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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-08-18 | Alabama -3.5 v. Georgia | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 35 m | Show |
Alabama will put a ton of pressure on Georgia’s true freshman QB Jake Fromm. He doesn't scramble much and the Bama defense will shut down the run. The Georgia offense is very similar to Alabama's and their defense has practiced against those type of runs and pocket passers all year. QB's who scramble are what gives the Tide problems. The Alabama defense is the big difference maker in this spot. This isn't the Sooners' defense. Alabama doesn't lose to QBs like Jake Fromm and the Dawgs' running game will be slowed. The Crimson Tide don't lose to SEC East teams, either. Look for Alabama to win by 2 scores or more here on Monday night in the Championship Game. 5* |
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01-01-18 | Georgia v. Oklahoma +3 | 54-48 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
4* |
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01-01-18 | Central Florida v. Auburn -12 | Top | 34-27 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
I think this is going to be a major mismatch. Central Florida has simply never faced a defense like Auburn’s this season. This is a major step up in class for Central Florida. The Tigers rank fifth in the country in overall defensive and No. 1 in limiting explosiveness. Look for Auburn to get the job done on the offensive and defensive lines and pull away for a big win in the 2nd half. PLAY AUBURN with confidence. 5* |
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01-01-18 | South Carolina +8.5 v. Michigan | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-30-17 | Wisconsin -6 v. Miami-FL | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
Miami’s offense ranks 125th in the country in third-down conversion percentage, and the Canes will be without their best running back, wide receiver and tight end for this game. That spells trouble against a Wisconsin defense ranked seventh in third-down conversion percentage allowed, and No. 1 in overall S&P+ defense. Miami will also finally run into a unit better at creating havoc than its own defense, as Wisconsin ranks No. 1 in overall havoc rate. Miami won’t benefit from turnovers against a very disciplined Wisconsin team that will use a heavy ground attack. Look for a defensive fight and Wisky to pull away in the 2nd half and this game to stay UNDER THE TOTAL as well. |
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12-30-17 | Iowa State +4 v. Memphis | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-30-17 | Louisville -6.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 27-31 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
I’m not sure Mississippi State cares much about this game after a disappointing finish to the year, especially considering the Bulldogs’ entire staff took off for Gainesville, leaving the running backs coach behind to coach this bowl game. More importantly, Miss State will also be without their star quarterback Nick Fitzgerald, so I don’t think they can exploit the Louisville defense.  At the end of the day, Petrino still hates the world and has a lot to prove and he would love nothing more than to rout the SEC team.  Bottom line Louisville and their high powered offense and consistently improved defense from week to week will get it done here over Louisville. Look for Louisville to come up big here. 5* |
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12-29-17 | USC v. Ohio State -7.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
Ohio State will get up to face USC in a big way as this team will absolutely relish the opportunity to face the Trojans and they have a lot to prove to the Committee in particular for next year. This is a USC team that has struggled agianst elite defenses and this is a Ohio State that is prepped by Urban Meyer who is as good as it comes when it comes to Bowl Games and he has a lot to prove to himself and his fanbase in regards to the Bowl game after falling short the previous year. Ohio State’s defense is one of the top units in the country. Look for it to dominate and the Buckeyes to pull away. Let's roll with Ohio State on Friday night! 5* |
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12-29-17 | NC State -7 v. Arizona State | 52-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-29-17 | Texas A&M v. Wake Forest -3.5 | Top | 52-55 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
Wake Forrest will get up to face the SEC team here as this team is vastly underrated coming into this game. You have a Wake Forrest team that did not like how they finished against Duke giving up 31 points and falling short but this is a team that had beat the likes of top 25 NC State 30-24, dropped 64 on Syrause, went toe to toe against Notre Dame and played both Clemson and FSU close. Let's roll with Wake to get it done over Texas A&M who is without their regular season coach Sumlin. 5*Â |
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12-28-17 | Virginia +1 v. Navy | Top | 7-49 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
 THis is one of the weaker Navy teams I've seen in years.  Virginia coach Bronco Mendenhall has plenty of experience facing the triple option, and his Cavaliers notched an upset win over Georgia Tech earlier this season. Navy ranks 112th in sacks, which should give Virginia all day to pass. As a result of the Army/Navy game, UVA will have the preparation advantage, and the Cavaliers won’t lack in motivation for the program’s first bowl appearance since 2011. Virginia’s 69.7% red zone scoring percentage allowed (fifth in the nation) will play a major role; Navy’s defense ranks 111th in comparison. I think Virginia is the far superior team. 5* |
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12-27-17 | Missouri -2.5 v. Texas | 16-33 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
Missouri has an offense that is as elite as it comes and with their offensive coordinator getting so much buzz This team ran through the SEC to close out the year with an elite offense with the desire to destroy oponnets as they face a very young Texas DB backfield, this sets up horribly for Texas. Missouri started 1-5 but won their last six games and covered seven of their last eight. Coach Barry Odom was very positive during the losing skid, telling the Tiger faithful the team was improving every week and results would appear in the win column. Odom was correct as Mizzou scored 45 or more in each of its last six games and allowed more than 21 just once. There are some weak spots in Texas's pass defense and Missouri, who has played Georgia at Georgia will not be intimidated by any stretch of the imagination and MIZZU gets my call here on Wednesday night. 5*Â |
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12-27-17 | Purdue v. Arizona -3 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
Khalil Tate should be a good enough reason to back Arizona here on Wednesday night, as Purdue ranks 92nd in defending rush explosiveness. Arizona is bigger and better in the trenches and I like the Wildcats to be able to move the ball. Khalil Tate ARZ QB is an electric dual-threat quarterback will thrive after getting some time as the No. 1 quarterback in a camp-like setting during bowl prep, and become even more dangerous in an offense under Rich Rodriguez that thrived under his direction in 2017. Purdue will be forced into point-a-minute football, and the Boilermakers will run out of gas. PLAY ARIZONA -3 with confidence here as our 10* COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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12-26-17 | Northern Illinois +6 v. Duke | 14-36 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Duke usually rides a forceful offense into the postseason, but not this year. The Blue Devils rank a putrid 117th in yards per play. That does not bode well against Northern Illinois, whose defense is tops in the nation in negative yards per game at 8.8 and second in sacks per contest at 3.4. Duke is hamstrung by the suspension of kicker/punter Austin Parker. NIU is accustomed to playing Power Five teams and playing them tough as underdogs. The Huskies nearly upset San Diego State this year and will not be intimidated by the Blue Devils. NIU gets my call with the points here on Tuesday evening. |
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12-26-17 | Utah -6.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
