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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-01-23 | Liberty -5 v. Sun | 87-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Liberty are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Liberty are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.NEW YORK is 17-8 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 7-0 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 7-0 ATS in road games after 4 straight games where they committed 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.  WNBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a good team (60% to 75%) after 15 or more games are 33-3 L/26 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors withnthe average ppg diff clicking at +9.6 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Liberty |
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09-29-23 | Aces -6 v. Wings | 64-61 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
Aces enter this game on a 8 game win streak, and are showing complete dominance over their opponents, and over a recent 5 game span have outscored their opposition by an average of 17.2 ppg and by the first two games of this series vs Dallas by 14 and 7 points respectively. Dallas did play better last time out, but that will make the Aces all that more aware, and concentrated. Note:LAS VEGAS is 13-4 ATS off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicked in at 13.9. Play on Vegas to cover |
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09-26-23 | Sun v. Liberty -9 | 77-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
The Sun are fourth in the WNBA in points scored (82.7 per game) and best in points allowed (79).The Sun make 7.2 3-pointers per game and shoot 36% from beyond the arc, ranking sixth and fourth, respectively, in the league.In 2023 the Sun are second-best in the league in 3-pointers conceded (6.7 per game) and best in defensive 3-point percentage (32.1%) which matches up well against a three point centric Liberty offense. Sun are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference.Sun are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Sun are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Liberty have been propelled by their explosive offense,  ranking second-best in the WNBA by scoring 89.2 points per game. They rank fourth in the league in points allowed (80.6 per contest). The Liberty average 7.5 three-pointers conceded per game, and are fifth in the WNBA. They are allowing a 34.1% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks fifth in the league. Which is not a good omen for them covering vs a a strong 3 point D. New York has beaten the spread just 19 times in 41 games despite of a strong w/L record. As 9.5-point favorites or more, the Liberty are a sub .500 9-12 ATS. In closing it will be the Sun out side D, that will be the difference maker. Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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09-17-23 | Lynx v. Sun OVER 158 | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Connecticut blasted Minnesota by a 90-60 count in game 1 of this series, and Im betting they light the board up again, but for the Lynx to reciprocate with some offensive fire works of their own in a tilt Im projecting to eclipse this total. MINNESOTA is 8-1 OVER  revenging a blowout loss versus opponent by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 176.4 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT is 10-3 OVER  in home games after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games this season with aq combined average of 167.7 ppg scored. Over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 Sunday games. Over is 5-2 in Lynx last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 7-3 in Lynx last 10 overall. Over is 4-1 in Sun last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 13-5 in Sun last 18 home games. Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western Conference. Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (MINNESOTA) - off a road blowout loss by 20 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 37-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 165 ppg going on the board. Play over |
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09-13-23 | Lynx +9 v. Sun | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
 "The Lynx are just the second team in league history to make the playoffs after starting 0-6, and must not be under estimated in their ability to compete here tonight against the Connecticut Sun. Collier, Kayla McBride, Aerial Powers, Jessica Shepard and (Dorka) Juhasz, have shown alot of cohesion as the season, has progressed, and despite a few stumbles to end their season are a viable underdog side to back . While I dont believe they can win this game outright, I do believe in them not going out with a whimper at least in game 1.MINNESOTA is 20-6 ATS after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons .Reeve is 28-15 ATS  off an upset loss as a road favorite as the coach of MINNESOTA. Lynx are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Lynx are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Lynx are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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09-10-23 | Sky +10 v. Sun | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Chicago has been highly competitive recently covering 6 of their L/7 and deserve respect here getting points. The Connecticut Sun Im betting sit some players as their play off destiny is secured as the third seed. Sky are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Connecticut. WNBA team (CONNECTICUT) - good free throw shooting team (76-80%) against an average free throw shooting team (71-76%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 45% better of their shots are 39-77 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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09-10-23 | Mystics +10 v. Liberty | 90-88 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Mystics seem to always bring their A game out when playing the Liberty. . The regular season ends Sunday in New York Im betting will rest key players on a roster that has weathered injuries all summer. Mystics are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and deserve respect here getting this many points.Liberty are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. WNBA Home favorites (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, vs. division opponents are 35-71 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate. Mystics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on the Washington to cover |
