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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-21-16 | Raptors -1 v. Pacers | Top | 101-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
Demar DeRozan can and will wake up in this series. Toronto's defense and intensity will be at its peak as they steal back home court advantage and take control of game 3. I'm on the Raptors. |
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03-27-16 | Mavs +100 v. Kings | Top | 111-133 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
The Mavs are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.They are also 4-0 ATS after giving up 100 or more in their last game. The Kings are 1-7 ATS at home. Now that I've gotten the latest trends out of the way, let's toss all spreads out the window. This is a moneyline game and the ATS trends only serve assist my point that Dallas is fighting hard despite their recent slip in the playoff rankings. They are half a game out and holding on by a thread. This is a must-win situation. Although Dallas lost to the Warriors, they covered the line and poured in 120 without Dirk, Deron Williams and Devon Harris in the lineup. The veteran experience on this team is rich and aware of the situation. They're very close to calling it quits if they fail themselves, which I believe they aren't willing to do just yet. Dirk is back in tonight and the backcourt of Barea, Felton and Harris will make up for Deron Williams' absence. The loss of Chandler Parsons in nothing new to this team. Dallas is capable of winning big games against anyone. Their recent trends show their capabilities. Sacramento is knee deep in ownership, coaching and social media drama. DeMarcus Cousins is ailing with tendinitis while Rondo keeps trucking on with toe, shoulder and thumb injuries as well. Coach Karl had been asked to resign or retire but he chose to stay to collect his full paycheck all the while knowing that his team dislikes him. The team only plays for their own personal pride while Dallas plays for their season. The Mavericks have to be the pick here to win this game and stay alive. Â |
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03-18-16 | Blazers -110 v. Pelicans | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Portland won 6 in a row away from home before this 6 game road losing streak began.  Looking closely at their competition during this skid, you'll notice that 5 out of those 6 losses occurred in the toughest gyms where either no one or barely anyone leaves with a victory.  We're talking about Boston, Toronto, Golden State, OKC and San Antonio.  No one can blame them for that. After a brutal road schedule, the Blazers are matched up really well against a team that is going nowhere.  New Orleans could enjoy meaningless wins against a team like the Kings who play next to no defense where they managed to score 74 first half points.  Sacramento native, Ryan Anderson obviously had a memorable game in his final visit home with 21 second quarter points to reach a team high 29 for the night.  Anderson doesn't have the mobility to create his own shots and the slightest bit of defensive pressure will put him in check.  Anthony Davis will be a beast without Meyers Leonard inside for Portland. Despite the young superstar's personal success, New Orleans should be handed their 9th loss in their last 11 games. Portland owns the edge in ppg, defense, rebounding and fg%.  They cannot afford to sit idle while the Jazz get hot and suddenly they find themselves treading water with the post-season in doubt.  The backcourt should catch fire tonight and the Blazers will not squander this opportunity for a very winnable game.  Take Portland big.  |
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12-25-15 | Spurs -7 v. Rockets | Top | 84-88 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
Daily Reports December 25th, 2015 |
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12-23-15 | Thunder -13 v. Lakers | Top | 120-85 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
I'll take this one up to -15 if I have to, but I don't. OKC played at the Staples Center on Monday and they stayed there, ready and able to demolish the Lakers who arrive from the worst place on the front end of their back-to-back. Winning in Denver does nothing for the Lakers on the positive end as their desperate hunger for wins only diminishes while they have to look ahead to an all-LA matchup (Clippers/Lakers) on Christmas night. Lou Williams and Jordan Clarkson come in after 37+ minutes of play time in the mile high city of Denver while Kobe went 10-22 with 31 points to be a big factor in this win with 32+ minutes clocked in. I don't see how LA can put out fresh bodies to stop the OKC assault. The Thunder want to stay far away from a close game after the ridiculous back-and-forth game against the Clippers. They'll keep this one out of reach and work on moving the ball more to get everyone involved in a lay-up win. Take OKC. |
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12-12-15 | Knicks v. Blazers -155 | Top | 112-110 | Loss | -155 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Daily Reports December 12th, 2015 |
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12-12-15 | Warriors -8 v. Bucks | Top | 95-108 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Daily Reports December 12th, 2015 |
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12-02-15 | Warriors -9 v. Hornets | Top | 116-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