The West Virginia offense will be without Will Grier, and the West Virginia defense is one of the nation’s worst units, allowing well above of 6 yards per play. Utah will be up for this game and their defense forces a lot of turnovers and give how banged up and disappointed West Virginia is that their quarterback is not playing and this will be a major difference maker.  Utah is a team that is 6-6 and it would look great for this coaching staff to pull a win here against West Virginia for morale for sure. This is a team that would love nothing more than to bring pride to their conference by beating a Big 12 team and the Utes are a disciplined Football Team when it comes to their defense as a top 35 defense, a top 50 offense, a team that beat Colorado 31-13 in their last game, lost to Washington by just 3 points as a heavy underdog on the road, beat UCLA 48-17 and nearly beat USC by losing by 1 point on the road which speaks volumes. Utah should get their 12th victory in their past 13 Bowl games with a big ATS win and cover against the Mountaineers in the ZAXBY'S HEART OF DALLAS BOWL GAME. 10* BOWL BURIAL PLAY |
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12-24-17 | Houston -1.5 v. Fresno State | 27-33 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-23-17 | Appalachian State +6.5 v. Toledo | 34-0 | Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
3* |
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12-23-17 | Texas Tech +3 v. South Florida | Top | 34-38 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
One area in which Texas Tech has a distinct advantage over South Florida in is how much more battle tested they have been this season, with a strength of schedule that ranked over 100 spots more difficult that the Bulls. All six losses by the Red Raiders this season came against teams that made a bowl game, while USF played only three teams that made the postseason and went a disappointing 1-2 in those games, including a home loss to a Houston team that Texas Tech was able to beat on the road as a touchdown underdog. It comes down to - will Texas Tech keep their guys on the same page on the field and have them step up? Keke Coutee and the very skilled Dylan Cantrell needs to continue improving his route running - when he is hitting his edges it makes them that much more dangerous. And no question - Justin Stockton is going to absolutely thrive in the Texas Tech backfield, Stockton is an underrated player and shakes up the entire Texas Tech offense in a good and big way. I think a serous defensive and coverage improvement - is not entirely possible without a complete DB overhaul for South Florida. Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. I’m not sure how high the South Florida motivation level will be for a repeat trip to the Birmingham Bowl, after the last-minute loss against UCF kept them out of the AAC Championship. USF had much higher preseason expectations, so Texas Tech should come out as the more fired up and hungry team. Texas Tech wins here on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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12-22-17 | Central Michigan +3 v. Wyoming | Top | 14-37 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
These two teams ended their seasons in completely different ways. Central Michigan won and covered each of its final five games, while Wyoming ended the year with an embarrassing loss to San Jose State. Even if Wyoming quarterback Josh Allen plays, which I don't think he will as he could be a first-round NFL draft pick. As good as Allen is, he was unable to carry the Cowboys to a great season. The Chippewas ended their season on a five-game winning streak and a huge victory over a very good Northern Illinois squad. I think Central Michigan is the right play here on Friday evening as the MAC get a win in the Bowls. 5* |
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12-22-17 | UAB v. Ohio -6.5 | Top | 6-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
UAB played about as a weak of a schedule as you could play. Ohio played well but struggled in the end with a few cold weather games. Now they get to go to the Bahamas being recharged and fresh and ready for a big win in the warm weather. UAB’s offense struggled considerably in their L/3 gms. While being held to just 180 yds vs Fla wasn’t surprising, they were also held to just 265 yds vs UTSA & their 334 yds vs UTEP was 123 yds less than the Miners allow on avg. UAB cannot stop the run and that is the strength of the OHIO U team. The Ohio rushing attack, which averages 5.6 yards per carry (top 12 in the nation), should feast against a UAB defense allowing 4.4 yards per carry (70th in the nation). I like the experienced team and coach Frank Solich to get a double digit WIN here on Friday afternoon. 10* BOWL BURIAL |
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12-21-17 | Temple -7 v. Florida International | Top | 28-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
The Temple Owls have started playing better offensively down the stretch. Their defense has also been the direct beneficiary of this and will look to keep it rolling on Thursday night. I'm laying the 7 with Temple here as we have another team with FIU as just like last night they aren't traveling anywhere and the team doesn't get hyped up for a bowl in their home state usually.  It’s tough to trust an FIU defense that ranks outside of the top 100 in both rushing and passing. The Temple athletes will shine in the warm weather and the Temple defense is tough. 5* |
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12-20-17 | Louisiana Tech +4 v. SMU | Top | 51-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 21 m | Show |
SMU New head coach Sonny Dykes will coach the Mustangs in the Frisco Bowl on Wednesday night, as Chad Morris left for Arkansas. SMU should enjoy the support of the home crowd playing 30 miles from campus, but teams don't normally get fired up playing in a Bowl game so close to home. Also you cant really lay points with an SMU defense that allows 6.7 yards per play, 123rd in the country and worst among all bowl teams.  The coach is gone and we saw what happened to Oregon after their coach bolted. Now, I see that their best playmaker, cornerback Jordan Wyatt, will not play against a La Tech team that has won their bowl game in each of the past three years and know how to prep with the extra time. Also, Louisiana Tech ranks 43rd in defending explosive passing, which should generate enough stops and put a lot of pressure on SMU. I'll take the points with LOU TECH. 5* |
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12-19-17 | Akron v. Florida Atlantic -22 | Top | 3-50 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
This could be a blowout from the get go as you have an elite top 15 offense in the nation facing an Akron team that though is 7-6, is 83rd in pass defense. FAU, one of only five teams in the country averaging more than 6 yards per rush attempt, will face an Akron defense allowing 5.0 yards per carry, 105th in the country. FAU should run it up as they get to play in their home stadium, as they have been doing for the last month-plus. Akron also lost 0-52 to Penn State and 14-41 to Iowa State as well whereas you have a team like FAU that will want to make headlines and will want to blow some teams out of the water as Lane Kiffin continues to make waves and looks to show off to both Athletic Directors across the country in his first successful season at FAU. FAU just beat a better North Texas team than Akron 41-17 and also beat Louisiana Tech on the road 48-23, make no mistake, a strong showing here will allow for a big bowl to come calling next year. 5* |
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12-16-17 | Middle Tennessee State v. Arkansas State -3 | Top | 35-30 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
QB Justice Hansen leads a prolific Arkansas State passing attack that averages 341 yards per game, sixth best in FBS. MTSU simply does not have the personnel in their defensive backfield to slow down the Red Wolves. Both teams possess vulnerable offensive lines, but Arkansas State’s defensive line, a unit ranked fifth overall in adjusted sack rate, is much better equipped to generate pressure than the Blue Raiders’ defensive line, which is ranked 47th. The ARK ST Red Wolves are one of the best teams in the Sun Belt Conference. They’re explosive on both sides of the ball. The Blue Raiders have struggled this season on the defensive side of the ball and will find it very difficult to contain the spread attack of Arkansas State especially on this fast turf field which favors Arkansas St. on Saturday night. 10* BOWL GAME OF THE WEEK |
