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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan -4 | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 32 h 25 m | Show | |
 NCAA Championship game here on Monday has Washington taking on Michigan. The Washington Huskies are 14-0 S/U and 7-6-1 ATS on the season. The Huskies averaged 37.6 ppg and allowed 24.1 ppg. The Huskies held on last week to defeat Texas, 37-31, as Texas had one last shot as time expired but came up short. The Huskies had 532 total yards of offense in that game. The difference in today's contest might just be Washington QB Michael Pennix Jr who hit 29 of 39 vs Texas for 430 yards and 2 TD's. Pennix Jr was the Heisman Trophy runner up this year. Conversely, the Michigan Wolverines are led by their defense. They held Alabama to 288 total yards and 3 of 13 on third down conversions. The Wolverines did nothing in the second half but came alive on the final drives to tie the game and then win it in OT. The defense is first in the country in scoring (9.5 ppg) and yards (239.7). This might be the best offense and definitely best QB that the Wolverines have faced this year. Washington has had to play top defenses all season and come out on top. The points are a plus here but I look for Washington to win the National Championship. Take the Huskies. |
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01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington +4 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
The 2nd semifinal and the right to face the winner of the Alabama vs Michigan game on Jan 8th for the National Title has No 3 Texas taking on No 2 Washington in the Sugar Bowl. Texas won the Big 12 Championship with a convincing win over Oklahoma State, 49-21. Washington won the PAC-12 by just getting by Oregon, 34-31. Texas won its final seven games after losing in the Red River Rivalry to Oklahoma. They are 12-1 overall S/U and 7-5-1 ATS. They averaged 36.2 ppg while allowing 17.5 ppg. They are 18th in passing offense and 24th in rushing offense. They allowed 17.5 ppg, good for 12th in the nation. The Washington Huskies are 13-0 S/U and 6-6-1 ATS, averaging 37.7 ppg while allowing 23.6 ppg. The Huskies are 1st in the nation in passing offense behind QB Michael Penix Jr. They are 10th in the nation in scoring offense and 51st in scoring defense. Washing will be at full strength as they won't lose anyone to the NFL draft opt-out or the transfer portal. Both these team will be lighting the scoreboard today. Despite being 13-0, Washington is the overlooked team to some degree. Even the oddsmaker has them a 4-point dog here today. I like Penix a lot for this Washington team. I'll take those points with the Huskies. |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
The 110th edition of the Rose Bowl is all set to host one of the two playoff games here on Monday from Pasadena. The No 1 Michigan Wolverines will take on No 4 Alabama for the right to go to the championship game one week from today. Michigan is 13-0 S/U and 7-5-1 ATS on the season. They have averaged 36.7 ppg while allowing 9.5 ppg. The offense is very good and balanced, ranking 26th in scoring but only 62nd in rushing and 72nd in passing. Defense is the leader of this team, ranking first overall in the country in points allowed, sixth vs the run and second vs the pass. This looks to go either way here today but Alabama is the team that will be seeking their 7th National title. I'll take the Tide here today. Play Alabama. Meanwhile, 12-1 S/U and 9-4 ATS Alabama looked like they wouldn't get to this game after losing early in the season to Texas. The Tide average 36.7 ppg while allowing 9.5 ppg. The Alabama defense ranks 17th in the country in points allowed. |
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12-30-23 | Toledo v. Wyoming -3.5 | 15-16 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
The Toledo Rockets are 11-2 on the season as they play the 8-4 Wyoming Cowboys in the Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl from Tucson AZ here on Saturday. Toledo lost in the MAC Championship game to Miami OH, 14-23, snapping its 11-game win streak. Once again we have to go to the Transfer Portal and NFL Opt Outs to see what's up. And, for Toledo, they lose their best offensive weapon in this game, QB Dequan Finn as well as a top CB in Quinyon Mitchell and OG and their punter. Wyoming loses just one player in CB Kolbey Taylor. This Toledo team averaged 33.6 ppg and 426.7 ypg of offense. But the loss of Finn will ruin those number as Tucker Gleason will now be behind center. Gleason has some experience this year, but is not nearly as good as Finn. Wyoming will have all their skill players here on Saturday. They averaged 26.1 ppg and 324.8 ypg on the season. They rushed very good, averaging 157.6 ypg on the season. The defense is solid, ranked 47th in points allowed and 50th in yards. The Rockets lack of offense today is the key for me. I'm taking Wyoming in this one. |