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08-31-23 | Mystics +10.5 v. Aces | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
The Mystics seem to always bring their A game in against top tier opponents like the Aces . WASHINGTON is 12-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Vegas is off an extended road trip and make take time to get acclimated to home cooking again. LAS VEGAS is 2-9 ATS  after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 6-15 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Vegas has failed cover 5 straight games. Play on Washington to cover |
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08-31-23 | Mercury +13.5 v. Sun | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
Phoenix ranks last in the league, winning just nine of their 35 games this season, and are on a six-game losing streak and thanks to those numbers are now being under rated by the linesmakers here. I cannot see the Sun being very motivated here and that alone may be the difference maker. White is 2-10 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997. PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS in road games after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a sub par team (-7 PPG or less differential), after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games are 8-27 L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mercury to cover |
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08-26-23 | Liberty v. Lynx +9.5 | 111-76 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Minnesota has scored 90 plus points in 2 straight games and with their offense in top form are more than capable of covering this number vs the explosive Liberty. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS after scoring 90 points or more this season. MINNESOTA is 15-8 ATSvs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts this season.MINNESOTA is 34-18 ATS average defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 season. MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs this season. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off an upset win as an underdog are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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08-18-23 | Lynx v. Storm +2.5 | 78-70 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
The last time Minnesota visited Seattle back on June 29th this season, the Lynx came away with a 99-97 win as 3 point dogs, and Im betting it will be close again but the pendulum will swing back the other way in favor of the home underdog Storm in the rematch. SEATTLE is 19-4 ATS L/23 after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less shots than opponent. SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games this season. SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off a win against a division rival are 39-20 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
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08-13-23 | Liberty v. Fever +10.5 | 100-89 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Liberty enter this game as the No.2 seed in the WNBA while Indiana has the worst record in the league. However, because of this according to my projections the lines makers have over compensated for this discrepancy , which gives us value with what will be a motivated underdog with little left to play for other than a big upset . The Liberty are just 1-4 ATS L/5 and are consistently being over rated on the line. Play on the Fever to cover |
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08-11-23 | Sky +13 v. Liberty | 73-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
The Liberty had a huge DD win vs Vegas last time out- while shooing over 50% from the field and now Im betting on immediate regression in a letdown situation. Meanwhile, Chicago After a 3 game win streak lost as favs to the up-trending Lynx and will now be motivated to perform against a top tier team that has had issues covering this season, covering only 6 of 14 home tilts. Chicago has covered 7 of 12 away affairs. NEW YORK is 6-13 ATS versus sub par foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season. NEW YORK is 7-16 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 6-15 ATS in home games after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 30-13 ATS L/43 in road games versus teams who average 45 or more rebounds/game on the season after 15+ games .  WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - off an upset win as an underdog are 15-41 L/26 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate. Play on Chicago to cover WNBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 45% or higher are 19-45 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams (NEW YORK) - good 3PT shooting team (35% or more) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots are 28-58 L/26 seasons for. ago against 68% conversion rate for bettors. |
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08-10-23 | Lynx v. Fever UNDER 162.5 | 73-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
After 6 straight unders the Fever finally eclipsed the total last time out, on a deflated line. They also finally put 80 points on the board for the first time in 7 games, last time out which aided in the over result However, here against a up-trending  Lynx defense, that has not allowed more than 79 points in their L/3 games, Im betting this number will not be breached . MINNESOTA is 30-12 UNDER L/42 road games off an upset win as a road underdog with the average combined score clicking in at 141.2 ppg. (Defeated Chicago last time out as 3.5 point underdogs) WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (INDIANA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less) are 71-39 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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08-08-23 | Mystics v. Mercury UNDER 158 | 72-91 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