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12-16-17 | Oregon -6.5 v. Boise State | Top | 28-38 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
A lot of question marks in this game, as Boise State’s leading rusher Alexander Mattison is listed as questionable with an ankle injury. If everyone can go, this is strength on strength, as we will see an Oregon offense that ranks top 20 in yards per carry (5.4) meet a Boise State defense that ranks top 20 in yards per rush allowed (3.5). Oregon is a different team with Justin Herbert back under center, and they are also without their head coach. I think the Oregon Ducks have enough speed to get this win as the Boise St defense is good but their offense is terrible. Oregon coach Mario Cristobal confirmed today that Freeman has decided not to risk injury in Saturday's bowl game against Boise State. Even with Royce Freeman their RB OUT, the Ducks have enough talent to get the cash. Lay the 7 pts with Oregon. 5* |
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12-16-17 | North Texas +7 v. Troy | Top | 30-50 | Loss | -115 | 67 h 58 m | Show |
Let's roll with the underdog here in the first Bowl Game of the year as North Texas is trying to shake off a horrible game against FAU in losing 17-41 as an 11-point underdog. They will be very angry coming into this game facing Troy. Remember, this was a North Texas team that had covered 4 straight games coming into the FAU game, including big wins over Rice, Army, Louisiana Tech and UTEP. This is a team that is ranked 19th in the nation in total offense, 21st in pass offense, and 64th in passing yards allowed with some decent defensive backs. Plus, Troy has won 6 straight and covered 3 straight, but they face a very potent North Texas team in this one. At the end of the day, this comes down to the more motivated team, and for a team like Troy who had beat LSU, for them to face North Texas after winning 10 games is a disappointment for a Bowl game. Let's roll with the active underdog here to get it done. 5*Â |
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12-02-17 | Fresno State v. Boise State -8.5 | 14-17 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-02-17 | Georgia +1 v. Auburn | Top | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
The Georgia Bulldogs were the best looking team in the country through the first couple months of the regular season, but Georgia has faded a bit in the minds of the committee ever since their blowout loss on the road against Auburn. Three weeks ago Georgia was a 2.5-point favorite at Auburn but Auburn won impressively doubling total yards and first downs in the game and then went on to beat Alabama in the Iron Bowl. Auburn played all of their tough games at home and they are a different team on the road. My feeling is that these two teams are very equal and Auburn is coming off a tough game with Alabama and have injuries on the O and D-Lines. Both defenses are great at stopping the run and pass. Georgia will be a vastly different team this time around and I like the game in the dome which helps with their team speed and I think they open up the playbook a bit more and use more of a passing attack. Also an edge to the Georgia Special Teams on punts and kickoffs. Auburn is coming off its Super Bowl beating Bama last weekend. I'm grabbing the GEORGIA BULLDOGS playing with major revenge behind Kirby Smart here on Saturday afternoon. 10* Game of the Week |
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12-02-17 | UMass -1.5 v. Florida International | 45-63 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-02-17 | Memphis +7.5 v. Central Florida | Top | 55-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
Memphis had 4 turnovers and gave up over 600 total yards of offense the first time these 2 teams met. UCF also might have some distractions with Nebraska and other schools going after Scott Frost. Why not take one of the hottest teams in the nation who is looking to avenge one of the ugliest defeats in school history and this coaching staff's history against UCF. Since Patrick Taylor Jr. and Darrell Henderson started putting up the massive rushing yards like they have the Tigers have beaten teams beyond handily. Memphis has won 7 out of their last 8 games, there is a reason for that. I don't think Adrian Killins Jr is quite enough to carry this UCF team on his shoulders here. He hasn't been able to show that steadiness like they wanted him to so far. Knights are 2-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record  I believe Memphis can and they have a great shot at winning this one outright after the brutal beat-down they took earlier in the season. Take MEMPHIS plus the points in this early kickoff on Saturday to knock off the undefeated Central Florida squad. 5* |
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12-01-17 | Stanford +4 v. USC | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This Stanford team has been playing great lately with home-field advantage in a rematch with USC for the Pac-12 title. They are a great team at converting 3rd downs and also at rushing the ball. Now late in the season with a strong offensive line and revenge from a 42-24 loss to USC early in the season and allowing USC to get 623 total yards. Now Stanford has won eight of nine with the lone defeat coming by three points. They have impressive home upsets of Washington and Notre Dame in the past three weeks. Stanford has been helped by a steadily improving defense and the emergence of K.J. Costello at QB to boost the offense. USC is very inconsistent and just a few plays away from having 5 losses. Look for Stanford to come out strong and play more physical in this game and get the win. 5* |
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11-25-17 | Washington State v. Washington -10 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
The #17th ranked team is laying 10 pts to the #13 ranked team, Seem odd? Yeah- the oddsmakers want you to take the trap with Wash St.  Jake Browning is going to be fired up and I think they were overlooking Utah last Saturday when they played. Prior to that they smoked Oregon by 30 and UCLA by 20 at home. Washington also beat Fresno by 32 and Cal by 31 at home. Wash St is not a good road team and they lost by 20 or more on the road to Cal and Arizona. The Huskies are good at forcing turnovers and the Cougars will try slinging the ball all over.5*
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11-25-17 | Texas A&M +10 v. LSU | Top | 21-45 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is the weakest team the Tigers have had in a long time. The coaches have done a GREAT job to get this many wins, they were all effort and planning after TROY and Miss State dominated them at the line of scrimmage and they struggled with Florida. I think Texas A&M will push them around and keep it tight as the players are playing for Coach Kevin Sumlin as he will be let go after this game. Texas A&M is better defensively as a whole against the run than they have been the past few years going against LSU. Look for this game to come down to the 4th Q10* GAME OF THE WEEK
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11-25-17 | Michigan State v. Rutgers +14 | 40-7 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
4* |
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11-25-17 | Penn State -22 v. Maryland | Top | 66-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Penn State could not have played worse in the 2nd half against Nebraska as this team yielded a ton of points and offense to a Nebraska team they were originally blowing out in the first half and that cannot sit well with a defensive minded coach in Franklin. Any prayer PSU might have of sneaking into playoff contention will first require a thumping of Maryland and they know that. The Nittany Lions' point differential per game is about 23, and that should increase against a weak Maryland Terps team.   Remember, Maryland lost by 25 to Michigan at home so is not too shocking to think a motivated Penn State can win by more with a better offense and defense. Maryland also gave up 62 points to Ohio State and Penn State has every bit of capable offense and this should be a blowout with the Penn St defense stepping up.10* BLOWOUT
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11-25-17 | Boise State -7 v. Fresno State | Top | 17-28 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
