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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-16-24 | Avalanche v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
I'm surprised this total didn't open 7. It is heavily juiced at 6 1/2, but I have to believe each of these high-powered offenses will produce at least three goals.
Both teams should have their legs. Each has been idle since Wednesday. The Avalanche are the No. 1 scoring team in the NHL averaging 3.7 goals a game. They are averaging 4.3 goals during their last eight games. Edmonton is fourth in the league in scoring at 3.5 goals per game. The Oilers have scored 11 goals during their last two games. |
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02-10-24 | Oilers v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
The Oilers beat the Ducks, 5-3, on Friday. The Kings last played on Jan. 31 - 10 days ago. So what we have here is a fatigue vs a huge rust situation. It's unique and sets up an Under given the high total for this game. It's easy to think of goals with the Oilers since they have the magnificent Connor McDavid. But Edmonton has had an unbelievable long run of excellent defense. The Oilers have given up fewer than three goals in 14 of their last 16 games. Calvin Pickard was in net for the Oilers against the Ducks on Friday night. So a fresh Stuart Skinner will get the start in goal today. He's been brilliant having not allowed more than two goals during his last 12 games. Skinner surrendered fewer than two goals in half of those games. Edmonton will be playing for the third time in five days and second in two nights. So the Oilers carry a fatigue rating. That usually means an increased emphasis on defense and slower pace. The Kings entered the weekend ranked sixth defensively with the top penalty kill unit in the NHL. This also is the Kings' first game under interim head coach Jim Hiller. He replaced the fired Todd McLellan. That should ensure a huge defensive effort from the Kings. |
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01-28-24 | Blue Jackets v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
I find this total too short given the circumstances and current form of these two teams. |
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01-02-24 | Islanders v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
The teams met earlier this season. Colorado won, 7-4. While I'm not expecting 11 goals again, I do believe there will be more than six goals scored. |
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11-22-23 | Devils v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
The Devils are an Over machine with their combination of great offense and bad defense. New Jersey has gone Over in 13 of its 16 games for 81 percent. The Devils have the No. 1 power play in the NHL and rank sixth in scoring, but 29th defensively.
The Devils also have Jack Hughes healthy again. He has 22 points in 11 games. The Red Wings are the eighth-highest scoring team in the league, but are below par defensively. They've given up 3 or more goals in 10 of their last 11 games. The Devils have scored at least 3 goals in 14 of their 16 games. |
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11-16-23 | Panthers v. Kings OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
The Kings are the No. 2 scoring team in the NHL. They have produced 3 or more goals in 11 of their last 13 games. The Kings should really be on the attack after losing their last game, 4-2, at home to the Flyers. That was back on Saturday so they'll have fresh legs. |
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11-10-23 | Flames v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
The Flames were a major disappointment in October, but they are coming around now. They have scored 13 goals in their last three games. I'm looking for a lot of offense from Calgary against the Maple Leafs, who are giving up an average of 4.8 goals in their last five games. Toronto ranks 28th defensively. |
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10-31-23 | Kings v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 23 m | Show |
The Kings are in action. So think Over. There have been 7 or more goals scored in six of the Kings' eight games. The Kings have surrendered at least three goals in every game except one. |
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05-25-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
Dallas is down 3-0 to Las Vegas in these Western Conference Finals and totally frustrated. The Stars are averaging two goals during their last five games and now will be without their captain and second-leading points producer suspended Jamie Benn. Dallas also likely will be missing injured forward Evgenii Dadonov, who has accounted for 10 points during the Stars' 16 playoff game hurting the team's scoring depth. The Golden Knights have stymied the Stars with their defensive depth - six solid blue-liners - and with backup goalie Adin Hill stepping up. Hill made 34 saves in Las Vegas' 4-0 Game 3 road win this past Tuesday. The Golden Knights have held their opponents to 1.7 goals during their last four games. Clogging up the middle of the ice, leading the NHL in blocked shots and averaging 10.3 takeaways - best of the remaining playoff teams - have been keys for the Golden Knights in holding the Stars to two goals during the last seven periods. How does Dallas respond? Obviously the Stars are in a desperate position on the verge of elimination. I don't see them opening up their attack. It's not realistically possible minus Benn, who has been such an important figure in their offense. Instead, I see the Stars trying to be more careful with the puck and helping out their goalie either backup Scott Wedgewood, or a shaky Jake Oettinger. That means a conservative game plan trying to get that much-needed elusive first win to keep the series alive. It's worth noting, too, that the past seven games in Dallas between these two teams have all gone Under. |
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04-13-23 | Bruins v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Congrats to the Bruins on setting the NHL single-season win record. Now the Bruins conclude their regular season with this road game. It means nothing to the Bruins. Their thoughts are all geared to next week's Stanley Cup action. As for Montreal, the Canadiens long ago checked out. They are 1-6 in their last seven games. I'd compare this situation for the Bruins to an NFL team playing its final preseason game. The biggest concern is not having anybody get hurt. The Bruins are likely to be holding out players, just being content to just passing the puck around until this meaningless game is finished. Don't look for many penalties to be called. Montreal has scored two or fewer goals in six of its last seven games. If you discount a six-goal game against the Capitals, the Canadiens are averaging 1.1 goals in their last six games. These teams have a solid Under history even under normal conditions with the low side being 11-4-2 during the last 17 meetings. |
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04-10-23 | Predators v. Flames UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show |
Defense and tight-checking will be stressed here with the Predators, Flames and Jets all trying to chase down the final wild-card playoff spot in the West. The Predators, down Filip Forsberg and Matt Duchene, are trying to hang in with defense and outstanding goaltending from Juuse Saros. Nashville is averaging 1.7 goals in its last four games. The Predators have scored 3 or fewer goals in nine of their last 10 games. They tallied 2 or fewer goals in seven of those 10 games. But if you discount the five goals they allowed to the Stars, the Predators have held their last six opponents to only eight goals. The Flames have an above average defense, too. They rank No. 3 in fewest shots allowed. The Under has cashed in four of the last five meetings between the two teams. |
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02-22-23 | Flames v. Coyotes OVER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
I can easily envision each team scoring at least three goals here. The Flames enter this matchup desperate for a victory after a 4-3 home loss to the Flyers this past Monday. The Coyotes are tough at home with a 13-8-2 record. The Flames have scored 3 or more goals in eight of their last 11 games. They take the second-most shots in the NHL. Arizona gives up the second-most shots. Arizona has produced at least 3 goals in six of its last seven games. The Flames have surrendered 3 or more goals in each of their last four games. |
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02-17-23 | Kings v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 0 m | Show |
