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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-19-23 | Bears +5 v. Colts | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
The Bears have won the L/6 games in this preseason series SU, and according to my projections deserve respect here a dogs vs a Colts side that 2-14-2 ATS L/18 preseason home games. I know Bears QB Justin Fields is not expected to play this game, but despite of lines-makers lack of respect of the rest of Bears QB group, Im willing to take the points on what to me is exaggerated line favoring the Colts. Also during joint scrim-ages with the Colts there were some cheap shots taken on Fields and now I expecting a more motivated version of the Bears to show up here in this preseason affair. NFLX Road teams (CHICAGO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record in the preseason are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover |
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08-17-23 | Browns +3.5 v. Eagles | 18-18 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
 The Browns have have faired well in preseason football of late , garnering a 14-4 SU record since 2017, and are currently on a  6-0-1 ATS run when getting points in the underdog role. .Kevin Stefanski has a viable preseason record of 5-3 SU during his tenure as Browns head coach and seems to take even scrimmages very seriously . I know the Browns will probably not start their starting QB but the battle between  Kellen Mond and Dorian Thompson-Robinson should make for aggressive outing from a Cleveland side that wants to get their offense rolling. Note: Eagles are 0-5 SUATS L5 preseason home games and are just .2-9 SU/ATS in Thursday tilts. NFLX road sides after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 42-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games dating back 31 seasons. (This happened last time out in a 17-15 loss to Washington) Play on Cleveland to cover |
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08-13-23 | 49ers v. Raiders +4 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
San Francisco and Las Vegas participated in joint practices ahead of their preseason opener Sunday in the desert, and in scrim-ages the Raiders defense forced multiple interceptions from Purdy, and other 49ers QBs and Im betting they continue those efforts here today. The 49ers listed Lance and Sam Darnold as their No. 2 quarterbacks in this game, and Im betting both struggle against a hungry group of Raiders. Defense trumps offense here today. The Raiders 6-0 SUATS L6 preseason HGs and must be respected here getting points vs the SF 49ers. Play on Raiders to cover |
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08-19-22 | Saints v. Packers -3 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 63 h 56 m | Show | |
 HC Matt LaFleur and his coaching staff looked more concerned with just getting the gears started on the Packers proverbial football machine than finding a way to win last time out.(SF 28- GB 21) But this week Im betting the old ball coach looks at putting his team in a winning frame of mind as we head into week 2 of preseason NFL football. This is a rematch of a ugly 38-3 loss in the 2021 season opener at New Orleans. It was LaFleur‘s and also QB Aaron Rodgers’ most lopsided loss in their NFL careers. It must be noted that the Saints new head coach Dennis Allen is 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS away in previous nfl preseason tilts. With that said Im betting on Green Bay to improve to 6-0 SUATS vs the Saints in nflx action. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover |
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08-13-22 | Dolphins -1 v. Bucs | 26-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
The Dolphins are starting a new era with first-year head coach Mike McDaniel and Im betting the new guy on the block will want to make a statement by winning right out of the gate here in preseason play. Giving his side a positive landmark moving forward could be key here. Dolphins players are still talking about their 45-17 beatdown at the hands of the Bucs in last seasons meeting, and sound pumped to have a much better showing even though this is just preseason play. In two head to head scrimmages with TB the Fins looked pretty good, and with Teddy Bridgewater and Skylar Thompson splitting reps for Miami will be viable threats to move the ball and score some points vs a Bucs side that is exploring depth players and possible positions upgrades for their opening day roster. Im betting the more focused and motivated side gets is to the promise land tonight in Florida. Note: The  visitor 11-1 ATS in this series and Miami is  5-0 ATS vs NFC South. The Bucs are 1-7 SU L/8 Game One preseason tilts. Play on Miami to cover |
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08-11-22 | Giants -2.5 v. Patriots | 23-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
New Giants head coach Brian Daboll will want to make a statement right out of the gate with some aggressive offensive football so I expect QBs Taylor , Webb and even Jones should see some time right out of the gate in preseason ball. Daboll is well known for his advanced offensive systems , and should do enough damage here to get us to the promised land vs a New England side that is said to be having troubles with chemistry on offense so far in preseason scrimmages. Gmen are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series dating back 23 seasons  / visitor 9-2 SUATS. Play on the NY Giants to cover |
