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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 5 m | Show |
10* 49ers (BLOCKBUSTER) It's been an unreal year for the Lions this season. We think that for the most part they've overachieved now to this point. But for the 49ers, they were fully expected to be here before the season started. As great as Jared Goff and Detroit has been at times this year, this is just a bad matchup for the Lions. This San Francisco defense is tailor-made for this type of offense. And the Lions have struggled to contain strong run games this year, which also plays directly into the home side's hands. We're not only expecting San Francisco to win this game, we're looking for it to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is indeed on San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions -6.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 25 m | Show |
10* Lions (DIV. RND GOY) At this point of the season, the oddsmakers lines are sharper than ever. There's only a few games left and their entire attention can be put onto these lines. It gets tougher and tougher to find any true value at this point, but in our opinion the home field advantage simply can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in the outcome of this contest. Both starting QB's got huge monkeys off their backs, but we just don't trust this Bucs offense on the road. The Lions are sitting pretty and poised to move on to the Conference Championship game and we're FULLY expecting the home side to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers -9.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 40 m | Show |
10* 49ers (BLOCKBUSTER) Green Bay managed the huge upset win at Dallas, but we're fully expecting Jordan Love and the visitors to predictably stumble here. Love's numbers in all indoor games are just crazy, but he's very average whenever he plays outdoors. Love destroyed the Cowboys great defense, but now they face another really difficult test here on the road. Green Bay's defense was poor and its going to have its hands full here vs. this well-rested and explosive home side; lay the points, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 44 m | Show |
10* Rams (WC GOY) There are a lot of story lines going on in this Wildcard game, but the bottom line is that we feel that this one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, and in a case like that, we're grabbing the points. That said, Matt Stafford is in his old stomping grounds here and we like the Super Bowl winning QB to put on a show here. The Lions have been questionable on the defensive end since November, giving up 38, 26, 28, 29 and 28 points over their final five games. The only loss LA has had since Week 11 was an OT road affair to the #1 seed in the AFC. The Rams are 3-1 the L4 in this series and in our opinion their offense and defense are in fact superior here; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 7-26 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams are familiar with each other and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. These teams met in Germany this season and KC won by a score of 21-14. Note that Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponnet. With the expected return of key players Jaylen Waddle and Raheem Mostert, we do in fact think that the Fish have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Dolphins have had their fair share of adversity this season, but so to has Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. With the cold temperatures playing a role in the outcome of this game and eliminating the crowd a lot in this one, we feel that the Chiefs' advantage diminishes in that department for sure. There's something "off" this year with Mahomes and the Chiefs. They looked REALLY bad at times this year. The Dolphins stumbled, but have all the pieces in place to pull off the outright; that said, let's grab the points with Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Bills v. Dolphins +3 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -118 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (AFC EAST GOM) Miami hammered the Jets 30-0 and then beat Dallas at home 22-20 on X-Mas Eve, but it fell flat last week in Baltimore, getting run over by a score of 56-19. The Dolphins not only look to atone for that setback, but they also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 48-20 at Buffalo on October 1st (and note that the Fish are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent.) The Bills have won four straight, but we now finally predict that they'll come up short here in this difficult road venue. Miami is the more motivated team here on several different accounts and we expect it to hold on to the top spot in the AFC East; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texans (AFC GOW) Houston is 9-7 straight up and third in the AFC South, while Indianapolis is 9-7 as well and second in the AFC South after holding the tie-breaker with Houston when the Colts won 31-20 on the road at the start of the season back on September 17th. The winner gets into the playoffs and the loser goes home empty handed. This one is for ALL THE MARBLES! So where does the value lie here? The oddsmakers are at least trying their best to lead us to believe that these teams are evenly matched with a spread like this, and obviously, they really are. Their offensive and defensive numbers are similar and their win/loss records are identical. But all that said, we think this one sets up well for the Texans to exact a little revenge, as note that they're 3-1 against the spread in their last four in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread divisional home loss vs. an opponent. The Texans have also won each of their last seven road games against AFC South opponents and they have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against AFC South opponents as well. The Colts on the other hand have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Lucas Oil Stadium following a home win. We're going with Houston to get the job done at the end of the night! AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | Wisconsin +7.5 v. LSU | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 333 h 60 m | Show |
10* Wisconsin (BOWL GOY) Wisconsin finished 7-5, while LSU was 9-3. We're not calling for an outright win or anything, but all signs definitely point to a much more competitive bowl game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Badgers won 28-14 at Minnesota as 2.5-point favorites in their final regular season game. LSU fell 42-28 at Alabama on November 4th, but then rattled off three straight wins to close out the year, including 42-30 over Texas A&M. LSU averaged 46.4 PPG, which was No. 1 in the country. It also had 14 turnovers on the year, which ranked third. The offense had to be good though, as the defense was pretty terrible allowing 27.8 PPG. With many players transfering into the portal, LSU will have plenty of holes to fill on both sides of the ball. The Badgers only averaged 22.8 PPG, but they didn't usually have to be fantastic offensively, with the defense conceding just 18.9 PPG. Look for the longer lay off to throw a further "monkey wrench" into LSU's normally efficient offense; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Badgers! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
10* Vikings (ASSASSIN) We think that home field advantage at this time of year will be the difference-maker for the Vikes today. Both teams are 7-8. Minnesota comes in as the "hungrier" team though after back-to-back competitive losses at the Bengals and to the Lions last week, who clinched the division on their home field. Clearly, they won't be happy about that at all. They beat Green Bay on the road 24-10 at the start of the year, and we're predicting a similar final score here as well. The Packers broke a two-game slide to save their season with a come from behind 33-30 win at lowly Carolina last weekend, but everything points to a predictable letdown here now in Minnesota. Both teams are dealing with plenty of injuries, but we like the Vikes to finally settle down here at home and get handle on their recent turnover issue; lay the short points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6 | Top | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
10* Chiefs (AFC GOW) Clearly, this is a big game for both teams, but a lot more so for Kansas City, which has lost five of its last eight, including a 20-14 setback here last weekend to the Raiders as 11-point favorites. Note though that the Chiefs are a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in their last eight after a SU/ATS home loss as a double-digit favorite. They barely squeaked by the Bengals 23-20 in last year's Playoffs, covering the 2-point spread, but now they face a Cincinnati team without Joe Burrow and off a poor 34-11 loss at Pittsburgh as a three-point favorite. Look for Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid to come out with a game-plan here to get back on track vs. this toothless Bengals' team; lay the points with confidence, the play is Kansas City! AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Lions +5.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
10* Lions (BLOOD-BATH) Despite just clinching the NFC North, we're not expecting the Lions to take anything for granted here and taking into account the current form of the Cowboys, we feel that the visitors do in fact have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Cowboys are 7-0 at home, but it's been against really weak competition, or teams dealing with major issues at the time. It's a "Fugazi" that home record. The time to play your best football of the year is right now and of course the Cowboys are regressing right on cue after back-to-back losses to Buffalo and Miami. The Lions are off back-to-back wins, including a 30-24 victory at Minnesota last weekend and they have even bigger plans for the rest of the regular season; as stated off the top, we feel an outright victory is a very real possibility, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss +4 v. Penn State | Top | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 284 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ole Miss (BOWL GOM) This is the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl between Ole Miss and Penn State. Ole Miss finished 10-2, while PSU finished 10-2 as well. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. These teams are hoping to take the next step in their respective conferences next season. James Franklin and Penn State won 11 games last year, but we don't expect "lightning to strike twice" this time around. Ole Miss though is looking for its first 11-win season in school history. SEC QB Jaxson Dart is a difference-maker here, as his stats were among the best in the SEC. Penn State is extremely talented defensively, but the Ole Miss offense is extremely efficient. It's a battle of strength vs. strength and while the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Ole Miss! AAA Sports |
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12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 14-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (BLOCKBUSTER) The knock against Ohio State here is that it's down to its second string QB, which is true, but we in fact think that helps the Buckeyes here. The Tigers are missing two key defensive players in Ennis Rakestraw and linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper, and when those two players were missing earlier in the year, Missouri allowed 267 yards rushing. Which doesn't bode well facing this Ohio State offense and QB Devin Brown, who was in a battle for the No. 1 spot with Kyle McCord before the season started and before he got injured. Brown was 12 of 22 for 197 yards, two TD's and an INT this year, but he'll know that this is a "try-out" for him to be the No. 1 guy next year, as McCord has already left. The Buckeyes only allow 260 yards per game. Look for the Buckeyes to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Arizona -2 v. Oklahoma | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