The Mercury have gone under the total in 9 of their L/11 overall including their L/4 games at home. Meanwhile, the Mystics have gone under in 9 of their 13 road games this season. Im betting the under trend continuing here today as my own projections estimate a total closer to 155 which gives us a full possession edge on the offered number to the under. WASHINGTON is 6-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.7 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 100-56 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 206-138 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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08-08-23 | Lynx +3.5 v. Sky | 88-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Minnesota and Chicago are evenly matched according to my current power rankings even with home court advantage factored in for the Chicago. It must be noted that the Lynx has covered 5 of their L/6 road games, while the Sky have failed to cover 4 of their L/6 home tilts. Advantage Minnesota. MINNESOTA is 11-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS in home games after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 3 season WNBA Home teams (CHICAGO) - good 3PT shooting team (35% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots are 28-57 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors. Three of the L/4 meetings in this series have been decided by 4 points or less. Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover |
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08-08-23 | Sun v. Storm +7.5 | 81-69 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Seattle after a bad run has now won and covered 3 of their L/4 games and have momentum entering this tilt against a Connecticut side they will be in revenge mode against. Combination of up-trending and pay back on the agenda make the home side viable side to back against the spread . CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better this season. WNBA Underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a loss versus opponent, off an upset win as a road underdog are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SEATTLE) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off an upset win as a road underdogs are 36-13 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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08-05-23 | Storm v. Mercury -3 | 97-91 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Mercury have been their most competitive at home this season, and Im betting they have the edge again vs a side they matchup well agains the Seattle Storm (6-20). I also expect the the Mercury will come out strong at home in Brittney Griner’s return who was off a mental health break.  Mercury when playing at Footprint Center own a  +1.4 rating , ranking  sixth in the WNBA. The Storm, have a road net rating of -4.2.  Mercury are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Play on the Mercury to cover |
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08-04-23 | Sun v. Fever +7.5 | 88-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
The last time they took the court, the Indiana Fever grabbed a victory  by a final score of 72-71 when they took down the Phoenix Mercury and have momentum entering this tilt against the Connecticut Sun. I know the Sun have the superior record, but the Fever, have a tendency of playing their best hoops against top tier sides, as is evident by  7-2-1 ATS mark in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play at home and with the confidence of a win last time out, Im betting the Fever make this game alot closer than the lines makers and pundits expect. Play on the FeverÂ
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08-02-23 | Wings v. Storm +6.5 | 76-65 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
Storm enter this game on a 5-1 ATS run in their last 6 games overall and have covered 4 of 5 vs an above .500 side like the visiting Wings . Im now betting the Storm keep this game close against a side that recently played all out hoops in a 104-91 loss vs the WNBAs top team Vegas, and will now be in an emotional letdown spot . These circumstances could easily see the Wings start slowly tonight. Note: I know the Wings can really light the board up in run and gun mode, but they also lack defensive responsibilities and are vulnerable to being upset when in regressionary mode like Im betting they will this evening. DALLAS is 3-11 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season. Play on Seattle to cover |
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08-01-23 | Liberty v. Sparks +9 | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
NYL have really been lighting up the scoreboard of late . but the Liberty D, has also been lit up and because of this have failed to cover 3 of their L/4 games. The Liberty have a great won loss record, but their wins don't seem to come all that easily, as is evident by not covering in 8 of their L/10. Considering LA has momentum entering this tilt winning 2 of their L/3 - I like the home sides chances at competing here and getting us the cover. ( The Liberty beat the Sparks by a 87-79 count back in NY a couple of days ago, and now Im betting on a even closer game here) NEW YORK is 4-11 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games this season. NEW YORK is 6-13 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts this season. Liberty are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Liberty are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Liberty are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Liberty are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Sparks to cover |
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07-30-23 | Storm +4 v. Fever | 85-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Both these teams are examples of futility, however according to my power rankings the superior side in this matchup is the visiting Storm who have covered 4 of their L/5 overall and in the most recent past have had good results against the Fever. Also after a 4 game road trip Im betting it will take time for an inconsistent side like the Fever to get used to home cooking again. Advantage Storm. SEATTLE is 6-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons including 3-0 L/3 visits to Indiana. WNBA Underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off an upset win as an underdog are 33-12 ATS L/5 seasons for. a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Seattle to cover |
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07-28-23 | Lynx +14.5 v. Liberty | 88-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