The Over has cashed in 13 of Anaheim's last 16 games. Surprised? Not really since the Ducks are the worst defensive team in the NHL. They are in terrible form, too, giving up 20 goals during their last three games. The Kings are in strong form offensively scoring four or more goals in five of their last six games. LA should have their skating legs, too, having last played on Monday when they beat the visiting Sabres, 5-2. The Kings have gone Over the past eight times following a victory. The Ducks should contribute to this total going Over. The Kings have permitted at least three goals in nine of their last 12 games. LA ranks 22nd defensively. |
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01-18-23 | Avalanche v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
The Avalanche are still down defensemen Bowen Byram and Josh Manson. But their firepower has returned with superstars Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar in top offensive form. The Avalanche have scored 13 goals during their last two games. They also have back from injury forward Valeri Nichushkin. The Flames should be primed for a big effort returning home from five games on the road. They were highly frustrated in a 2-1 loss to the Predators on Monday. They also ran into star goalie Juuse Saros. Even with that result, Calgary still has scored 3 or more goals in 11 of its last 13 games. The Over has cashed eight of the past 10 times the Flames have played on one day's rest. |
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11-23-22 | Rangers v. Ducks UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 101 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
The Ducks are a low-scoring team once again. They have produced just six goals in regulation during their last 10 games, an average of 1.6 goals during this span. This is the Ducks' first game back from three games on the road - all losses. They should be primed for a big effort and that means tight-checking and defensive intensity. The Rangers are back to winning. They beat the Kings, 5-3, at LA last night for their second straight victory. I don't see the Rangers being up-tempo playing without rest. The Under is 12-5 in their last 17 road games. The Under also has cashed the last five times when the Rangers have scored 5 or more goals in their past game. There's the possibility the Rangers start backup Jaroslav Halak in net instead of star Igor Shesterkin. I'm fine if that happens. The Rangers would be more defensive-oriented and take less chances if Halak were in goal. Halak has given up two goals in regulation during each of his last two starts facing the Predators and Red Wings. |
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11-08-22 | Wild v. Kings OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Two fully rested above average offenses square off here against bottom tier defenses. Minnesota has scored three or more goals in nine of its 11 games. However, the Wild rank 25th defensively allowing 3.6 goals a game. Los Angeles has scored four goals in each of its last three home games. The Kings rank 27th defensively, permitting 3.8 goals per game. Both teams should have plenty of energy since they have been idle since Thursday. Free Tuesday Play Coyotes at Sabres Under 6 1/2 plus $1.05 The Under has cashed the last four times these teams have played in Buffalo. Only once in the last seven overall meetings between these teams has the total gone Over. I see that trend continuing here. The Coyotes average 2.8 goals a game. They are last in shots. Arizona hasn't scored more than three goals in nine of its 11 games. The Sabres should be committed to a strong defensive effort after blowing a late lead in a 5-3 road loss to the Lightning this past Saturday. That was Buffalo's second consecutive defeat. The Sabres' intensity and concentration should be up. The Sabres haven't allowed more than three goals during each of their past four home games. This is the second of 14 straight road games for the Coyotes. They have games Thursday, Friday and Saturday. So there is no reason for them to push pace. |
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06-01-22 | Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 22 m | Show |
If you're expecting this Game 1 Eastern Conference Final to be similar to Colorado's 8-6 victory against Edmonton in Game 1 of the Western Conference Final Tuesday then we have totally opposite viewpoints. Because I see a defensive matchup pitting the two best goalies in hockey, Andrei Vasilevskiy and Igor Shesterkin. Both goalies are hot, too. Tampa Bay, behind Vasilevskiy, has surrendered just four goals in its last five games. That was a four-game sweep of the Panthers, the highest-scoring team in the NHL, and the final game of the series against the Maple Leafs, the second-highest scoring team in the NHL. Backed by Shesterkin, the likely Vezina Trophy winner as the league's best goalie, the Rangers have not allowed more than two goals per game in six of their last seven games. The Rangers face a Lightning squad that should be extremely rusty, too, since it has been nine days since Tampa Bay last was in action. |
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05-21-22 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
Never mind that the Avalanche and Blues are each top-four scoring teams, averaging 3.8 goals per game. It doesn't matter that the Avalanche have fired 85 shots on goal during the first two games of this series, or that the Over is 22-10-1 in St. Louis' last 33 games. Who cares that the Over is 6-1-1 the past eight times these two teams have played in St. Louis. What matters is that the first two games of this series both went Under with the Avalanche winning, 3-2 in overtime, in Game 1 and the Blues upsetting Colorado, 4-1, in Game 2 this past Thursday. The important takeaway from those two games from a totals perspective is that the expected goals were much higher than what actually transpired. I'm expecting the floodgates to finally open here with each team getting at least three goals. The Avalanche were off their game in Game 2. They played too slow. Colorado is going to pick up the pace. The Avalanche wants a fast-paced game. They are going to force the action. The Blues remain without two veteran defensemen with Marco Scandella and Torey Krug both out. So there is some vulnerability. The Blues are dangerous with all of their lines. They had nine players score 20 or more goals during the regular season. The Blues have scored four or more goals in nine of their last 11 home games. |
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05-19-22 | Blues v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
Expect more than the five goals that were scored in Game 1 when the Avalanche nipped the Blues, 3-2, in overtime. These teams tied for the third-most goals during the regular season, each averaging 3.8 goals per game. Colorado peppered Blues goalie Jordan Binnington with 54 shots with three hitting the post and two the crossbar. I'm not counting on the inconsistent Binnington playing that well and being that lucky again. St. Louis is likely to still be missing defensemen Marco Scandella and Torey Krug. The Avalanche did their scoring damage with their supporting cast. Their superstars are due to step up now. The offensive-minded Blues have excellent scoring depth, too. The Over is 13-3-1 in their last 17 road games. Prior to Game 1, the teams had gone Over during their past six meetings. |
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04-17-22 | Blues v. Predators OVER 6 | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
The Blues have scored four or more goals in each of their last 11 games setting a franchise record. St. Louis is averaging 4.9 goals during this 11-game span. The Blues may not draw Nashville's starting goalie either with Juuse Saros working Saturday. The Predators are likely to be missing defensemen Jeremy Lauzon, too. He was injured in the Predators' 4-3 victory against the Blackhawks on Saturday.  The Over is 7-0-1 during the Blues' past eight road contests.Â
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03-30-22 | Golden Knights v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 58 m | Show |
I fully expect each of these teams to register at least three goals. Las Vegas has scored 5 or more goals in four of its last six games, including producing 11 goals the past two games. Seattle ranks 27th defensively and 29th in penalty kill.  The Over has covered 20 of the last 28 times the Golden Knights have played a sub .500 opponent.  Seattle has picked up its offense. The Kraken have scored 3 or more goals in six of their last eight games. Seattle has scored at least four goals in five of those games. The Kraken are likely to face Las Vegas third-string rookie goalie Logan Thompson.   The Over has cashed eight of the last 11 times Seattle has been a home 'dog. |
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03-03-22 | Oilers v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show |