This should be an interesting matchup, but it’s a shame we’ll get the exact same matchup for the MWC title game which cheapen the experience for today’s contest. Fresno State will want to keep a few tricks up their sleeves given they know Boise State is the better overall squad and as a result we like the Broncos to go on to win and cover the spread. Fresno has already said they will keep it basic and not show anything today.  If Fresno HC Jeff Tedford has trick  plays up his sleeve you won’t see them here. Boise has been a machine down the stretch going 6-1 ATS with the ATS loss a 10 point win against Wyoming w/ QB Allen healthy laying 14 while Fresno is 1-2-1 ATS their last 4 with the ATS win hosting an Allen-less Wyoming and winning by 6. In both teams last 4 games Fresno is +31 YOG against UNLV, BYU, Hawaii & Wyoming while Boise is +159 YPG against Utah St, Nevada, Colorado St and Air Force. Broncos have covered all 5 road games this season and are 9-1 ATS as a MountainWest favorite of 3 or more. I like BOISE St here. 5* |
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11-24-17 | Western Michigan v. Toledo -13 | Top | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
Toledo is 6-1 in conference play and playing some of their best ball of the season right now. Toledo was routed by Western Michigan last year by a score of 55-35, and they will remember that as they face them this week and they had this game circled on their calendars. Toledo has revenge, sits at an impressive 9-2, has the 7th best offense in America and a respectable top 45 passing defense. Toledo just dropped 66 points on Bowling Green and is the same team that put up 30 points against Miami earlier this year. Look for Toledo to do well with revenge in mind, a shot at the league championship and even a significantly better bowl game as they get to the 10-win mark. 5*Â |
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11-23-17 | Ole Miss +15 v. Mississippi State | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
4* |
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11-18-17 | Missouri v. Vanderbilt +9.5 | Top | 45-17 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Mizzu is a great team at home and not so good on the road. And then their are teams like Missouri that were 1-5 and then had a four game run against Idaho, UConn along with home victories against struggling Florida and Tennessee teams mixed in. So now the public sees four consecutive wins, a win over Tennessee costing Volunteers HC Butch Jones his job and outscoring their opponents 215-66 along the way. I believe this line is way to high. Vandy QB, Jake Shurmur is a good SEC quarterback that has thrown for 2200 yards and 21 touchdowns. He alone can keep the Commodores in this game with this generous pointspread. 5*Â |
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11-18-17 | Texas A&M v. Ole Miss +1.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Ole Miss has won two consecutive games and will become bowl eligible with a victory today. Last week, Ole Miss scored on their first five drives and put the game away. Look for QB Jordan Ta’amu to lead the Rebels to a third straight win as they continue a late season surge. It seems strange that heading into week 12, Texas A&M is still unsure of their starting quarterback. They switched again last week which worked at home against New Mexico. Now turn it around and enter Ole Miss at Oxford. Thats a night and day difference. Texas A&M Aggies are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games in November. Either they lose focus from mediocre play or the players depth chart has been compromised by poor recruiting. Look for an Ole Miss team to win and win big as I don't think A&M will be able to stop them much. 10* |
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11-18-17 | Purdue v. Iowa -7 | 24-15 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
4* |
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11-18-17 | Iowa State -8 v. Baylor | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
4* |
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11-18-17 | Fresno State -2 v. Wyoming | Top | 13-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
We were going with FRESNO ST as our College Football Game of the Year! This is a 7-3 team who faces another 7-3 team in Wyoming with a banged up QB Allen who hasn't practiced all week. Fresno State rolls in coached by Jeff Tedford who is mad at the world after his last firing and has turned this program around. Tedford has a top 12 defense in Fresno State, 15th in points allowed, a team who routed San Diego State 27-3 on the road as a 6.5 point underdog and a team who is not afraid at all at the big moments given the competition they have faced. They are rolling into Wyoming and are not afraid by any means after having played at Alabama and Washington. Wyoming for as good as they are defensively as a top 30 defense, they are 129th in total offense and 126th in rushing. Rushing will be KEY because there are expected high winds for this game and running the ball will be important. Fresno State has a decent balance and a better defense and a team that has faced tougher competition all year. Lastly, FRESNO ST is a PERFECT 7-0 ATS its last 7 games when facing a team with a winning record. 10* GAME OF THE YEARÂ |
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11-18-17 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -7 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
The #5 ranked Wisconsin Badgers are very good and not getting a lot of respect. They are very good especially at home as they lead the NCAA in 3rd down conversions at 52%. I think Wisconsin stays unbeaten this week. Playing in Madison is no treat for the visitor and Wisconsin is doing all their normal Badger things at a very high level. Wisky forces turnovers and they don't turn the ball over. I think they win by double-digits here on Saturday afternoon. 5*Â |
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11-17-17 | UNLV +2.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
After their strong 2016 season it's been disappointing seeing New Mexico take such a large step back this year, especially within conference. The Lobos might be lacking motivation coming into their final couple of regular season games given they don't have bowl eligibility on the line. The UNLV Rebels will look for their third win in their last four games when they hit the road to take on the New Mexico Lobos at University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM on Friday night. The Rebels have posted a perfect 4-0 ATS record in their last four games following an ATS loss and they have gone an excellent 5-2 ATS in their last seven head to head meetings with New Mexico. Two more wins and UNLV will become bowl eligible. NM is in a brutal five-game losing streak. During that span, New Mexico has scored just 51 points -- just over 10 points a game -- while giving up 186. The Rebels are led by RB Lexington Thomas, who has racked up 15 touchdowns and 1,146 yards. UNLV is a perfect 5-0 against the spread in its last five road games while New Mexico is 1-4 against the spread in its last five overall. Take the points with UNLV here on Friday night. 5*Â |
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11-11-17 | Notre Dame -3.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 8-41 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
I like ND in this one on Saturday night. I think they are very solid on both sides of the ball. The major advantage in this game will be Notre Dame's improved secondary. The lack of running on the Miami side and the great D-line of Notre Dame will force them into unmanageable 3rd and long situations. I see several ADVANTAGES going ND's way here on Saturday night. Miami has been getting breaks with 12 takeaways in their last 3 games. Notre Dame does not turn the ball over with just 2 turnovers in their last 6 games and they run the ball extremely well. 10* College Game of the Month |
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11-11-17 | TCU +7 v. Oklahoma | Top | 20-38 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
TCU has the athletes and the scheme to disrupt the flow of the Sooners' offensive attack. We’ve seen the Horned Frogs do it this season against WVU, Oklahoma State, SMU and soon-to-be Oklahoma. OKL just put up 58 pts last week but the TCU defense will pressure them and force turnovers. Just look at what happened against Iowa State. TCU will bring pressure from everywhere, force Baker Mayfield into mistakes and the flaws of the Sooner defense will let TCU score here. I'm on TCU plus the points. 5* |
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11-11-17 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +14 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