The Lynx are off a big win last time out by a 97-92 win vs the Mystics, and have momentum entering this tilt here vs a tired NY Liberty side in a rare back to back situation. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS in road games after scoring 90 points or more over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Liberty are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference. Home favorites of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - averaging 42 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 51-96 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Lynx are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Play on Lynx to cover |
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07-25-23 | Fever v. Sparks UNDER 165.5 | 78-79 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score in the low 160s giving us a significant edge on the offered Totals number from the sports books. Under is 5-0 in Dream last 5 overall. Last time out the Sky had a rare offensive outburst, scoring 90s points , but previous to that they did score more than 77 points in 4 straight games, and now Im betting on immediate regression, against a Vegas side that is currently playing a top tier brand of D, as is evident by allowing three of their L/4 opponents to exceed 78 points in production. Meanwhile, I also expect Atlanta to try to slow this game down to a crawl vs an explosive side which will aid in a combined score that remains on the low side of the number. Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 16-5 in Mercury last 21 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 15-5-1 in Mercury last 21 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Play under |
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07-25-23 | Mercury v. Dream UNDER 166.5 | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score in the low 160s giving us a significant edge on the offered Totals number from the sports books. Under is 5-0 in Dream last 5 overall. Last time out the Sky had a rare offensive outburst, scoring 90s points , but previous to that they did score more than 77 points in 4 straight games, and now Im betting on immediate regression, against a Vegas side that is currently playing a top tier brand of D, as is evident by not allowing three of their L/4 opponents to exceed 78 points in production. Meanwhile, I also expect Atlanta to try to slow this game down to a crawl vs an explosive side which will aid in a combined score that remains on the low side of the number. Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 16-5 in Mercury last 21 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 15-5-1 in Mercury last 21 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Play under |
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07-23-23 | Fever +12 v. Liberty | 83-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Indiana has been mostly competitive this season, and have now covered three straight and have momentum entering this game off a upset victory last time out. Meanwhile, NY despite of a great won loss record, have been over rated by the lines-makers of late, as is evident by failing to cover 5 straight and 6 of their L/7. With that said, according to my power rankings the Liberty are once again tagged with an exaggerated ATS offering from the books giving us value taking points with a viable underdog. WNBA Home favorites (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games, in May, June, or July games are 6-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, off an upset win as an underdog are 26-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. ( The last time these teams played on July 12 the Liberty took a 95-87 ) Play on Indiana to cover |
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07-22-23 | Sun v. Dream +1 | 86-78 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
Atlanta has won 6 of their L/8 overall and three straight homes games and deserve respect in their current form. WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 42-15 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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07-20-23 | Aces v. Storm +17 | 79-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
The Storm have lost the last 7 games while the Aces have won 3 straight and remain the top team in the WNBA. However , my numbers suggest this line is bloated and should be closer to -12 giving us alot of value with the underdog. SEATTLE is 26-12 ATS L/28 in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more ) .  Aces are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Hughes is 13-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more as the coach of SEATTLE. I know Seattle has been beaten up by the Aces, but Im betting the Storm find a way to stand up here, and get some respect back. Play on Seattle to cover |
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07-19-23 | Wings v. Liberty UNDER 171 | 98-88 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
My own personal projections for this game featuring the Liberty and the Wings are in the 167 range giving us a full possession plus value advantage with an under wager. The average combined score of home home Liberty games, is in the 169 range. The Wings have seen an average combined score of 166.3 ppg scored in their road games and previous to a big output last time out had seen five straight games stay under the total. Last time out the Wings had a rare offensive explosion of 107 points and now Im betting on immediate regression vs the Liberty that will effect this games production levels to the under. Under is 5-0 in Wings last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-1 in Wings last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Wings last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Wings last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Wings last 5 Wednesday games. Play under |
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07-12-23 | Wings v. Lynx +1.5 | 107-67 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Dallas enters this tilt having won four of five, while the Lynx just had their 5-game win streak abruptly come to an end vs the leagues most explosive side ( Las Vegas). Dallas ranks 6th in the standings while Minnesota ranks 7th. According to my power rankings these teams are pretty evenly matched with home court advantage being the difference maker in my betting opinion. Thus getting points here makes for a viable wagering opportunity on a plus line offering. Lynx are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.Lynx are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Lynx are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Lynx are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Wings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Wings are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.Wings are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Play on Lynx to cover |