The Oilers should be good for at least three goals - if not many more. Paced by superstars Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, the Oilers rank ninth in scoring at 3.3 goals a game. McDavid and Draisaitl are the two top point producers in the NHL. The Blackhawks give up 3.4 goals per game, which ranks 24th. Chicago also is 29th in penalty kill. Edmonton ranks third in power play goal percentage. Edmonton has scored 3 or more goals in nine of its last 10 games. Here the Oilers get to face a well-below average defense. The Blackhawks should be up for this game. They've been idle for three full days. That should ensure a lot of energy and fresh legs. Just two games ago, the Blackhawks scored eight goals at home against the Devils. |
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10-12-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -127 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
Las Vegas wasn't your typical expansion team. The Golden Knights were good right away. Seattle isn't typical either. The Kraken aren't going to reach the lofty heights the Golden Knights did during their first couple of seasons, but they will be competitive. That's because the Kraken went for defense and goaltending.  Seattle is going to play a conservative, defensive style. The Kraken have the veteran players to do this starting with defenseman and team captain Mark Giordano and goalie Philipp Graubauer, a finalist for the Vezina Trophy last season when he was with Colorado.  The Kraken shut out Vancouver, 4-0, in their final preseason game last Tuesday.  The Golden Knights ended last season losing in six games to the Canadiens in the Stanley Cup semifinals producing only 13 goals in those six games while going 0-for-15 in power play opportunities. Robin Lehner teamed with Marc-Andre Fleury to allow the fewest goals last season. Lehner takes over as the undisputed No. 1 goalie following Fleury's departure to the Blackhawks. Lehner and Graubauer are among the top goalies in the NHL. Depth at forward is down for both teams because of injuries and COVID-19 protocols. Las Vegas had just 10 forwards during its last practice.  So I'm expecting a tight-checking, low-scoring opening game.Â
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05-19-21 | Canucks v. Flames UNDER 6 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Neither Vancouver nor Calgary have made the playoffs. This is the final regular season game for them - and it's a totally meaningless contest.  It's the third game in four days between the two teams. It's a day game, too, another plus for the Under.  It's been a long and unrewarding season for both the Canucks and Flames. The players just want the season to finally end so they can go on vacation. So I'm greatly anticipating a listless matchup lacking any energy or fast tempo.Â
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03-15-21 | Sharks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
Las Vegas has averaged 4 goals a game in going 3-0 versus the Sharks this season. San Jose ranks 31st defensively allowing 3.6 goals a game. Given their depth, which includes four strong lines, and deep hatred of the Sharks the Golden Knights should be good for at least four goals again.  The Golden Knights have scored 3 or more goals in nine of their last 10 games, hitting five goals in half of those games.  The Sharks have tallied 3 or more goals in six of their last eight games, scoring six goals in three of those games.  Marc-Andre Fleury has been brilliant for Las Vegas leading the NHL in GAA at 1.181 and save percentage at .935. The 36-year-old Fleury, however, is carrying a high fatigue rating having started 15 of the last 16 games. He was saved from going on COVID-19 protocol after a false-positive Covid-19 test this past Thursday.  At some point, the Golden Knights are going to need to give Fleury a rest day. Obviously it would be a major bonus to the Over if that came here.    |
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02-21-21 | Flyers v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
Colorado defeated Las Vegas, 3-2, on Saturday. I mention this because that game holds importance to this matchup and is a reason why I like the Under.  The Avalanche-Golden Knights game was played outdoors on a golf course in Stateline, Nev., which is near Lake Tahoe. That game started during the day and had to resume at night after around an eight-hour delay. The reason for this was melting snow causing bad ice conditions as there were no clouds and unseasonably warm temperatures. Players had trouble with their balance and were falling down. There was one goal scored in the first period.  The Flyers and Bruins will meet in this same venue with similar weather conditions. Realizing this, the NHL moved the start time back from late morning West Coast time until 4:30 p.m. West Coast time. So there still should be sun and daylight for at least the first period. This is going to make the ice more sticky and slower than normal compared to indoor rinks, which the players are used to. Note, too, the site of this game is in high altitude up in the mountains so attacking players are likely to run out of breath sooner.  Philadelphia is missing much of its offense with Claude Giroux, Travis Konecny, Jakub Voracek, Oskar Lindblom and Scott Laughton all out because of COVID-19 protocols. The short-handed Flyers have managed just nine goals in their last four games, an average of 2.2 goals per game during this span.  The Bruins should play with great intensity having lost their last two games. They've scored just 10 goals in their past five games, an average of 2.0 goals a game. Boston will be minus David Krejci, its second-best center. He suffered a lower-body injury in Boston's last game.   |
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02-17-21 | Jets v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
The Jets edged the Oilers, 6-5, in a wild offensive showing this past Monday. Neither coach nor players from both teams were happy about that. So I'm expecting far better defensive performances, conservative game plans and more sustained checking.  Winnipeg is a top-10 defensive team. Prior to Monday's matchup against the Oilers, the Jets had surrendered just nine goals in their last five games.  Edmonton has yielded just three goals in its last three games previous to the Jets' game of two days ago. Â
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02-09-21 | Sharks v. Kings OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
The Sharks averaged 3 goals per game in their last two games both against the Ducks, who have the eighth-best defense in the NHL. Now the Sharks drop down in class to face the Kings, who rank 26th defensively and allow the fifth-most shots on goal. LA has permitted at least 3 goals in nine of its 11 games.  Not helping matters for the Kings is they are shorthanded on the blue line with injuries to Matt Roy and Sean Walker.  The Kings, though, should do damage against a weak San Jose State defense that has allowed at least 3 goals in eight of its 10 games. The Sharks rank 28th defensively and 29th in shots allowed.  Neither team gets very good goaltending either.Â
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01-25-21 | Senators v. Canucks OVER 6 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
I'm very surprised this total opened at 6 with juice instead of 6 1/2 or even 7 given the low quality of these defenses.  Ottawa ranks 29th defensively giving up 4.0 goals a game. Vancouver is even worse. The Canucks surrender an NHL-high 4.7 goals per game. They also allow the second-most shots on goal. Vancouver has given up an average of five goals a game during its past six games. The good news for the Canucks is they have young, talented goal scorers. One of these is Elias Pettersson, who is starting to emerge out of an early-season scoring slump. The Canucks should get their share of goals against an Ottawa squad that just surrendered four goals in the third period during its last game, a 6-3 road loss to the Jets this past Saturday.  The Senators have permitted at least three goals in all five of their games. Goalie Matt Murray has not looked good in the early going.  The Over has cashed during the past four meetings between the two teams. That trend should continue as I'm expecting a loose game from two teams with a combined 3-9 record. |
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09-14-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | Top | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
The total for each of the first four games of this Western Conference Finals series has been lined at 5 1/2. Each game has gone Under. The oddsmaker has finally adjusted moving the total down to 5.  So now is the time to play Over.  The Golden Knights are in desperation territory down 3-1. Las Vegas finds itself on the brink of elimination despite outshooting the Stars, 105-67. Dallas backup goalie Anton Khudobin has played well above his head.  The Stars realize they can't keep getting lucky winning low-scoring games while relying on Khudobin to bail them out. They have to step up their attack like did when they took out Colorado during their previous series. Dallas averaged four goals per game during that seven-game series. The Stars' power play has managed just one goal. So that is due to change, too. I envision a much more up-tempo game than what we've seen so far in the series. The Golden Knights will be aggressively attacking with all four of their quality lines. This could result in a much higher scoring game for them. If it fails, the total still is very much live to go Over as the Golden Knights won't hesitate to pull their goalie early if down by one goal and keep their goalie on the bench, too, if the Stars score an empty-netter to go up by two goals. This is a scenario that happens when teams face elimination.           Â
