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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-21-18 | 76ers -3 v. Heat | Top | 106-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
The Philadelphia 76ers can take total command of the best of 7 series, as they are in Miami on Saturday. The 76ers played well on Thursday, and will now carry that over to this game. The 76ers have a lot of youth and they are playing wel. Look for Joel Embiid to have another big game and take Hassan Whiteside out of the picture early and often. Miami shot very well in game 3 and yet the Heat lost by 20. There's no reason to believe the Sixers won't impose their will again in Game 4 and go up 3-1 with a win here on Saturday afternoon. 5*Â |
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04-20-18 | Celtics v. Bucks -6 | Top | 92-116 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
The Bucks do not stand much of a chance in this series, but a win on Friday will get them a little momentum. We have seen Milwaukee play huge bounce back games, and being at home is going to be huge for them. The Bucks are athletic and long and know how to get to the FT line. Look for a big bounceback from their perimeter shooters on their homecourt plus they should be able to limit their turnovers. The Bucks now know they're just as good as these depleted Celtics. Look for a big game from the Bucks at home on Friday night! 5*Â |
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04-19-18 | 76ers -1.5 v. Heat | Top | 128-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
The Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat are tied at 1 game a piece as they head back to South Beach. The 76ers aren't going to shoot 7 of 36 from three-point range again and D Wade isn't going to have another huge game like he did in game 2.  Expect Ben Simmons to be an active scorer and the 76ers to bounce back after dropping their 1st game after their 17 game winning streak.  Look for Philadelphia to get back on track and win pivotal Game 3. 5* |
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04-18-18 | Jazz +5 v. Thunder | Top | 102-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Utah had the NBA's best defense over the final month of the season and I expect that defense to resurface in Game 2. The Jazz are 32-9 their last 41 games and they will rebound here tonight. Paul George isn't going to go 8 for 11 from deep again. I like the underdog Jazz here in this one tonight. 5* |
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04-18-18 | Pacers v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 97-100 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
The extra day of rest is just what the Cavs need to regroup, as they're dealing with several injuries. LeBron James and Kevin Love will be much more aggressive offensively than they were in Game 1, and Cleveland will shoot much better from deep than its disastrous 8 of 34 opener. Look for the Cavs to make adjustments and get a big win here on Wednesday night. 5* |
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04-17-18 | Bucks +2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-120 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
The Bucks are athletic and long and know how to get to the FT line. Look for a big bounceback from Eric Bledsoe, who was held to just nine points Sunday due to foul trouble. The Bucks now know they're just as good as these depleted Celtics. Milwaukee also had 20 turnovers in that game and I expect them to take better care of the ball tonight. Grab the points but don't be surprised by an outright win here in game 2 on Tuesday night. 5*Â |
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04-16-18 | Heat +7 v. 76ers | Top | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
Presumably, the Heat learned something in Saturday's 27-point blowout loss that they can improve upon for Monday. The 76ers made 65% of their 3 pt shots and were on fire but I don't see that happening again. The Heat are well coached and will make the proper adjustments. The public is all over Philly but we are taking the underdog Heat here in Game 2. 5*Â |
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04-15-18 | Jazz +4.5 v. Thunder | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
OKC beat the Jazz 3 out of 4 during the season, but the odd thing about those games is that they were all played before Dec. 23rd, and the last two without Rudy Gobert, who completely changes the dynamic of the Jazz defensively. They're one of the top teams in the league with him in their lineup. When Gobert returned in late January, the Utah Jazz went on a 30-8 run to close out the season and one of the hottest teams in the league right now and well coached. The Jazz are tough and they're disciplined, everything the Thunder aren't, and I'll back them as an underdog here. The key is to keep Paul George in check. Play the UTAH JAZZ plus the pts. 5*Â |
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04-15-18 | Pacers v. Cavs -6.5 | Top | 98-80 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Cleveland has been a very dominant team at home while the Pacers were just .500 on the road. LeBron James has been the most dominant player in the first round of the NBA playoffs, has won 21 games in a row in the opening round (an NBA record). He's never lost a first-round series (12-0), nor even a Game 1 of any first round. I think the Cavs are the better team and should win this one at home by 10 or more on Sunday afternoon. 5*Â |
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04-14-18 | Heat v. 76ers -6 | Top | 103-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
The 76ers are still churning wins without Joel Embiid. They come in winning 16 straight (11-5 ATS), the last eight without Embiid. Everyone on the squad has been picking up the slack, such as J.J. Redick, who has averaged 24 ppg in his last four. Saric has been solid and Ben Simmons is nearing, or accomplishing, a triple-double almost nightly. The bench is giving them production and Philly is also playing great defense. Its been a while since Philly has been in the playoffs and I like the team and the arena to be rocking on Saturday night. Take the Sixers as they get the win & cover. 10* |
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04-11-18 | Jazz v. Blazers -3 | Top | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
The Portland Trail Blazers would like to get healthy before the postseason starts. They are very tough at home with a 27-13 record. Portland has dropped 4 in a row all on the road and I look for them to finish the season strong at home as the Jazz won by 40 last night plus had to travel. This is a big game because the winner will be the third seed in the Western Conference. Look for Damian Lillard to come out with a big game. 5* |
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04-08-18 | Mavs v. 76ers -12.5 | Top | 97-109 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
The Sixers are fighting for the third seed in the Eastern Conference and have a very winable game against a Dallas Mavericks team intent on playing guys that don't belong on an NBA roster. Philly gets off to quick starts and I am looking for a big blowout win at home for the 76ers on Sunday afternoon. Look for Philly to build an early lead and I expect the Sixers to pull away in the 2nd half and cruise to a 20-pt victory. 5* |
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04-05-18 | Wolves v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 96-100 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Denver is very good at home sporting a 29-10 record. They are also playing with double revenge in this THursday game. No question this is a playoff game for Denver and they’ve done well with the playoff pressure going 5-2 with the only losses to #1 & #4 seeds of Toronto and Philadelphia. A win tonight would give the Nuggets the same record as the T-Wolves. Minnesota is 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS the L5 games with the wins against Atlanta and Dallas (2 of the 5 teams with 24 wins or less). The T-Wolves are really struggling without Jimmy Butler and also their PG Jeff Teague. I'm on the Nuggets here tonight. 5* |
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04-05-18 | Nets v. Bucks -8.5 | Top | 119-111 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
Milwaukee is 24-15 at home this season, while Brooklyn is just 11-27 on the road. This Nets team relies too much on outside shots. It’s hard to trust the Nets right now after back-to-back ugly performances. The Nets lost by 12 at home to Detroit and by 26 at Philadelphia. Milwaukee is in the middle of a playoff race battle, and I like them at home here Thursday night. The Milwaukee Bucks are currently in 8th place in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks would love to move into 7th because that would put them against the injury-ravaged Boston Celtics in the first round. They will be looking to win big tonight. Lastly the Bucks are now 10-0 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with Brooklyn and 2-0 against them this year winning both games by 12 or more points. 10* |
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04-02-18 | Michigan +7 v. Villanova | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