The Tide have only played in 2 true road games so far this season and their last road game was a competitive 27-19 win against a weak Texas A&M squad. Mississippi State has been having themselves a strong season outside of their 2 game road stretch early in conference against Georgia and Auburn. Mississippi State was probably looking ahead on the schedule to this matchup against Alabama given the Bulldogs had a tough time putting away an improving UMass squad last week, picking up the victory by a final of 34-23. Mississippi State plays a similar brand of ball in comparison with Alabama ranking 11th in the nation in rushing, 31st in scoring, and 14th in total defense. QB Nick Fitzgerald has been special throwing for 1500 yards and 13 TDs while also leading the team with 800 yards and 12 TDs on the ground. This is the recipe for beating this Alabama team. We like Mississippi State to keep things competitive enough in this defensive battle as they go on to cover the large spread. 10* Underdog Slammer |
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11-11-17 | USC -13.5 v. Colorado | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
4* |
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11-11-17 | NC State -3.5 v. Boston College | 17-14 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
4* |
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11-10-17 | Washington -6 v. Stanford | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
The Huskies are hands down the superior team here who have also allowed just 91.1 rypg this season. They want to win big to move up in the rankings on the Friday night primetime game. The Cardinal depend too much on running the ball and this Huskies defense does not allow opponents to do that The Cardinal simply do not have an offense that can keep up with the Huskies who have averaged 38.6 ppg this season. The Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Play the Washington Huskies on Friday night. 5*Â |
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11-08-17 | Toledo -3 v. Ohio | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Toledo has allowed just 80 points in its five conference games and getting great play from their QB Logan Woodside. He has thrown 19 TD's and just 2 INT's. Toledo is strong just about everywhere. The difference between Toledo and everyone else is Woodside and the Rockets great receivers. Take the Toledo Rockets tonight. 5* |
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11-04-17 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL | Top | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Miami is undefeated this season but getting no respect. Virginia Tech has played mostly poor offenses. In their only two games against Top-75 offenses, the Hokies allowed 27.5 points per game. Miami scores more at home and allows more points at home than it does on the road. This is a huge game for both teams, and Miami will be rocking on Saturday night and they're expect a sold out game. After Miami wins here they'll move up higher in the rankings and then they play ND. The Hurricane defense is very good and I think that will be the difference tonight. 10*Â |
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11-04-17 | Hawaii v. UNLV -8 | 23-31 | Push | 0 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
4* |
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11-04-17 | Northwestern v. Nebraska +2 | 31-24 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
4* |
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11-04-17 | Syracuse v. Florida State -6.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
It has been a terrible season for Florida State. They started as the No. 2 team in the country but they have lost five of their seven games, including back-to-back losses to Louisville and Boston College. They really only had 1 bad game and that was last week at BC in the cold. They were blown out last week but I think that was as low as they will go and with an extra day to prep and playing at home I think we'll see a solid effort. Syracuse lost by eight points at Miami their last time out and they have not won a road game all season. Their last road win was over a year ago at Boston College. The home team is 5-1 ATS in this series and the favorite is 4-1 ATS. Florida State is due for a big effort and I think they will get a blowout win here at home on Saturday afternoon. 5*Â |
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11-04-17 | Auburn -15 v. Texas A&M | Top | 42-27 | Push | 0 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
Auburn is mad at the world and they just destroyed Arkansas and now they will roll into Texas A&M and probably destroy them too. In regards to defense, Auburn has been playing extremely well on the defensive side of the football yielding just 300 yards per game as a borderline top 10 unit. Considering the Aggies struggles on offense, I just do not see many ways they can keep this game close unless they come up with turnovers. Auburn will go for the jugular here and the blowout as this team is not out of the hunt by any stretch of the means yet with Georgia and Alabama on deck, they have a point to prove and by blowing a SEC team it helps them as well in all tie-breaking scenarios down the road. 10* College Game of the Week |
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11-01-17 | Central Michigan +4 v. Western Michigan | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
These 2 teams are headed in opposite directions in terms of health. The Chippewas have been bolstered with the return on their John Mackey and TE Tyler Conklin and in his 3 games back he has had 16 receptions for 229 yards and WR Corey Willis who missed 4 games and had 5 catches for 98 yards last game. Central has lost 3 straight in this rivalry, but right now they are the better team here and catching 4 pts. Western Michigan true frosh Reece Goodard will be making his first start at QB as Jon Wassinik was injured last game. That means more sack chances for DE Joe Ostman who leads the FBS with 10 sacks and with that pass rush the Chip’s are #9 in the country with 10 interceptions and #5 in turnovers gained with 18. Everything to me points to Central Michigan in this battle on Wednesday night on National TV and I'll back them +4. 5* |
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10-28-17 | Arkansas State v. New Mexico State +3 | Top | 37-21 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 52 m | Show |
This is a senior-led New Mexico State team and I absolutely believe everyone associated with the program is looking at this game as The Game. A win over Arkansas State would get the Aggies to 4-4 and give them a very good chance at becoming bowl eligible. I think NM St will score its share of points here as their offense is good. Larry Rose III is a dynamic offensive player, Jason Huntley has been a legit weapon any time he touches the ball and QB Tyler Rogers is pretty good as long as he’s not forcing the ball into traffic. I'm on the small home underdog who is rested with 2 weeks to prep and playing with revenge. 5* |
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10-28-17 | Nebraska +4.5 v. Purdue | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
4* |
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10-28-17 | NC State +7.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
I'll grab the points with the Wolfpack as they head to South Bend to challenge the Irish on Saturday afternoon. N.C. State is off to a terrific 6-1 start this season, an identical record to that of Notre Dame. The Wolfpack are in a good spot here, coming off their bye week and they are a very athletic team. Remember, just last year, N.C. State prevailed in a low-scoring 10-3 affair against Notre Dame. The N.C. State defense has certainly held its own this season, particularly against the run, allowing just three yards per rush. That's a key in this matchup as they keep the Irish offense in check for much of Saturday's game and I'll gladly take the +7 with NC St. 5*Â |
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10-28-17 | Penn State v. Ohio State -6 | Top | 38-39 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