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08-14-21 | Saints v. Ravens -2 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 37 h 40 m | Show | |
The Saints enter this preseason game going 2-10 ATS L12 vs NFC opposition  Meanwhile, Baltimore is 5-0 ATS L5 in this series and overall under Harbaugh have been absolute beasts in NFLX play accumulating a 21-3 ATS run over the L/6 seasons. The Ravens are currently on a 17-game preseason winning streak. When considering the starting lineup options and backups I conclusively estimate the Raves win vs a Saints team going through some remolding by a FG or more.... giving us value on this number. Play on Baltimore to cover |
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08-14-21 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Bears | 13-20 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Its only preseason ball but the Bears are pretty banged up with a huge injury list on both sides of the ball. I know QB Justin /Fields will make his debut here today and there is alot of hype surrounding his appearance, but he cant win this game on his own, and his backup Andy Dalton despite of being experienced is far from being in his prime. Meanwhile, the Miami dolphins HC Flores looks like he takes preseason ball seriously having gone 3-0 so far with the Fins, and with the solid QB duo of Tua Tagovailoa and Jacoby Brissett on the field the underdogs look like viable bets. Dolphins are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog.Dolphins are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Play on the Dolphins to cover |
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08-12-21 | Steelers +1 v. Eagles | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
 Pittsburgh has already played one tilt in the preseason (Hall ofFame Game), and they were dominant winning a 16-3 decision vs the Dallas Cowboys . Here today against the new look Eagles, who have a new coach ( Nick Sirianni) and a revamped offense behind Jalen Hurts the more prepared Steelers and their iron curtain D, look like solid preseason bets. I know its difficult to predict how much of both teams starters will play, but my depth charts give an edge to the Steelers backups. Look for the Eagles offense to experience growing pains and for the Steelers D to continue to show their toughness. Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.Steelers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog.Steelers are 23-8-2 ATS in their last 33 games as an underdog.Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on natural surface. Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.Eagles are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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08-29-19 | Ravens -6 v. Redskins | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 50 h 33 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens go into Washington with momentum as they ride a 16-game winning streak in pre-season play and have won and covered each of their three exhibition tilts this season.Rookie QB Trace McSorley has looked tremendous and completed 19 of his 28 passing attempts for 203 yards, two touchdowns, last time out in a Ravens, win and should get more snaps tonight with Lamar Jackson not expected to play. Meanwhile, Washington despite of a preseason win last time out, is suffering through some scattered key injuries and will want to stay relatively healthy, going forward so Im betting they play alot of backups and sort out the bottom half of the depth chart . Looks very much like Baltimore makes it 17 straight here, and covers for the 11th time in 13 trips to the gridiron. BALTIMORE is 10-1 ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons.BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points . Play on Baltimore to cover |
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08-29-19 | Vikings -3 v. Bills | 23-27 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings opened at 2.5 point dogs vs the Buffalo Bils, but that number was knocked down, and now the value despite of the divergence still lies with the Vikings of favorites of 3 points. Zimmer is 12-4 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MINNESOTA. Zimmer is 9-2 ATS in road games as the coach of MINNESOTA. NFLX   teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after a 2 game home stand against opponent after playing their last game on the road are 29-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NFLX Road teams (MINNESOTA) - off 2 consecutive home wins, undefeated in the preseason are 41-16 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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08-25-19 | Steelers v. Titans -2.5 | 18-6 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Sunday night National Football League preseason action features the AFC North Pittsburgh Steelers doing battle with the AFC South Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium, in Nashville, Tennessee. The Titans owned a top tier defense last year ranking 8th in total yards allowed and 3rd in points allowed( 18.9 ppg). This season and tonight Im betting the Titans D will continue to shine thanks to addition of some key draft acquisitions and depth. On offence with QB Mariotts expected to play at least half the game a Tennessee offence that has looked more fluid than usual thanks to a more balanced run and passing game and should continue to do good work vs a Pittsburgh D, that might not be as stable as many pundits believe. On the opposite end of the field, its looks like the Steelers Big ben will see limited time if plays today at all which gives me more credence in my backing of the Titans here at home this week. Note: PITTSBURGH is 1-11 ATS L/12 off a upset win as an underdog . Their 17-7 win vs KC last week qualifies here under a regression chart that I use to isolate let down spots. Steelers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.Steelers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on a natural surface. Titans are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 home games. Play on the Tennessee Titans to win on the ML Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. |