10* WILDCATS (BOWL WINNER) Arizona is 9-3 and the Sooners are 10-2. Oklahoma will be without start QB Dillon Gabriel though, as well as their offensive coordinator and a slew of other offensive starters. Because of this fact, and this fact alone, we're going to take the Wildcats here. They have a great QB in Noah Fiftia, who had to step in for an injured Jay de Laura. The Wildcats losses were all close. This is a good, motivated and well-coached team that we're expecting to take advantage of the situation presented to them; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Arizona! AAA Sports |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
10* Texas A&M (BLOCKBUSTER) Texas A&M finished 7-5, while Oklahoma State was 9-4. Both teams have plenty of transfers and opt outs for this one, and it really does level the playing field here. This one is going to come down to the wire and whichever team has it hands on the ball last is going to come out on top. Texas A&M turns to Jaylen Henderson under center and he averaged 234.7 yards per game over his final three games and had two TD's. The Aggies have a great defense as well that allows just 21.3 PPG. Oklahoma State has seven players opting out. The Cowboys rank dead last in the Big 12 on the defensive end, allowing 441.5 yards per game; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Aggies! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV +13.5 | Top | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNLV (ROUT) UNLV is one of the bigger dogs during the entire Bowl season, but we think this spread is a little TOO large. Kansas finished 8-4, while UNLV was 9-4, finishing in a tie for first place in the MWC. The Jayhawks beat Cincinnati 49-16 back on November 25th. Jason Bean replaced Jaylon Daniels at QB during the season and threw for 1,681 yards and a 12:4 TD:INT. Overall the Jayhawks finished averaging 33.6 PPG, while conceding 25.8. UNLV is lead by QB Jayden Maiava, who finished with 2,794 passing yards and a 14:8 TD:INT. The Rebels averaged 34.3 PPG, while conceding 27. The Rebels are also 6-0 ATS on the road this year and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this contest being MUCH more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points the play is UNLV! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Texas State -3.5 v. Rice | Top | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10* Texas State (ROUT) We think the 7-5 Texas State Bobcat's up-tempo offense will be too much for the 6-6 Rice Owls to keep up with. This is a big game for Texas State, making its first ever bowl appearance, and it won't be taking anything for granted. CJ Kinne has transformed the Bobcats into a good team. QB TJ Finley, wh ohas experience at LSU and Auburn is a difference-maker in this one. The Owls aren't the best at creating take-aways on defense and we have a hard time seeing their QB AJ Padgett keeping pace. Look for Texas State to push the pace behind Finley and for Kinne to continue this great overall season and turnaround for Texas State! AAA Sports |
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12-25-23 | Giants v. Eagles -13.5 | Top | 25-33 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
10* Eagles (NFC EAST GOW) We base our picks on many different things, but this particular one is based on some very strong ATS trends that support our overall theory that Philadelphia is going to have no mercy on its overmatched opponent today. Philadelphia is 10-4, but it's lost three straight, both SU and ATS. That however is significant for us to take note of here, as the Eagles are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. This is the first meeting of the year between the division foes. Philly then has a home game here next week vs. the Cards, followed by the regular season finale at the Giants. Clearly, there's no reason Philly can't now end the season on a three-game win streak, and that's what we're expecting, starting with a convincing blowout here at home; lay the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | Patriots +7 v. Broncos | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC NON-DIV GOM) We're expecting a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting, as we look for New England to try and do everything it can to play "spoiler" here. The Pats are 3-11 and the Broncos are 7-7. The Pats beat the Steelers, then promptly lost 27-17 to a desperate Chiefs team last week. QB Bailey Zapp was 23 of 31 for 180 yards and a TD and we feel he can be effective here today as well. New England still concedes only 21.4 PPG. The Broncos are off a 42-17 loss to the Lions and have struggled with consistency from game-to-game all season long. Russell Wilson is the better QB here for sure in this matchup, but we think that Bill Belichick and his defense will be "hanging around late;" grab the points, the play is indeed on New England! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
10* Titans (ASSASSIN) We're not expecting Tennessee to just roll over here and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Seattle is 7-7 and third in the NFC West, while Tennessee is 5-9, and looking to play spoiler and salvage pride after having already been eliminated. The Hawks are 20th in total offense and 28th in total defense. Seattle is really banged up coming into this game as well, including to QB Geno Smith. The Titans average 293.7 YPG, while allowing 339.3. Injuries have also been a concern for the Titans all year. Obviously its "next man up" for both teams. But Tennessee and its coaches are playing for their jobs and everything points to this one "coming down to the wire." As such, we're grabbing the points; the play is on Tennessee! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +3 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show |
10* Pittsburgh (AFC NORTH GOY) They say that divisional contests are always the most important and that they almost always mean the most to the home side, and that's definitely the case here in our opinion, and while we clearly wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend to grab as many points as you can with the Steelers. The Bengals are 8-6 and the Steelers are 7-7. The Bengals have won three straight with Jake Browning, but note that Cincinnati is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten in after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Pittsburgh turns to Mason Rudolph to snap the three-game slide. With nearly 75% of the public money on the visitors, we're going the other way here and expecting Rudolph to step up and deliver the goods in this spot; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Steelers! AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Saints +4 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) With nearly 80% of the public money on the Rams, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way. This is an important game for both 7-7 teams. The Saints have won two straight, while LA has won four of its last five. New Orleans is now tied for the lead in the NFC South. The bottom line here is the Saints' defense is legit, allowing just 248 total yards per game over their last two games and 19.1 PPG overall this season. They have 30 INT's and 30 sacks already, which is fifth in each category. The offense hasn't been shabby either, Derek Carr averaging 26 PPG over their last two, and 22.1 overall. The Rams have allowed just 21.2 PPG over thier last five games. Overall LA averages 23.4 PPG this season. Both teams enter with momentum. Last year the Saints won this game by a score of 27-20 at home. While we feel an outright is possible, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-18-23 | Eagles v. Seahawks +3 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
10* Seahawks (ATS BLOOD-BATH) This is a big game for each team, but more so for the home side we'll argue. While we clearly feel the outright win is a very real possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The Eagles are 10-3 and the Seahawks are 6-7. Philly is 5-2 away from friendly confines, but we think the Eagles are ripe for the picking after B2B losses, including a humbling 33-13 setback at division rival Dallas last weekend. With nearly 70% of the early public money on the visitors as well, we're natually going to gravitate towards the underdog anyways. But this is it for the Hawks essentially, almost in a "do or die" situation here. As stated off the top, a great situational play here on the desperate home side; grab the points the play is indeed on Seattle! AAA Sports |
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12-17-23 | 49ers v. Cardinals +12.5 | Top | 45-29 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (NFC WEST GOY) Are we suggesting an outright victory?! Of course not! But in a contest that we see a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting, we're going to recommend to grab the points. San Francisco is 10-3, including 5-2 on the road, but with a home date vs. the Ravens on X-Mas Day, there's no question that this sets up as a "look-ahead" spot. But how could it also not be a "letdown" spot after five straight SU wins? That includes an important win over Seattle last week. Can anyone say "Trap game?!" Arizona snapped a two-game slide with a spirited 24-10 road win at Pittsburgh last weekend and there's no reason not to think that the team won't bring that same "spoiler mentality" to this one as well. Outright win?! As we stated off the top, we're not calling for that, but the overall situation, numbers and trends are all pointing to this one being a "nail-biter;" grab the points, the play is Arizona. AAA Sports |
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12-16-23 | California +3.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 5 m | Show |
10* Cal (BLOWOUT) Both teams enter the Independence Bowl at 6-6 and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. This game features plenty of absences via the transfer portal and opt outs, and because of that, these teams are more evenly matched than ever in our estimation. Cal goes with QB Fernand Mendoza under center, while Texas Tech QB Behren Morton. The Bears though have overall looked more solid offense down the stretch and Texas Tech has already struggled in this spot this season, going just 1-3 SU/ATS as a road favorite. Granted, this is a neutral site game, but it doesn't matter. While we feel the outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Cal! AAA Sports |
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12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions -4 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 78 h 43 m | Show |
10* Lions (NON-CONF GOW) Denver is 7-6 now, including 3-3 on the road, while Detroit is 9-4 overall, including 4-2 at home. The Broncos got back on track last week with a 24-7 win over the Chargers, but that was without Justin Herbert in the line-up. Detroit comes in as the hungrier team here after dropping two of its last three, including a listless 28-13 setback at Chicago as a three-point favorite last weekend (note though that the Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after a SU/ATS road loss as favorites.) With two of their next three to close out the year on the road, this puts added emphasis onto this game for Detroit as well. The overall situation, and also the trends all points to Detroit as the correct call here on Saturday night! AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Bills +2 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 72 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bills (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) While clearly the outright win is a very real possibility, in the end our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Buffalo is 6-6 and KC is 8-4. The Bills are off the 37-34 OT loss at Philadelphia, but had the last week off to regroup and prepare for this one. It was a back-and-forth start for the Bills, but the bye week came at a great time. KC has been playing terribly in losing two of its last three, including a 27-17 setback at Green Bay as a six-point favorite last week. No one is fearing this Chiefs' offense right now, and now the defense also looks shaky. As stated off the top, we firmly believe the outright upset is a possibility, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Texans v. Jets +3.5 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 67 h 21 m | Show |