It's extremely easy to highlight all the reasons why the Warriors are better. They are clearly 8-9 points better in a matchup against Charlotte. With a 115.3 pts. per game average compared to 102.5 for the Hornets, it's easy to see how the Warriors can simply pull ahead at the blink of an eye. What I'm seeing is that after the Utah game, the Warriors took the narrow 3 point win as an eye opener to never let off the gas if they truly want what they say they want. This team desires to make history with the best regular season record and the longest all time winning streak in the league. They have to play their brand of basketball and continue moving the ball and draining shots before their opposition even ties their shoelaces. Stephen Curry is a genius and a freak on the court and he returns to the city where basketball entered his life. Charlotte is Curry's stomping ground and plenty of fans in the crowd will be cheering for him to crush it tonight. With two days off after this game, the Warriors should be able to keep the game in overdrive and tire out the slow and steady Hornets who are not able to keep up on the offensive end. Al Jefferson is out and he's a huge piece to this core group that is playing very well against weaker or even leveled opponents. Jeremy Lin is questionable with an ankle injury and that could put more pressure on the backcourt to keep up with the small ball weapons on Golden State. This is a good play and should result in a win for us. Take the Warriors. |
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11-30-15 | Thunder -2 v. Hawks | Top | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
OKC is rolling and playing a nasty brand of basketball with Durant back in the lineup. He's averaging 28.7 a game and 30.3  at a 58.5% clip in 3 games since returning from a 6 game absence. Westbrook follows right behind at 27.2 a game along with 9.9 assists and 7.2 boards for some seriously impressive numbers and the best 1-2 punch in the league. Speaking of rebounds, the Thunder are averaging 7.7 more rebounds per game than their opposition. Paul Milsap is the only consistent player right now in a very inconsistent season for the Hawks. Ibaka should be able to limit his production and I truly see the Thunder matching up extremely well here with a clear offensive edge. OKC has gotten the best of the Hawks over years going 17-3 ATS in Atlanta. OKC is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 overall between them. The Hawks allow 100.3 a game while the Thunder give up just over a bucket more at 102.8 The difference maker comes on offense with only 102.2 for the Hawks compared to 109.4 for the Thunder. Atlanta has lost 6 of 9 and 4-6 in their last 10 compared to the 7-3 Thunder who've won 4 in a row crushing opponents by an average of 16.3 points in their last 3 with Durant back playing confident and aggressive. Atlanta got crushed by the Spurs by 20 (108-88) in their last game and will have to face the difficult task that most teams struggle with when playing their first home game after a 3+ game road trip in the opposite conference. Take the Thunder to win on this short line. |
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05-14-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls -2 | Top | 94-73 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
Not much to say here except that it's win or stay home for Chicago. The Bulls thrive in this situation and will not allow it to slip away so soon. This is a great team and they should make a little more noise tomorrow. Take the Bulls |
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05-08-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls -116 | Top | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Give me the Bulls to put the hurt on the Cavs in game 3. Chicago has stolen the home court advantage and the crowd will be deafening. Lebron should have a rough game tonight or the next one. We're taking the Bulls to win Game 4 if they drop Game 3. The first game in Chicago plays into the hand of the Bulls and coach Thibs has his players buying in. I love the drama from the front office about the management trying to get rid of such a successful and seasoned coach in Thibodeau. It's almost as if he and his players will win this whole thing out of spite. It's a fantastic storyline that should normally cause a disturbance but this is what Thibs and his Bulls feed off. The Bulls want this and they have the team to take this game at home. |
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05-04-15 | Chicago Bulls +5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 99-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
I'm backing the Bulls to steal one of the first two games in Cleveland. I will gladly take the generous spread of 5 points being offered at 5Dimes right now but my eye is onthe outright win for the Bulls. Chicago has a better team and is more motivated. Their big men are much more solid giving an edge in rebounding and defense all the way through. No Love or J.R. Smith and Cleveland's inexperienced playoff coaching along with young talent doesn't even compare to a healthy, veteran, tactical team like Chicago. Gimme the points for sure. |
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05-01-15 | Atlanta Hawks -3.5 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 111-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Enough is enough. Look for Atlanta to get the job done and wrap this series up without the need for a Game 7 at home. Brooklyn just got a taste of the resurgence that was sorely needed and anticipated by the Hawks with the 10 point loss they suffered in Game 5. Expect Atlanta to win by 4 or more today and move onto the Wizards who've been waiting patiently for the Eastern Conference Semi-Finals. |