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08-24-19 | Seahawks -3 v. Chargers | 23-15 | Win | 100 | 38 h 30 m | Show | |
Veteran QB Philip Rivers will not play this week vs the Chargers and backing Seattle is a good investment option behind a above average group of backup QBs ie JT Barrett and especially Geno Smith with veteran QB Wilson probably playing the first quarter. Pete Carrol said all of starters will see some action on Saturday, but has not specified how much. The line from its opening has spun around in a big way , but there is still market value here on this line favoring the Seahawks. Advantage Seahawks. SEATTLE is 31-12 ATS against AFC West division opponents since 1993. SEATTLE is 33-18 ATS in road games since 1993.  NFLX team (SEATTLE) - after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 24-9 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CHARGERS) - after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are 11-31 L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover |
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08-24-19 | Saints -3 v. Jets | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Jets running back Le’Veon Bell won’t see action until the regular season. With QB Saints Drew Brees likely to see his only action prior to Week 1 kickoff the Saints have an edge over his young counterpart Sam Darnold . Note:  Brees has averaged 22 snaps in Week 3 of the previous two pre-seasons. The Saints have covered 3 of their L/4 road games in the preseason and 6 of their L/8 preseason games overall and get the nod again. NEW ORLEANS is 21-6 ATS in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest . NFLX Home teams (NY JETS) - after a win by 10 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 39-11 L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY JETS) - in non-conference games, off a double digit road win are 11-33 ATS L/10 seasons L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX Home teams (NY JETS) - after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better are 8-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX Favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game are 40-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the New Orleans Saints |
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08-23-19 | Bills v. Lions +1.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 38 m | Show | |
Buffalo enters this week 3 preseason tilt off a 27-14 win last week vs Carolina on the road but it must be noted that from a league wide trend in preseason ball this may not be a positive situation for them. Note: NFLX teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BUFFALO) - in non-conference games, off a double digit road win are just 11-31 ATS in the followup for go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. BUFFALO is also just 3-13 ATS after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game since 1993. The Bills also own a ugly 3-12 SU / ATS mark against NFC North foes in preseason action . Meanwhile, the Lions are a bankroll expanding 14-2 SU and 15-1 ATS for their backers vs AFC East opposition including a 9-1 SUATS record in this series) – including 10-0 ATS at home in Motown. Im expecting a letdown situation here for the Bills, while the Lions after losing their first two preseason games will be primed to get a victory in what they consider to be their dress rehearsal game for the regular season. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover |
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08-22-19 | Jaguars v. Dolphins -2.5 | 7-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Miami is expected to keep their starters in the game for alot longer than the Jaguars, which has me automatically leaning to the Dolphins in this preseason instate NFL battle. I know QB Josh Rosen after a rather ugly rookie campaign under a archaic offensive scheme in Arizona, may not inspire bettors, but he has some very athletic and speedy receivers he has been gifted with an a new ability to go down field more often. Jaguars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.Jaguars are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.Jaguars are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.Jaguars are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.Jaguars are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.  Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. Jacksonville is 1-8-1 ATS vs. AFC East. Miami is 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in preseason vs the Jags. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover |
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08-18-19 | Seahawks +3 v. Vikings | 19-25 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