10* Jets (ASSASSIN) Houston appears to be the "flavor of the week" right now and we think it's now getting a little TOO much repsect here from the oddsmakers on the road. The Jets have lost five straight SU/ATS, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as NY has in fact gone 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Houston has won four of its last five, including a 22-17 victory at home over Denver. The Texans are just 2-3 SU on the road though. With a game at division rival Tennessee the following week, the possibility of getting caught "looking ahead" is also there for the visiting side; we love how this one sets up for New York! AAA Sports |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers -5.5 | Top | 21-18 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
10* Steelers (AFC GOW) New England is 2-10, while Pittsburgh is 7-5. Pittsburgh has been trading wins/losses over its last four games and off the listless 24-10 loss at home to Arizona, we're expecting this pattern to continue. New England is just in shambles and the issues are greater than just the players on the field or the "X's" and "O's." With the loss of RB Rhamondre Stevenson, the Pats offense is a complete bust. Over their last three games the Pats have scored a combined 13 points, getting shutout twice already this season. Mitch Trubisky is the best player on the field of play in this one, so just take that into consideration. Either way, Pittsburgh's defense, which concedes 19.1 PPG, will be able to deliver the victory here in our opinion; so lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on Pittsburgh! AAA Sports |
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12-04-23 | Bengals +10 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
10* Bengals (ASSASSIN) The Bengals are 5-7 and they come to town with Jake Browning under center. Are we calling for an outright upset?! No, we're not. But we do think the Bengals won't smiply "roll over" here. Instead, we're expecting this team to give its best shot over four quarters and to give the home side everything it can handle. Jacksonville is back on track at 8-3 and B2B victories, but note that Trevor Lawrence and company are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine after three or more ATS victories in a row. We're not counting out the Bengals quite yet. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 53 h 10 m | Show |
10* Packers (NON-CONF GOM) The Chiefs are 8-3, including 4-1 on the road. Green Bay is 5-6, including 3-2 at home. We think that the Chiefs will have their hands full and while we'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, in a contest that we see coming down to the wire, we're grabbing the points. The Chiefs offense is going in reverse, as they've averaged just 19.5 PPG over their last five games. The Chiefs have been held together by their tough defense which concedes just 16.5 PPG. Green Bay though has looked great of late, winning three of its last four, behind some great offensive play from QB Jordan Love. The defense has been sharp too, allowing just 20.4 PPG this year. With a home game vs. the Bills up next, look for the visitors to get caught "looking ahead" here as well; grab the points, the play is Green Bay! AAA Sports |
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12-03-23 | Lions v. Saints +4.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) New Orleans isn't out of the fight yet. The Saints though have lost two straight SU and three straight ATS after last week's 24-15 divisional loss to the Falcons. Detroit was last seen losing 29-22 to Green Bay on Thanksgiving. We'll point out though that the Saints have responded well in this spot for bettors, going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. In the loss to the Falcons, the Saints actually outgained Atlanta. Derek Carr was 24 for 38 for 304 passing yards. Despite some injuries, we're looking for the hungry home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover; so grab the points, the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | SMU v. Tulane -3 | Top | 26-14 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
10* Tulane (AAC GOM) Tulane is 11-1 and SMU is 10-2. Tulane is looking to beceome the third program to repeat as AAC Champions. SMU stands in the way. When these teams played last year though, the Green Wave rolled to an immense 59-24 victory and we're expecting a similar blowout here. SMU has been playing some great football, winning eight in a row. But in the only two AAC teams they faced during that stretch, the Mustangs went 0-2 ATS. The fact that Tulane has been here and done this already really does matter; lay the points, the play is the Green Wave! AAA Sports |
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12-01-23 | New Mexico State +10.5 v. Liberty | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 38 m | Show |
10* New Mexico State (CONF. USA GOM) The Aggies finished 10-3. The Flames finished a perfect 12-0. One of New Mexico State's losses came in Week 2 vs. Liberty, falling 33-17 as a 9.5-point underdog. The Aggies though got progressively better as the season went on, posting eight straight victories to close the season, including three straight as an underdog, which includes road wins at WKU and Auburn as a 25-point dog. New Mexico State is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. No matter what your schedule is, going 12-0 is unbelievably impressive. We have all the possible respect you can have for Liberty and its perfect season. But that now said, the Flames' didn't face murderer's row or anything this season. There were no massive double-digit underdog road wins vs. Power 5 Conferences or anything. Throw in the revenge-factor and everything points to, at the very least, a comfortable ATS cover for the Aggies! AAA Sports |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
10* Bears (NFC NORTH GOY) The Bears play with revenge here after falling 19-13 at home back in Week 6. They were a 3-point dog in that one, and they're a 3-point dog here. But now they catch the Vikes at the exact correct time in our estimation. Note that the Bears are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent as well. The Bears lost 31-26 at Detroit last weekend, but covered with the 7.5-point spread. Minnesota is coming off a close-but-no-cigar 21-20 loss at Denver and we think it's ripe for an upset here; that said, let's grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | Ravens v. Chargers +3 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Chargers (ASSASSIN) Baltimore is 8-3, but we think it'll have its hands full here with this now desperate 4-6 LA side. The Ravens are off the 34-20 win over the Bengals, but with their bye week next week, all signs point to this team getting caught "looking ahead" in our opinion, as that's then followed by a fairly easy home game vs. the hapless Rams. the Chargers are for sure desperate here after two straight losses, but we think they catch the Ravens at a great time here, a late night West Coast game on the national stage and while we do absolutely believe the outright victory is a possibility, the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on LA! AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +1.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
10* Texans (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) Jacksonville is 7-3 SU/ATS, including 3-0 SU/ATS on the road. Houston is 6-4 SU, including 4-1 SU at home. It's 2-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd, but while we'll still be grabbing the points, we're expecting the home side to in fact find a way to win this one outright. Jacksonville bounced back with a 34-14 win over Tennessee at home last week after falling 34-3 at home to the 49ers. While only 1-2 ATS in its last three, Houston though is 3-0 SU. That includes an impressive win on the road at the Bengals as a dog. It's Houston which is still flying under the radar here, as we expect the Jags to finally take a step back on the road this season; grab the points, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Northern Illinois -19 v. Kent State | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 10 m | Show |
10* Northern Illinois FIRST HALF (MAC GOW) If you can't get a FIRST HALF line, we also like NIU for the entire game. This is a great "situational" play in our opinion, and at this time of year, we're basing our picks off of "situations" in College Football. There's no need to overthink this one. The primary reason we like NIU is that we expect it to risk life and limb here to secure its sixth victory of the season, and thus become "eligible." Kent State is just 1-10 and a complete disaster. It won't win this game and we're not expecting the Flashes to put up any sort of fight whatsoever. We expect NIU to really push the pace in the FIRST HALF, but as we said off the top, if you can't find a FIRST HALF line, we also like the HUSKIES for the FULL GAME! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | UTSA +4 v. Tulane | Top | 16-29 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 35 m | Show |
10* UTSA (UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR) When betting College Football at this time of year, it's really important to first look at each team's record, because that plays a big part in their motivation. For example, Iowa is 9-2 in Nebraska this weekend, but the Hawekeyes are already playing in the Big Ten Championship game against either Michigan or Ohio State. So do the Hawkeyes really care if they win or lose against the 5-6 Huskers? Nebraska though will be risking life and limb of course to try and pull off the victory. But these two teams here in Tulane, along with SMU, are tied for first place in the AAC, so this is a really big game obvoiusly for each side here despite each already being eligible. In fact the winner of this game will almost assuredly go on to play in the AAC title game. The Green Wave average 33.1 points per game and it's been their offense which has led the charge this season. The Roadrunners are the exact opposite, as they've been getting the job done with a fantastic defense that allows just 18.5 points per game. They say "defense wins championships," and that's the angle we're going with here for sure; grab the points, the play is UTSA! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | Utah State -6 v. New Mexico | Top | 44-41 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 2 m | Show |
10* Utah State (MOUNTAIN WEST GOW) The Utah State Aggies are 5-6 and the New Mexico Lobos are 4-7. With a win Utah State will become "eligible," and with a victory, New Mexico will win on Senior's Day. The Lobos can only play spoiler here and we don't think that'll be enough of a motivating factor to get the job done here. Utah State is off a 45-10 loss to Boise State, wile the Lobos are off a satisfying 25-17 victory over Fresno State. If recent history is any precedence, then the Aggies have to be loving their chances as Utah State has won the last two head-to-head matchups by a combined score of 62-20. Jalen Royals is one of the best offensive players in the country and we believe the dynamic WR will be a difference-maker for the visiting side; lay the points, the play is Utah State! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | Iowa v. Nebraska -2 | Top | 13-10 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 38 m | Show |