Michigan needs to really defend Villanova's Jalen Brunson and Mikal Bridges - they are a couple of very skilled players who in a breath and a half can rip the nets for a big game. One weakness for Villanova is that they rely too much on outside shots. They only took 7 FT's in Saturdays game. Michigan likes to penetrate and get foul shots. No way Villanova starts off hitting 12 of their first 18 three-pt shots. Michigan is well coached and will play good defense and slow the pace here on Monday night. All of the talk is how well Villanova has played, but Michigan has won 14 consecutive games and have covered 11 of those and one push. On average, the Wolverines cover their games by 7.9 points more than the spread so they are on top of their game too. Look for a low scoring game here and I am taking the pts with the Underdog Michigan Wolverines. 5* |
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03-31-18 | Kansas v. Villanova -5 | Top | 79-95 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
The tendency for Nova's team to just light it up in bunches so well is almost unfair - and they have really having been shooting as well as they have during the season.  Villanova is very comfortable with shooting in transition and off cuts to the paint that everything is constant motion - they are then able to play even faster, and become more dangerous. Villanova's guys are smart and very quick - the quickness that cannot be overstated. I haven't seen the power from Kansas. They struggled with defending the shot vs a Duke team, and Villanova is going to be even tougher on them.  Villanova has better scorers and better rim attackers, which is more than what Kansas brings to the game. The Jayhawks big man-7 footer Udoka Azibuke is the most important player for Kansas but he has been on foul trouble in every game of the tournament. IF Azibuke get two quick fouls they don't have a solid backup. Villanova has 8 straight double-digit wins and I like Villanova to roll here in this one on Saturday night and advance to the National Championship on Monday! 10* |
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03-28-18 | San Francisco v. North Texas -3 | Top | 55-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
The SF Dons made 12 of 18 3-point attempts in the first half as they built an 18-point lead but struggled to make anything in the second, shooting 29 percent from the field and missing their first seven free-throw attempts. I expect N Texas to come out of the gates strong on Wednesday night, hitting shots and getting to the FT line. I think they'll play much better at home and even up this best of 3-series at one a piece. I'm on the N TEXAS squad here with a big win and cover. 10*Â |
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03-26-18 | Nuggets v. 76ers -5 | Top | 104-123 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK: I'm rolling the 76ers here on Big Monday in NBA action. This is the fifth game of a 7-game road trip for the Nuggets, who enter play 13-23 away from home. The Sixers have played brilliantly during their current six-game winning streak, and in their last three contests against the Timberwolves, Magic and Grizzlies have built up huge leads before coasting to victories. That means Philly's starters have gotten some much-needed rest in the fourth quarters and should be fresher than the road-weary Nuggets. The Sixers won in Denver by five earlier this season, and I expect Philly at roll at home on Monday night! |
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03-25-18 | Duke -3 v. Kansas | Top | 81-85 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
Don't be fooled by the seeds. THere is a reason why the #1 seed with Kansas is the underdog in this game. Â Duke is the much stronger team in this matchup. Â The Blue Devils' freshmen bigs Wendell Carter Jr. and Marvin Bagley III will dominate the paint and set the tone early on against the undersized Jayhawks. THat will get open looks for Grayson Allen. This game is going to be won or lost by the glass, and quite simply, Duke has the far better players for the job, with their awesome size of their frontcourt, they have shown they get boards and clean the glass, on both ends of the court. Duke struggled with the length and size of Syracuse, but that wont be the case here. Duke is built for big time games like this. Marvin Bagley has been getting the Devils 22 points per game. Kansas is going to likely fall behind early, as Duke starts off strong - which will keep the 7-0 Udoka Azubuike from getting involved in the game as much as he should be. He will not be getting his best opportunities - which will then bring frustration from their biggest player - which will seriously take the momentum out of defending the lane and clogging up the paint, if he gets run down. Â Kansas will be outcoached and outplayed. Duke will cruise to the Final Four. 5* |
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03-25-18 | Cavs -6.5 v. Nets | Top | 121-114 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show |
Cavs got back 4 of their top 6 rotation men in the last 3 games and will now start playing good ball again with a solid bench. They are now focused on playing post-season basketball and we’ve seen it especially on the defensive end as they allowed 44.4%, 47.8%, 39.3% and 44.2% their last 4 games. Cleveland owns this team’s first round draft choice and is going to want to beat them good here on Sunday afternoon. 5* |
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03-24-18 | Florida State +4.5 v. Michigan | Top | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
 Florida State has slowed things down a bit in the NCAA tournament and their defense has started to become a difference maker giving up well below their season averages in opponents’ scoring. I expect this game is going to be a physical game. There is some wear and tear on the Michigan team and FSU is a live dog. Against Texas A&M - Michigan shot lights out hitting 14 three-pt shots, shot 62% for the game and forced 15 turnovers. I don't see that happening again and that is why I like the balanced FSU team on Saturday night. Given their offensive advantages we like FSU to keep things competitive as the Noles go on to cover the spread. 5* |
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03-24-18 | Bulls v. Pistons -12 | Top | 95-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
The Pistons have gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. They recently got Reggie Jackson back from injury and are playing very well with his return. In their last three games, they won by 16 in Sac, by 27 in Phoenix and only lost at Houston by 4 pts a few nights ago. Now they host the Chicago Bulls, who have lost four straight and haven’t even been competitive in their last three. The Bulls lost by 18 at New York, by 33 to Denver and by 13 to Milwaukee. They have several injuries right now with Dunn and LaVin both out with injuries and Markkanen also questionable to play. It seems like tank mode for the Bulls and they don't have much talent with all of their injuries. The Bulls played last night and this is their 3rd in the last 4 days. I'm backing the Detroit Pistons in a blowout. 5* |
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03-23-18 | Syracuse v. Duke -11.5 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 20 m | Show |
Marvin Bagley works really well with Grayson Allen and they are set to get even better throughout the tourney. They are tough with their scoring and playmaking abilities that seems to always push their offensive excellence + their combination looks almost unstoppable at times. Duke has been putting up 83 points/game over the last 4 games even the smothering D of Syracuse will not be able to contain that kind of scoring finesse. UNC was the last team who was able to win vs Syracuse big time offense with 78 back at the beginning of March. Here's the story, Syracuse doesn't have enough scoring punch here vs Duke. The Orange can play defense but they struggle to score and Duke has the inside-outside attack to beat them.  Duke has the weapons to score on the SYR defense. Sparty may have been too young to take advantage of Syracuse and they shot poorly. The Blue Devils won't make that mistake and I like them in a big blowout on Friday night. 10* College Tournament Game of the Year |
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03-22-18 | Texas A&M v. Michigan -2.5 | Top | 72-99 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
 Michigan guard Poole woke up the Wolverines with that buzzer beater in their opening tournament game. They will come out hot and Texas A&M will struggle to keep up and Michigan will be hitting shots from the perimeter. The #7 seed Aggies will fall back down to earth after playing a great game against the NC Tar Heels. These two grinding clubs both prefer a deliberate half-court offense which I think Michigan is better coached and runs their offense better. They will not get jumped early like NC did. Look for Michigan to win by 7-16 pts on Thursday night. 10* |
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03-21-18 | Utah +7 v. St. Mary's | Top | 67-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Utah's last win could not have been more impressive on Monday night. The Utes piled up a season-high 95 points against SEC team LSU, with five players scoring at least 12 points. Lets back Utah one more time here as an underdog. Look for Utah to slow the pace and keep this one close throughout. We had them on Monday and I like them again tonight. I like UTAH U with a better-than-average side from a power conference here tonight. 5* |