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07-11-23 | Mercury +17.5 v. Aces | 72-98 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
I know Las Vegas has ripped through the first part of their current campaign winning 17 of their first 19 games, but because of this their is an added premium to backing them as favs, which makes getting points with the Mercury a viable betting proposition according to my power rankings.  WNBA Home teams (LAS VEGAS) - good 3PT shooting team (35% or better) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots are 25-55 L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off a win against a division rival are 39-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Mercury are 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Las Vegas. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover
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07-08-23 | Storm +16 v. Liberty | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
I know Seattle has not played well of late, but after an ugly 93-73 loss vs the Connecticut Sun last time out, and some of the statements issued by the coaching staff, a much better effort must be expected and a subsequent cover . NEW YORK is 4-13 ATS in home games after scoring 75 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.Hughes is 12-3 ATS in road games after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher as the coach of SEATTLE. WNBA Home favorites (NEW YORK) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games are 10-29 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
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07-06-23 | Storm +9.5 v. Sun | 73-93 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
The Seattle Storm have struggled defensively, but some hard work in practice recently and a more determined defensive posture will help them get back on the right track. I know the Sun play their best hoops at home but this line is still slightly bloated according to my projections, giving us value with visiting dog.  The Storm have been very competitive away from home as is evident by garnering a  8-3-1 ATS mark in their last 12 games. Sun are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Play on Seattle Storm to cover |
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07-05-23 | Wings +15.5 v. Aces | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
Dallas enters this tilt with a 8-8 record on the season and have been very competitive overall. They have scored an average of 84.3 points per game (4th in the WNBA) while hitting 41.3% from the field and deserve respect here as big DD dogs. Yes, I know how well the Aces have performed to this point in the season, but the number being offered here offers value and is vulnerable. My projections make this line closer +12 which gives a full possession edge on this current offering from the sports books. Wings are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Las Vegas.Wings are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on Dallas Wings to cover |
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07-05-23 | Fever v. Lynx -1 | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
Indiana heads into this contest with a record of 5-11 for the campaign and according to my projections should be 3 point underdogs in this spot play situation thus giving us value with the short home fav Minnesota. Fever are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Lynx are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Lynx are 38-16-1 ATS in their last 55 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Lynx to cover |
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07-02-23 | Mystics v. Wings -5.5 | 72-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Dallas has lost 5 of their L/7 but did pick up a win last time out in Phoenix and have momentum entering this game vs Washington. DALLAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. Now with revenge on board for a 75-74 loss the Mystics earlier this season, Im betting on a big time effort in revenge mode from the host side. DALLAS is 16-7 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Advantage Dallas. WNBA Home teams (DALLAS) - revenging a close loss versus opponent by 3 points or less, with a losing record are 111-64 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Mystics are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Dallas to cover |
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07-01-23 | Sun +11.5 v. Aces | 84-102 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Vegas enters Saturday’s matchup as the top team in the WNBA standings with a 14-1 record after a big time win vs the NY Liberty last time out in a hard fought 91-89 that should easily have the Aces in a letdown spot. after a shooting 58% from the field. With that said, this line is a little bloated according to my current power rankings giving us nice value with the visiting Connecticut Sun who are no pushovers themselves as they were the only team to hand the Aces a defeat this season. Sun are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 vs. Western Conference. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games, on Saturday games are 29-7 L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Aces are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Play on Connecticut Sun to cover |
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06-29-23 | Fever -3 v. Mercury | 63-85 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Phoenix has a win-loss record of 2-11 so far this season and not in good form. Mercury are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.PHOENIX is 0-7 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or better of their attempts this season. Fever are 6-0-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. Fever are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.NDIANA is 6-0 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Sides is 6-0 ATS in road games after scoring 80 points or more as the coach of INDIANA WNBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=76 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 10-39 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. |