10* Nebraska (BIG TEN GOW) No need to overthink this one. Iowa is already in the Big Ten Championship game and it'll just be going through the motions here and trying not to sustain any serious injuries before a date with either Michigan or Ohio State. Nebraska is 5-6 and needs one more win here on Senior Night to become eligible. The Huskers have gone 0-3 SU/ATS in their last three, but note that Nebraska is 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. In what we expect will be a rout from start to finish, lay the points the with confidence; the play is Nebraska! AAA Sports |
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11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +6.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 51 m | Show |
10* Seahawks. Seattle has been trading wins and losses over its last four games. It fell 17-16 at the Rams last week. It's the first game of the year vs. the 49ers, who have gotten back on track with B2B wins and once look pretty dominant. With a game at Philadelphia after this, followed by a home re-match vs. the Hawks, we say that San Fran gets caught "looking ahead." Seattle is 4-1 SU at home. San Fran is just 2-3 ATS on the road. We're not calling for an outright upset, but all signs point to this one being much more competitive than what this spread would suggest; grab the points, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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11-23-23 | Commanders +11.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 10-45 | Loss | -111 | 72 h 1 m | Show |
10* Commanders. As mentioned in the play on Green Bay, we're going "contrarian" here on Thanksgiving, taking all three dogs. Washington is 4-7 and it's lost two straight after an upset 31-19 setback to the Giants. Previous to that they fell short in a competitive 29-26 loss at Seattle as a six-point dog. We like the Commanders to bounce back here with their effort though after they got caught looking ahead to this one. These teams play in the Nation's capital in the final regular season game and we like the visitors to keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Dallas has always had a way of playing down to the level of its competition in big moments, and we say that pattern of futility continues here on the short week. No outright, but way closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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11-23-23 | Packers +8 v. Lions | Top | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 68 h 1 m | Show |
10* Packers. We're going contrarian here. While the majority of the public goes one way on this early game on Thanksgiving, we're going the other. In fact, that's the theme of this three-game report, a Thanksgiving Contraian 3-Pak! Cleary, Detroit is the better team. After three straight wins, it's now in lines for its fourth. It beat Green Bay 34-20 back in September, but we're expecting a much better fight from their division rival here on the National Stage. Detroit was "lucky" to move past Chicago 31-26 last weekend. It plays its next two on the road, so it could be caught "looking ahead" here as well. Green Bay plays with revenge and it comes in off a huge 23-20 home win over the Chargers as three-point dogs. Everything points to a much tigher battle than what this line is suggesting in our opinion; grab the points, the play is indeed on Green Bay! AAA Sports |
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11-21-23 | Eastern Michigan +6.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 24-11 | Win | 100 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
10* EMU (MAC DOMINATION) This is a FANTASTIC "situational" play in our opinion. EMU is 0-5 SU on the road and it's a big dog here, but at 5-6, the Eagles still have one more opportunity to try and punch their ticket to "eligibility." Despite being 0-5 SU on the road, EMU is a competitive 3-2 ATS away from friendly confines. they kep their hopes alive with a huge 30-27 OT win over Akron last week, and we're expecting another all-out effort here in Buffalo as well. The Bulls have lost three straight SU/ATS, including a 23-10 setback at Miami Ohio last week. Playing spoiler can only go so far, and we think that the Eagles' determination will prove to be the difference; grab the points,teh play is EMU. AAA Sports |
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11-20-23 | Eagles +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
10* Eagles (BLOOD-BATH) The Eagles play with revenge after losing to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl last year. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. If you're betting on this game, then you know the cast of characters on each side and you're also very familiar with each team's strengths and weaknesses. Despite the Chiefs being the defending champs though, Philadelphia "feels" like the more complete team to us at this point of the season. Honestly, it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these sides to take this one. We think the revenge factor will prove to be the difference-maker; grab the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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11-19-23 | Bucs +12.5 v. 49ers | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
10* Bucs (ASSASSIN) Tampa isn't going to win this game outright, but it also won't be rolling over. Yes, the 49ers looked sharp in last week's 34-3 win over Jacksonville, bouncing back from three straight losses after their bye week, but we're expecting them to get caught "looking ahead" here to their divisional matchup in Seattle next week. And that's then followed by a game at Philadelphia, followed by two more straight divisional matchups. This really does feel like a "trap" for San Francisco. Tampa broke a four-game slide last week as well with a 20-6 home win over Tennessee. The Bucs have now covered in three straight, and we're expecting that trend to follow through one more time in this favorable "spot" as well; a great situational play on Tampa Bay! AAA Sports |
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11-18-23 | Texas State v. Arkansas State +4 | Top | 31-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (SUN BELT GOM) Texas State is now 6-4 after last week's 31-23 upset loss at Coastal Carolina as a three-point favorite. The Bobcats are once again going to have their hands full here vs. the 5-5 Arkansas State Red Wolves, who had their two-game win streak snapped in last week's 21-14 loss at South Alabama as a 15.5-point dog. The Red Wolves will be looking to pull off the outright upset here, but really the oddsmakers have been underestimating this team for a while now, entering having covered the spread in three straight. And that's the case once again here in our opinion, as we feel an outright upset is in fact a very real possibility; that said, let's grab the points with Arkansas State! AAA Sports |
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11-18-23 | Tulane v. Florida Atlantic +9.5 | Top | 24-8 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 58 m | Show |
10* FAU (AAC GOM) Tulane is 9-1 and has big aspirations here, but FAU won't be rolling over, coming into this contest 4-6, needing to sweep its final two games to become "eligible." Clealry the odds are against it, but we think the Owls will, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough down the stretch to comfortably sneak in through the back door with the large spread that they've been afforded. Tulane is really in unchartered territory here atop the AAC. Tulane has a way of letting teams hang around late. The Green Wave also have some injuries in the receiving corps. When you add up all of these factors, eveything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Florida Atlantic! AAA Sports |
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11-17-23 | Colorado v. Washington State -4 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 34 h 11 m | Show |
10* WSU (PAC 12 GOM) We say that home field advantage proves to be a difference-maker here. Both teams are 4-6 with two games remaining to try and become eligible. Colorado has lost four straight, but it's 3-1 ATS in that span, most recently falling 34-31 to Arizona as an 8-point dog. After four straight wins to open the year, WSU has now lost six straight. It's lost three straight ATS, but note that the Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. Colorado has been downright terrible of late though, now allowing 33.9 PPG. The Cougars have only been slightly better by allowing 30.9, but again, the home-field advantage simply can not be ignored as a very real deciding factor in our opinion. Everyone and their grand-mother wants to beat Coach Prime, and that includes WSU; lay the points, the play is the Cougars! AAA Sports |
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11-16-23 | Boston College +3 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
10* Boston College (ACC GOW) Pittsburgh is terrible. It's going through its worst season in 30 years. Pitt is 2-8 and can't even play spoiler here, as BC is 6-4. The Eagles lost badly to Virginia Tech last weekend, one week after punching their ticket. But BC has great numbers against bad teams and we can't see the Panthers putting up much of a fight here on Thursday night. While BC stumbled last week, expect an immediate response here in this favorable matchup on Thursday night; clearly the outright win is a possibility, but in the end let's grab the points with Boston College! AAA Sports |
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11-15-23 | Central Michigan +11.5 v. Ohio | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
10* CMU (MAC GOY) We've reached the point of the season where the win/loss record for teams really matters. CMU is 5-5 and it has two games left in which to try and become eligible. Ohio is 7-3 and it's already eligible, although now looking to improve its bowl berth. Still lots to play for for the Bobcats, but it's all hands on deck for CMU here, which has a home game vs. 9-1 Toledo next week, a contest in which it'll be another large dog. It's now or never, do or die essentially and while that may not translate into a SU win for the Chips here on Wednesday night, we do fully expect that effort be more than enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Central Michigan! AAA Sports |
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11-13-23 | Broncos +7 v. Bills | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
10* Broncos (ASSASSIN) Denver is 3-5. It went into its bye week last week off two straight victories, including an impressive 24-9 win over Kansas City. With a week off to prepare, we think that the Broncos are poised for another big performance. Buffalo is just 5-4 and it's been more "miss" than "hit" of late, coming offa 24-18 loss at Cincinnati last weekend. Buffalo has lost five straight ATS, but with over 65% of the public money backing the home side, we are definitely going to play contrarian here and grab up all these points; and that's the play, Denver! AAA Sports |
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11-12-23 | 49ers -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
10* 49ers (ASSASSIN) At the start of the season we believed that Jacksonville was really undervalued, but now we think the Jags are getting a little too much respect here vs. an underachieving 49ers team that's off three staight SU/ATS losses in a row. Note that San Fran is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. San Fran comes out of its bye week, and there are now no excuses. The Jags come in complacent off their sixth straight win, a 20-10 victory over a listless Pittsburgh side. Look for the "hungrier" team to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here and to not only win this game, but do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is San Francisco. AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Texas v. TCU +10 | Top | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 98 h 30 m | Show |