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09-08-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
The Golden Knights have picked a bad time to have their offense go cold. Las Vegas has managed just four goals in its last four games. The Golden Knights have scored just two goals when a goalie was in net during their last 240 minutes - and none of those goals was scored by a forward or center.  The Golden Knights have scored two or fewer goals in seven of their last 11 games if you don't include a pair of empty net goals in their Game 7 victory against the Canucks. The Stars can play up-tempo as they showed against the Avalanche, or revert back to their natural, conservative defensive style. That's what they did in Game 1 of this series in defeating Las Vegas, 1-0. I expect the Stars to stick to their natural style knowing how cold the Golden Knights' forwards are. Dallas prefers a tight-checking methodical game especially when Anton Khudobin is in net. The Stars know how important it is to protect Khudobin.  A quote from Golden Knights coach Peter DeBoer is telling. This is what he was quoted as saying following Game 1: "...They (the Stars) play a hard, heavy game. They make you work for your offense. This is going to be a different series, and we're going to have to get our head around that and find a way to create offense. It's not going to look or feel like the Chicago series or the Vancouver series."    |
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08-26-20 | Avalanche v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
There were eight goals scored in Game 1 of this series. There were seven goals produced in Game 2. Yet the oddsmaker still is hanging a 5 1/2 total on this matchup just like in the first two games.  That Over/Under is too short.  Dallas has played aggressive in the playoffs. The Stars' top scorers have come alive helping Dallas produce five goals each during the first two games of the series. The Over is 5-0 in the Stars' last five games. Dallas is averaging 4.1 goals during its last seven games.  The Stars can continue to take advantage of Colorado backup goalie Pavel Francouz. Both teams are without their starting goalies as Dallas is missing Ben Bishop.  Look for Colorado to come out super aggressive down 2-0 in the series. The Avalanche's calling card is offense. They ranked fourth in scoring during the regular season. They have the most talented scorer on the ice in Nathan MacKinnon.  The Avalanche have scored three or more goals in 11 of their last 15 games. The Over is 4-1 in their past five games.     |
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08-25-20 | Canucks v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
The Canucks don't have the defense nor depth to keep the Golden Knights' offense in check. Las Vegas has scored at least 4 goals in eight of 10 games since hockey resumed. Las Vegas is averaging 5 goals per game in three meetings with the Canucks this season.  The Canucks should have more energy than they did in Game 1 on Sunday after they had just eliminated the Blues. Vancouver has outstanding young goal scorers in Brock Boeser and Elias Pettersson. They also have good scoring depth this season.  Vancouver was embarrassed, 5-0, in Game 1 of this series. It's noteworthy to point out that the Canucks are 18-7-1 to the Over the past 26 times when they failed to score more than two goals during their previous game.
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08-23-20 | Canucks v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
Vancouver likes to attack and has the NHL's fourth-best power play. Brock Boeser, Elias Pettersson and J.T. Miller are all accomplished goal scorers. The Canucks are a top-eight scoring team with a below average defense. That combination has resulted in a 20-8-1 mark to the Over in their last 29 games.  The Golden Knights wouldn't mind an up-tempo game either since they will have plenty of energy having last played this past Tuesday. The Over is 6-0 the past six times the Golden Knights have played on 3 or more day's rest.  Las Vegas wants to make an early statement in this series and they can do that by peppering the net with shots. The Golden Knights led the NHL in shots on goal.  The teams met twice during the regular season. There were nine goals scored in each game.Â
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01-22-20 | Jets v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
I'm surprised to see the total open this short. The Jets are giving up an average of 5.3 goals per game during their last three games. The Blue Jackets are averaging 3.2 goals in their last five games. The Jets are expected to start backup goalie Laurent Brossoit. He doesn't have a good history versus Columbus with a 3.87 GAA and .863 save percentage.  Winnipeg isn't playing well. But the Jets don't lack firepower with Patrik Laine, Mark Scheifele and Blake Wheeler. Note, too, that the Over has cashed seven of the last eight times these teams have met.Â
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12-02-19 | Kings v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
This is the first meeting this season between these in-state, division rivals. I envision a feeling-out process and a tight checking matchup between two of the lowest scoring teams in the NHL.  The Kings rank 26th in scoring and 29th on the power play. The Under is 5-0-1 in their last six road games. That's not a big shock considering the Kings have managed only 10 goals during their last eight away games.  The Ducks are 26th in scoring. Their power play ranks even lower than the Kings at No. 30.  Both projected goalies - the Kings' Jonathan Quick and Anaheim's John Gibson - have strong histories in this series.Â
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10-10-19 | Ducks v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
There isn't a hotter goalie right now than Anaheim's John Gibson, who has stopped 98 of 101 shots. The Ducks are 3-0 this season because they have given up just three goals in three games. The Ducks are a dead-nuts Under team right now with a sub-par offense and a strong commitment to defense. If you go back to preseason, the Ducks are a perfect 27-for-27 in killing off power plays, including 7-for-7 in the regular season.  The Penguins have a cluster injury on offense with two centers and two wingers out the most prominent being Evgeni Malkin. The multiple injuries really showed in the Penguins' last game when they could manage only one goal versus Winnipeg this past Tuesday at home. Pittsburgh takes to the road for the first time this season following this game. So the Penguins should have their defensive intensity up knowing their offense is down players and this is the final matchup of a four-game homestand that has proven disappointing at 1-2.  |
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05-04-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 20 h 59 m | Show |
It's not difficult to project at least six goals being scored in this Game 5 with the series returning to San Jose. There have been at least seven combined goals during each of the Sharks' last 10 home games.  Colorado is averaging 3.5 goals during its past eight games. Nathan MacKinnon is in the argument for best offensive player in the NHL. He's hot, too, riding an eight-game point scoring streak. The Avalanche have one of the most dangerous power play units in hockey.  The Sharks are not strong strong defensively. They ranked 21st defensively during the regular season and have shaky goaltending with Martin Jones. Their top two defensemen are offensive-minded in constant attack mode.  San Jose was the No. 2 scoring team in the league. The Over is 7-3-1 in its Stanley Cup games. The Over has won in four of the Sharks' last five playoff games.  These two teams have a strong Over history, too, when meeting each other especially in San Jose where 80 percent of the past 16 matchups have gone above the total. |
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04-23-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
