so both sides have been performing extremely well. Livan Hernandez remains one of the top comeback players this season as he continues to pitch extremely well. He has allowed only two runs on 15 innings in two starts since the All-Star break and most impressive were that they were on the road. At home he has a 2.57 ERA while tossing eight quality outings in 11 starts. The Nationals are 9-2 in those games, which account for close to 35 percent of the Washington home wins. The Braves are road favorites because of Tim Hudson as his numbers this season have been outstanding. He has a 2.47 ERA and 1.13 WHIP overall including a 2.60 ERA and 1.21 WHIP on the road. The problem is Atlanta is just 11-9 and 5-6 respectively and those records are bad with pitching numbers like those. Play against favorites of -150 or less that are averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 rpg and with a starting pitcher with a 2.50 ERA or better over his last five starts going up against a pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better on the season. This situation is 37-18 (67.3 percent) over the last five seasons. Atlanta is 0-9 in road games against starting pitchers that throw more than 6.5 innings per start this season while Washington is 7-0 in home games started by Hernandez against teams averaging less than a home run per game this season. 10* Washington Nationals
SERVICE BIO
Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's.
Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as �Mr. Analysis� as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports.
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