10* TCU (BIG 12 GOM) Will 8-1 Texas get caught "looking past" 4-5 TCU on the road here? Probably not. But that said, we're expecting a battle until the final moments and because of that, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. It's three straight winnable games to close out the year for the Longhorns, but no such luxury for the Horned Frogs, who have lost two straight and who are running out of chances to become eligible, with a game vs. Baylor next week, followed by a contest at Oklahoma to close things off. The Longhorns looked shaky in last week's 33-30 OT win over K-State, and we feel they're holding on here. Backup quarterback Maalik Murphy has now started two games in place of the injured Quinn Ewers and he hasn't been great. They won't need or want to rush back Ewers and if he does play here, it will be as a game manager to get back into the "groove" of live-action play. No matter which way you cut it, we say this is a few too many points to be giving; so grab the points, the play is indeed on TCU. AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Memphis v. Charlotte +11 | Top | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (SHOCKER) At this time of year, we're always looking for great "situational" plays. This one falls directly into the "great situational play" category. Memphis is 7-2 and 3-0 on the road, but 3-6 Charlotte won't be rolling over today. And why's that you ask? The 3-6 49ers only have three games left to become eligible. Last week Memphis held on for a 59-50 shootoutwin over USF, but with a home game vs SMU up next, we're expecting the visiting side to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Charlotte came from behind to bea Tulsa 33-26 in OT in its most recent action, and we're expecting it to be competitive here as well; grab the points, the play is indeed on Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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11-10-23 | Wyoming +5.5 v. UNLV | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* Wyoming (MW GOY) Both teams are already eligible, but each now has bigger aspirations moving forward. Wyoming is 6-3, while UNLV is 7-2. Wyoming is led by 10th year head coach Craig Bohl. Last week the Cowboys beat Colorado State 24-15 for the Bronze Boot int he annual Border War. QB Andrew Peasley had 140 yards passing, while Harrison Waylee had 128 rushing. The Rebels are enjoying a great year under first year coach Barry Odom, who smashed New Mexico last week by a score of 56-14; QB Jayden Maiava had three TD passes. Wyoming's dual threat QB is going to keep his team in this one late; grab the points the play is on the Cowboys! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Panthers +3.5 v. Bears | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
10* Carolina (ASSASSIN) Carolina is 1-7 and Chicago is 2-7. These teams stink, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Carolina comes in off a 27-13 loss to Indianapolis, while Chicago comes in off a second straight loss, this time in a 24-17 setback at New Orleans. Both teams have struggled in every facet of the game, but this in our opinion is a great "situational" play. Bryce Young is the best player on the field and we feel he'll bounce back here on prime-time; grab the points, the play is the Panthers! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Virginia v. Louisville -20 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOW) Typically we don't side with the public. We're contrarian at heart, but of course, that's not always the case. And of course, the public does indeed win nearly 50 percent of the time anyways. For sure here we're not expecting any upsets as we think 8-1 Louisville will keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this favorable matchup vs. 2-7 Virginia. Virginia somehow did mange to upset a ranked UNC team on the road and then it forced overtime vs. Miami the following the week, but the Cavaliers definitely came crashing back to reality in the 45-17 home loss to Georgia Tech allowing 515 yards of offense in the humbling setback. The Cavaliers are a great defensive team on the College Basketball court, but they're terrible on the gridiron (they allow 32.4 points per game, which is last in the conference.) Virginia also only managed 351 yards of offense against a Georgia Tech defense which is conceding an average of 455.2 yards per game (overall the Cavaliers only average 23.1 points per game this season. The Cardinals do have the dissapointing loss to Pitt, but last week they blew out Virginia Tech 34-3, and that gave them consecutive wins by at least 20. We think they're going to win in similar fashion to what we saw last weekend. The Cardinals limit their opponents to just 88.8 yards per game rushing and overall they allow just 16.3 points per game (while the offense is averaging 32.9.) We think Louisville will run up the score here and keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Louisville! AAA Sports |
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11-08-23 | Bowling Green -9.5 v. Kent State | Top | 49-19 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bowling Green (ASSASSIN) Typically we're contrarian. When the public all goes one way, we almost always go the other. But...not ALWAYS. And that's the case here this week on Wednesday night with 5-4 Bowling Green travelling to Ohio on Wednesday to take on the 1-8 Golden Flashes. Kent State would love to play spoiler, but we just don't see the Green Falcons leaving anything to chance this weekend and we're expecting them to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. The Flashes are 0-5 in conference play and there's no way Bowling Green wants to be the one that actually loses to this terrible team. The Falcons come in with a TON of momentum as well: after losing each of their first two conference games, they've now posted three straight wins, including last week's 24-21 victory over Ball State in which Connor Bazelak had 128 yards passing and two touchdowns. The defense though stole the show in allowing just 283 total yards of offense. Kent State is off the tight 31-27 road loss at Akrkon and we think it's definitely thrown in the towel at this point. The defense gave up 393 yards, including 298 through the air and that doesn't bode well now facing Bowling Green's offense, which is firing on all cylinders by averaring just under 30 points per game over their last three games. That momentum carries over here in this favorable spot; lay the points, the play is Bowling Green! AAA Sports |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +4 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
10* Jets (BLOOD-BATH) In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has it hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. The Jets believe they can beat anyone right now and the Chargers are going to have their hands full in our estimation. LA is just 3-4 overall, including 1-2 on the road. New York is 4-3 overall, including 2-2 SU at home and 3-1 ATS. The Jets have extreme momentum right now after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, against quality teams and in difficult situations. The Chargers lost two straight before last week's 30-13 home win over Chicago, but with a home game vs. Detroit next week, we feel the visitors will also get caught "looking ahead" here; a great "situational" play on New York! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Bills +2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bills (UNDERDOG GOY) After a dreadful start, the Bengals are suddenly the hottest team in the league after three straight victories and covers (4-3 overall)?! We think they're now overvalued here big time though (note that Cinncy is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row.) Buffalo is 5-3 after last week's 24-18 tougher-than-expected victory against Tampa. But when you look a little closer at the Bucs, they really are one of the better defensive teams. The same can't really be said about the Bengals. They did score the 31-17 upset win at San Francisco, but something is "fishy" with that 49ers offense all of a sudden, so we'll caution in reading too much into that victory. Buffalo has two favorable home games after this, so a three-game win streak is a very realistic goal for this hungry visiting side. And that's how we see this one playing out, the Bengals finally taking a step back here and the Bills finally taking a step forward; grab the points, the play is Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Rams v. Packers -3 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
10* Packers (BLOOD-BATH) It's a big game for both of these NFC opponents, but more so for the 2-5 Packers in our opinion. LA is 3-5. The Rams have lost two straight, last week falling 43-20 at Dallas, and we think they'll have difficulty containing this now desperate home side. The only win in LA's last four games came against Arizona. At home. This is a look ahead spot as well for the Rams, who have a bye next week, followed by b2b divisional contests. It's been four straight SU/ATS losses for the Packers, and that's why nearly 80% of the early public money is all over LA here. The good news for Packers fans? There is still time to try and turn things around. It's now or never, do or die for Green Bay in our opinion and we're expecting it to step up and play like that; lay the points the play is indeed on Green Bay! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Seahawks +6 v. Ravens | Top | 3-37 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
10* Seahawks (NON-CONF GOM) Two good non-conference opponents collide in Baltimore on Sunday afternoon, and in our opinion, everything points to this one coming down to whichever of these talented sides has its hands on the ball last. Despite going 0-3 ATS in its L3, Seattle is 2-1 SU in that span, beating Arizona and Cleveland. The Hawks are 2-1 on the road as well. The Ravens are off three straight wins, but with B2B divisional home games starting next week, not only does this set up as as "letdown" spot for the Ravens in our opinion, but also a "look-ahead" position (and when you add those two factors together, you get "trap game.") This spread is definitely "off." Grab the points, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | Illinois +2 v. Minnesota | Top | 27-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
10* Illinois (BIG TEN GOM) The 3-5 Illini are running out of time to become "eligible," while the 5-3 Gophers are just one win away from punching their ticket. One week after upsetting Maryland 27-24, Illinois lost 25-21 at home to Wisconsin. That was two weeks ago. With time to prepare for this one, I expect the Illini to find a way to come out on top here against the less-than-impressive Terps. Minnesota is off B2B wins, but with a game at 2-6 Purdue next week, they still have time to recover and earn a bowl if they happen to stumble here. No such luxury for Illinois though. This line is "fishy," but we're ALL over it; while the outright is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Illinois! AAA Sports |
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11-03-23 | Boston College v. Syracuse -2.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 35 m | Show |