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04-30-15 | Chicago Bulls -3.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 120-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Let's grab 3 in a row in the NBA with the Bulls finally shutting the door on the Bucks. Enough's enough. Buy a half point to the key number of -3. Chicago is motivated beyond measure at this point and clearly wasting precious rest time. This is a team that ranks far and beyond their competition but they used their cushion they built early on to take their foot off the gas in the last 2 games. Expect a solid win as they advance to the Eastern Conference Semi-finals. |
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04-27-15 | Atlanta Hawks -175 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 115-120 | Loss | -175 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
The Nets caught the Hawks on their heels. Atlanta strolled into Brooklyn with too much confidence even though their offense hasn't been clicking the way it should be. The loss should have smacked some sense into them . Brooklyn is a pathetic team that is sparked by Jarrett Jack because Deron Williams is basically a shell of his former self. I can't see how the Nets compete when both teams are on the level and protecting the ball. Atlanta has too many options and a better overall system to get the job done. There's no way they should allow the series to even out. Brooklyn should take the loss and start planning their summer holidays. 1 unit play only. |
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04-25-15 | Atlanta Hawks -140 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 83-91 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
If it comes down to it, Atlanta will have the weapons to edge a close win. I like the option of buying a half point or 1 point to move off the -2.5 but I have to list it as a moneyline here since the option isn't available here. Atlanta is taking care of the Nets despite playing unconvincingly on offense. The Nets' offense is just consistently worse than that. We keep reading about how they performed poorly in FG% so often during the season that you just have to shake your head at D Williams and Joe Johnson for taking all that money and failing to deliver. The Nets got hot at the right time this season to barely make the playoffs. Atlanta is coached extremely well with everyone buying in. The Nets are a rag tag bunch of guys that should feed off their crowd until the thought of tax season and the amount of ridiculous money they're making clouds their overall desire to fight to the last drop. Some teams simply know that they can't make it very far in the playoffs. They play to avoid embarrassment and that's just not good enough. Atlanta has yet to show up on offense but it's their defense and team chemistry that keeps them in the winning column. Take the Hawks. |
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04-24-15 | Houston Rockets +1 v. Dallas Mavericks | Top | 130-128 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
I'm taking Houston to win and possibly even sweep Dallas in Game 4. Let's focus on game 3 first. The Mavs are distracted by all the headlines about Rondo and Felton or Barea cannot carry the load that is expected from a playoff PG. Josh Smith and Dwight Howard are contributing in a big way that frees up Harden to use the extra space for his expected 20-30 pts. a night. Houston was rolling at the end of the season and they haven't let off. Dallas is not built for this playoff run with a makeshift list of reserves and an aging superstar that can't seem to create enough space to be effective. Take Houston. |
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04-23-15 | Chicago Bulls -143 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 113-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
No one can stop Jimmy Butler and the Bulls continue to keep their foot on the gas as the hottest team in the East. This series is not just about outright dominating the Bucks; it's about putting fear into the Cavs and Hawks that the Bulls are back and they're not fooling around. Derrick Rose has removed any minutes restrictions and he's moving incredibly well as the spark of this offense. Noah and Gasol can't be matched and the Bucks still continue to suffer without a go-to scorer since the Brandon Knight trade. They made the decision to build towards the future and they'll have to suffer the consequences by getting slapped around by Chicago in an early exit out of the playoffs. Take the Bulls at -2 with a half point buy if you can get it under -130. Milwaukee can make a late run but the Bulls should hold them back far enough to get the win in their opponent's territory. |
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04-22-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers -1 | Top | 111-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
I tend to get clipped often by the Clippers when I side with them but how can we not at this point? Are the Spurs even hungry anymore? The Clippers feed off momentum and they're so starved for legitimacy in the post-season that they'll do just about anything to get it. LA has the recipe for success at home and it revolves around DeAndre Jordan protecting the rim like the beast that he is. Duncan, Parker and Ginobili continue to struggle in the paint with Parker hobbling after tweaking his ankle and Jordan's insane reach altering the release on their shots. San Antonio can tie up this series at home where they are practically untouchable but this is another night for LA and their raucous home crowd. Chris Paul over Tony Parker. Leonard gets his points while Griffin gets his. Crawford provides the spark off the bench and Jordan owns the paint. Take the Clippers and hope that we don't get clipped. |