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12-29-23 | Missouri +5 v. Ohio State | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
Cotton Bowl here on Friday has Missouri taking on Ohio State from the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. Missouri finished 10-2 on the season and 8-4 vs the spread. The Tigers finished ranked 9th in the country and won their last three games. QB Brady Cook having an excellent season with 3189 yards and 20 TD's. They also have one of the best Running backs in the country in Cody Shrader. Shrader rushed for 100 or more yards in all but four games. Missouri had the 27th ranked scoring offense in the country. Ohio State will battle today without key players due to the transfer portal. They finished 11-1 on the season with their only loss at Michigan, 24-30. They will be without their starting QB in Kyle McCord who opted out of this game. They will be starting Devin Brown a redshirt freshman. This will be the Ohio State defense against the Missouri Offense. Both units are top notch. Without McCord I'm not sure if the Buckeyes will score enough points to win this one. I'll take Missouri. |
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12-28-23 | Rutgers -2 v. Miami-FL | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Pinstripe Bowl from Bronx NY today has Rutgers taking on Miami Florida. As always you can almost throw out season stats and just look at those players who will play and those sitting out due to the Transfer Portal or NFL. The big news today is that Miami is down to their third string QB. Miami was just 7-5 during the regular season and now Junior QB Tyler Van Dyke enters the transfer portal. Backup Emory Williams is injured and will miss today's game. That leaves sophomore Jacurri Brown who did play a snap in 2023. Rutgers will be at full strength here today and while that kind of evens the playing field, I'm taking Rutgers in this one. The Hurricanes will also miss both safeties. Rutgers is only 6-6 on the season and has lost four straight. The Knights rely on their defense this year. They score just 22.6 ppg and that's good for just 105th in the country. But with all the losses for Miami I have to take Rutgers in this one. |
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12-27-23 | North Carolina v. West Virginia -6.5 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
We have to look at the players that are in the portal or opting out for the NFL draft. These players change the way the team looks from how they did before they got here. That's really important in this game today between North Carolina and West Virginia in the Mayo Bowl from Charlotte, NC. I'm not even going to look at the stats these teams put up during the regular season. Instead lets see who's sitting out. Tar Heals hit hard in this area. TE Kamari Morales, WR Tychaun Chapman, WR Andre Greene, CB Tayon Holloway, DT Kedrick Bingley-Jones, and LB Sebastian Cheeks transferred. QB Drake Maye, LB Cedric Gray, C Corey Gaynor, and WR Tez Walker will sit out the bowl game to prepare for the draft. The big one is QB Maye and Walker. That completely shifts the dynamics of this game. The Mountaineers should run crazy over the this 89th ranked Tar Heel run defense. Plus they will miss all those players, especially Maye. I'm taking West Virginia here on Wednesday. |
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12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV OVER 67 | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
The Guaranteed Rate Bowl from Phoenix AZ has Kansas taking on Mountain West runner up UNLV. Kansas finished the season 8-4 S/U and 7-5 ATS with a 6-6 ov/un mark. The Jayhawks were 4th in the Big 12. They averaged 33.6 ppg and allowed 25.7 ppg on the season. The finished with a big win over Cincinnati, 49-16, as a 7.5-point road favorite. The Hawks had 562 total yards in that win. Kansas might be licking their chops at the prospect of facing this UNLV defense. UNLV lost in the Mountain West Championship to Boise State, 20-44. The Rebels lost their last two games of the season, allowing 81 points. They have also gone over in four of their last five games. The Rebs had their best season since the Randal Cunningham days of the 1980's as they finished 9-4 overall and 10-3 vs the spread. The Rebels have a potent offense, averaging 34.3 ppg and 416.2 ypg. However, they give up a lot too, allowing 27 ppg and 403.9 ypg. This one looks to be a shootout as I doubt the Rebels can contain this high scoring Kansas offense. I'll take the OVER in this one. |