10* Syracuse (ASSASSIN) Boston College has definitely been playing well, as it's now 5-3 after winning four straight. Most recently the Eagles beat UConn 21-14 as 14.5-point favorites, so didn't come close to covering the spread. Clearly, BC will be looking to keep the good times rolling needing just the one more win to become bowl eligible. But it's Syracuse that comes in super desperate now to snap a four game straight up and against the spread slide. After four straight wins to open the season, the Orange have now dropped four straight. But all four losses were against really good competition and in every case they were the underdog, losing to Clemson, North Carolina, Florida State and Virginia Tech (and the last three were all on the road.) Now back home and desperate to snap the slide, Syracuse is finally favored here, but not nearly by enough in our estimation. Boston College's four-game win streak has come against much more suspect competition, including Virginia, Army, Georgia Tech and UConn last week. Look for the more motivated home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover; the play is indeed on Syracuse! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Titans +3 v. Steelers | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
10* Titans (AFC NON-DIV GOY) Pittsburgh is 4-3 after a listless 20-10 home loss to Jacksonville last week, while Tennessee snapped a two-game slide with an impressive 28-23 home win over Atlanta as a 2.5-point underdog. These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions and now here on the short week, we're expecting those trends to continue here on Thursday night. Will Levis was 19 for 29 for 238 yards and four TD's for Tennessee last week. Zero INT's. Derrick Henry was rumbling as well for 101 yards on 22 carries. And WR DeAndre Hopkins caught four passes for 128 yards and three TD's. The Steelers lost starting QB Kenny Pickett to injury in their loss last week and Mitch Trubisky came in and finished 15 of 27 for 138 yards, one TD and two INT's. He was also sacked twice. As good as Pittsburgh's defense is, we're expecting the now "firing on all cylinders" visiting side to continue that progression here on the road; grab the points, the play is Tennessee! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Wake Forest +12.5 v. Duke | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
10* Wake Forest (ACC GOM) Duke is 5-3 and needing just one more win to become "eligible." Wake Forest is 4-4 and is a big underdog here. The Deacons won't be rolling over though. That said, we're not calling for the outright upset or anything, but we're definitley expecting the visiting side to keep this one tight down the stretch. Wake Forest has dropped three of its last four and is coming in under the radar here. Duke is reeling and has lost back-to-back games. Desmon Claiborne, Mitch Griffis and company will have some opportunities here on the road, especially in the second half in our estimation. Wake only allows 25.6 PPG and as we said off the top, we're not calling for an outright upset, but this one is definitely going to be a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Wake Forest! AAA Sports |
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10-29-23 | Patriots +9 v. Dolphins | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOW) New England salvaged its season last week with a huge 29-25 home win over Buffalo as an 8.5-point underdog and now New England can take another step towards relevance with another upset here on the road against another division rival. Miami lost 48-20 at Buffalo this year, and it lost 31-17 at Philadelphia last weekend. We feel these clubs are moving in opposite directions. MIami's defense needs to be questioned here and we simply feel this is a few too many points to be giving up to this improving and desperate Patriots team; grab the points, the play is New England! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | UNLV v. Fresno State -8 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -111 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (MW GOM) UNLV is 6-1 and its riding a five-game win streak, but we expect it tohave its hands full here on the road. Overall the Rebels average 209.6 yards per game on the ground, which ranks 14th in the country. Fresno State is also 6-1, and 2-1 in league play. Last year Fresno State won this game on the road by a score of 37-30, but we're expecting an even bigger blowout here at home. Note in UNLV's six victories, one is against a non-FBS team and the other five were ALL against sub .500 teams. In other words, we absolutely believe that UNLV's numbers, on both sides of the ball are completely "skewed." Fresno State was outgained in its 37-32 win over Utah State last week, but it won the turnover battle 2-0. It also posted 461 yards of offense. They ranks 15th in the nation in passing yards per game. UNLV's pass defense ranks 123rd in the country. This is going to be a blowout of epic proportions in our estimation; lay the points the play is Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | Colorado v. UCLA -17 | Top | 16-28 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 43 m | Show |
10* UCLA (PAC 12 GOY) Colorado is 4-3, while UCLA is 5-2. With a chance to become "eligible," while at the same time handing Coach Prime and the Buffs another loss, we're expecting UCLA to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here and to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion, going on to ultimately easily cover this larger spread. If recent history is any precedence, then UCLA has to be loving its chances, as it's won the last two in this series, including a 45-17 blowout road victory last year. Colorado is coming off a bye after a hugely-disappointing 46-43 double-overtime loss to Stanford in Week 7. It was Colorado's third straight defeat, and it was a terrible one as they held a 29-0 lead at half time. They allowed 399 receiving yards to the Cardinal, and now face this high-octane Bruins' offense. UCLA most recently destroyed Stanford by a score of 42-7, outgaining the Cardinal 503-292. QB Ethan Garbers threw for 240 yards and two TDs' in his first start since Week 1. Overall the Bruins are scoring 31.3 PPG, but we're expecting them to run up the score here on this terrible and completely dejected Buffs' defensive unit; lay the points, the play is UCLA! AAA Sports |
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10-26-23 | Bucs +9 v. Bills | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
10* Bucs (GOW) Tampa Bay is 3-3, while Buffalo is 4-3. Both teams come in off defeats. The Bucs fell 16-13 to the Falcons in a tight division battle, while Buffalo fell 29-25 at New England. Buffalo started the year posting some crazy defensive numbers, but the unit looked pretty terrible last week, and we believe that'll leave the door open for Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield, who has 1,363 yards passing, eight TD's and four INT's. His counterpart today Josh Allen has 1,841 passing yards and 15:7 TD/INT. With a much more high-profile game at Cincinnati next weekend, the Bills could very easily be caught "looking past" their lowly non-conference opponent here today at home. We're expecting Mayfield to fight until the bitter end; grab the points, the play is Tampa Bay! AAA Sports |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings +7 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
10* Vikings (ULTIMATE ROUT) The 49ers are 5-1, and are off their first loss of the year in a shaky 19-17 setback at Cleveland. Now they're once again a huge road favorite, and once again they're facing a non-conference team that's completely desperate as the Vikes enter at 2-4. Minnesota though comes in on the opposite end of the spectrum to San Francisco though, entering off a solid 19-13 road win at Chicago as a 3-point favorite. It was a crucial divisional victory, and now the Vikes have a golden opportunity to continue to gain ground today. And with a home game vs. the Bengals next, we feel that the visitors could also get caught "looking ahead" here. Look for Kirk Cousins to do more than enough to keep his team competitive down the stretch; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Packers v. Broncos +1.5 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
10* Broncos (NON-CONF GOW) Two struggling teams collide here on Sunday afternoon in Denver, but in our estimation, the home field advantage simply can't be overlooked here in this matchup as being a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done. The Packers are off their bye week, and we don't think that the extra rest is going to help here at all. Green Bay is 2-3 SU, while Denver is just 1-5. The Broncos though have yet to even cover a spread, but that's going to change here finally in our opinion. Jordan Love has never been to Mile High, and we think he'll struggle in this difficult venue. It's been a complete disaster for Sean Payton and Russell Wilson once again this year, but we can expect the veteran pivot to get the better of his younger counterpart, who has been one of the worst in the NFL in terms of completion percentage. As mentioned off the top, the outright is clearly possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Denver! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots +8 | Top | 25-29 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOM) The Patriots are 1-5 SU and 0-3 SU/ATS at home, but we believe those streaks of futility will come to an end here this weekend. At least the ATS streaks, as we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset. That said, it's not entirely out of the question but in a contest that we seeing a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Bills are clearly the better team here, but they've hardly been playing well at all of late, going just 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS the last two. They struggled to put away the Giants 14-9 at home last week. Now they face a division rival that's looking for any spark of positivity it can find. With a quick turn around and a game at home vs. Tampa Bay on Thursday night, not only does this set up as a letdown spot, but also a "look ahead" position for the visiting side; no outright, but closer than expected, the play is New England! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Falcons +3 v. Bucs | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
10* Falcons (NFC SOUTH GOM) While we absolutely believe the outright win is very possible, in the end we're recommending to grab as many points as you can in this important early divisional contest between two hungry teams. Atlanta is 3-3 and Tampa is 3-2. The Bucs have been hit or miss this year. Last week they fell 20-6 at home to Detroit. With a short week and a game at Buffalo on Thursday night, will Tampa get caught "looking ahead" here as well? It's very possible in our estimation. Same story for the Falcons with consistency this year, but after five straight ATS losses in a row after last week's 24-16 loss at home to Washington, we're finally expecting that streak to come to an end here (as note, the Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last five after five or more ATS setbacks in a row!) As stated off the top, the outright is possible, but the official is to roll with the points; the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Coastal Carolina v. Arkansas State +10.5 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 53 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (SUN BELT GOY) We think this contest will be much more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in this Sun Belt Conference matchup on Saturday night and while we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one coming "right down to the wire." Coastal Carolina is a big road favorite here at 3-3, but it's just 1-2 SU on the road. Arkansas State is 3-3 as well, which includes going 2-1 SU/ATS at home. CC is off a 27-24 win at Appalachian State with a walk-off FG win and now here the Chanticleers are big favs on the road. Overall they average 30.2 PPG, while allowing 23.7. Arkansas State is off a 37-3 loss to Troy. Overall the Red Wolves average 22.2 PPG, while allowing 36.5. But those numbers are skewed because of the blowout. Strength of schedule has to be called into question for both sides heading into this one; no outright, but MUCH closer than expected so grab the points with Arkansas State! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Buffalo v. Kent State +7 | Top | 24-6 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 2 m | Show |