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04-15-15 | Orlando Magic +8 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 88-101 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
The Orlando Magic leave it all out on the court with a hard fought performance. Tobias Harris at 17.9 per game will be a restricted free agent and he'll be playing for his pay raise. Oladipo is getting 23.3 in the last 4 games with 30 in Miami on Monday. Vucevic at 19 and 10 per game equalizes the attack from Brook Lopez. The Nets play terrible under pressure and all eyes on are them to get this win. Orlando won't make it easy. They'll badger the home team and continue to frustrate a Nets offense that has slumped down to a 79.5 average in their last 2 games and 4 losses out of 6. I'm not sure this team even wants to go into the playoffs as they'll receive a beating once again by the hands of the Hawks. Brooklyn has a fair shot at losing this game outright. The Magic were getting 10 points on the opening line but it has dropped to +8 for a reason. Orlando plays for team pride and player recognition and they'll also get a real kick at spoiling the post-season for the Nets. Brooklyn has no cohesion and they have fallen off their horse. It's time for the young Magic to take them for a ride. If the Nets win, it shouldn't be by more than 8. Take Orlando. |
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04-14-15 | Washington Wizards +10 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 95-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
The Wizards had a similar run to myself this season. They were doing very well off the jump and started losing close ones in the middle of the season but they've turned it around and surpassed a record amount of wins (45) that hadn't been done since 1979. Washington is known to play weaker away from home (17-22) and they know it. This team is going nowhere with the #5 seed and no home court advantage where they went a dominant 29-12. If they don't find ways of getting the job done on the road, they won't stand a chance. I like this team and the balance on the roster between young and old, big and small. They listen to their coach and maintain a team oriented style that goes through their superstar point guard. Bradley Beal is averaging 20 a game this month at the right time. The big men are healthier now and ready to protect the rim against anyone in the East. Remember that this team ranks 5th overall in defensive efficiency. Indiana is known for their defense but they rank 9th this year. Everyone notices how the Pacers have won 5 in a row as they fight for a shot at the playoffs. The Nets own the tiebreaker so Indiana is supposed to feel the pressure and go all out tonight. Washington is no slouch right now and just as hot with 5 wins out of 6. I want Washington to rest their starters. I dare them to. I want their bench to maintain the defensive pressure and prove their value for the playoffs. A 10 point cushion is unwarranted even if the Wizards choose to rest and manage minutes. Indiana wins but stays within single digits. |
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04-13-15 | Chicago Bulls -110 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 113-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
The Bulls come into this one with a day of rest after 2 wins over Miami and Philly. Coach Thibs will not let his team slouch and drag their feet into the playoffs. They'll slip into the 4th slot and play the Wizards if the Raptors win out. Derrick Rose played very well with 22 pts, 8 dishes and 3 steals without a turnover over Philly. The Bulls want and need Rose back in top physical form and they need him to shake off the rust to get back into full gear. Brooklyn has to win and they've played reasonably well to get to this point. The setback happened last night with a pathetic 32.5% shooting night against the Bucks. Add in the night flight and the back-to-back and you've got the Bulls getting charged up to attack all night. The Nets shouldn't stand a chance. Deron Williams gets no room here to come back from a horrible 1-11 shooting night with Jimmy Butler and Rose in the backcourt. Take the Bulls to play intense as their coach gives them no room to take their opponent or the situation lightly. Bulls should wrap up the season hot and ready to make some noise in the post-season. This is a solid line on a solid team. Take the Bulls. |
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04-12-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Detroit Pistons -7.5 | Top | 77-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