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12-23-23 | Georgia State v. Utah State -1 | 45-22 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Mid-Major game here on Saturday in the Potato Bowl from Boise Idaho. This one pits the Mountain West Utah State Aggies against the Sun Belt's Georgia State Panthers. Ga State finished their season with a loss to Old Dominion, 24-25, as a 2.5-point road dog. Utah State just got past New Mexico to finish their season with a win, 44-41 in double OT. Ga State lost its last five games of the season and ended 6-6 S/U. Utah State won three of its final four games. The Aggies are 26th in scoring with 34.1 ppg and 43rd in passing with 259.8 ypg. One good thing for Utah State, they weren't hit hard by the transfer portal, so they should be good here on Saturday. Ga State though will be without their starting running back and top wide receiver in this game as both are transferring. Utah State was the better team down the stretch and that should carry over to this Bowl game. Take Utah State. |
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12-23-23 | James Madison -1 v. Air Force | 21-31 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
The Armed Forces Bowl here on Saturday has Air Force taking on James Madison. James Madison Dukes is 11-1 S/U and 8-4 ATS. The Dukes had a season of all times in their school history as they make their first ever Bowl appearance. Air Force looked great to start the season as they jumped out to a 8-0 record. However, they lost their last four games to finish 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS. Which Air Force team shows up today? Both teams suffered a lot of losses to the transfer portal so we'll just have to see how that effects them here on Saturday. If you talk motivation then that falls squarely on James Madison. Making their first ever bowl game nothing would please them more then to finish the season with a bowl win. The Dukes did average 35.2 ppg this season, good for 18th in the country. They only allowed 18.5 ppg, 18th in the nation. Air Force averaged 27.6 ppg. This is a tough game since you have to think of both teams with their portal losses. Still, I believe the Dukes want this game more than Air Force does. I'll take James Madison here on Saturday. |
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12-22-23 | Central Florida -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | 17-30 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
Two teams that finished just eligible for this bowl at 6-6 meet today as Central Florida takes on Georgia Tech in the Gasparilla Bowl from Tampa Bay. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacks were 6-6 S/u and 7-5 vs the spread. The Jackets lost their last game of the season to Georgia, 23-31, but played well in covering a 25-point dog spread. Tech was 3-2 their last five games including a upset win over North Carolina. They became bowl eligible in their win over Syracuse, 31-22 on Nov 18. The offense is very good, scoring 30 in three of their last five games. The problem is the defense, that allows 30.5 ppg and 437.4 ypg. The rush defense is particularly bad, ranking 131st in the country. That will play right into the UCF Golden Knights hands here on Friday. The Knights have an elite rushing attack led by RJ Harvey. Harvey has at least 80 yards rushing in all but three games this year. The UFC offense averages 233 rushing yards per game, fourth in the country. Now they get to face this bad Tech rush defense. In addition, UFC defense has played well down the stretch, allowing an average of just 16 points over their last four games. This game looks taylor made for UCF. Play Central Florida. |
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12-21-23 | Syracuse v. South Florida +3.5 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