I don't care that the last game in this series was won by San Jose, 2-1, in double overtime Sunday. There is no way you can hang less than a 6 on a total when these two teams meet even with this being the pivotal Game 7.  There have been at least seven combined goals in each of the three games played at San Jose during the series. The Over has cashed six of the last eight times the two teams have met.  The Golden Knights fired 59 shots in that Game 6 loss. Martin Jones played well, but he remains the shakiest goalie in the playoffs. The Golden Knights' second line of Max Pacioretty, Paul Stastny and Mark Stone is due for a big game after not scoring in the last two games. They had accounted for 28 points during the first four games of the series.  The Sharks are the No. 2 scoring team in the NHL. They are averaging 3.7 goals during their last seven home games.Â
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04-21-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -114 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
The oddsmaker is short on this total. The Sharks and Golden Knights are good for at least three goals apiece.  San Jose has scored three or more goals in four of the five games in this playoff series. Golden Knights goalie Marc-Andre Fleury hasn't been his usual sharp self down the stretch. He's surrendered at least three goals in four of the five games.  Las Vegas has scored 11 goals in the two games played at T-Mobile Arena during the series. San Jose has permitted five or more goals in three of the five games in the series. Martin Jones is the shakiest goalie in the playoffs.  The Sharks have two of the top offensive-minded defensemen in the NHL with Brent Burns and Erik Karlsson. Las Vegas has two red-hot scoring lines with Reilly Smith, Jonathan Marchessault and William Karlsson and Mark Stone, Paul Stastny and Max Pacioretty on the second line. The additions of Stone and Pacioretty have made the Golden Knights a more dangerous scoring team.  These factors have helped the Over cash six of the last seven times the two teams have met.  Both teams should have plenty of energy, too, as they have had two days in between games instead of the normal one.  Â
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04-11-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins OVER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
There is only one way for the Maple Leafs to beat the Bruins - offense. Toronto knows this. The Maple Leafs are the more explosive team and they should be on full attack. They have enough experience now and their offense has been enhanced even more with the addition of superstar John Tavares.  The Bruins have one of the best lines in hockey with Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak and Patrice Bergeron. Those three have enjoyed plenty of success against the Maple Leafs combining for 30 points in the Bruins' seven-game playoff series win last season. Marchand and Pastrnak had strong regular season games against Toronto, too, this season.  Boston can take advantage of Toronto's lack of defense and discipline. Maple Leafs' goalie Frederik Andersen didn't play well against the Bruins either during last season's playoff series. |
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04-10-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 0 m | Show |
Las Vegas upgraded its offense with free agent signings and trades this season. The Golden Knights now have two powerful scoring lines to go with excellent depth. The Golden Knights also will be operating against San Jose's shaky goaltending. Martin Jones has an .896 save percentage and 3.28 GAA in 13 career games against Las Vegas. He could be the weakest starting goalie of any of the playoff teams.  The Sharks are the No. 2 scoring team in the league. They have four players - Joe Pavelski, Tomas Hertl, Evander Kane and Timo Meier - who all scored at least 30 goals. In addition, the Sharks have the top offensive defenseman in Brent Burns. Eric Karlsson, another superstar defenseman known for his offense, has returned from injury. The Over has cashed in seven of the past 10 meetings between the two teams.Â
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02-11-19 | Sharks v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
Only once in their last 19 games, have the Sharks failed to score at least three goals. San Jose has produced five or more goals nine times during this span. Vancouver is giving up 3.3 goals per game in its last three games. San Jose is averaging 4.6 goals in its past five games.  So I have little doubt the Sharks will score anywhere from three to five goals. Vancouver's projected starting goalie, Jacob Markstrom, has a bad history versus the Sharks with a 2-5 record and 3.74 goals against average.  The Sharks give up an average of 3.6 goals on the road, while Vancouver averages slightly more than three goals a game at home. The Over has cashed in six of San Jose's last seven away contests. Vancouver has gone Over 67 percent of the time during its last 53 home games.  The average combined goal total in San Jose's road games this season is 7.2. So it's safe to say the Canucks also should be good for anywhere from three to five goals.  If each team manages three goals than the Over cashes. That's not too much to ask.Â
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01-10-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
The Sharks have the two best offensive defensemen in the NHL with Erik Karlsson and Brent Burns. It is showing, too, as the Sharks have scored three or more goals in 14 of their last 15 games. San Jose has been particularly hot lately averaging 5.1 goals in its last seven games.  The Golden Knights have scored at least three goals in eight of their last 10 games. They can take advantage of the Sharks likely to be without defensemen Marc Edouard Vlasic and Justin Braun, both of whom have been out with injuries.Â
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12-12-18 | Penguins v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
The Blackhawks are the worst defensive team in the NHL. They have have given up four or more goals in nine of their last 11 games. A coaching change has failed to get their defense going. The Over has cashed in seven of Chicago's past nine games. The Penguins rank eighth in the league in scoring. They are averaging 3.7 goals in their last four games. Pittsburgh, however, is 20th defensively.  There is a good chance Matt Murray returns to be Pittsburgh's goalie in this game. He has missed the past 11 games with a lower-body injury. Murray has not had a good season and figures to be rusty. Â
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12-04-18 | Wild v. Canucks UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
Vancouver has scored 22 goals in its last 11 games, an average of two a game. I'm not expecting the Canucks to score much here because their offense is cold and because I believe the Wild will have a serious defensive commitment. Minnesota has lost five of its last seven, including the past three. This is the start of a three-game Western Canada road swing for the Wild. Minnesota has a good goalie in Devan Dubnyk and its coach, Bruce Boudreau, was stressing shoring up his team's defense.  The Wild lost 5-3 to the high-flying Maple Leafs in their last game this past Saturday. But they held Toronto to 23 shots on goal. The Maple Leafs scored two of their goals in flue fashion where shots deflected off Minnesota defenseman Nick Seeler. So the five goals scored by the Maple Leafs is deceiving.Â
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05-30-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -114 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
I'm surprised to see that the oddsmakers didn't open this Game 2 with an over/under of 6 instead of 5 1/2. I liked going Over 5 1/2 in Game 1 and there's no reason to not play Over again in Game 2.  There were 10 goals scored in Monday's Game 1. The total went Over before the middle of the second period. Both teams skated at a fast pace and there were many high-caliber shots on goals.  Las Vegas plays fast and is relentless. One of its major strengths was on full display in Game 1 - its fourth line scoring three goals in the third period. A strong scoring fourth line is rare and a huge plus for the Over.  The Capitals produced four goals. They accomplished this with superstars Alex Ovechkin and Evgeny Kuznetsov combining for just two assists. Neither had a goal. I can't envision those two not scoring a goal for a second straight game.  Marc-Andre Fleury has been brilliant in the playoffs, but he wasn't that sharp in Game 1. Probably a nine-day layoff between games made Fleury rusty. But he did not look invincible. Capitals goalie Braden Holtby has a history of playing better at home than on the road.  There were plenty of scoring opportunities in Game 1 even with 10 goals scored. This was during 5-on-5 hockey, too, as each team only had one power play opportunity. There likley is going to be more penalties called in Game 2 leading to more power play chances especially after Tom Wilson decked Jonathan Marchessault with a blindsided hit that was late and cheap. |
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05-28-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 110 | 73 h 12 m | Show |