10* Kent State (MAC GOM) Buffalo is 2-5 and Kent State is 1-6. Buffalo is 1-2 SU on the road this year, but 3-0 ATS. The Golden Flashes are only 1-1 ATS at home, but we're expecting the home side to give the visitors everything they can handle in this one. The Bulls are off a 24-14 loss to Bowling Green, while the FLashes are off a 28-14 setback to EMU. Buffalo is led by Cole Snynder, who has 1,337 passing yards and an 11:6 TD:INT. Michael Alaimo has 881 passing yards and a 2:4 TD:INT for the Flashes. Kent State's offense revolves primarily around the run, keep your eyes on Gavin Garcia and Jaylen Thomas. Kent State's offensive numbers have been terrible, but we just can't give the putrid Bulls any credit here in this matchup as such a big favorite on the road. This one is more evenly matched in our estimation and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this one being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is indeed on Kent State! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Rutgers v. Indiana +5.5 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 37 m | Show |
10* Indiana (BIG TEN GOW) While we're not ruling out an outright victory, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can here with Indiana. The Scarlet Knights are just one win away from eligibility, but they're going to have their hands full here with the 2-4 Hoosiers in our estimation. Indiana is 2-1 SU and ATS at home and definitely plays a lot "better" in front of the home town crowd. The Scarlet Knights have been ATS covering machines so far this season, but now the public is overwhelmingly on Rutgers this weekend, and our contrarian ways definitely will "kick in" here and have us loving our play on the home side even more. Rutgers just doesn't blow teams away, it averges only 23.7 PPG, while being suffocating defensively so far in allowing only 18.2. Indiana is averaging 14 PPG, while allowing 33.4. After back-to-back blowout road losses, Indiana mercifully returns home to play a much more manageable opponent. At 2-4, the odds are against the Hoosiers of making a bowl berth, but clearly they aren't throwing in the towel at this point. And of all the games remaining, this home contest vs. Rutger is likely the most "winnable" of them all. As mentioned off the top, we feel the outright is obviously possible, but grab the points, because the play is indeed on Indiana! AAA Sports |
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10-20-23 | SMU v. Temple +21 | Top | 55-0 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Temple (ASSASSIN) Outright win?! We're not calling for that or anything, but in a contest that we see being a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting, we're going to grab the points. SMU is off B2B wins, including a 31-10 victory at ECU last weekend as a big favorite, covering the 12-point spread. Now they're once again a heavy favorite on the road, but we think this spread is now just a bit too large. Temple is off a 45-14 loss at North Texas. SMU QB Preston Stone had 250 yards and three TD's in his last game, but the run game sputtered with just 58 yards. Temple is averaging 270 yards passing and 112 yards rushing per contest. The Owls will be sticking around late here and we're fully expecting the back door to be left wide open down the stretch. SMU is the better team here, but this spread is now too large in our estimation; the play is Temple! AAA Sports |
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10-17-23 | Western Kentucky -7.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
10* WKU (CONF. USA GOW) WKU is coming off a 35-28 win over Louisana Tech, while Jacksonville State enters off a 31-13 home loss to Liberty. Hilltoppers' QB Austin Reed and WR Malachi Corley are a force to be reckoned with offensively for WKU and I think they'll keep their team competitive late in this one. Jacksonville State likes to run the ball, but the Hilltoppers have been decent defensively this year in stopping the run, especially in the red-zone. The Gamecocks are led by Malik Jackson offensively, he already has 578 rushing yards. Jacksonville State has also been dominant defensively, but there are a few injury issues on offense this week, with both QB's Zion Webb and Logan Smothers listed as questionable. WKU also has a 100% redzone efficiency rate this season. Look for the visiting side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is WKU! AAA Sports |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +1.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
10* Chargers (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Dallas is 3-2 and coming off a humbling 42-10 loss at San Francisco last week. We think the Cowboys will once again struggle here on the road vs. the hungry 2-2 LA Chargers, who are coming out of their bye week ready and focused. Dallas only gained 197 yards last week and despite allowing a season-high 42 points in the setback, the defense still ranks No. 7 in the league. But Dak Prescott and the offense looked terrible as well and we just think that Just Herbert and company have a major advantage in every metric and on both sides of the ball here this afternoon. Look for "home field" to be a big advantage and prove to be a difference-maker for the Chargers on Monday night! AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Lions v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 20-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
10* Bucs (BLOCKBUSTER) Detroit is 4-1, while Tampa is 3-1. Home field will prove to be the difference here between these evenly matched teams in our opinion. The Lions do have the quality Week 1 win over the Chiefs, but their other victories haven't been super impressive, including last week's 42-24 win over Carolina. Jared Goff has been decent with 1,265 passing yards and a 9:3 TD:INT. The Lions concede 21.4 PPG. The Bucs enters focused and fresh out of their bye week. QB Baker Mayfield has 882 yards passing and a 7:2 TD:INT. But the Bucs have been downright awesome defensively so far, conceding just 17 PPG. Todd Bowles is a great defensive coach and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has it hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Tampa! AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | 49ers v. Browns +10 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
10* Browns (ULTIMATE CONTRARIAN) As the title of this pick implies, the basis of this selection is us going against the general betting public, which has overwhelmingly backed the 49ers on the road here, because Cleveland will be playing without DeShaun Watson. Cleveland though comes out rested off its bye, and I think the Browns will be competitive here at home with tough defensive play. This game will be won in the trenches and by field position. Expect San Fran to be running the ball a lot today behind Christian McCaffrey. But the Browns allow the fewest yards in the NFL. PJ Walker will be a game manager, but we expect that to be more than enough for the home side to walk away with the comfortable cover; so grab the points, the play is indeed on Cleveland! AAA Sports |
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10-14-23 | Michigan State +5.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 68 h 37 m | Show |
10* MSU (BIG TEN GOY) Here's a great spot for MSU to pull of an outright upset! And while that scenario is definitely a possibility in our opinion, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. MSU is 2-3 and Rutgers is 4-2. The Spartans are coming out of their bye, while the Scarlet Knights are coming off an 11-point loss to Wisconsin. MSU looked pretty bad in its 16-13 loss to Iowa back on September 30th, with QB Noah Kim passing for 193 yards and three INT's. RB Nathan Carter though looked great with 20 rushes for 108 yards. It's also interesting to note that the road team has covered in each of the last six games between these teams. Rutgers' QB Gavin Wimsatt finished with 181 yards, one TD and an INT in the 24-13 loss to Wisconsin and we think he'll have a difficult time here vs. MSU as well. Rutgers has in fact scored 13 or less points in two of its last three games. The Spartans have had plenty of time to prepare for this one and that's going to play a big part in the outcome as well in our opinion; grab the points, the play is Michigan State! AAA Sports |
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10-13-23 | Stanford +12.5 v. Colorado | Top | 46-43 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOM) Colorado is 4-2 after a dramatic 27-24 win at ASU last week on a last-second field goal. But with their bye, followed by a game at UCLA, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot here facing the lowly 1-4 Cardinal and off that big win, but it's also a "look ahead" position as well. When you add those two factors together you get "trap game." Clearly, Stanford's hopes of reaching eligibility are essentially zero to none already, but it won't be rolling over here and catches the Buffs and Coach Prime right at the correct moment. Colorado isn't going to the National Championship and running up the score here isn't going to impress anyone. They just need wins for a better bowl berth at the end of the day, and in our opinion, all signs do indeed point to the home side taking the foot off the gas in the second half and leaving the back door open just enough for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch with the sizeable spread that it's been afforded in this one; grab the points, the play is indeed on Stanford! AAA Sports |
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10-12-23 | Broncos +10.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 8-19 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 32 m | Show |
10* Broncos (AFC WEST GOY) Outright victory? Nah, we're not calling for that. But we do feel that KC will let the foot off the gas enough in the second half to allow the hungry Broncos to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel is a large amount of points here. KC is 1-1 SU/ATS at home and returns home after two straight road victories at the Jets and Vikings. It's a potential letdown spot for the now surging Chiefs, who have another divisional home game next week vs. the Chargers. Denver is on the ropes. Clearly Sean Payton can't be too happy about the team he chose to come back to. It's do or die, now or never for Russell Wilson and the Broncos, who fell 31-21 at home to the Jets last weekend. The offense though is still a lot better than it was last year in averaging 24.2 PPG. The issue has been on the defensive side, allowing 36.2 PPG, including the 70-20 loss to Miami. We think Denver's defense won't have to worry about the Chiefs running up the score here, while at the same time we expect Wilson to be able to move the ball. This is just too many points; the play is Denver! AAA Sports |
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10-11-23 | UTEP +2.5 v. Florida International | Top | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
10* UTEP (SUPER BLOWOUT) We think the 1-5 UTEP Miners will find a way to deliver the goods here on Wednesday night on the road at FIU. The Panthers enter are 3-3, including 0-3 in C-USA play. So far the Miners are averaging just 16.2 PPG, while allowing 28.2. QB Gavin Hardison has 947 passing yards, five TDs and seven INTs. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as the Panthers are averaging only 20.7 PPG, with QB Keyone Jenkins with 1,258 passing yards, five TD's and six INT's. The defense concedes 27 PPG. UTEP's strength though is the run game, which ranks 64th in the nation, and FIU is already allowing an average of 208.8 YPG on the ground. UTEP's defense is also 32nd in the country vs. the pass, and FIU's strength on offense is the passing game, which has so far averaged 221.3 YPG. UTEP will control this one and find a way to get the job done! AAA Sports |