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03-21-18 | Western Kentucky +4.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 92-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
OKL State is not a good team at home. They are led by their guards Carroll and Smith who combine to average 30 ppg but Western Kentucky has quick guards who will be able to guard and matchup against them.  In their win over Stanford we saw OKL ST force 19 turnovers. They wont be able to do that tonight verses this Western Kentucky team who has the bigs to dominate in the paint. The W Kentucky Hilltoppers have shot well in the NIT hitting 55.4% in the win vs the Eagles and 53.6% from three point range. They have 5 players averaging 11 points or more and have a balanced attack. Western Kentucky over their past five games is in better shooting form by hitting on 48.4% from the field while the Cowboys are connecting on 39.9%. Oklahoma St failed to cover in their home win to Stanford and has dropped a lot of games on their home court this season. Hilltoppers are an efficient offensive team as they connect on 55% from two point distance which is 28th in the nation. On defense the team defends the three-pt shot well. Oklahoma St struggles with their three point defense and rebounding on the defensive boards. Western Kentucky already beat Purdue, SMU, USC and BC this year out of conference and I like them to steal a win on the road tonight. Play Western Kentucky plus the points on Wednesday night! |
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03-20-18 | Penn State v. Marquette -2.5 | Top | 85-80 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
This Marquette squad is very good especially at home which will be the difference maker tonight. They are the #17 scoring team in the country at 84 PPG. The Big 10 has two teams that rank in the Top-6 in three-point percentage this season, Purdue and Michigan State. PSU went 0-3 versus those two league foes this season allowing 50 percent from beyond the arc in those trio of losses. I believe the Marq guards will light it up from the perimeter tonight. Marquette is at home, playing for a trip to MSG against a Penn State squad that doesn't have the bench to keep pace in the second half tonight. 5*Â |
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03-19-18 | Warriors v. Spurs -6.5 | Top | 75-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
San Antonio is playing with triple revenge and this is a good spot for them to get the win. With so much firepower missing from the Warriors' arsenal, it's hard to imagine them keeping pace with a determined Spurs team attempting to make the playoffs for a 21st consecutive year. The Spurs' defense has made the difference of late, conceding 90.6 points over their last five games. They've won and covered their last three decisions all at home and on Monday night I expect them to make it four in a row and grab this one by double digits. 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK |
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03-19-18 | LSU v. Utah -4.5 | Top | 71-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
LSU a poor road team that went 4-10 SU and 4-8 ATS with their last win away from home coming Jan 10th! The Tigers defense is allowing 48.5% away from home and will be dealing with the high altitude for the first time this season. Utah went 14-3 SU and 9-5 ATS at home shooting 46.9% while allowing only 38.8%. Both teams were home in the first round with LSU having to fend off a pesky in-state ‘little brother’ ULL. I think LSU will run out of gas in the 2nd half and I like UTAH to pull away and win by double digits on Monday night! 5* |
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03-18-18 | Marshall v. West Virginia -12.5 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
Bob Huggins and the Mountaineers last played Marshall back in 2015. I expect the Mountaineers, who are 14-7 ATS their last 21 lined games against teams which allow 77 or more points per game, to keep the pedal to the medal the entire way, en route to another convincing victory here on Sunday night.Marshall is too inconsistent on the defensive end to be a factor here and struggle to rebound which will hurt them. West Virginia is going to love watching Marshall put up bad shots from all over the court. The reality of West Virginia will have something to say about it. The big bodies and banging down low of West Virginia will be the final factor along with their full court press. I like West Virginia to win and win this one big by 15 or more.10* Â
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03-18-18 | Thunder +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 132-125 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show |
The Thunder won by 17 when these teams met in OKC in December. Yes the Raptors enter Sunday on an 18-1 tear, including 11 straight wins, but they're admittedly tired. And this game means more to OKC and Corey Brewer has given the Thunder an energy lift at both ends of the court. I think the Thunder matchup well with the Raptors and we'll take the 6.5 pts with the underdog OKC here on Sunday as OKC goes for its sixth straight win. 5* |
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03-17-18 | Seton Hall +5 v. Kansas | Top | 79-83 | Win | 101 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
The Hall most defintly has the talent, expieience and front court muscle to give Kansas a hard time and perhaps win the game. They will be loose and ready to go after getting their first win under their belt. In their Thursday game the Pirates did a tremendous job handling the basketball in such a fast-paced game committing just seven turnovers. Carrington had 26 points and Desi Rodriguez added 20 on 8 of 14 shooting. Seton Hall also got 28 rebounds combined from Angel Delgado, Myles Powell, and Ismael Sanogo. We've mentioned how much we like good guards and upperclassmen in the tourney and Seton Hall owns plenty of experience and won't be intimidated at all by the situation. Seton Hall enters on a 6-0 spread run and they've covered five in a row against teams playing better than .600 basketball. I'm backing the underdog here on Saturday evening. 10* GAME OF THE WEEKÂ |
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03-17-18 | Penn State v. Notre Dame -5.5 | Top | 73-63 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
NOTRE DAME is now coming at their opposition at full strength after not playing with their best player Bonzie Colson for a good portion of the regular season. The Irish have a great home court advantage and Notre Dame brings the effort on both sides of the ball ranking 134th in the nation in scoring and 77th in total defense. One would figure the early start time in the NIT would favor the home team and that’s going to be the top seeded Irish in this instance. ND's point guard Matt Farrell is coming off a supbar game so I expect a big performance from him this afternoon. Notre Dame coach Mike Brey is a celebrated motivator, and he'll have his team ready to excel in this game and get a double digit win. 5* |
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03-16-18 | New Mexico State +5 v. Clemson | Top | 68-79 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
New Mexico State comes into this game winners of 6 in a row and they are a very good team. This AGGIES team and their players are very talented and well coached. They already beat Miami-FL and Davidson this year so they proved they can play with the big boys. I expect 40 MINUTES OF INTENSE BASKETBALL from this tough team. Once they get the lead I expect them to keep it and I like them as underdogs here on Friday night. 5* |
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03-16-18 | Syracuse +5 v. TCU | Top | 57-52 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Syracuse comes into this game playing some of their best ball of the season right now. Jamie Dixon might know the 2-3 matchup zone, but TCU players haven't played against a zone all season. Syracuse is slowing down high scoring teams and they have quick guards who can score along with big-men who are long defenders and can rebound. Arizona State had the best game of their season and couldn't even score 60 points. Syracuse has a great chance of winning this game. The quick matchup zone will make them struggle even more here on Friday night. Take the Orange plus the points. 10*Â |
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03-15-18 | San Diego State +4 v. Houston | Top | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Houston comes in red hot, winning 12 of its last 14 (11-3 ATS), which includes Sunday's 56-55 loss, but cover, to Cincinnati in the conference final. Now the Cougars are facing an even hotter team that's been unleashed with a true rating that hasn't caught up yet. The difference maker this season has been senior guard Trey Kell. Since he missed three games in early February, the Aztecs have won nine straight games (8-1 ATS) with Kell, concluding with an 87-75 win in Saturday's MWC Final where he scored 28 points on 10-of-16 shooting. SD St is very physical and I give them the defensive and rebounding edges. San Diego State is the play here as a small underdog. 5*Â |