The Boca Raton Bowl here on Thursday has a pair of 6-6 teams meeting up as Syracuse takes on South Florida. The Syracuse Orange finished the regular season at 6-6 S/U and 5-7 ATS. They averaged 25.5 ppg while allowing 23.7 ppg. They also averaged 359.3 ypg while allowing 381.9 ypg. The Orange became bowl eligible on their last game of the season with a win over Wake Forest, 35-31, as a 2-point favorite. Still, the club lost three of their last four both S/U and ATS. The Orange will be without some key players who have entered the transfer portal. Sophomore Linebacker Leon Lowry, one of the most experienced players they have, will not play. DB Jeremiah Wilson will also not play. WR Isaiah Jones also will miss today's contest. All in all, the Orange will miss 11 players today due to the transfer portal and 15 total who will miss the game. The South Florida Bulls were also 6-6 S/U and 5-6-1 ATS. They averaged 30.8 ppg while allowing 34.9 ppg. They also averaged 455.3 ypg while allowing 455.3 ypg. Like Syracuse, the Bulls had to win their last game to get to this bowl They beat Charlotte, 48-14 as a 7-point favorite to become bowl Eligible. The Bulls offense is excellent but their defense is not so good. The loss of 15 players for the Orange could be the difference maker here today. Plus, South Florida will be playing in their own backyard in Boca Raton. Play South Florida. |
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12-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion -4.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
A couple of things you have to look for in the bowls. First, how many players have entered the transfer portal and those players sitting out because of the NFL draft. Second, motivation, does the team want to even be there. Today, we have one game on the Monday Bowl schedule and that's the Famous Toastery Bowl between Western Kentucky and Old Dominion. Western is 7-5 on the season but likely will be without their top QB in Austin Reed. Reed has an undisclosed illness/reason, but he's been downgraded to doubtful for today. The Hilltoppers have won two straight games after a win over Florida International, 41-28. The loss of Reed could be big here today for a team that averaged 29.8 ppg. Reed hit on 61.5% of his passes for 3,340 yards and 31 touchdowns. Hard to replace those kind of numbers. Western has struggled on the defensive side of the ball, allowing 28.2 ppg this season. ODU Monarchs have also won two straight games. They are coming off a win over Georgia State, 25.24 as a 1.5-point favorite. ODU averages 22.9 ppg as Grant Wilson leads the team at QB with 16 touchdowns. With Reed not in this game I look for ODU to come out on top and cover this spread today. Play Old Dominion. |
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12-16-23 | UCLA v. Boise State +6 | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show | |
LA Bowl as UCLA takes on Boise State. The big issue to watch for in these bowls are players opting out because they don't want to get hurt and ruin their NFL draft chances or are entering the transfer portal. The latter is the case for UCLA as this LA Bowl team we saw during the season. HC Chip Kelly has already said that any play entering the portal at the end of the season won't play in this game. Seven Bruins have put their names into the Transfer portal and none of those will practice or play today. That includes star freshman player Dante Moore. Boise State won the Mountain West Championship in Las Vegas with a win over UNLV, 44-20. They have been red hot to finish the season, winning and covering their last four games. They have also scored 42 points or more in three of those games. For me, I have to back Boise in this one. They are getting points and UCLA will have to play without those seven players in the transfer portal. Take Boise State. |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH v. Appalachian State UNDER 41.5 | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
 The Cure Bowl from Orlando Florida here on Saturday has Miami Ohio taking on Appalachian State. The Miami Ohio Redhawks are the MAC Champions and finished the regular season at 11-2, including five straight wins. App State Mountaineers joined the FBD in 2014 and will make their 7th bowl appearance. Miami will be without their top QB in Brett Gabbert who will miss the game with a leg injury. They will have to start Henry Hessen or Maddox Kopp today. Rushing though will be the main focus on this game as the weather is not expected to be good with lots of rain. That means Rashad Amos will be the key for Miami. Amos finished 5th in the MAC in rushing this year. The team's strength is the defense, which ranks 1st in the MAC and 26th in the country. They are also 7th in the nation in redzone defense. App State got beat bad in the Sun Belt Championship game by Troy, 23-49. Their defense is not nearly as good as Miami, ranking 73rd in the nation. The defense did improve late though. With weather likely to play a role in this one, I'm going to expect Miami's defense to play a big role here today. With a backup QB at Miami for this one I don't expect a lot of throwing. Take the UNDER. |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH +6.5 v. Appalachian State | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