This will be the 3rd straight season, these teams Minnesota and Seattle have faced each other.The Vikings barely edged out a 21-20 victory in their last pre-season encounter; and Im betting on another closely contested affair here in this NFLX tilt. Looking at the Seahawks, I like the way they have stacked this team with top tier athletes, with tremendous size especially on offence focusing a strong looking WR core , where I believe they will be improved. This will buoy QB Wilsons ability in the run heavy option and continue to make him a dangerous weapon. Im expecting big things from the Seahawks in the regular season, and a few flashes of brilliance here today in preseason action, making them my choice to cover this number and stay competitive on the road . SEATTLE is 33-17 ATS in road lined games since 1993 and is 32-16 ATS as an underdog since 1993.  NFLX Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 30 points or more last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 4-21 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle Seahawks to cover |
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08-15-19 | Packers +4 v. Ravens | 13-26 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Packers Coach Matt LaFleur told reporters yesterday that Aaron Rodgers and the rest of the starters on both sides of the ball would play for a decent portion of the game, which has me leaning towards the Packers here in Baltimore tonight. I know the Ravens are on a  15-preseason game win streak, but all good and bad things must eventually come to end. However , more importantly we are getting points here and a game I have pegged to be very competitive, which according to my projections makes for a viable investment opportunity. NFL team (GREEN BAY) - after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 23-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover |
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08-08-19 | Patriots v. Lions +1 | 31-3 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
What could possibly motivate the defending Super Bowl Champion New England Pats here tonight. Im betting not much. From a trends stand point Super Bowl Champs in their first road game of the season are just 7-20 SU,and HC Bellicheck has a recent history of not particularly doing well in his first road game losing 4 straight times all as a favourite and are a ugly 0-5 ATS in preseason play overall vs the NFC North where the Lions reside. Meanwhile, Detroit a franchise that is trying to bring in a winning culture into Motown will take a little bit more pride in this event, especially since its being played here in Michigan in front of their own fans. It must also be noted that the Lions are 14-2 SU/15-1 ATS in NFLX action against the AFC East and are actually viable bets here tonight vs a side Im betting will show very little in their opener, and instead be in full assessment mode . NEW ENGLAND is 1-10 ATS as a preseason road favorite since 1993 NEW ENGLAND is 1-10 ATS as a preseason road favorite of 7 points or less since 1993. NEW ENGLAND is 0-7 ATS as a preseason road favorite of 3 points or less since 1993. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover |
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08-08-19 | Titans v. Eagles -3 | 27-10 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA, 7:30 PM It was not the season the Eagles had envisioned after winning the Super Bowl the season before so needless to say the team would like to get back on track right away, yes even here in the preseason. Im also betting on a competitive approach here be the QB group as the Eagles replace key backup Nick Foles, which makes them dangerous even though this is a preseason game. Note: Look for this trio to come out and really show there stuff here in game 1.  Nate Sudfeld, Cody Kessler and Clayton Thorson. Advantage Eagles. The Titans enters this preseason game vs the Eagles on a 0-14 SU / 3-11 ATS skien vs. NFC East and overall are  1-6 SUATS L/7 Away. Meanwhile, the Eagles are  3-0 SUATS vs. AFC South. Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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08-24-18 | Packers +6 v. Raiders | 6-13 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
So it looks like Aaron Rodgers the stud QB of the Green Bay Packers will not play tonight. But its not like Green Bay has missed his presence  in their previous two NFLX games, as was evident by them scoring 82 points with a  +31 differential . This is a pretty big spread considering how well the Packers have looked without Rodgers and their is value to be had here taking points. GB has covered their L/3 first away games of the preseason. The Packers are also 7-2 SU/ATS  away  off home game in preseason action. Meanwhile, Oakland is just 0-6 L/6 vs NFC North and 0-4  SU/ATS home off an away tilt. OAKLAND is 0-6 ATS  after playing a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS in all lined games over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread, undefeated in the preseason are 30-9 ATS L/25 seasons for a  77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover |
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08-23-18 | Eagles +3.5 v. Browns | 0-5 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a big week for most NFL teams as most coaching staffs play this game similar to a regular seasons game, as they put the finishing touches on their schemes and rosters. I know a lot of pundits are exited about the Browns making a miraculous comeback from their recent dismal decade of plain ugly losing football behind stud QB Rookie Baker Mayfield . But the kid has still only completed just 55 percent of his passes, in his first 33 preseason attempts and will have his hands full with a pumped up Philadelphia D, that would like to prove that their Super Bowl Championship was no fluke.The Eagles haven't lost to Cleveland since, 1994 as Philadelphia has taken the last five games in the series by an average of 10.8 points and primed to have history repeat itself tonight behind QB Nick Foles who is expected to play andNate Sudfeld, who was 22 for 39 for 312 yards and three touchdowns against New England last week. |