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03-15-18 | South Dakota State +8 v. Ohio State | Top | 73-81 | Push | 0 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
South Dakota State dominated action in the Summit League this season, but the Jackrabbits also proved their worth outside of conference play getting wins against teams like Iowa, Buffalo, and Ole Miss. SD State doesn’t have to travel far and this has potential 12 seed upset written all over it. The Jackrabbits are an offensive force ranking 6th in the nation in scoring behind veteran forward Mike Daum who’s averaging nearly 24 points per game. The team is averaging 85 ppg. I LOVE their ability to knock down the long ball as this will be the game-changer in this game Thursday afternoon. The Jackrabbits have shot 41.5% as a team from beyond the arc this season on the road, and the Buckeyes have struggled against the perimeter shot this season with opponents shooting 47% from beyond the arc against them on the road. One concern we have about the Buckeyes is Ohio State didn’t pick up much of anything in the way of resume building wins outside of conference action. With this game being played in Boise, Idaho, South Dakota State should have a strong fan support in the stands. In a game we feel SD State has a decent shot at winning, we’ll take the Jackrabbits getting the 8 points as a strong value oddsmaker mistake play. 10* |
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03-15-18 | Iona v. Duke -20.5 | Top | 67-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
The Blue Devils are coming full speed ahead and their new matchup zone defense has looked tough as well. On Thursday they will be playing against statistically the worst defensive team in the tournament. The Gaels rank 311th in the nation in defensive field goals made. If you are wondering, there are only 351 NCAA D1 schools. What makes it even more salivating for Duke backers is after a loss; they are 86%ATS this season. I think it will be a high scoring game and it wouldn't surprise me if Duke wins by 30 or more. 5* |
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03-15-18 | Oklahoma +2.5 v. Rhode Island | Top | 78-83 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
All I hear is how OKL should not have made the tournament and everyone is disrespecting them. Â We know that we're going to get the Sooners' best effort and they played a tough schedule this year. But let's not just count on effort; let's count on talent because that is what it's going to take. Oklahoma has wins versus eight top-50 teams and three versus top-20 teams. Trae Young is not just the best freshman in college basketball, he has to be in the conversation of having the best season of any player, period. The R.I. Rams will definitely compete but Oklahoma's experience against a more difficult schedule. Look for OKL to pressure RI and pull away in the 2nd half for the win. 5* |
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03-14-18 | Arizona State v. Syracuse +1.5 | Top | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
The public is all over Arizona State, which opened as a 1.5-point underdog but now the 1.5 favorite. Guard-oriented teams have cherished in the NCAA Tournament, and the Sun Devils fit the bill. However, Syracuse holds a significant edge in tourney openers because its trademark zone-matchup defense varies little from game to game. The Orange need minimal time to prepare. They have won 7 consecutive opening games in the tourney by an average of 22 points. Syracuse is the better team with the shorter trip here and I like them to win here on Wednesday night! 5*Â |
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03-14-18 | Harvard v. Marquette -12 | Top | 60-67 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Marquette did make the NCAA tournament last year in Steve Wojciechowski 3rd year but this will be the 3rd time in four years they have not. I expect them to be motivated and come out strong. My feeling is they would love to get to the 20-win mark as they are a very tough team especially at home. Harvard may be playing without the Ivy League POY Seth Towns (knee). Towns is a do it all type player. Marquette is one of the top three point shooting teams in the country and that is how you beat this Harvard team. Marquette is a talented team has a major edge at home and I like them to win this one handily. 10*Â |
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03-13-18 | Vermont v. Middle Tennessee -6 | Top | 64-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
While I usually fade a team that got screwed out a March Madness bid the dynamics are different with a non-power conference team. Middle Tenn St has 24 wins against the #97 schedule while Vermont had 27 wins against the #249 schedule. The Blue Raiders best players and best the best player in CUSA are seniors and they now return home off a home loss and a first round upset in the conference tournament. In fact, they had to stay in Frisco, TX an extra day because they only booked a flight home after the final but the day after getting knocked out they found a gym I Frisco and practiced. Look for Middle Tenn St to get a double digit win here on Tuesday night. 10* Home Cooking Blowout! |
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03-13-18 | Long Island v. Radford -5 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
Though neither team hails from a major conference, Radford and LIU-Brooklyn are on different levels. The Highlands toughened up with impressive pre-league losses by 10 to Ohio State and 12 to Vanderbilt. (There were blowout defeats to Virginia Tech and Nevada, both NCAA Tournament participants). The biggest-name foe for the Blackbirds was Tulane in their opener, and their strength of schedule is 335th, 16 spots from the bottom. The line has escalated from four, which mean it is headed in the proper direction and I expect Radford to get a big here. 5*Â |
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03-12-18 | North Carolina A&T v. Liberty -11.5 | Top | 52-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Liberty is playing at home in this CIT game on Monday night. This team is very solid as they beat Wake Forest earlier in the year if you remember and won 79-66. This is a squad that only lost to Houston by 2 points. This is a team that is as good as it comes when it comes to defensive pressure and intensity. THey are excited to still be playing and the coach will use this as a building block for next season. I love them to get a huge win here at home on Monday night in a blowout fashion. 5*Â |
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03-11-18 | Houston +4.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
The Houston Cougars might not get as many headlines as Wichita State and Cincinnati in the AAC, but the Cougars have been right there with both squads this year standing 26-6 overall and 14-4 in conference. Both of these teams know they’re going to the NCAA tournament, but Houston would probably feel a lot better wrapping things up with a win today.  Cincinnati hasn’t been quite as strong as Houston this year on the offensive end, and we feel like Houston is probably going to have more motivation to get the automatic bid so I'll grab the points with Houston on Sunday afternoon. 5* |
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03-11-18 | Davidson +2.5 v. Rhode Island | Top | 58-57 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
After a scorching 15-1 start in conference play, Rhode Island hasn't been as sharp down the stretch. Davidson has a lot more on the line in today’s matchup given the Wildcats know they won’t be going to the NCAA tournament if they don’t get the automatic bid. This was the case with Davidson yesterday against the Bonnies, and Davidson came through in the end beating Saint Bonaventure by a final of 82-70. Davidson has quietly been one of the more well balanced teams in the A-10 this season ranking a solid 85th in the nation in scoring and 58th in total defense. Back Davidson to win for the eighth time in its last nine games and take the Atlantic 10 title on Sunday 5* |
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03-10-18 | Marshall +5.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Marshall has been red hot in the tournament and playing some of their best ball of the season. They are hot and playing with double revenge vs. Western Kentucky. Marshall has had a manageable path to the conference tournament title game getting past the likes of UTSA and Southern Miss. Now Marshall will have to earn their way into the Big Dance taking on arguably the most dangerous team in CUSA. Marshall can be a bit one dimensional, but that dimension can be deadly, as the Thundering Herd rank 9th in the nation in scoring. I like the motivated underdog here with Marshall on Saturday night! 5*Â |
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03-10-18 | Alabama v. Kentucky -4 | Top | 63-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