Reason: The Cure Bowl from Orlando Florida here on Saturday has Miami Ohio taking on Appalachian State. The Miami Ohio Redhawks are the MAC Champions and finished the regular season at 11-2, including five straight wins. App State Mountaineers joined the FBD in 2014 and will make their 7th bowl appearance. Miami will be without their top QB in Brett Gabbert who will miss the game with a leg injury. They will have to start Henry Hessen or Maddox Kopp today. Rushing though will be the main focus on this game as the weather is not expected to be good with lots of rain. That means Rashad Amos will be the key for Miami. Amos finished 5th in the MAC in rushing this year. The team's strength is the defense, which ranks 1st in the MAC and 26th in the country. They are also 7th in the nation in redzone defense. App State got beat bad in the Sun Belt Championship game by Troy, 23-49. Their defense is not nearly as good as Miami, ranking 73rd in the nation. The defense did improve late though. With weather likely to play a role in this one, I'm going with the better defense here today. Take the points with Miami Ohio. |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy UNDER 28.5 | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
One of the biggest rivalries in college football takes place in their annual event on Saturday as Navy takes on Army. This time they will be playing in Foxboro, MA instead of Philadelphia where they regularly play. Both teams come into this one at 5-6 on the season with Army riding a 3-game win streak over Air Force as a 18-point dog, Holy Cross and last game over Coastal Carolina, 28-21. The Black Knights average 20.8 ppg while allowing 22.0 ppg. They also average 317.5 ypg and allow 369.6 ypg. Both these teams still primarily running teams with Army averaging 210.2 rush yards and Navy at 201 rushing yards. The Navy Midshipmen are coming off a blowout loss at SMU, 14-59, as 19-point dogs. They had just 253 total yards in the game. Navy averages just 18.3 ppg and allows 22.9 ppg. Last year Navy won this game, 20-17. These games usually low scoring. Last year they had 37 points, but before that they had 30, 15, 38, 27, 27, 38, 38 and 27 since 2014. This is the first year at Foxboro. Mostly they play at Philly. Both teams are run first teams. For me, I'm going to stick with the UNDER here today. |
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12-02-23 | Louisville +1.5 v. Florida State | Top | 6-16 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
ACC Championship game from Charlotte, NC has Louisville taking on Florida State. Florida State will be without it's leader in this one as QB Jordan Travis will be out for the rest of the season with a leg injury. He missed last week's rivalry game with Florida, but that didn't really come into playa as the Seminoles beat their rivals, 24-15, covering the 6-point favorite line. Still, they had just 90 yards rushing and 134 yards passing in the win. This was a team averaging 38.7 ppg on the season and 432 yards. Florida State will have its perfect 12-0 record on the line here today. Louisville finished 2nd in the ACC with a 10-2 record. This team average 33 ppg while allowing just 20 ppg. They also averaged 440.1 ypg while allowing just 317.2 ypg. Louisville is coming off a loss to their rivals, Kentucky, last week, 31-38, as a 7.5-point favorite. Louisville's defense much better than Florida's and this Seminole team had issues moving the ball last week. I'm taking Louisville to win this game without the QB for Florida State in the lineup. |
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12-02-23 | SMU +3 v. Tulane | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