It's not often teams receive such a long break before beginning the Stanley Cup Finals. But that's certainly the case for the Golden Knights, who haven't played in eight days. The Capitals last played this past Wednesday.  Washington happens to be 10-1-1 to the Over when playing on three or more days rest.  This extended layoff ensures fresh legs. That's a huge plus for the offense. Both teams are well above average in scoring. The Golden Knights ranked fifth in goals at 3.3 per game. The Capitals rated ninth at 3.1. They have the league's top goal scorer in Alex Ovechkin, who scored 49 goals. The Capitals also have Evgeny Kuznetsov, who is the playoff leader with 24 postseason points. Tom Wilson is back from suspension joining those two to give the Capitals a very dangerous first line that should play a lot due to the extra rest.  The Capitals scored three, four and four goals during the first road game in each of their past three playoff series leading up to these finals. Washington is averaging four goals per game during its past four away matchups.  Las Vegas is averaging four goals a game during its first home contest in each of its three playoff series. The Golden Knights have scored three or more goals in eight of their last 11 games.  Yet the linesmaker didn't assign a total of 6 on this game because of the hot goalies. Braden Holtby is riding a scoreless streak of 159 minuts, 27 seconds. Marc-Andre Fleury has been absolutely brilliant.  The long layoff, though, isn't going to help these goaltenders. Fleury had his worst game of the playoffs in Game 1 of the Golden Knights' last series against Winnipeg surrendering four goals, posting an 84.6 save percentage. The Golden Knights had been idle for six days leading into that game.  Holtby entered this season without a strong reputation of being a great road goalie especially in the playoffs. The Golden Knights can't match the Capitals' superstars, but they go four lines deep and their speedy forwards and creative playmaking can cause problems for goalies. I think that will be the case here.Â
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05-20-18 | Golden Knights v. Jets OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -122 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
I have tremendous respect for Marc-Andre Fleury. He has kept the Jets from winning during each of the last two games by making great save after great save. But now the series shifts back to Winnipeg and I see the Jets producing more goals. They have the star power with Mark Scheifele and Blake Wheeler, both of whom are playing at high levels.  There have been six combined goals scored in three of Winnipeg's last five games and there should have been at least six goals in Las Vegas' 3-2 home win this past Friday. The Jets had 37 shots on goal during Game 4 with Fleury making countless great saves.  The Golden Knights have an easier task facing goalie Connor Hellebuyuck, who is not having a good series. The Golden Knights have a strong fourth line - unlike other teams - and third-leading scorer David Perron is back in action. Las Vegas' top line of William Karlsson, Jonathan Marchessault and Reilly Smith are playing well, too.Â
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05-10-18 | Jets v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 125 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
The Predators had their defensive game of the year in shutting out the Jets, 4-0, in Game 6 of their Western Conference Stanley Cup series this past Monday.  I don't see it happening again. Pekka Rinne can't be that good again. He's been inconsistent in the series. The Jets are the No. 2 scoring team in the NHL because they have star scorers and play a speed, full-attack style. Only once in their last 23 games have the Jets failed to produce at least three goals in consecutive games.  Discount that last game and the Jets are averaging 4.5 goals per game versus Nashville. The Jets aren't changing their method of operation either. That's according to their coach, Paul Maurice. He said, "There's no big speech or departure from our game. The important one (message) that was delivered all year is to enjoy what we do. Have the confidence that you're going to go out and perform at your best. You can't be on pins and needles." So if the Jets lose they are going to lose playing their aggressive game. The Over is 13-5-1 when the Jets have been in action following two days of rest. The extra day should ensure fresh legs and a strong resolve to break through.  Nashville is no slouch offensively with excellent offensive-minded defensemen. The Predators are a top-seven scoring team. The Over has cashed in seven of their last nine home games.  In the last 10 meetings between these two teams, there have been at least eight goals scored in six of the games.  This being a Game 7, too, there exists the strong possibility of one or two open net goals being scored if the game is close.Â
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05-01-18 | Predators v. Jets OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
The Jets just know one speed - and it's not slow. Winnipeg isn't going to change its style after splitting two road games against the Predators to open this series. Winnipeg has scored four goals in each of its first two games versus Nashville. Now the Jets are home where they have scored three or more goals in 15 of their past 17 games at Bell MTS Centre.  The Predators knew they had to pick up the pace and play more aggressive following a 4-1 Game 1 home loss this past Friday. So they did just and were rewarded with a 5-4 double overtime victory in Game 2 this past Sunday.  That was the 11th time in their last 14 games the Predators have scored at least three goals.  These teams have a history of playing high scoring games.  The Over has won in five of the seven meetings between Nashville and Winnipeg this season. Even the games that didn't get above the total featured a lot of shots on goal and scoring opportunities.  The Predators are averaging 4.0 goals per game against the Jets this season while Winnipeg is averaging 3.8 goals per game versus Nashville.Â
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04-26-18 | Sharks v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show |
San Jose last was in action eight days ago. Las Vegas hasn't played in nine days. So how does this factor for the total? I believe it's a plus for the Over on two key counts. Both teams obviously will be totally refreshed and will be able to skate at their fastest. Neither team has any weak lines. Each of four lines the Sharks and Golden Knights have are capable of attacking.  Goalies Martin Jones and Marc-Andre Fleury enter this second-round series red-hot. The long layoff, though, can present a rust factor for them.  The Golden Knights haven't had to deal with a defenseman with the offensive skills of Brent Burns. If Las Vegas pays extra attention to Burns, the Sharks other veterans can take advantage.  Las Vegas was the fifth-highest scoring team in the league. San Jose is averaging 3.8 goals in its last six games.  There were at least five goals scored in three of the four regular-season games between these two teams. If it weren't for an empy net goal in Las Vegas' 5-3 win against the Sharks on March 22, each of the matchups this season would have been decided by one goal. The expected closeness of this matchup not only sets up a strong possibility of overtime, but also an empty net goal.Â
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04-25-18 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
These have been two big Over the total teams and that's been reflected in the series with four of the six games going Over.  Toronto has scored at least three goals in four of its last five games in the series. The Over has cashed in 71 percent of the Maple Leafs' past 26 games. Only once in their last 10 away games have the Maple Leafs gone Under the total.  Boston has scored three or more goals in 10 of its last 11 home games. The Over is 10-2-4 in the Bruins' past 16 home contests.  Now we have the deciding Game 7 in this series. The bonus we have going is neither team has anything to lose if they are behind late in the game. That means an inviting empy net for maybe the final three minutes if one team should be up, 3-2.  The Bruins have dropped the past two games. But it hasn't been for lack of shots. The Bruins are averaging 37 1/2 shots on goal during the last two games. Toronto goalie Frederik Andersen hasn't been that good on the road. He's allowed 11 goals during the three series games played in Boston.  Boston's front line of Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and David Pastrnak was outstanding during their first two home games of this series. They are well overdue to break out again. Boston goalie Tukka Rask has given up seven goals during his last two home games against Toronto.Â
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04-16-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