Ohio St is also rested and ready for some revenge here on Saturday afternoon. There is a reason why Ohio State is favored by nearly a touchdown here and the line is barely moving considering that nearly 70% are on Penn State but the line is holding steady. Ohio State did not start the year strong against Oklahoma and now look at them, a typical Urban Meyer team that is clicking in all cylinders. Ohio State has revenge, is at home and will be wanting to blow Penn State out of the water here and coming off of a BYE Week. Coach Meyers always comes out STRONG with extra time to prep. The home team has covered the past four meetings and the Buckeyes have revenge on their minds. The Buckeyes haven't played anyone since losing to Oklahoma, but they've practiced well against them all and J.T. Barrett has 18 TDs and no picks in the five games since the OU loss. Penn State has not looked sharp this year on the road and we think they will be rattled and Ohio State will not let up on the gas this year. Ohio St wins and wins big on Saturday afternoon. 10* GAME OF THE MONTH! |
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10-28-17 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia +8 | Top | 50-39 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
The biggest narrative that the media will plug all week is the story of the two offenses taking the field in Morgantown. We can expect a shootout here and I think the home underdog will keep it close here. This game features two exciting QBs. The focus immediately turns to which defense can you trust to get stops. I really like what West Virginia has on the back seven. Athletically, the Mountaineers are very similar to TCU. That defense gave Oklahoma State fits, and the Cowboys will have another struggle in Morgantown. Not only can WVU cover, they can win outright if Will Grier comes up big. 10*Â |
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10-27-17 | Tulane +11 v. Memphis | Top | 26-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
The Tigers have ruled this series, winning 10 straight and the past six by double figures so this is a major revenge spot for TULANE and they are a much improved team. Memphis has a high octane offense with their only flaw, their defense. They are allowing 34 per to opponents. They are 2-2 ats in conference play. Tulane has been solid with one bad loss to Oklahoma and they have a great ball control rushing attack and playing a primetime game should add some extra motivation for Tulane. They are 3-0 ATS in conference play as well. We'll back the underdog in this one on Friday night. 5* |
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10-26-17 | Eastern Michigan +7.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This will sound weird, but the 2-5 Eastern Michigan Eagles are not a bad football team. They’ve had two overtime losses and three other losses by five points or fewer. You have an Eastern Michigan team that is picking up some steam as a strong ATS cover of late. This teams strength is their defense, which is a top 35 in overall defense and top 10 in passing yards allowed. On top of that, this team has an offense that features a top 35 passing attack and an overall defense that is top 30 in points allowed. They come off an impressive effort against Western Michigan, losing 17-20 in overtime but prior to that had covered against Army, losing 27-28 as a 4.5 point underdog, losing to Toledo by 5 points as a 13.5 point underdog and losing to Kentucky 20-24 as well as a 14 point underdog. This team lost to Northern Illinois last year 31-24 in OT. We like Eastern Michigan to hang tough and keep this one close throughout. 5* |
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10-21-17 | Arizona -3.5 v. California | 45-44 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
4* |
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10-21-17 | Wake Forest +4.5 v. Georgia Tech | 24-38 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
4* |
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10-21-17 | Michigan +9.5 v. Penn State | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
Last year, an inexperienced Penn State club was humbled by Michigan in a 49-10 loss. Penn St hasn't played the toughest of schedules and the Michigan defense is very good. I think that will give them an opportunity even against a complete team like Penn State. The Nittany Lions offense while talented does not present the biggest mismatch advantage in terms of talent or scheme over the Michigan defense. They should be able to keep the Penn St running game in check. I think the 9.5 points here on Saturday night are an advantage in a game that I expect to be really low in terms of scoring. I'm on the Michigan Wolverines with the pts. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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10-21-17 | Syracuse v. Miami-FL -17 | 19-27 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
4* |
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10-21-17 | Iowa +2.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
Iowa is 4-2 and they have a tough defense. They've also played a much tough schedule so far. Â So far, the aggregate record of the teams they've played is 25-11. I'm certainly not saying the Hawks are great, but they are the better team especially on defense with their linebackers. They lost on final play of the game to Penn St, and at Mich St(who just won at the big house), plus the tight game vs. Iowa St. I like IOWA to get the win here on Saturday afternoon. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK |
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10-20-17 | Marshall v. Middle Tennessee State +2 | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
4* |
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10-19-17 | Memphis +2.5 v. Houston | Top | 42-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
This will be the biggest game for the rest of the year for Memphis. Now newly ranked #25 going on the road will not be easy. If the defense plays as well as they did against Navy, the Tigers should win this one. Memphis is very good at causing turnovers and winning the turnover battle. Grab a full field goal with Memphis while you can. They could run the table with a win here and their offense is very explosive and now play on National TV Thursday night. 5*Â |
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10-14-17 | UCLA v. Arizona +2.5 | Top | 30-47 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
Rich Rod deserves credit for turning around the Wildcats this season and likely saving his job. The same cannot be said for Jim Mora, as he has yet to elevate the Bruins to one of the top teams in the league. UCLA has been on the road a lot lately and just seem tired. It will be very hot for this game at kickoff in the 90's. Arizona should be able to move the ball at will behind their tough rushing attack. The Wildcats defense is far from stout but they have improved by over 50 ypg and close to 12 ppg from last season so the unit is heading in the right direction. UCLA struggles to stop the run and that is what Arizona does best. UCLA is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games and ARIZONA gets the big primetime win at home here on Saturday night. 10* GAME OF THE WEEKÂ |
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10-14-17 | New Mexico State -6.5 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
Its not often that you see New Mexico State a touchdown favorite but we like them on the road here against a rebuilding Georgia Southern squad. The New Mexico State program is top 30 offense, top 10 in passing yards and they can put up points in a hurry. This team is also top 55 in passing yards allowed and lost to Georgia Southern 19-22 last year and have revenge in this game. They have lost back to back games to both Arkansas and App State and can ill afford to lose 3 in a row as they are still in the hunt for a Bowl if they beat these weaker schools. Georgia Southern is one of the worst offensive teams in the country and I like New Mexico St to get us the WIN and COVER in this one on Saturday night. 5*Â |
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10-14-17 | Navy v. Memphis -3 | 27-30 | Push | 0 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
The Memphis Tigers got their offense rolling with 700 yards of total offense and 70 points in a prime-time road win against Connecticut last week. They have 1 extra rest and preparation time to take on a Navy team that could be in a letdown spot following its dramatic win over Air Force last week. Neither team will get too many stops in this, but look for quarterback Riley Ferguson and the Tigers to hand the Midshipmen their first loss of the season. Navy for as good as they are they find themselves as underdogs this week. Remember, that Navy is nearly dead last in the nation in passing as they are a rushing team and Memphis is well coached and will focus on this. Memphis lost to this team last year and we think they will play well and pick up the win here at home and knock off the #25 ranks Navy team. 4*Â |