The forwards of Kentucky are going to make a huge impact for the Wildcats - they will hammer the Crimson Tide frontcourt. Kentucky has been getting explosive offense in 4 of the last 5 games and this young team is peaking right now. Kentucky will wear the Crimson Tide down with excellent ball movement and aggressiveness. The Wildcats also come into this game allowing teams to only hit 29% of the shots from behind the arc  I’m all-in with Kentucky and their improved defense that was held 5 of their last 6 opponents 40 40.5% or less. Bama is banged up and lost another big man in yesterdays game and playing their third game coming off upsets against A&M and Auburn thanks to shooting 47.5% and 50% but they won’t shoot that well versus Kentucky this afternoon. 10* |
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03-10-18 | Cornell v. Harvard -5.5 | Top | 55-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 49 m | Show |
Cornell didn’t have a whole lot of consistent success this season, but the Big Red were able to do just enough to get into the Ivy League tournament. Cornell stands just 12-15 overall and 6-8 in conference ranking 91st in the nation in scoring compared to 332nd in total defense. This Harvard team is very young and while the Inexperience was showing early, the Crimson have rounded into really good form. Harvard won eight of its last nine with only a very close road loss at Penn as a blemish. Lastly I like that Harvard played this team last Friday at home and needed double OT so there is no looking past them. Also favor that Harvard went 8-1 down the stretch and the loss was just 14 days ago at this same venue while Cornell last played here on Jan 12th. Take HARVARD! 5* |
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03-09-18 | San Diego State +2.5 v. Nevada | Top | 90-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Playing at a neutral zone, SD ST beat Fresno State by double digits, SDSU can win this game, if Nevada lose, they are in, they need to save the energy to win a couple games in the NCAA tournament. Look for Pope, Watson, Mitchell, and Kell play solid offense and step up along with McDaniels. The only way San Diego State makes the NCAAs is by winning this game tonight and then winning in Saturday's MWC Final as the favorite. Nevada knows they get an invite whether winning this Tourney or not. The Aztecs have won seven straight (6-1 ATS), including a 79-74 home win against Nevada on Saturday. I like the Aztecs current form and desperation here and took the points. 5* |
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03-09-18 | Georgia v. Kentucky -4.5 | Top | 49-62 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
Kentucky is playing their best ball of the year right now. Georgia liked to play at a very slow pace (#328) and they could do so against Vandy and Missouri. Now they face the Wildcats on a double bye. Kentucky has shown great improvement down the stretch, with the exception of the reg season loss at Florida, but that should help them here. 5* |
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03-09-18 | Memphis v. Tulsa -4.5 | Top | 67-64 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
Tulsa  finished the season 9-1 with the only loss at Cincinnati. The players bought into an adjusted defensive scheme and allowed only 41% in those wins. Memphis lost Jerimiah Martin on Feb 24th. Martin averaged 35 MPG (#2 avg’d 29 & #3 avg 24) and led in PPG with 18.9 (#2 13.3 & #3 was 8.9) as well as assists, steals and #2 in rebounds. Memphis is 3-1 since but the fist win at UConn was the the injury system (team can recover one game from best player out), and they beat the worst AAC team twice (USF) and the second worst once (EC). Now the short-handed Tigers play a second straight day against a rested foe. 5* |
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03-09-18 | Alabama +6.5 v. Auburn | Top | 81-63 | Win | 100 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
Alabama had a rough patch to close out the regular season losing 5 straight including a 19 point loss on the road against this Auburn squad. Alabama wasn’t overly impressive yesterday against Texas A&M, but the Tide were able to find a way to grab the win on a buzzer beater, taking down the Aggies by a final of 71-70. Alabama has some momentum and I expect emotions to carry over here tonight. The Crimson Tide still have a lot to play for, since they're not lock for the tournament. Auburn's a shorthanded team, Collin Sexton is not all Alabama has. The Tide will prove that on Friday. I'm on the small underdog here Friday afternoon. 5* |
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03-08-18 | San Diego State -3.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 64-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
San Diego State has clearly been heading in the right direction over the past few weeks of action winning their last 6 games in a row to improve to 19-10 overall and 11-7 in the MWC. SDSU’s increase in production has been evident. San Diego St went up-tempo in Brian Dutcher’s first year replacing Steve Fisher and while the Defense struggled early they are now playing the defense the Aztecs are known for with a very much improved offense and I expect them to make a nice run here with a win on Thursday evening. 5* |
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03-08-18 | Providence +4 v. Creighton | Top | 72-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Providence had 4 guys averaging 9 or more points and I like them this afternoon on a neutral court. Both of these teams are more than likely going to the NCAA tournament, but Providence probably could use this win a little more. Look for the Fryers to get the cash as a small 4 pt underdog. 5*Â |
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03-07-18 | Boston College v. NC State -3.5 | Top | 91-87 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
BC is not a good road team and we'll back NC State here on Wednesday afternoon. Boston College played a physical game against a Georgia Tech (still w/out their PG) and they were pressed often and turned the ball over 11 times in the 2H. Now they face a rested NCSt squad that doesn’t always press but you can expect it today. The Wolfpack have the far better conference offense and defense and when they went played at BC on Jan 11th they were a 5.5 pt AF and now laying a basket less at a neutral site.  10* |
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03-07-18 | Texas State v. Coastal Carolina -2 | Top | 73-66 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
Line looks right for a 8-9 seed game but not the way the teams are in current form. Coastal finished the Sun Belt season going 7-4 with all 4 losses to teams that were #6 seeds or better. Texas St ended the year losing their last 9 games. The Chanticleers has only the #9 offense in Sun Belt action but they were #2 in defense while the Bobcats were #11 and #8. Coastal Carolina is the better team here! 5* |
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03-06-18 | Northeastern v. College of Charleston -2.5 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
These two teams had very similar results this season in terms of their conference records and overall statistics, but Northeastern went 0-2 against Charleston, losing on the road by 16 points and at home by 5 points to the Cougars. Charleston came into the year with high expectations and the Cougars have been living up to their billing standing atop the league with a record of 25-7 overall and 14-4 in conference. Charleston tied Northeastern in terms of their conference record, but the Cougars win the tiebreaker with their 2 head to head wins over the Huskies. Charleston came through for us yesterday taking down William & Mary by a final of 82-73. On the year Charleston ranks 153rd in the nation in scoring and 82nd in total defense. I like Charleston to get the win here on Tuesday night! 5* |
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03-06-18 | Wake Forest +4.5 v. Syracuse | Top | 64-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
WF has the inside big guys and rebounding edge here. They split the season games but as long as Wake doesn't turn the ball over then they should win this game outright and eliminate SYR from going to the Big Dance next week. 5* |
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03-05-18 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Wright State -3.5 | Top | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
#2 seed vs #6 seed. Wright St was 14-4 in Horizon League action and went 0-2 against Milwaukee losing as a 7 pt HF, 74-73, on Feb 10th and as a pick’em at Milwaukee, 66-61, Jan 20th. This tourney set-up is unique as the #1 & #2 seed games played Saturday against a foe playing their play-in foes while the 4-5 & 3-6 played yesterday. If a team is better on offense they might want to play B2B days but when you have the conference’s best defense, I’ll take them with a day off who Is prepared and ready. We have the better team with double revenge too. 5* |
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03-04-18 | Cincinnati v. Wichita State -3 | Top | 62-61 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
Now CIncy plays is an unfamiliar arena and it will be a ZOO! The Bearcats will be looking for revenge from their home loss on Feb 18th but they won’t get it. Cincinnati is over-rated to me as they as they’ve beaten ONE top 60 team this season and that was Houston at home. They are 0-4 against the other top 6- teams and have only been tested as a dog once a loss at Xavier. Wichita St has a seven game win streak, and I like them at home here on Sunday. 5* |