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06-28-23 | Dream v. Mystics UNDER 163.5 | 86-109 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-28-23 | Sparks v. Sky UNDER 157.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-28-23 | Sparks v. Sky | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-27-23 | Storm +4.5 v. Lynx | 93-104 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-23-23 | Wings -1 v. Sparks | 74-76 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-20-23 | Sun v. Storm +8.5 | 85-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-18-23 | Dream v. Fever UNDER 162.5 | 100-94 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-18-23 | Mercury v. Liberty -12.5 | 71-89 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-16-23 | Lynx +6 v. Sparks | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-14-23 | Sparks v. Wings UNDER 169 | 79-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-13-23 | Dream +10.5 v. Liberty | 86-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating back 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-09-23 | Mystics v. Storm +12.5 | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
06-08-23 | Aces v. Sun UNDER 169.5 | 77-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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06-06-23 | Fever v. Sky -6 | 103-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on the Sky to cover |
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06-02-23 | Aces v. Dream +12.5 | 92-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-01-23 | Sun v. Lynx UNDER 161.5 | 89-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 196-127 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-30-23 | Fever +13 v. Sun | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on the Fever to cover |
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05-30-23 | Sky v. Dream UNDER 161.5 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on the UNDER |
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05-23-23 | Dream +2.5 v. Lynx | 83-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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05-21-23 | Sky v. Mercury -3 | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
My WNBA basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating back over 27 years) In other words no stone is left unturned. WNBA Road favorites (CHICAGO) - horrible defensive team from last season - allowed 75 or more points/game, after a win by 10 points or more are 10-24 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the Mercury |
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09-06-22 | Aces v. Storm OVER 165 | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
SEATTLE is 6-0 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season with the average ppg hitting in at 175 ppg. |
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07-29-22 | Liberty +10 v. Sky | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
07-23-22 | Sky -4.5 v. Liberty | 80-83 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
CHICAGO is 12-5 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=33% of their attempts this season. NEW YORK is 0-6 ATS in home games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, on Saturday games are 37-5 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8 . |
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07-19-22 | Fever +8.5 v. Sparks | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 28 h 46 m | Show | |
- Road teams (INDIANA) - sub par performing  team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights are 70-29 ATS L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. LOS ANGELES is 3-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. |
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07-14-22 | Mystics -3 v. Mercury | 75-80 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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07-01-22 | Aces v. Lynx +4.5 | 91-85 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
06-30-22 | Dream v. Liberty UNDER 161 | 92-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
06-26-22 | Lynx +7 v. Sky | 85-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-23-22 | Fever +9 v. Wings | 68-94 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
My WNBA projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-07-22 | Lynx +2.5 v. Liberty | 69-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 25 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
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05-31-22 | Mystics v. Fever +8.5 | 87-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
05-28-22 | Aces v. Sky +1.5 | 83-76 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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05-20-22 | Fever +14 v. Sun | 85-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends - In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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05-19-22 | Lynx +11.5 v. Aces | 87-93 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
05-13-22 | Fever +6.5 v. Liberty | 92-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
05-13-22 | Wings v. Mystics -7.5 | 94-86 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
09-28-21 | Sky v. Sun -7 | 101-95 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and once again have the edge here in this tilt as favorites. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in 3 straight games this season. I know Chicago has been flying high entering this tilt, but it must be noted CHICAGO is 0-9 ATS after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more since entering the WNBA. CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game after 15+ games since entering the league. Connecticut to win /cover |
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09-23-21 | Liberty +9 v. Mercury | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Phoenix enters this game reeling, having lost 3 straight entering the play offs while, the Liberty won their L/tilt of the season, and have covered 4 of their L/5 overall. Tonight Im betting on these two negative and positive momentums to continue and for the Liberty to get us the cover.   WNBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - after allowing 70 points or more in 5 straight games against opponent after allowing 75 points or more in 5 straight games are 34-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.   WNBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a home loss versus opponent against opponent off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals are 23-3 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on NYL to cover |