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08-18-18 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Chargers | 14-24 | Loss | -120 | 61 h 11 m | Show | |
Seattle lost their first preseason game of the season, a 19-17 decision at home to the Colts and now the rumours of their expected demise continue to increase in ferocity. Despite of that the Seahawks still are on a 7-2 SU/ATS NFLX run and  deserve respect as underdogs in this spot. Yes, they have lost some key options, but the culture in Seattle is still hard nosed never say die, and Pete Carroll remains a fine coach, that has proven tough in the preseason during his career. Add to that the Seahawks have owned this series in the past vs the LA Chargers winning 11 of the L/15 meetings, including last seasons 48-17 NFLX shellacking . Carroll is 34-15-1 against the spread in his career in the preseason, and I'm betting on another cover here tonight. |
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08-16-18 | Eagles v. Patriots -2.5 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 83 h 11 m | Show | |
The Patriots lost to the Eagles in last years Super Bowl despite of putting up 600+ yards of offence.  I'm not putting down the Eagles , because they played great in the underdog role , but their lucky to have won  considering that prior to that Super Bowl tilt NFL teams that gained 600+ or more yards were 38-0-1. Today I expect future Hall of Fame  HC Bellichick to get his revenge, vs the Super Bowl Champs here at home. It must be noted that defending NFL champions have lost 19 of their L/26 first preseason road games, and are a cash dumping 8-17-1 ATS and have failed to cover 6 straight SU/ATS vs a side playing its 2nd  exhibition home game of the season. Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on FT( fieldturf) Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on FT.  are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 home games.Patriots are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 games overall. Play on the NE Pats to cover |
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08-09-18 | Colts v. Seahawks -2 | 19-17 | Loss | -101 | 29 h 6 m | Show | |
Bill Carrol the Seattle Seahawks HC takes the preseason seriously and likes to instal a winning attitude in his teams locker room right out of the gate as is evident by owning a 34-14-1 ATS career mark in NFLX games with Seattle.Carroll has consistently clobbered teams residing in the AFC South like the Colts and has notched victories  eight times during his NFL career vs this division winning all eight straight up by an average of 13 ppg and overall is a solid 20-5 ATS vs the AFC. Meanwhile, Frank Reich the HC of the visiting Colts has really got a great deal of work to do to get this franchise back in play off contention , with or without QB Andrew Luck in the lineup, who is still in rehabilitation mode. SEATTLE is 47-22 ATS L/69 in non-conference games. Seahawks are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover |
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08-27-17 | Bengals +3.5 v. Redskins | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
Gruden and the Redskins are 0-2 and have been outscored by a combined 44-20 in their first two preseason games. The offense has been particularly inconsistent and  In Week 2 versus Green Bay, as the HC kept his offense on the field for the entire first half against the Packers 2nd team D, and still looked very incohesive scoring just 1 TD, (barely). Meanwhile, the Bengals are 1-1, and looking like Dr. Jekyll and Mr.Hyde, as they smashed KC in game 1 and than looked horrendous in a game 2 loss to KC by a 30-12 count, mostly because their D, was asleep at the proverbial wheel and missing tackles on a consistent basis. HC Lewis was furious after that game, and I'm betting his team will respond in a big way here . |
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08-26-17 | Packers +3 v. Broncos | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 28 h 1 m | Show | |
All indications according to my prognostication and data mining suggest this should be a close game making getting points golden in my opinion. The QB combo of  Aaron Rodgers/ Brett Hundley  looked to be in top form last week and once again look like solid options in this tilt  as they look to go 3-0 in preseason ball . Meanwhile, theBroncos despite of a similar 2-0 record, played two soft opponents out of the gate, and this jump in class  I'm betting is to much for them to handle.  DENVER is 0-8 ATS  off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog. DENVER is 0-7 ATS  off a upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. Denver beat up on the 49ers last week 33-14.  NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to –3 like the Broncos - after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better are 6-20 ATS L/26 over the L/10 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the GB Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-26-17 | Chargers +2.5 v. Rams | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