The Pistons are playing their last home game of the season and will be at a huge advantage down low. Andre Drummond is an emotional player who snapped at his coach earlier this week. Both of them have dealt with the issue and the response is a level of intensity in front of the home fans that should be noticed. The rebounds and second chance opportunities will build this lead up for the Pistons and they should be able to take care of the thin lineup of Charlotte who also have nothing left to play for. Both teams need to play again tomorrow with Charlotte looking ahead at their last home game versus the Rockets. Charlotte continues to work out their young talent off the bench in increased minutes to allow them to learn from their mistakes. The Pistons on the other hand respond to their coaches demand for an all out assault to leave the season on some sort of high note after a dismal start, a red-hot streak and a fizzled out final homestretch. Despite missing too many free throws, the team is averaging triple digits in this 4 game homestand and will cap it off with a similar performance while the the Hornets should struggle to crack 90. Take the Pistons at -7 if you can. Also look to parlay the Pistons and Nuggets on the moneyline for a nice little side play. |
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04-11-15 | Toronto Raptors +3 v. Miami Heat | Top | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
Toronto makes the quick move from Orlando to Miami after a win and they look to stay in top gear with DeRozan and Williams playing hot in the backcourt. There's less pressure on Lowry and Amir Johnson will get back into this one. Dwayne Wade is not hitting shots as his legs are starting to give up on him. Luol Deng's knee is not fit for the post-season. This is not a playoff team and they know it. When they have to start telling the local papers that they'll still play their hardest, you can take that as the opposite. Miami has checked out after the loss to Chicago. The embarrassment of a very likely sweep after four Finals appearances in a row is simply not worth it when the lottery looks so appealing this season. Toronto has a hungry city behind them and they are carrying the torch for a bunch if guys who firmly believe they can get past the 1st round this post-season and make more noise if they enter on the right foot. If they get sloppy and the defense loosens up again, then it's as good as done. No time for Toronto to take their foot off the gas. Take the Raptors at +3 but consider the +4 for extra security in case Miami somehow gets hot, builds a lead and squanders it for the Raptors to cover back door. The books are giving us too much of a cushion so I'm personally on it for the +4. +3 is the official play. |
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04-10-15 | Memphis Grizzlies -3 v. Utah Jazz | Top | 89-88 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
Utah is dangerous at home but the Grizzlies come in with confidence after dumping the Pelicans 110-74. The race for the 2nd spot or even home court advantage in the West is too close to call. There can't be any slip-ups. Memphis matches up well with Utah and will look to take them very seriously after losing to them during a scoring slump at home earlier in March. Utah can flat out play but key guys like Gordon Hayward have simply given it 100% effort for too many games. Signs of him being gassed out are evident as Utah should start looking to cycle in more bench players for on court experience and video footage for them to review over the off-season. Memphis meanwhile attacks all night and gets the job done to stay in the 2nd spot with Houston for one more night. |
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04-10-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Atlanta Hawks -9.5 | Top | 80-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
I'll take the Hawks even if the starting lineup is benched or resting the entire game. The Hornets are a shell of a team without Big Al Jefferson, MKG and now Lance Stephenson looking to sit out tonight and possibly the rest of the way. Atlanta is at home and they'll look to stay sharp by making sure the bench is on point and ready to deliver meaningful minutes. Anyone can go down and at any minute in the playoffs and if the Hawks want to make a real push for the title, they'll need to come into the post-season with intense confidence and everything clicking. I don't see the Hawks taking this one lightly as they nail another team at home by double digits. |
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04-09-15 | Chicago Bulls +1.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 89-78 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
It doesn't matter if coach Thibs wanted to rested his entire starting lineup. This is a team that wins and believes in a system. Miami is already looking at the advantage of the lottery over an embarrassing playoff exit. The Bulls should be favored after losing last night with balanced minutes. Chicago is a solid play. |
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04-08-15 | Toronto Raptors -3 v. Charlotte Hornets | Top | 92-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Toronto comes in with 3 days off while the Hornets exhausted themselves in a 105-100 loss in Miami. Marvin Williams, Bismack Biyombo and Kemba Walker all logged in about 40 minutes each only to turn around and board a flight home to face a Toronto team that is going to turn up the pressure tonight. Toronto is a cursed town in sports for way too long. The Raptors have won the hearts of the city but they've been slipping lately. The playoff form insbeing demanded of them right now. There is no room to rest and drag their feet into the first round only to get booted out like last year. The Hornets also need a win but Toronto's pressure will be intense and too much for the Hornets to handle without a day of rest. Charlotte has been very strong in the series giving them the bloated confidence that they can handle this team. Toronto comes in with a chip on their shoulder to snap a 6 game losing streak to this team at just the right time. Take the Raptors. |
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