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09-15-21 | Liberty v. Sun UNDER 148.5 | 69-98 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 145 giving us a full possession edge on this number. CONNECTICUT is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or better of their attempts this season. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 UNDER when playing with 3 or more days rest this season. NEW YORK is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-11-21 | Sun v. Mercury +4 | 76-67 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
We have value with a viable home dog in this spot play according to my power rankings. PHOENIX is 7-1 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or more of their attempts after 15+ games this season.Â
WNBAÂ Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-2 SU L/24 seasons for a 94% conversion rate. Play on the Phoenix to cover |
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08-31-21 | Sky v. Mercury +1 | 83-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
My projections make the Mercury 2 point favs thus giving us value with the home side. CHICAGO is 5-13 ATS after allowing 75 points or more this season. PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 17 or more assists/game after 15+ games this season. WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games and 38-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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08-26-21 | Wings v. Mystics -3 | 82-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
The Washington Mystics will face the Dallas Wings for the second time this season on Thursday at home in D.C. In their first matchup on June 26, Dallas led by double-digits almost the entire game. Tonight Im betting the Mystics will get their revenge here at home where they have won the last two meetings. WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS revenging a road loss versus opponent by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. Play on Washington Mystics to win |
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08-24-21 | Aces v. Sun | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The sun play their best hoops at home where they own a 10-1 mark this season, and once again Im betting home court advantage will be golden. 'CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS after a game where a team made 90% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - off a home win by 10 points or more, in August or September games are 40-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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08-19-21 | Lynx v. Sun -5 | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Jasmine Thomas scored 19 points, Jonquel Jones had 17 points and 13 rebounds, and Connecticut beat Minnesota 72-60 on Tuesday night to snap the Lynx's eight-game winning streak. Rinse and repeat. Lynx enter this game with a 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-4 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.2 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - off a home win by 10 points or more, in August or September games are 39-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at 11.9 which qualifies on this line. Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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08-18-21 | Storm -3 v. Liberty | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
NYL last 3 losses have come by DDs, and Im betting they are being given a little ibt to much respect here even though we are backing a side from the west coast playing out side of their own time zone. WNBA team (SEATTLE) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 22-3 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, with a losing record after 15 or more games are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - playing with 2 days rest, with a losing record after 15 or more games are 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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08-18-21 | Storm v. Liberty UNDER 156.5 | 79-83 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score in the low to mid 150s. Giving us value on anything above 155. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - after one or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game are 144-86 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate! Play UNDER |
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08-15-21 | Fever +3 v. Sparks | 70-75 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
The Fever were playing well before the break as they won 3 games in a row and Im betting on that momentum to continue vs a rebuilding Sparks side getting to much respect here in this spot. Fever are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Sparks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.Sparks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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07-09-21 | Lynx v. Aces -7.5 | 77-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
Vegas after being upset last time out will be wide awake here in ready to get redemption. LAS VEGAS is 8-0 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LAS VEGAS) - a very good team (+7 PPG diff. or more ) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 35-1 L/5 seasons with th average ppg diff clicking in at +13 ppg which qualifies on the ATS line. Play on Las Vegas to win |
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07-09-21 | Liberty v. Fever OVER 159.5 | 69-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
WNBA Road teams where the first half total is greater than 70.5 (NEW YORK) - off a home win, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 26-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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07-09-21 | Liberty v. Fever +1.5 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Indiana broke a long losing streak last time out and now with momentum Im betting they will be competitive again and get the cover. WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - off a home win against a division rival against opponent off a home win are 26-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA  Home favorites (INDIANA) - good offensive team - scoring 73+ points/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 39-18 ATS L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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07-04-21 | Storm v. Sparks +12.5 | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