On the defensive side of the ball, the Rams starters struggled their last time out, allowing 21 points and despite of being 2-0 in preseason play it's their inconsistent defense , that remains their biggest issue. Their hard hitting take no prisoners reputation when they were in St.Louis has a quickly evaporated. Add to that a offense that is also highly inconsistent, and you have a recipe for consistent  crap performances. I'm not quite sold on the Rams getting much better this season. Meanwhile, the Chargers after back to back losses, are now very hungry to get into a winning state of mind, and this in their first battle of LA is a perfect opportunity to win over some fans. With that said,  I'm expecting management to be pressuring the HC and his staff to get things rolling here this week. Rams are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.Rams are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. NFLX l teams with a money line of +130 to -150 like the Chargers - after a 2 game home stand are 39-15 SU for a 72 conversion rate for bettors. Considering this trend getting points very much makes for a value line.Underdogs or pick like the Chargers  - off an upset loss as a favorite, winless in the preseason are 40-17 ATS L/57 opportunities for 70% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Underdogs or pick like the Chargers- off an upset loss as a home favorite, with a losing record are 49-19 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Chargers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-25-17 | Chiefs v. Seahawks -3 | 13-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
Seattle and HC Peter Carroll take preseason football very seriously, as he believes it sets a tone for the regular season. This is a guy that just hates to lose at anything. This being a dress rehearsal week for the regular season, I expect a lot of starters will be in the Seahwaks lineup, for extended periods of time, making them a viable team to back. Meanwhile, the same can not be said about HC Reid preseason intentions, as he has lost 14 of his L/20 week 3 games and is just 1-6 ATS L/7 vs NFC foes. Carroll in his NFLX career, is 8-0 SU as a favorite in week 3, including 3-0 ATS at home, with each win coming by double digit deficits. Carroll is 15-4 ATS  L/19 against AFC West division opponents. Carroll is also a perfect 7-0 ATS  after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game , which was the case in a 20-14 win vs Minnesota last week. Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover |
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08-24-17 | Panthers v. Jaguars +1.5 | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
Carolina's first string QB Cam Newton remains at less than 100% this preseason as he recovers from a shoulder injury and may not see action again this week. After watching a vastly upgraded Jacksonville D, play well last week, allowing just 12 points  I'm also betting the Panthers will have problems moving the ball, via the arm of Derek Anderson and the accompanying group of QBs. I also expect Jags QB Jakes Bortles to be hell bent on a good performance this week, after last weeks miserable output and his HCs displeasure with his work. With the  starting QB job, in question I also expect 2nd string Chad Henne to be ready to put on a show if asked, as he looks to steal the starting job away from the struggling Bortles. JACKSONVILLE is 15-2 ATS L/17  after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better . NFL team like the Jags - off a home loss against opponent off a road loss are 25-7 ATS L/35 opportunities for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jacksonville Jags to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-19-17 | Colts +5.5 v. Cowboys | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 120 h 46 m | Show | |
This is the Cowboys third game of the preseason, and with injuries becoming a concern for Garrett and company I'm betting on a less emphatic response here in this tilt than the 5.5 point opening line would suggest. You also have to remember that Dallas is a public team, and some lines can be tainted, especially after last season's positive  results. Meanwhile, Indianapolis after losing their first game of the exhibition 24-10 to the Lions,  I'm betting they come out here fully intent on displaying an improved work ethic and game plan  for what many hope is going to be a Colts resurgence in 2017. My own projections make the Boyz just 3 to 3.5 point favs thus giving us value on this underdog line with the Colts.  Garrett is 3-13 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of DALLAS and is 2-9 ATS  after playing their last game on the road. INDIANAPOLIS is 11-2 ATS  off a home loss by 10 or more points. Game two favs like Dallas of 4 points or more off a SU/ATS win are 6-25-1 ATS L/27 vs a side like the Colts off a SU loss. NFL  Road teams like the Colts- off a home loss against opponent off a road loss are 23-3 ATS L/26 for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indianapolis Colts to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-18-17 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | 13-20 | Loss | -105 | 98 h 25 m | Show | |
Minnesota has owned the Seattle Seahawks in the past cashing 7 of the L/8 meetings and are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 confrontations including 7-1 ATS L/8 as dogs. After clobbering the LA Chargers 48-17 last week, I'm betting Seattle and HC Carroll will be a little less anxious and in a natural let downstate this week , which will give a motivated Minnesota team that won a 17-10 decision vs Buffalo last week an emotional edge. MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS L/8 in games played on turf. NFL Home teams like the Seahawks - after a win by 10 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 9-35 ATS L/44 for a go against conversion rate of 80% for bettors dating back 24 seasons.-NFL  Favorites like Seattle - after a win by 14 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game 4-23 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 85% conversion rate.\ Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-17-17 | Bills +4.5 v. Eagles | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 71 h 42 m | Show | |