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03-03-18 | Celtics v. Rockets -8 | Top | 120-123 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
Houston will look to remain extremely aggressive on the scoring attack, as the Rockets hope to continue beating teams with their 3rd ranked free throw attempts/game. Al Horford is only putting up 11 ppg over the last month, and he hasn't been effective. I think the Celtics are in trouble on Saturday night here. They wont be able to guard the Rockets 3-pt shot attack.  Boston can, at times, make bad switches and Houston will be able to capitalize on those kind of mistakes. In their first meeting this year, the Rockets had a HUGE 26 point lead and blew it. They didn't have Chris Paul or Capela in that game and I look for a big blowout for the Houston Rockets here at home. 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK |
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03-03-18 | UTEP v. North Texas -6 | Top | 68-66 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
The North Texas Mean Green are playing hard for first year HC Grant McCasland and have made great strides from LY’s program (8-22). In their last 6 home games they are 4-2 with the losses to to a tough WKU in OT and to Marshall by 2. The Mean Green are also 15-15 and it is a massive difference to finish with a .500 record (if they lose first conf tourney game) than a losing record. UTEP meanwhile is off a pair of wins before they lost at Rice Thursday but they both game at home and prior to those they failed to cover 6 straight games plus versus the Owls. The Miners are 1-11 SU on the road and I don't see UTEP showing up here. Play N Texas by double digits. 5* |
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03-02-18 | Rutgers +15 v. Purdue | Top | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
While Rutgers has to play a third straight day they are also playing with losing to lose and pretty much a home game at MSG.  Purdue comes into this game 2-8 ATS their last 10 with one cover as a dog in a game they lost outright and in their last game at home against a depleted Minnesota squad. These two played on Feb 3rd at Rutgers and it was a 78-76 final. Crowd will decidedly be for the local Rutgers squad that has held Indiana and Illinois to 35.8% and 34.6% shooting. Since 2005, dogs of 15 points or more in all conference tournaments are hitting roughly 60%. We'll take the points with Rutgers here on Friday night. 5* |
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03-01-18 | UTEP v. Rice +1 | Top | 70-76 | Win | 102 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Rice is a young team with two freshman and one sophomore starter and while they are only 6-23 they are still playing hard for their first year HC going 7-2 ATS with the two losses coming against a pair of 20-win teams (WKU & Marshall). UTEP meanwhile is off a pair of wins but they were both at home and prior to those they failed to cover 6 straight games. The Miners are 1-10 SU on the road and we'll grab RICE on Thursday night in a pickem or small dog spot. 5* |
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02-28-18 | Nevada -1.5 v. UNLV | Top | 101-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Nevada has the #1 seed in the conference wrapped up but they have revenge against this instate rival as they are 19-1 their last 20 home games with the defeat coming back on Feb 7th. That happens to be the only game that the MW’s best player, Caleb Martin, missed. Rebels have allowed last 3 opponents to shoot 50%, 48.2% and 50.7% and now face the conference’s best offense. I like NEVADA to get a big win here. 5* |
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02-28-18 | Florida State v. Clemson -3 | Top | 63-76 | Win | 101 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
This is a much bigger game for Clemson than Florida State. Clemson leads Florida State in the standings by two games and the Tigers are only laying 3 at home tonight? Home court in all sports varies, but when the home team is the better team, you can give them the full edge. Back Clemson here at home tonight! 5*Â |
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02-28-18 | Ole Miss v. Kentucky -8.5 | Top | 78-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Kentucky at 20-9 is clearly down after posting 38, 27 and 32 wins the last 3 years and from February 3rd thru Feb 14th they lost 4 straight games. Since that time the Wildcats have won and covered 3 straight.  All the years they were ranked in the top 5 ended with early exits from the big dance. Don't sleep on them now, they are ranked #25 and looking to move up in the show. Wednesday night we get a Wildcats team that is starting to play solid defense (allowing 40/8% at home) only laying 11 points In Mississippi’s last 10 games they shot over 40% only once and that was the upset at Missouri while shooting 33.8% in their last game and 37.1%, 35% and 39.1% in the other 3 road games. Kentucky is the play here and I expect a BLOWOUT WIN! 10* |
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02-27-18 | American v. Lafayette -6.5 | Top | 86-93 | Win | 102 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Patriot League tourney game with Lafayette at home as the 7 seed. Yes, we are laying points with a Leopards team that went 9-20 this season as they were 7-11 in conference action with the #4 offense and #7 defense compared to American which went 3-15 with the #10 offense and #6 defense. Lafayette will have good crowd tonight and they are 10-0 SU all-time at home in post-season play. American is 2-15 SU on the road and away from home they allow an eye-opening 51.6% shooting. Teams played ten day ago with Lafayette only winning by 5 at home which insures they do not look past them and American was 50% from 3pt (11-22) which they will not do again. 5* |
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02-27-18 | Akron v. Buffalo -15 | Top | 68-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Buffalo went through a funk going 5-3 SU and 0-7-1 ATS laying an inflated number as the MAC’s best team after they started 8-0 in conference play. After getting their 20th win they had their expected letdown losing at Miami Tue, Feb 20th. Buffalo bounced back beating Ohio by 26 points on Saturday and are now playing their final home game. Akron is 3-7 ATS on the road and this past Saturday they lost at home to Miami in OT with their top 3 players all playing over 40 minutes. Akron HC’s made comments about easing players minutes as the priority now is the MAC tourney. Look for a big blowout here tonight! 5* |
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02-26-18 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia -6.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Texas Tech star Keenan Evans is hampered by a foot injury that limited him to six points on 1-of-6 shooting in Saturday's 74-72 loss to Kansas. The loss wrapped up the Big 12 regular-season title for the Jayhawks. The Red Raiders have a fast turnaround Monday to face a West Virginia team looking to avenge a loss in their first meeting.  I don't think they are going to be in this game mentally and W Virg is going to come out pressing and causing havoc.  West Virginia had a tough stretch to close January, but have won five of their last seven. The Mountaineers are in revenge mood for a one-point loss to Tech in Lubbock, a night when they were outscored by 10 at the FT line, easily the difference in the game's outcome. West Virginia has a strong homecourt and I like them to take care of business here on Big Monday! 10* |
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02-26-18 | North Florida +8 v. NJIT | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Four/five seed (both teams 7-7 in conf action) with game at NJIT but line is too high. North Florida made the post-season in ’15 & ’16 and this year played a brutal non-conference schedule (#7 overall) and had 13 wins against the #167 schedule overall. North Florida played the #318 schedule and went 14-15. In the first matchup the Highlanders couldn’t miss and routed the Ospreys 91-59 but in the rematch in Jacksonville which was just last Saturday the 17th UNF won 86-75. 5* |
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02-25-18 | Rockets v. Nuggets +5 | Top | 119-114 | Push | 0 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
The Rockets have won 11 straight but this number is a bit inflated. Look for the Nuggets to show up with a huge effort after getting embarrassed in Houston on Feb. 9. I'm on Denver to cover for the 8th time in its last 10 games. The Nuggets only made 3-28 three-pointers in their last meet and I expect some much better numbers here at home for Denver. 5*Â |
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02-25-18 | Penn State +1.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
The Big Ten has four teams in the tournament and two on the bubble. Those bubble squads, Penn State and Nebraska, face off in Lincoln on Sunday. Penn State is coming off a couple of tough games with losses to Michigan and Purdue who are both top teams. I like the Penn St guard-play and the way they shoot and get to the FT line. Look for Penn St to get a big win on the road Sunday evening. 5*Â |