This is to many points according to my projections for the Storm to be laying on the road. Advantage LA . LOS ANGELES is 3-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons at home. NBA Home teams (LOS ANGELES) - off a loss against a division rival, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 6-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on LA Sparks to cover |
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07-03-21 | Lynx +3 v. Mercury | 99-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
 Reeve is 36-24 ATS  vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of MINNESOTA. PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - playing with 2 days rest, with a losing record after 15 or more games are 9-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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06-23-21 | Lynx v. Dream UNDER 168 | 87-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Reeve is 25-12 UNDER off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival as the coach of MINNESOTA. ( HC complained that the team had lost focus). Back to D and basics here in this tilt. ATLANTA is 10-2 UNDER in home games against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less) are 64-29 UNDER L/24 seasons for a69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-25-21 | Mystics v. Fever +2.5 | 85-69 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Indiana won the first meeting in this back to back series vs Washington and matchup well vs the Mystics as the final 89-77 score would indicate. INDIANA is 10-2 ATS off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog . Thibault is 2-12 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite in all games he has coached since 1997. WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS in road games after 2 straight games attempting 70 or more shots over the last 3 seasons NBA Underdogs (INDIANA) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, on Tuesday nights are 63-31 ATS L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the Fever to cover |
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05-19-21 | Sky v. Dream +6 | 85-77 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
My projections make this line closer to -3 for the road side which gives us a full possession of value taking points with the home dog . NBA Road favorites (CHICAGO) - excellent offensive team from last season - scored 75 or more points/game, after a win by 10 points or more are just 6-30 L/24 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dream to cover |
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05-16-21 | Mercury v. Sun -1.5 | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
My early season power ranking suggest the Sun should be -3 favs here giving us value on an short fav line. CONNECTICUT is 33-14 ATS 47 as a home favorite of 3 points or less. WNBA team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - off a road win, marginal winning team from last season (51% to 60%) playing a team who had a losing record are 7-20 L/24 season for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Sun to cover |
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05-16-21 | Liberty v. Fever UNDER 164.5 | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
My projections estimate this total should be closer 160 which gives us a two possession advantage on this offered total. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (INDIANA) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 154-97 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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08-31-20 | Sky v. Fever +7.5 | 100-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
Chicago is the superior side, but this is just to many points to lay with them. Value with Indiana. |
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08-30-20 | Mercury +4.5 v. Lynx | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 1 h 40 m | Show | |
The Mercury aims for a third straight win on Sunday against the Minnesota Lynx at the IMG Academy in Bradenton, Fla. Im betting on the momentum of the Mercury in this spot. PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS in road games after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.  MINNESOTA is 0-9 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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08-29-20 | Wings v. Fever +2 | 82-78 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
Dallas has dropped two straight games by a combined seven points since beating Washington in overtime last Friday and Im betting on another close one here with the underdog Fever with the edge. Stanley is 3-15 ATS on Saturday games in all games he has coached since 1997. DALLAS is 2-10 ATS after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Favorites (DALLAS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a losing record are 35-11 ATS for a 76% conversion rate. INDIANA is 6-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Indiana to cover |
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08-23-20 | Mercury v. Mystics OVER 166 | 88-87 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
WASHINGTON is 17-8 OVERÂ versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 171.6 ppg scored. Â PHOENIX is 19-9 OVERÂ in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 167.8 ppg going on the board.5 of 6Â games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. Play OVER |
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08-23-20 | Mercury -4.5 v. Mystics | 88-87 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 49 m | Show | |
Nothing comes easy for the Mystics, and covering as a underdog it something that they are not equipped to do with consistency with their current lineup and lack of motivation. After 9 straight losses that is obvious. Ill take the points here.  WASHINGTON is 0-8 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.WASHINGTON is 0-9 ATS in August or September games this season. PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS in road games after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 160 points or more in 3 straight games are 44-16 ATS L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Phoenix to cover |
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