The Eagles are telling us that that QB Wentz is having a good camp, and he looked fairly decent to me as well, in limited action, but this team is deficient in a lot of key areas and needs more than their QB to be competitive this season. Tonight I expect the Bills very strong defense to be the difference maker and for their viable running game to do just enough damage to get us the cover vs a Eagles team that looked bad in a loss to the GB Packers last week .   Any NFL team like Bills- off a home loss against opponent off a road loss are 25-4 ATS L/29 opportunities and NFL Road teams like the Bills- off a home loss against opponent off a road loss are 23-3 ATS L/26. Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-11-17 | Steelers v. Giants -3 | 20-12 | Loss | -115 | 81 h 7 m | Show | |
Tomlin the Pittsburgh Steelers coach has recently not looked to enthused about winning pre season football games. He treats exhibition ball as a live drill opportunity, and does not seem to have a comprehensive game plan as is evident by losing 15 of his L/21 NFLX games and failing to cover 17 of those 21 tilts. Lately in preseason openers the Steelers have shown little to no interest in notching a win in openers losing 6 straight while not covering one of them. I'm not big about backing teams with so called revenge in preseason ball, but it must be noted that the Giants did get taken out by a 10 point margin in the regular season last season. Look for 2nd year HC McAdoo the former offensive cooridnator of the team looking to get his offense rolling almost immediately after last seasons debacle and for the Giants to get us the cover in their first preseason game. Play on the NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-26-16 | Packers +1 v. 49ers | 21-10 | Win | 100 | 83 h 26 m | Show | |
08-26-16 | Steelers v. Saints -1 | 27-14 | Loss | -111 | 81 h 27 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is 0-4 vs NFC South L/4 AND have only covered 1 of their L/13 game 1 away games in preseason play. Saints are 7-2 ATS L/9 game 3s and 5-2 ATS L/7 in their first preseason game at home. Play on the Saints to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-26-16 | Patriots +3.5 v. Panthers | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 81 h 58 m | Show | |
Bill Bellichick will have his talented group ready to perform tonight, vs the Carolina Panthers. NE is 4-0 ATS last in NFLX tilts c NC South foes. Carolina is 0-6-1 ATS in preseason games vs the Pats. The Panthers are also 0-8 ATS in preseason home openers vs AFC opponents.Â
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08-20-16 | Saints +3 v. Texans | 9-16 | Loss | -106 | 108 h 14 m | Show | |
Houston crushed the Saints last season in both the preseason and regular season by 14 points and 18 points respectively. Now with revenge on board, I expect the Saints to come out with all guns loaded and ready for a little bit of redemption, all be it in exhibition play. Note: The Saints are 6-1 ATS L/7 on the road vs the AFC South. Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-20-16 | Ravens +3 v. Colts | 19-18 | Win | 100 | 84 h 41 m | Show | |
08-19-16 | Dolphins +3 v. Cowboys | 14-41 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Quarterback Ryan Tannehil will have several friends and family members cheering him on Friday when the Dolphins play in his home state of Texas. and he will be out to impress vs his former team. Dallas has a recent history of opening home game NFLX action in lowly betting from for their backers failing to cover 5 of their L/6 and are 0-6 ATS L/6 in game 2 play . The Miami Dolphins meanwhile, have gone 9-1 ATS L/10 game 2 in preseason play. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-18-16 | Vikings +3.5 v. Seahawks | 18-11 | Win | 100 | 64 h 45 m | Show | |
Like I said last week, Pete Carroll likes to win, despite of it being the preseason or not, but after staging a late comeback win vs the KC Chiefs in week 1 of NFLX play, an opportunity to fade him presents itself . With that said, now Im betting on a let down scenario this week, vs a Minnesota side, that has revenge on board for a reg season and play off loss to the Seahawks that eliminated them from the play offs. It must also be noted that Vikings HC Mike Zimmer also takes preseason ball seriously, as is evident by a 8-1 SU mark in his L/9 tilts and is 3-0 SU/ATS with revenge in play. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-13-16 | Seahawks +4 v. Chiefs | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Seattle's Pete Carroll works on a philosophy that is based on winning , whether it be the preseason or regular season. He is 28-13 ATS in NFLX career . With Seahawks dominance of the AFC West in the past (22-4 ATS in preseason football), taking them here today vs an Andy Reid side ( KC Chiefs) that is 4-11-1 ATS L/15 NFLX openers is an easy decision. Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-12-16 | Lions +3 v. Steelers | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Detroit is one one of my dark horse teams this season, and I look for them to come out here and get the cover in game 1 for their 4th straight preseason opener vs a Pittsburgh side that has failed to cover 5 straight preseason openers, and are a just 2-7 ATS L/9 vs NFC North. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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