The Bruins are averaging six goals per game in running up a 2-0 series lead on the Maple Leafs. Boston's top line of Patrice Bergeron, David Pastrnak and Brad Marchand are playing out of their minds. Frederik Andersen has looked shaky in goal. So I don't see the Bruins letting up. They are going to get their goals. But the Maple Leafs should be much better returning home especially their No. 1 line headed by emerging superstar Auston Matthews. I don't see the Bruins keeping Matthews in check with the series shifting to Toronto.  Toronto has scored four or more goals in nine of its last 11 home games.Â
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04-12-18 | Devils v. Lightning OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 67 h 27 m | Show |
Nice job by the Devils to make the Stanley Cup playoffs this season after finishing with the worst record in the NHL last year. The Devils are heavy underdogs here so they are playing on house money. New Jersey is young and has fast skaters. All four of Devils' lines possess speed. The Devils went 3-0 against Tampa Bay this season. So they aren't going to alter their game and become grinders. Taylor Hall is a major scoring threat.  The Devils are going to play fast, which is excellent for the Over. The Over has cashed in eight of New Jersey's last 11 games with six of those Over games lined at 6 and the other Overs lined at 5 1/2.  The Lightning's defense has become broken. Tampa Bay has allowed three or more goals in 17 of its past 22 games. The Lightning rank 28th in penalty killing, while the Devils rank among the top 10 in power play goals.Â
Tampa Bay is about offense not defense. Not only were the Lightning the No. 1 scoring team in the NHL, but they scored the most 5-on-5 goals since the 2009-10 Capitals. Keith Kinkaid has emerged as the Devils' No. 1 goalie with Cory Schneider battling a groin injury. Kinkaid played well down the stretch, but has zero playoff experience. |
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03-26-18 | Coyotes v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Tampa Bay is the top goal scoring team in the NHL. Lately, though, the Lightning have sprung leaks defensively allowing three or more goals in 11 of their last 16 games. Tampa Bay has surrendered six or more goals three times during this stretch. This conincides with Arizona getting hot offensively. The Coyotes are averaging four goals per game during their last four matchups. Arizona draws Tampa Bay baciup goalie Louis Domingue, too. Domingue started the season with the Coyotes and was terrible with a 4.33 GAA while going 0-6. His GAA is 2.84 in nine games with Tampa Bay compared to Lightning starter Andrei Vasilevskiy's 2.59 GAA.  Tampa Bay has been a strong Over team at home with the Over winning 69 percent of the time during the past 29 games at Amalie Arena. The Over has cashed in eight of Arizona's last 11 road games, too. This series has an Over bias especially in Tampa where the Over has won nine of the last 11 times for 82 percent.Â
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02-27-18 | Kings v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
The Kings have scored three or more goals in 10 of their last 12 games. The Kings just got back Jeff Carter after he missed 55 games with an ankle injury. Carter led the Kings in goals and points last season. Their offense is much upgraded with Carter playing for the third time since suffering his injury.  The Golden Knights are the No. 2 scoring team in the league averaging 3.5 goals per game. Las Vegas is averaging 5.6 goals during its last five home games if you discount their game against the Ducks. The Golden Knights boosted the offense of their third line trading for Tomas Tatar.  Both teams played against each other last night in Los Angeles. The Kings won, 3-2, in overtime. There would have been more goals scored if not for the outstanding goalie work of Marc-Andre Fleury, who made 41 saves, and Jonathan Quick, who made 37 saves several of them of which were sensational.  The intense matchup left both goalies gasping. So there's a chance we could see backup goalies - Maxime Legace for Las Vegas and Jack Campbell for LA. The Kings traded their quality second-string goalie, Darcy Kuemper. Campbell has never started an NHL game. Even if Quick and Fleury get the start, it's hard to believe they would have much left in the tank playing without rest.  The Golden Knights previously hosted the Kings on Nov. 19 and won, 4-2. Carter didn't play in that game and Kuemper stopped 30 shots in relief of Quick, who surrendered three goals on Las Vegas' first nine shots.Â
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02-19-18 | Ducks v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
Oddsmakers shouldn't be opening a Golden Knights home game with a total less than 6.  Las Vegas is the No. 2 scoring team in the NHL. The Golden Knights are averaging 3.6 goals during their 28 home games.  The Golden Knights are getting career years from a number of their forwards and centers. Las Vegas has scored four or more goals in six of its last seven games.  The Ducks have scored three or more goals in five of their last seven games. The Golden Knights' defense has slipped lately allowing three or more goals in six of their last eight games. It's an added bonus for the Ducks if two-time All-Star center Ryan Kesler can play. He made the trip to Las Vegas so he could be healthy after missing Anaheim's last game with a lower-body injury.Â
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10-10-17 | Flyers v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 106 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
I like what I've seen of the Flyers' offense so far. The Flyers scored five goals against the Sharks in San Jose to open their season. They were stopped by the Kings, 2-0, in their second game but had 35 shots on goal and then beat the Ducks, 3-2, in overtime this past Saturday.  The Flyers had 15 shots on goal in the third period versus the Ducks and would have scored more goals if not for the outstanding goaltending of John Gibson. Wayne Simmons already has four goals.  The Predators haven't played well defensively. They've scored just three goals in two games. But Nashville has too many good young forwards to be held down especially now playing at home for the first time where their defensemen are very offensive-minded.  The over is 5-1-1 the past seven times these teams have met in Nashville.Â
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05-25-17 | Senators v. Penguins OVER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
I went Under 5 at a plus price in Game 6 between these two teams and was financially rewarded when the Senators won, 2-1, at home.  Now the scene shifts to Pittsburgh for Game 7 of these Eastern Conference Finals. There's only one way to play this total - and this time it is Over.  I see the Penguins opening this game up at home. They easily could have scored more than one goal on the road in Game 6 firing 46 shots on goal and generally controlling the action.. Trevor Daley had a goal called back after a lengthy review in which it was ruled Ottawa goalie Craig Anderson had been pushed into the net. Anderson was great in the Senators' victory. He was terrible in Pittsburgh's 7-0 Game 5 victory.  Sidney Crosby had scored a goal in three straight games until Game 6. Still, Crosby fired six shots on goal in Game 6 and Pittsburgh outshot Ottawa, 23-11, when he was on the ice and the teams were at even strength. You have to think Crosby and fellow superstar, Evgeni Malkin, will come up with big games.  Ottawa could contribute to the scoring, too, after ending an 0-for-29 power-play slump with a power play goal in Game 6.  The Senators will be forced to get out of their defensive shell if they fall behind, a likely occurrence with Pittsburgh a 2-to-1 favorite. The chance for two empy net goals for the winning team is in play, too, with this being Game 7.Â
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05-23-17 | Penguins v. Senators UNDER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 124 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
The Senators made a huge strategic mistake two days ago when they lost, 7-0, to the Penguins in Pittsburgh. They tried to play run-and-gun with the offensively-superior Penguins.  That's not going to happen today with the Senators at home and their season on the line trailing 3-2 in the best-of-seven Stanley Cup Eastern Conference Finals.  Ottawa is going to revert back to its normal play, which is a conservative, defensive style meant to pick spots and frustrate Pittsburgh. It worked for the Senators during the first three games of the series when they allowed just three goals.  The Penguins have made adjustments and played much better during the last two games. One adjustment was going with Matt Murray in goal instead of Marc-Andre Fleury. I've always considered Murray to be Pittsburgh's top goalie. He was outstanding in helping lead the Penguins to the Stanley Cup last season and he's been great since replacing Fleury giving up just two goals during nearly nine quarters posting a 1.08 goals against average and .958 save percentage.  There was one plus for the Senators in getting blown out by the Penguins this past Sunday. They were able to greatly reduce the ice time of star defenseman Erik Karlsson and Cody Ceci. This could prove especially beneficial to Karlsson, who is playing with two hairline fractures in his left heel. There's a chance, too, that the Senators could get back defenseman Mark Borowiecki, who has been out since early in the Round 1 series against Boston.Â