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02-25-18 | Pistons v. Hornets -4 | Top | 98-114 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
The Hornets cannot afford a home loss and could edge closer to a playoff spot by knocking off the Pistons today. Howard has turned it up down low and Kemba Walker is doing his thing. Detroit doesn't have the guards to stay with the Hornets quickness. I like Charlotte by 8 or more on Sunday afternoon. 5* |
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02-24-18 | Arizona +4 v. Oregon | Top | 93-98 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
ARZ is 19-3 their last 22 games and playing their best ball of the season right now. I know Sean Miller the ARZ HC is being investigated but nothing has been proved yet. I'm taking the better team as an underdog here on Saturday night! 4* |
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02-24-18 | Gonzaga -5 v. BYU | Top | 79-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Gonzaga can clinch the WCC with a win while BYU is looking to gain some confidence for the conference tournament next week in Las Vegas where they'll have to win it all to get an NCAA invite. BYU lost only one home game in WCC play, a 74-64 loss to the other WCC-bully Saint Mary's (-2). The Zags have the traditional metrics we've been accustomed to, shooting 50 percent from the field and holding opponents to 40 percent, and they've won 17 of their last 18. I like Gonzaga in this one on Saturday night! 5* |
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02-24-18 | Portland v. Pepperdine -3.5 | Top | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show |
Pepperdine announced they would not be bringing back Marty Wilson to coach next year and the team has responded. While the Waves have gone 0-3 since it’s because they just played BYU, Gonzaga and St Mary’s and the only game at home was BYU which they too to OT. Pepperdine is only 4-25 but all 4 wins came at home with this being their final game in Malibu. Portland only 3-11 SU on the road. I like the home squad in this one tonight with PEPPERDINE! |
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02-24-18 | CS Sacramento v. Southern Utah -3.5 | Top | 74-77 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
We have a home team that is has played better on the season (10-16 vs 6-22 / #145-#112 schedules) and in conference action (4-11 vs 3-12) playing at home for a second straight game versus B2B road games on Thursday /Saturday. This Sacramento St team is 1-16 SU In games away from home while also going 1-6 ATS their last 7 games. Final home game for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds who are 8-5 SU at home this year and 5-1 ATS against teams with losing records. I'm backing the home squad here on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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02-24-18 | Baylor +5 v. TCU | Top | 72-82 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
Baylor fits one of the revenge angles I like that just keeps producing year after year. The Bears are looking to avenge an OT home loss to TCU and in that game they outrebounded TCU by 15. I believe they are the better team here and getting 5 pts. The Bears are off the loss to West Virginia where they had turnover issues and trouble with the pressure, but had won five in a row prior, including a pair of conference road wins. This shapes up as a tight battle between two quality teams. Road dogs that lost the first meeting by 1-2 points or in overtime are clicking once again at a 65% rate, and BAYLOR falls into that category here in early action on Saturday. 10* Game of the Month |
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02-23-18 | Ohio State v. Indiana +2 | Top | 80-78 | Push | 0 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
In their first meeting Ohio St won by 15 at home and shot very well at 56%. This is a very tough place to play and Indiana always gets up for these primetime games at home. If Indiana wins they keep their tourney hopes alive. Lose & they're done. This is their biggest game of the year and I expect them to get the upset win here at home. Play INDIANA who has quietly won 4 of their last 5 games. 5*Â |
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02-22-18 | Knicks v. Magic -3.5 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Magic get Aaron Gordon and Vucevic back for Knicks game The Orlando Magic are getting a dose of good news while the last three weeks have been nothing but bad news for the New York Knicks. Gordon leads the team in scoring at 18.4 points per game. He is shooting 44.7 percent after shooting 32.8 percent in his last seven games following a 30-point showing against Cleveland on Jan. 6. The Magic were 7-16 without Vucevic and most of the losses piled up early in his absence. Vucevic is third on the team at 17.4 points per game and leads the team in rebounding with 9.3. Before getting hurt, he was averaging 22.1 points and 13 rebounds in his previous eight games. Instead of going on vacation during the All-Star break, Vucevic continued working out to improve his conditioning. The New York Knicks have lost eight straight and covered the spread just once during that stretch. HC Jeff Hornacek said he is going to start some of their younger players and see what happens. That tells me they are tanking the rest of the season.  The ORL MAGIC has played well and should get better with 2 returning starters as they headed into the All Star break off three straight losses, but all by single digits and they've battled hard in recent weeks covering the spread in five of their last six (13-3 ATS in their last 16) games. Look for Orlando to come out strong here at home. 10* |
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02-22-18 | Rider -2 v. Monmouth | Top | 77-91 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
Rider has a slim half-game lead in the MAAC with two games left and comes in on a 10-game win streak. Monmouth comes off a road win at Siena (+4) and has nothing to play for other than being a spoiler. Best of all for supporting Rider here is that the Broncos remain one of the best road cover teams at 11-3-1 ATS. Rider has the better overall and balanced team and should get the win and cover here tonight. 5* |
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02-21-18 | Bradley v. Missouri State -4.5 | Top | 82-78 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
It is Senior Night for Missouri St and they are off a home loss on Sunday where they were tied late and but lost thanks in part to players leaving the bench and getting ejected. Bradley is just 1-6 SU on the conference road and 2-9 ATS away from home this season. The Bears also looking for payback and revenge from a 20 points loss earlier this season when they shot a season worse 31.6% and their star player Alize Johnson only played 15 minutes and scored 7 points with foul trouble. This is a very solid 5* tonight in College Hoops! 5*Â |
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02-20-18 | Boston College v. NC State -4.5 | Top | 66-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
NC State has won 5 of their last 7 and playing some good ball right now. Their last 2 losses were at VT and vs #20 ranked NC. NC St is the better team playing at home and Boston College really struggles away from home. We also have the Eagles who are off a pair of road wins and while they are 13-3 SU at home they lost their last home game against rival NC. BC is 2-7 SU on the road and while they won their last road game it was against the conferences worst team in Pittsburgh. Look for NC State to come out strong here at home on Tuesday night where they average over 81 points per game. 10*Â |
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02-19-18 | Oklahoma +8.5 v. Kansas | Top | 74-104 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
The Sooners' attraction still lies with dynamic point guard Trae Young. One of Young’s key games came in a home win over the Jayhawks. Despite the big FT different in the Kansas/W Virgina game on Saturday night (35 for Kansas, just 2 for W Virg) Kansas has the lowest FT attempts in the Big 12. I like OKL to get into the paint and keep this one close on Big Monday behind their star. 5* |
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02-18-18 | Loyola-Chicago -5.5 v. Evansville | Top | 76-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Loyola playing with revenge but that was one of the game in which the conference’s best player, Clayton Custer missed. He is back for this one and Loyola should handle Evansville with ease. The Ramblers have won 11 of 12 since that time and gave covered 10 if 12. Loyola has shot 53.6%, 53.3%, 50% and 60.9% their last 4 games while Evansville is shooting 41% their last 5 games. Aces also without starting guard Dru Smith and everything points to LOYOLA in this one on Sunday evening. 5* |
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02-18-18 | Ohio State v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show |
Michigan's stock is up right now after winning four of its past five games, while Ohio State took a hit thanks to its 23-point loss to Penn State. The home team is 5-1 against the spread in the last six meetings between the Buckeyes and Wolverines. Ohio St has not passed my eye test as a top 20 team. We saw the Buckeyes get exposed on the road at Penn St while Michigan is 14-1 SU at home. Wolverines played their last game on Wednesday at home and won easily while Ohio St played on the road Thursday. Final home game for MIchigan and expect them to shoot well here on Sunday. 10* |