American Championship Game here on Saturday has SMU taking on Tulane from New Orleans. Tulane finished first in the conference with a 11-1 record while SMU was second at 10-2. The SMU Mustangs were also 7-5 vs the spread. They averaged 41.8 ppg while allowing 17.7 ppg on the season. They also averaged 474.8 ypg and gave up just 302.3 ypg. These teams didn't meet this season. The Mustangs are riding a eight game win streak after starting the season 2-2. They are coming off a win over Navy last week, 59-14, as a 19-point favorite. The Tulane Green Wave were just 5-7 vs the spread. They averaged 27.9 ppg while allowing 18.3 ppg. They also averaged 390.2 ppg while allowing 328.2 ppg. Their only loss of the season coming way back in week 2 at home to Ole Miss, 20-37. Since then they have won 10 straight games. I'm siding with SMU here today. SMU has the much more prolific offense and their defense is just as good. I'll take the points with the Mustangs. |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama OVER 55 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
SEC Championship has undefeated and playoff bound 12-0 Georgia taking on 11-1 Alabama. Lots of teams at 11-1 so a win by Alabama could make a argument for them being included in the playoff picture. Georgia is coming off a lackluster performance against Georgia Tech, 31-23, not coming close to covering the 23-point line. The Bulldogs allowed Tech to rush for 205 yards. Georgia is also 4-7-1 vs the number this year and 6-6 over/under. Georgia averages 39.6 ppg while allowing just 15.7 ppg. They also average 496.6 ypg while allowing 294.5 ypg. Alabama is 11-1 S/U and 8-4 vs the spread. The Crimson Tide is coming off a win over Auburn, 27-24, but failed to cover the 13.5-point favorite line. That was the teams first non-cover in their last five games. Alabama averages 35.7 ppg and 409.3 ypg while allowing 17.9 ppg and 312.7 ypg. Both teams have potent offenses and stingy defenses. This one has all the markings of a shoot out here today. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama +5.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
SEC Championship has undefeated and playoff bound 12-0 Georgia taking on 11-1 Alabama. Lots of teams at 11-1 so a win by Alabama could make a argument for them being included in the playoff picture. Georgia is coming off a lackluster performance against Georgia Tech, 31-23, not coming close to covering the 23-point line. The Bulldogs allowed Tech to rush for 205 yards. Georgia is also 4-7-1 vs the number this year and 6-6 over/under. Georgia averages 39.6 ppg while allowing just 15.7 ppg. They also average 496.6 ypg while allowing 294.5 ypg. Alabama is 11-1 S/U and 8-4 vs the spread. The Crimson Tide is coming off a win over Auburn, 27-24, but failed to cover the 13.5-point favorite line. That was the teams first non-cover in their last five games. Alabama averages 35.7 ppg and 409.3 ypg while allowing 17.9 ppg and 312.7 ypg. Both teams have potent offenses and stingy defenses. While Georgia is the favorite in this one, I'm taking the points with Alabama in the rare dog role here today. |
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12-01-23 | New Mexico State +11.5 v. Liberty | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
 New Mexico State and Liberty face off here on Friday for the Conference USA Championship. The New Mexico State Aggies were 10-3 S/U and 7-1 in conference this season. Liberty Flames were perfect with a 12-0 overall and 8-0 conference records. New Mexico State is coming off a 20-17 win over Jacksonville state as a 2.5-point dog. Liberty is coming off a 42-28 win over UTEP as a 18-point favorite. The one time these teams met was back on Sept 9 with Liberty winning, 33-17, as a 9.5-point favorite. New Mexico State brings a 8-game win streak into today's contest. They will try and hand Liberty it's only defeat to date. The Aggies average 28.2 ppg and have a very well balanced offense that averages 217 rushing yards and 205 passing yards per game. They also play well defensively, allowing 19.7 ppg on the season. Liberty averages 40.1 ppg and they also have a well balanced offense that averages 203 rushing and 295 passing yards per game. They allow 21.7 ppg. Liberty has a slight edge on offense but New Mexico State gives up a bit less on defense. Getting all these points today is difficult to pass on. I'll take New Mexico State. |
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11-25-23 | Washington State +16.5 v. Washington | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