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05-06-17 | Penguins v. Capitals OVER 5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
I'm surprised this line is not above 5. Even though the juice has gotten heavy on the over, it's still worth laying. It's an added plus if Sidney Crosby plays. There has been at least five goals in all four games of the series and nine straight in the series. There also has been a minium of five goals scored in 17 of the Penguins' past 18 games.  Not only could the Penguins get back Crosby, who is expected to play after practicing on Friday, but Conor Sheary, too. Sheary scored 23 goals during the regular season. He missed Game 4 after suffering a concussion in Game 3. Sheary practiced, too, Friday.  Washington goalie Braden Holtby hasn't played up to his reigning Vezine Trophy status giving up three goals per game with just an .867 save percentage.  The Capitals are due for a big scoring game with their quick strike capabilities. This is their game to win. Pittsburgh goalie Marc-Andre Fleury has been playing above his head. Capitals coach Barry Trotz moved Alex Ovechkin to the third line, which should ensure maxium offense for Washington on all three lines.Â
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04-12-17 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show |
I see both teams playing tight here with a lot of intensity and physical play. The Blue Jackets enter the playoffs on a bad 1-6 run. They are averaging less than two goals per game during their last 10 games. Only one of the Blue Jackets' last eight away games went above the total.  Columbus can't let Sidney Crosby beat them and that's where Brandon Dubinsky comes in. Dubinsky is a physical center, who has a history of bothering Crosby, the NHL's top goal scorer this season.  Both teams have solid goalies with Sergei Bobrovsky and Matt Muray, who was particularly good at home for Pittsburgh going 17-5.  The teams just met a eight days ago in Pittsburgh with Murray in net and the Penguins won, 4-1. Wednesday Free Play Bruins minus $1.20 at Senators What does it say when the Bruins are favored in this Game 1 despite being on the road and losing all four regular-season meetings to the Senators?  It tells us the oddsmaker believes Boston is the superior team. I agree.  The Bruins are the more experienced playoff team, have the better goalie in Tukka Rask over Craig Anderson and hold huge edges in special teams. The Bruins are the top penalty-killing unit in the NHL. They also ranked seventh in power play scoring percentage. Ottawa rates 22nd in penalty killing and 23rd in power play scoring percentage.  Boston is better, too, offensively. Brad Marchand and David Pastmak are the two best goal scorers in the game. The Senators were held to just 28 goals during their last 15 games.  The Bruins are much better since Bruce Cassidy took over going 20-8-1 since then.  Yes, Ottawa did go 4-0 versus the Bruins in the regular season but each of those games could have gone either way. Now, when the pressure really is on, I see the Bruins prevailing. |
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02-16-17 | Stars v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -114 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
The over has cashed in 10 of Minnesota's last 12 home games - and this certainly looks like another over. The Wild is the fourth-highest scoring team in the NHL. Yet they are off a 1-0 home loss to the Ducks two days go. The Wild were shut out despite firing 37 shots on goal. Minnesota hasn't gone under the total the past 11 times when scoring two or fewer goals in its previous game.  Minnesota certainly isn't going to get shut out against the Stars, who are second-to-last in goals allowed and last in defending against the power play. Dallas has two veteran goalies, Kari Lehtonen and Antti Niemi, neither of whom has played well this season. Dallas has surrendered at least three goals in 14 of its last 15 games!  The Stars' scoring is down from a year ago, but they are still an above average scoring unit with star players, who can take advantage of Minnesota being down defensemen Jonas Brodin and Matt Dumba.Â
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02-09-17 | Canucks v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
Columbus is home for only the second time in its last eight games. The Blue Jackets give up the fifth-fewest goals in the league, but fiery coach John Tortorella hasn't been pleased with his team's defense lately. The Blue Jackets are looking to tighten up their defense and they've found the right opponent.  Vancouver ranks third-from-the-bottom in the NHL in scoring, shots on goal and power play goals. The Canucks have been held to two goals or fewer in nine of their last 12 games. Both teams have issues with their power play. Columbus has scored in just two of its last 19 power play opportunities while Vancouver's power play unit will be without injured forward Sven Baertschi. He's the Canucks' fourth leading scorer and key guy on their power play.  The Blue Jackets have a strong under tendency when facing Western Conference opponents with the under standing 17-5-1 the past 23 times. The under also has cashed seven of the last eight times the two teams have met in Columbus.Â
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02-08-17 | Blackhawks v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
I can point out that Minnesota is the No. 3 scoring team in the league while Chicago is 11th in goals scored.  But to be honest, I'm just going to ride the Wild's amazing over the total run especially when the total is less than six. Minnesota is 17-3-1 to the over in its last 21 games. The over has cashed in Minnesota's past five games and is 9-1-1 during the Wild's past 11 home games.  The Blackhawks have only gone under the total twice in their last 11 road contests. The over also is 3-0-1 the past four times the teams have met in Minnesota.Â
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01-16-17 | Stars v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Dallas isn't the high-scoring team of a year ago. Jamie Benn is having a down season and the Stars rank just 17th in goals scored.  The Sabres are a defensive-team. They rank 27th in goals scored. Their style is tight-checking with a methodical neutral zone approach. They like to force turnovers and dump-offs. The Stars dislike this approach preferring an up-and-down the ice style.  Buffalo is effective at home in its way of doing things. The under is 14-6-6 in the Sabres' past 26 home contests. An early day time start here is a plus to the under, too.  The Stars just beat the Wild in an exciting 5-4 game this past Saturday coming from four goals down. This game is going to have an opposite feel. Dallas has a bigger road game on deck tomorrow facing the Rangers. So it's a real flat spot for the Stars.  The under has cashed four of the last five times, too, when the teams have met. Â
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12-05-16 | Sabres v. Capitals OVER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
Buffalo is much more dangerous offensively since blossoming star Jack Eichel returned from an ankle injury three games ago. The Sabres scored a combined nine goals in Eichel's first two games back. They fired 35 shots in their last game, but were thwarted by Bruins hot goalie Tukka Rask in a 2-1 Saturday loss. Eichel has four points since returning, including three goals. |
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12-02-16 | Canadiens v. Sharks UNDER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
Martin Jones is proving to be a big-time goalie for San Jose. He's having an excellent season. Montreal has the best goalie in the NHL in Carey Price, who unlike last season is healthy and putting up monster numbers leading the NHL in save percentage. Price has allowed just four goals in his last three starts. He should be strong for this matchup since the Canadiens have been idle since Tuesday.
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12-01-16 | Lightning v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
St. Louis enters December having scored three or more goals in eight consecutive games. Tampa Bay has surrendered 14 goals in its last three games. |
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11-26-16 | Canucks v. Avalanche OVER 5 | Top | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Yes we have two below offenses here. But these two teams also have below average defenses. |
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