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10-14-17 | Oklahoma -8.5 v. Texas | Top | 29-24 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 15 m | Show |
It's safe to say that the Sooners got caught sleeping against Iowa State. This is a rivalry game that they can't afford to sleep through. Texas' defense will be up for the challenge, but I don't foresee its offense keeping pace. The fact remains, the Sooners owned the longest winning streak in the country before they were victimized by Iowa State. Oklahoma was flat out embarrassed last week This was a team many portrayed as a threat to both Alabama and Clemson. Now, OU fell flat on its face. Since the stock is so low on the Sooners, this is a prime position to catch them at a reduced price as they look to take out the frustration on their oldest foe. Baker Mayfield has 15 TD's and Zero INT's and OKL is too strong on both sides of the ball and they'll get a double digit win here. 5*Â |
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10-14-17 | Rutgers +3 v. Illinois | Top | 35-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
We get Rutgers who is rested and playing with revenge on Saturday afternoon. We see that 80% of the public is on Illinois is something that allowed us to take a closer look at this game. Rutgers is led by former Ohio State Defensive Coordinator Chris Ash who knows how to build a winning culture as he has been around one with Urban Meyer. Their defense is aggressive and tough up front. Not surprisingly you have a Rutgers team that is top 50 when it comes in defense and Ash is getting a lot of his players given the talent level that he has and he is doing a quality job recruiting as well. And, we like the fact this team is coming off a 56-0 ass whooping against Ohio St. We think Rutgers gets up for this game and gets the win for us. 5* Underdog Slammer |
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10-07-17 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +11 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
Wisconsin struggled last week but pulled away in the end.  Wisconsin was able to post impressive offensive numbers its first three games albeit against the soft defenses of Utah State, Florida Atlantic and BYU. Last week, facing a bit more resistance, the Badgers managed only 306 total yards in their 33-24 win over Northwestern. The final tally was very deceiving as both teams combined for only 550 yards but five turnovers and a pick six helped it go over the total. Last year's meeting saw Wisconsin grind out a 23-17 win in Madison and I like the Cornhuskers to keep it close. One noticeable change during Nebraska's two recent wins was a far more conservative game plan. The Cornhuskers ran the ball 85 times vs. only 45 pass attempts. Nebraska is very good at home in night games and I like them getting the pts here on Saturday night. 10* Underdog Game of the Month |
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10-07-17 | Michigan State v. Michigan -10 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 29 m | Show |
This is the first night game ever between these 2 teams and you can expect Michgian to be rocking on Saturday night. Michigan State has a decent offense, but they do not matchup well against Michigan's defense. The Wolverines will pressure the hell out of the Spartans. I believe Michigan's defense is better than last years and that is scary. I believe John O'Korn will get the starting job for this game and Michigan will move the ball on offense with ease. If you factor in the home field advantage especially since it's a night game i don't think Mich State has a chance. 5* |
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10-07-17 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +27 | 27-19 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
4* |
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10-07-17 | Maryland +30.5 v. Ohio State | 14-62 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
4* |
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10-07-17 | Minnesota v. Purdue -3 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
Purdue has played well against elite teams (Michigan & Louisville) and has the home-crowd advantage, not to mention the emotion of losing coach Tiller earlier this week. The school plans to honor prior to the game so you can bet there will be a little extra electricity to the home crowd and the players in this one. Purdue's offense looked awful vs. Michigan with just 10 pts and an embarrassing running game, but I look for them to be focused and bounce back here at home. I think their QB is a talented player as well. We have Purdue coming off its bye week and playing for Coach Tiller with pride. The Boilermakers are 9-2 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home meetings with Minnesota. Purdue is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games after gaining 100 or fewer rushing yards in its previous game. Take Purdue to take care of business and get the WIN and COVER here on Saturday. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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10-07-17 | Penn State -13 v. Northwestern | 31-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
4* |
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10-06-17 | Memphis -14.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 70-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
This should be a good chance for Memphis to bounce back coming off of their tough result last week at UCF.  UConn hasn't been great out of the gate and shown a lot of weaknesses on the defensive side of the ball which isn't ideal coming into this matchup against what can be a very high powered Memphis offensive attack. This is a great chance for the Memphis offense to breakout and get a big road win. I'm laying the points with Memphis on Friday night, as I look for them to bounce back and get a BIG WIN on Friday night. They were outplayed and out-coached vs Central Florida last weekend.  UConn is just 5-16-1 ATS in its last 22 home games, and I see the trend continuing here tonight. Memphis by 24. 5* |
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09-30-17 | California v. Oregon -14.5 | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-30-17 | Northern Illinois v. San Diego State -9.5 | 28-34 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-30-17 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech +7.5 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
When you watch the powerful offensive game of Virginia Tech they score 40 a game, and score quite easily - they can make the tough plays that teams need to - when necessary to win bigger games. Virginia Tech offense can always be counted on for putting up fast points, and will do again. With a season average of 12.11 yards per catch - Ray-Ray McCloud doesn’t produce nearly as much as the Hokies star WR, Cam Phillips and his 15.38 /yards per reception during his season at Virginia Tech - they have far better weapons at WR, and it will make a huge difference. It comes down to the passing game of Clemson - they cant seem to get their own WR involved on the field and get them to step up when needed. Clemson and their very talented RB Travis Etienne need to improve on his pass blocking side of the ball. Virginia Tech has too much attacking skill here. I think the setting and matchup is positive for Virginia Tech. If they limit big plays and Jackson plays well, they can win this football game. It is going to be a difficult challenge but I like Virginia Tech at home and getting the points. The Hokies will be play outstanding team defense Saturday night and I see the Hokies making a key play on Special Teams to get us the cover and another College Football winner. Clemson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and the Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. Also, throw in that the home team in this series has covered 5 out of 7 games and Saturday night in Blacksburg will be rocking! 10* |
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09-30-17 | Iowa v. Michigan State -4 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