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10-10-23 | Louisiana Tech v. Middle Tennessee State -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* MTSU (CONF-USA GOW) Louisiana Tech is 3-4, while MTSU is 1-5. Why then are the Blue Raiders favored here? The oddsmakers are trying to tell us something, and that's that the Blue Raiders have played a tougher schedule to this point. And that's the case. Louisiana Tech is coming off a 35-28 loss to WKU. QB Jack Turner has 849 passing yards, four TD's and four INT's. Overall the teams concedes 28 PPG. MTSU is off three straight losses, falling 31-23 to Colorado State, 31-10 to WKU and 45-30 to Jacksonville State last week. QB Nicholas Vattiato has 1,576 passing yards, nine TD's and six picks. The defense has so far allowed 37.2 PPG, but take in mind that includes a 56-7 loss at Alabama to open the season. The Blue Raiders are the "hungrier" team in this fight and we're expecting a full four-quarter effort; lay the points, the play is MTSU! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Cowboys +4 v. 49ers | Top | 10-42 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
10* Cowboys (NFC NON-DIV GOM) Two really good teams collide here on Sunday night and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Dallas is 3-1, while San Francisco is 4-0. The 49ers beat Arizona at home last week, while the Cowboys hammered the Patriots at home. This is a revenge game for the visiting side, which fell 19-12 in the divisional round of last year's playoffs. So far Dak Prescott and the Cowboys average 31 PPG, while allowing only 10.3. Brock Purdy and the 49ers average 31.3 PPG, while allowing just 14.6. This really is a case of "Any Given Sunday," as it would not be hard to write a convincing argument for either of these sides to come out on top in this one. For all the reasons listed above, grab as many points as you can; the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Chiefs v. Vikings +5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 31 m | Show |
10* Vikings (NON-CONF GOY) Note that since 2018 with Patrick Mahomes as the full-time starting QB for KC, the Chiefs are are 17-19 ATS as a road favorite. Despite stumbling at home on Opening night, the Chiefs now enter Week 5 at 3-1. The Vikes though are on the ropes at 1-3, and clearly they'll be risking life and limb here to pull off the minor upset and avoid the 1-4 hole. After three straight losses the Vikes got back on track in last week's 21-13 road win at Carolina. A road game at division rival Chicago won't be easy the following week, so this becomes an almost "do or die" scenario for the Vikes already. KC has won three straight, but it certainly looked shaky in last Sunday night's 23-20 victory at the Jets as a 9-point favorite. With a quick turnaround and a Thursday night game up next at home vs. the Broncos, this not only sets up as a "letdown" spot for KC, but also a "look-ahead" position as well in our opinion, and when you add those two factors together you get "trap game." The outright win is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Texans v. Falcons -1.5 | Top | 19-21 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
10* FALCONS (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 2-2, but we can't understate how important that we feel that the home field advantage will prove for the Falcons in the final outcome of this non-conference contest. Houston is off a 30-6 win at home over Pittsburgh, and we're expecting a predictable letdown hereon the road now. Atlanta is off a 23-7 loss in London to Jacksonville in its last outing. So far Houston has gotten great play from QB CJ Stroud with a 6:0 TD:INT. Overall Houston is averaging 24 PPG, while allowing 19.8. The Falcons are led by RB Bijan Robinson and a run game that averages 128 YPG. ATL has so far averaged only 15.5 PPG, while allowing only 19.25. Look for Desmond Ridder to settle down here at home and for ATL's elite defense to finally get to Stroud. While the rest of the public goes one way on this contest, we're going the other; the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Giants +13 v. Dolphins | Top | 16-31 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
10* Giants (BLOOD-BATH) In no way are we suggesting that New York will win this game outright, but we do however feel this is a great situational play as we expect the 1-3 Giants to catch the 3-1 Dolphins at the correct time to keep this one more competitive than what this lop-sided spread is suggesting. Miami beat Denver 70-20, but then came back down to Earth in last week's 48-20 beatdown division road loss at Buffalo. Daniel Jones has so far struggled for the Giants with a 2:6 TD:INT. He's been sacked 22 times already though. The defense hasn't been much better, so far allowing 30.5 PPG. Tua Tagovailoa as a 9:3 TD:INT, but the defense for the Fish is very worrisome, allowing 374.5 YAPG and 29.8 points per contest. This one takes on a very "do or die" feel for the Giants, who took a major step forward last year, but who have regressed so far this season. Look for Miami to take the foot off the gas in the second half and for the hungry Giants to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread that they've been afforded here on the road in Week 5; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | UTSA -14 v. Temple | Top | 49-34 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
10* AAC GOY on UTSA. UTSA is 1-3, while Temple is 2-3. So why are the Roadrunners favored here by so much on the road? Simple, strenght of schedule to this point. Temple is off a road loss at Tulsa, while UTSA lost to Tennessee last weekend. The Roadrunners were without starting QB Frank Harris for a second straight week, but his backups did a great job in defeat, with Owen McCown finishing with 170 yards passing and two TD's. The defense allowed 519 yards, but UTSA finally catches a break here facing the Owls. Harris is listed as probable this weekend. Overall the Roadrunners are the better team here and we're expecting them to make the most of this opportunity. The Owls have a pass heavy offense, but the Roadrunners are generating sacks on 8.73 percent of opponent's drop backs, which is Top 30 in the country. Temple gave up 34 points to Miami in a loss two weeks ago, and then 48 to Tulsa last week. EJ Wanrer had 269 yards passing and two TD's on 50 attempts. The Owls have been terrible in the red zone as well. Look for the Roadrunners to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is UTSA! AAA Sports |
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10-05-23 | Bears +7 v. Commanders | Top | 40-20 | Win | 100 | 54 h 30 m | Show |
10* BEARS (GOW) The Bears are 0-4, blowing a 21-point lead last week at home to the Broncos and falling 31-28 as 3-point dogs. It's do or die for Chicago this week. Essentially, the season is already over, but for all intents and purposes, there will be zero chance of the playoffs at 0-5. Washington is 2-2, but it's now lost two straight after also choking away a big lead on the road to the Eagles. Both teams come in off terrible losses, but we still believe that the Bears will be the more motivated side here. The Bears got the best game of the season out of Justin Fields last week, going 28 of 35 for 335 yards and 4:1 TD:INT. Sam Howell on the other hand has a 5:4 TD:INT so far this year. We're giving Fields the advantage here and we believe that Chicago has a legitimate shot at winning this one outright; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -103 | 53 h 31 m | Show |
10* Louisana Tech (GOW) WKU is 3-2, while Louisana Tech is 3-3. The Hilltoppers are 1-0 on the road, while the Bulldogs are 2-0 at home. WKU is off a 31-10 home win over MTSU. QB Austin Reed wasn't the most efficient, but finished 30 of 52 for 297 yards, two TD's and an INT. Louisiana Tech is off the 24-10 road win over UTEP. QB Jack Turner was much more efficient, finishing 9 of 20 for 152 yards and a TD. So far WKU is averaging 31.6 PPG, while allowing 29.2. Louisiana Tech is averaging 27 PPG, and conceding 25.7. Why is the line the way it is? The possiblility that Bulldogs' starting QB Hank Bachmeier may not play. Look for players though like RB Tyre Shelton, who has 318 rushing yards and three rushing TD's to step up this week. It's next man up for this hungry home side and while the Bulldos may fall short of winning outright, we're definitely expecting a full out battle until the very end; grab the points, the play is Louisiana Tech! AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Bucs v. Saints -3.5 | Top | 26-9 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
10* Saints (NFC SOUTH GOM) Both NFC South teams are 2-1, so the winner will have a big leg up in the division. New Orleans though gets ready to welcome back dynamic RB Alvin Kamara, and we feel he'll be a big difference-maker in the outcome of this one. Tampa was riding high after two games, but it sure came back down to Earth in last week's loss. Tampa's defense has been great, but we feel it'll finally struggle here to keep Mayfield from looking terrible. Derek Carr is out for the Saints, but that just means that his equal in Jameis Winston steps up to take over, super motivated here to now maintain this starters role. We expect Mayfield to take another predictable step back again here in this difficult road venue; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Steelers v. Texans +3 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
10* Texans (UNDERDOG GOM) Pittsburgh is 2-1 SU, while Houston is 1-2. The Steelers are off an impressive 23-18 win at Las Vegas as 3-point dogs, but with a home game vs. division rival Baltimore next weekend, not only do we feel this sets up as a letdown spot after the upset road win, but also a look ahead spot. This is a "trap" game for Pittsburgh. Houston on the other hand comes in off its first win of the year, demolishing the Jaguars 37-17 as 7.5-point underdogs. While we do feel the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Houston! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Nevada +25 v. Fresno State | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
10* Nevada (MW GOY) Outright win? Of course not! For us, this is an unbelievably great "situational" play. Nevada 0-4 SU, and 2-2 ATS, while Fresno State is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. The Wolf Pack are off a 35-24 loss as a 17-point underdog at Texas State, but we feel they offer great value to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. With a game at Wyoming next week though, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot for the home side, but it's also a "look ahead." That = "trap game!" Look for the hungry Wolfpack to keep this one competitive late; grab the points, the play is Nevada! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +2.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 53 h 36 m | Show |
10* Virginia Tech (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 1-3, but we can't understate how important we feel that the home field advantage will prove in the final outcome of this contest. To say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement though, as Pittsburgh has won three straight in the series. Pittsburgh if off the 41-34 loss to UNC. QB Phil Jurkovec had 109 yards passing before leaving with an injury. So far the Panthers average just 17 PPG. VT is coming off a hard-fought 24-17 loss to Marhall. QB Kyron Drones had two rushing TD's, as well as throwing for 159 yards and no INT's. The VT run game posted 184 years, and we believe that the Panthers will have a difficult time slowing it down here as well; clearly the outright win is possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Virginia Tech! AAA Sports |
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