This will be the last time these teams will meet as PAC-12 conference foes. Washington State can get to bowl eligible today as they sit at 5-6 on the season. Washington is 11-0 and will solidify a playoff spot with a win here today. Washington State coming off that blowout win over Colorado, 56-14, as a 4.5-point favorite. Washington is coming off that big road win over #11 Oregon State, 22-20 as a 1.5-point dog. Washington State averages 32.6 ppg, but is only good for 5th in the PAC 12. Washington State jumped over Florida State last week and into the playoff top 4 picture. A win today pretty much guarantees a spot in the playoffs for the Huskies. Washington ranks third in scoring in the PAC-12 with a 39.3 ppg average. One thing is for sure, both these teams can score and a lot. I expect a shootout here on Saturday. The two TD dog Washington State Cougars look too much to pass on with the points they put on the board. I'll take the visitors here today. Play Washington State. |
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11-25-23 | Alabama -12.5 v. Auburn | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
 One of the best rivalries here on Rivalry Saturday has No 8 Alabama taking on Auburn in the Iron Bowl. Alabama has won nine straight games and is 10-1 overall and 7-0 in the SEC with playoff aspirations. Auburn is 6-5 overall and 3-4 in the SEC and looks to spoil Alabama's playoff run. Alabama's only loss of the season came way back on Sept 9th to Texas,24-34. Alabama will win the SEC West, but really needs an impressive win here today and some losses by PAC-12 teams to sneak into the playoff picture. Alabama's defense is once again very good, 17th in yards and 29th in points allowed. Auburn still trying to overcome that embarrassing home loss to New Mexico State, 10-31. It was the Aggies first ever SEC win and what hurts even more is that Auburn paid almost $2 million dollars for N.Mex State to come out and play the game. Auburn had just 213 total yards and 11 first downs vs the Aggies. Auburn is a strange team and they have the ability to stay in this game, but not if they are the team that lost last week to New Mexico State. I'm taking Alabama here to win and make a bid for one of the playoff spots. |
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11-25-23 | Miami-OH v. Ball State +4.5 | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
MAC game here on Saturday has the 9-2 S/U and 5-6 ATS Miami Ohio playing at 4-7 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS Ball State. The Miami Redhawks are in 1st place in the MAC East, one game ahead of Ohio U. The Hawks average 28.2 ppg and allow 16.5 ppg this season. They also average 345.1 ypg and allow 319.3 ypg. The Hawks still have one game left on Dec 2 at Toledo. Miami has won and covered its last three games including last game vs Buffalo, 23-10, as a 8-point favorite. The Hawks defense has been excellent, allowing just 26 points over their three game win streak. Ball State looks to close the season a positive run. The Cardinals have won two straight games including last game over Kent State 34-3, as a 10-point favorite. They held Kent State to just 29 rushing yards and 68 passing yards. Still, the Cards average just 18.5 ppg while allowing 25.1 ppg. They also average 303.1 ypg while giving up 326.2 ypg. Ball State is next to last in the MAC West with their 4-7 record. This is the last game of the season for Ball State, which won't be going to any bowl game this year. For Ball State, this is their Bowl game. They can close the season strong with a win and have some momentum to build on for next season. I'll take the points at home with Ball State. |
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11-25-23 | Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 46.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
This is the marquee game on the Saturday and maybe the biggest game of the 2023 schedule as No 2 Ohio State take on No 3 Michigan from Ann Arbor. The winner today wins the Big 10 East and goes to the title game. In addition guaranteeing their entry into the college football playoffs. The Ohio State offense could find trouble here today against this Michigan Defense. The Buckeyes put up just 13 first half points vs Minnesota. But its the defense that is their strength, allowing 252.9 ypg (3rd) and 144.4 passing yards (1st). They also allow just 9.3 ppg (2nd). Michigan struggled last week without HC Jim Harbaugh (suspension), just getting by Maryland, 31-24. The Wolverines led the country in yards allowed, 235.5 and points (9 ppg). This one today looks to be the best defenses against each other. Which one will break first? I'm taking the UNDER. |
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11-24-23 | TCU +10 v. Oklahoma | 45-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