The misleading final scores from last week’s games provide us with excellent line value on the Spartans. Iowa comes in off a heartbreak loss at home vs. Penn St and still hanging their heads. Despite losing by just two points, Iowa was actually dominated from the line of scrimmage by the Nittany Lions. The Hawkeyes were outgained by over 300 total yards in the loss. Meanwhile, Michigan State is home for the fourth consecutive week and is coming off a 38-18 loss to Notre Dame. Despite losing by twenty points, the Spartans actually outgained Notre Dame by 141 total yards but lost due to 3 turnovers and a ton of penalties. The Spartans have committed the 13th-fewest number of penalties this season (head coach Mark Dantonio is one of the nation’s best) and I expect a focused effort here. The Spartans should get the win and cover here at home on Saturday afternoon. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK |
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09-30-17 | Syracuse +14 v. NC State | Top | 25-33 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
I think this is going to be a really good close game. Both teams have faced fairly similar levels of compitition so far this year and have very similar stats. I really want to see the orange pull this game out and think they have a better chance than most people are giving them credit for. Syracuse loves to push the pace offensively and run a lot of plays. NC State is more of a patient offensive attack. Defensively, you can give the talent edge to the Wolfpack, but the Orange play well collectively as a unit. This will be a lot closer than people think. Keep an eye on Syracuse QB Eric Dungey to make some big plays. 5*Â |
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09-29-17 | USC v. Washington State +5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-29-17 | Miami-FL v. Duke +6.5 | Top | 31-6 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
This is the closest spread in this matchup over the past 10 meetings, but in my mind, it should be even smaller. The Duke defense is one of the best they've had especially against the run. Duke looks like they're one of the teams most overlooked coming into the year in the ACC and I'm looking forward to seeing if the Blue Devils can keep up their high level of play this week against one of the top teams in the conference. Big win for Duke last week against rival UNC and now Duke gets a chance to further their cause to get into the top 25 if they can come through today at home. Miami has had their season altered by the Hurricane, as this is only their 3rd game. Look for DUKE to keep it close throughout behind their defense here at home. 5*Â |
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09-23-17 | UCLA v. Stanford -7 | 34-58 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-23-17 | Penn State v. Iowa +13 | Top | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
Both teams are undefeated coming into this game, although I have been more impressed with Iowa’s resume, which includes a double-digit win over Wyoming and a road victory at Iowa State. Penn St has played a very weak cupcake schedule so far. The Hawkeyes are averaging 33.0 points and 398 total yards per game at 5.3 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.2 yards per play to a mediocre attack to they are just slightly above average offensively. However, Iowa possesses an outstanding defense especially at home where the Hawkeyes have yielded just 8.5 points and 269 total yards per game at 4.6 yards per play and 31.6 yards per point. Iowa’s defensive backfield has been spectacular this season as well and their linebackers are always tough. Iowa head coach Kirk Ferentz is a profitable 9-2 ATS as a conference home underdog of more than seven points, including 7-1 ATS with revenge and 4-0 ATS at home with triple-revenge. Ferentz is also an incredible 19-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge with the Hawkeyes, including 10-0-1 ATS over the last eleven circumstances. Look for Iowa to keep this one close throughout so we are backing the home underdog on Saturday night. 5* |
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09-23-17 | Florida v. Kentucky +3 | Top | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
Fifth-year head coach Mark Stoops finally got the message that in order to compete in the SEC, you have to value the football, run the football, and play solid defense. Through three games, UK is +4 in turnover margin, owns a 121-70 run/pass ratio, and is allowing only 346.7 ypg. For seven of the eight quarters it has played, Florida's offense has been nothing short of abysmal. The Gators managed 11 rushing yards vs. Michigan and if you eliminate their Hail Mary toss at the end of last week's win over Tennessee, they would have been outgained by 125 yards to the Vols. For casual bettors, Kentucky's 30-game losing streak to Florida is going to make this a "Gators or pass" game. But in those 30 games, how many times could you confidently say Kentucky had the ability to win the line of scrimmage battle? I feel they'll do so in Saturday's matchup which is why I'm on the short home underdog to pull the upset at home. 5* |
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09-23-17 | Akron v. Troy -15 | 17-22 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-23-17 | Arkansas +3 v. Texas A&M | Top | 43-50 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
Arkansas has to try finding more better plays for their top WR, Jonathan Nance. Arkansas has had a steady decline in their offensive output from last season, when they were putting up over 30/game but they'll get back on track here Saturday afternoon. I don't think that Arkansas is going to miss out on a chance to pull a key SEC upset here. Bret Bielema has lost to A&M five straight years, including a 21-point rout last season after back-to-back overtime heartbreakers in 2014 and 2015. Well, it is time for the Razorbacks to snap the streak. This A&M team has issues. Kevin Sumlin has fans and alumni openly campaigning for his firing. The Aggies still have that unreal choke against UCLA hanging over them. They were also unimpressive in a 10-point win over Nicholls State and the Aggies were actually down 21-14 at halftime last week against Louisiana-Lafayette. Arkansas has had two weeks to prepare for this game and lick its wounds after falling to TCU. But that 28-7 loss was a bit misleading, as it was 14-7 with less than three minutes left to play and Arkansas had two missed field goals. I think Arkansas is extremely motivated in this game and I think that they are more focused than the Aggies. There's no way you can trust the Aggies' offense, as its been a mess. The biggest issue is at QB. I like how the Razorbacks are built on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Look for them to bounce back and control the offensive and defensive lines in this one. I like the Razorbacks to get this win here. 10* College Game of the Month |
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09-16-17 | Texas +16 v. USC | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
I'm looking for this to be a shootout and Texas has too many athletes to pass up this high number. Both teams have found themselves in high scoring affairs in their first two. Their average scores are almost identical: USC 48-27, Texas 46-27. Both defenses have struggled against lesser opponents. Texas lost 51-41 at home to Maryland as an 18-point favorite. USC will get plenty of points, but Texas should keep up. I'm anticipating a close game and Texas to stay within 10 pts. Take the Longhorns as our 10* Game of the Week. 10* |
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09-16-17 | Oregon v. Wyoming +14.5 | 49-13 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-16-17 | Wisconsin v. BYU +17 | 40-6 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-16-17 | Notre Dame -12 v. Boston College | Top | 49-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
The Fighting Irish are hungry for a big win as they are looking to forget last week's heart breaking 20-19 home loss to Georgia. A look inside the numbers reveal that Notre Dame tends to stay on a roll when they're defense is rolling. They are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after their defense allows less than 170 yards passing in the previous game. We also see there is a big advantage in this series to being the road team as the home team is a mere 1-4 ATS in the series. We already know that Boston College is a terrible home team, 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 home games. And we know that when they get crushed they usually take the following week off as they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. This BC team is not good and ND had a very focused week of practice. I look for Notre Dame to win by 3 TD's. 5* |
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