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02-17-18 | Villanova v. Xavier +1.5 | Top | 95-79 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
Villanova comes in having lost two of its last three as a large favorite, with the lone win against Butler in a revenge spot last week. The Wildcats roughed up Xavier at home, 89-65, on Jan. 10, which was the last the Musketeers lost. Now with 9 consecutive wins since and seven ATS covers. When Xavier has been an underdog or favorite up to five points, it's 9-0 straight-up and against the spread. At home in a revenge spot against a Villanova squad that recently lost at home to St. John's. I like Xavier and here on Saturday they get the win. 5*Â |
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02-17-18 | Michigan State -7 v. Northwestern | Top | 65-60 | Loss | -114 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Tough spot for Northwestern - even at home - as the Wildcats only average 69.3 points per game, and today they may be without as 12-points per game scorer in Bryant McIntosh who injured his shoulder in the Wildcats last game on Tuesday night in a road loss at Rutgers. As they can rebound and shoot from deep far and away better than most. Miles Bridges is also an amazing player at the other guard spot - this Michigan St team isn't going to slow down soon. Michigan State pulls away in the 2nd half.5* |
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02-17-18 | Providence v. Butler -7.5 | Top | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
Butler has lost 3 straight games but two of those losses were against TOP 5 opponents. The shooting of Butler is quietly one of the better in the NCAA - with Kelan Martin and Kamar Baldwin in particular. Their guys are good without the ball, and very smooth to pull the trigger. The backcourt of Providence will struggle to get through Butler - and their attempt to get to the paint will slow down, as they wont be able to drive to the rack all day long. The Friars have potential - but allowing teams to score inside, the way they do, isn't showing that off. Providence has some pretty high caliber players at the most important positions with Alpha Diallo and Rodney Bullock. But will Providence be able to show them off here? No. Butler gets a big win at home here on Saturday afternoon. 10*Â |
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02-16-18 | Yale v. Dartmouth +2 | Top | 77-65 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
Despite their record I think Dartmouth is the better team. Yes, they have lost 11 of their last 12 games but a closer look shows me that their last 6 games they've lost by an average of 2 points. That's right, just 2 points. They are a balanced offensive team with 5 players averaging between 10-12 points and a solid rebounding team and I like the fact that they are well rest and playing at home again. Play DARTMOUTH here on Friday night! 5* BEST BET PLAY OF THE DAY! |
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02-15-18 | William & Mary v. Hofstra -4.5 | Top | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Hofstra is coming off a terrible game where they lost by 20 and got outrebounded by 15 in that game. William is Mary is not a good team on the road and they don't like defense. Their defense is 333rd ranked and not good enough to get consistent stops. I like Hofstra here at home on Thursday night minus the small number. 5*Â |
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02-14-18 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -5 | Top | 90-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
Its been a down year for Seton Hall as they been falling back in the Big East standings over the past couple weeks of action losing their last 3 games in a row to stand 17-8 overall and 6-6 in conference. They are also NOT a good road team. Seton Hall is coming off back to back close losses at home against Marquette and on the road against Georgetown, and things get even tougher for the veteran Pirates today going against the second best team in the Big East. On the year Seton Hall ranks 66th in the nation in scoring and 169th in total defense. Xavier has been able to leap over Villanova for the time being in the Big East with an impressive mark of 23-3 overall and 11-2 in conference. Xavier has been on fire winning their last 8 games in a row including some tremendous wins this past week on the road against Butler and Creighton. Xavier has shown they love to play with tempo, but they can also adapt how they do things, which will help this 14th ranked offensive unit come postseason play. Xavier has already picked up a road win against Seton Hall earlier in conference play by a final of 73-64 and we’d be somewhat surprised if the Musketeers weren’t able to grab a similar margin of victory in today’s rematch, especially when looking at how these teams have been playing more recently. Look for XAVIER to pull away in the 2nd half. 5* |
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02-14-18 | Kentucky v. Auburn -9 | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
Auburn is TOP 5 in every offensive category and a very good team with a solid bench. Bruce Pearl has this team playing great ball and looks to push the tempo. Kentucky has good athletes but they are a poor shooting team. Auburn gets to make a point to Kentucky that there is a changing of the guard here and they will want to take this opportunity, on national television to make a very clear statement today. Auburn is ranked 11th in the nation for a reason, Kentucky is 0-4 ATS of late in the SEC and Auburn is 6-1 ATS against the SEC and 5-1 ATS at home as well and with Kentucky struggling to hold on the ball as they are outside the top 200 in turnover margin, this should end up being a blowout in a big way tonight! 10* GAME OF THE MONTH |
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02-13-18 | LSU +7.5 v. Alabama | Top | 65-80 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
You have a LSU team that is around top 60 in most power rankings and some projections have them in and several have them out. They need a big quality win and why not against Alabama. Will Wade has done wonders to this team and for a team that won 10 games last year has already won 14 games this year. Note, this team is a top 35 offensive team which always keeps them in and as Alabama comes off a historic win over Tennessee where they held their rival to just 50 points and winning by 28 points against a top 15 caliber team is pretty incredible, and a tough game to get motivated against a LSU team who they have already beaten. LSU has revenge and this is a letdown spot for Bama. LSU needs this win and this is a team that does have road wins against Texas A&M and Arkansas to their credit. Will Wade is great at making adjustments as well and this team lost by 8 to Bama last time and look for them to play with exceeding effort today. 5*Â |
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02-13-18 | Cavs +1.5 v. Thunder | Top | 120-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
LeBron is happy again and that makes all the difference as he has a ton of athletes and speed around him. This is a nice revenge spot for the newly-energized Cavs who got smoked and gave up 148 pts the last time they played. I'm playing the road dog with the CAVS again tonight. 5*Â |
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02-13-18 | Maryland v. Nebraska +1 | Top | 66-70 | Win | 102 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
I have Nebraska favored by 5, here before I saw the odds. They are a very good team at home. Maryland has gone 1-7 on the road. Nebraska has gone 13-1 (10-2 ATS) at home and the Cornhuskers have been a great story in the Big Ten, covering 12 of their last 13 conference games. They've been underrated all season and they still are here. Nebraska is the play. 10* Game of the Week |
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02-12-18 | Notre Dame +11 v. North Carolina | Top | 66-83 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Several things I like here. The most obvious is the scheduling. The Irish played just two games this past week, and both were cakewalks against BC and Florida State. North Carolina is off two grueling games in the last four days against rivals Duke and NC State. It's also a revenge for the Irish, as they were on the short end of a one-point loss to UNC earlier. ND will be playing with confidence so let's roll with the points. 5*Â |
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02-11-18 | Duke -9.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 80-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
Look for the Blue Devils bouncing back big-time after their loss to NC on Thursday. Yellow Jackets have lost six of their last seven straight-up -- four of them by double digits and have a lot of distractions. In the head-to-head series, the favorite is 22-8 against the spread. Duke should have no trouble stretching out that mark and winning this one in a big way. 5* |
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