 Big 12 action here on Friday has the TCU Horned Frogs taking on the Oklahoma Sooners from Norman, OK. TCU way down in the Big 12 standings and with today's game their last it looks like the season that started with that home loss to Colorado will come to an end. The Frogs are coming off a win over Baylor, 42-17, covering the 13-point chalk line. That snapped a 3-game losing streak. TCU does have a very good offense that averages 30.1 ppg and a defense that allows 24.1 ppg. They also average 461.4 ypg while allowing 390.5 ypg. Oklahoma is 9-2 on the season and 7-4 vs the spread. The sooners are in 2nd in the Big 12, one game back of Texas. They average 40.8 ppg while allowing 20.2 ppg. The Sooners also average 494.7 ypg while allowing 378.4 ypg. The Sooners have won two straight games after last week's win over BYU, 31-24, though they failed to cover the 24.5-point line. Sooners really have nothing to play for here today and while I do believe they will win the game, I will take the points with TCU who will look to finish the season at .500. |
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11-18-23 | Texas v. Iowa State +7.5 | 26-16 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here on Saturday has Iowa State hosting Texas. Texas is 9-1 S/U and 4-5-1 ATS on the season. The Longhorns leading the Big 12, one game ahead of Oklahoma. Iowa State is 6-4 S/U and 4-6 vs the spread and in 4th place in the Big 12. The Longhorns only blemish to their record coming at Oklahoma in a 30-34 loss as a 5-point favorite. Texas will finish the regular season with a home game next week against Texas Tech. Iowa State Cyclones have won four of their last five games after last week's win at BYU, 45-13, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Cyclones average 25.7 ppg and 348.2 ypg while allowing 19.9 ppg and 331.6 ypg. Iowa State needs a win today or next week at Kansas State to keep a winning record. I think that win can come this week, but I'll take the points with Iowa State. |
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11-18-23 | Washington v. Oregon State -1 | 22-20 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
PAC 12 matchup here between undefeated and 10- Washington as they travel to take on the 8-2 Oregon State Beavers. Washington Huskies looking for a CFB playoff bid with just Oregon State and then at home vs Washington State next week. In reality, this is the final hurdle for the Huskies as they will be huge favorites next week vs their instate rivals. Washington might be perfect in the W/L column but the Huskies are only 4-5-1 vs the spread. They average 41 ppg and 504.9 ypg on the season. They are coming off a win over Utah last week, 35-28, but failed to cover the 9-point line. That makes them just 1-3-1 ATS over their last five games. Oregon State is 8-2 S/U and 6-4 ATS. The Beavers also have a dynamic offense, averaging 37.9 ppg and 453.9 ypg. Their defense is better than Washington as they allow just 20.5 ppg and 333.2ypg. They are coming off a win over Stanford last week, 62-17, covering the 21-point spread. The Beavers have outscored their opponents at home by a 40-12.8 margin as they are a perfect 5-0 on the home turf and 4-1 vs the spread. I'm going to take Oregon State here on Saturday as they ruin the Huskies playoff bid hopes. Play Oregon State. |
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11-18-23 | Florida +11.5 v. Missouri | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
SEC action here on Saturday has Florida taking on Missouri. The Gators are 5-5 on the season and 3-7 vs the spread. Florida looking to snap its three-game losing streak here today. The Gators are coming off a loss at LSU last week, 35-52, as a 15.5-point dog. The Gators have averaged 29.5 ppg this year and 420.4 ypg. They allow 27.4 ppg and 386.6 ypg. The Gators will finish their season next week at home vs Florida State. With no bowl game this year, they will look to finish strong with wins today and next week. The Missouri Tigers are 7-3 S/U and 5-4-1 ATS on the season. Missouri is 2nd in the SEC East, two games back of 10-0 Georgia. The Tigers are averaging 32.8 ppg and 443.3 ypg. They allow 22.3 ppg and 344 yards. They are coming off a win last week at home to Tennessee, 36-7, as a 2-point dog. That follows that loss at Georgia two weeks ago, 21-30. Missouri will finish the regular season next week at Arkansas. Nothing really to play for here for Missouri as they can't win the SEC East and they have secured a bowl. I'll take the points with the visitor in this one. Take Florida. The Missouri Tigers are 7-3 S/U and 5-4-1 ATS. |
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11-18-23 | UNLV +3 v. Air Force | Top | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
It's not very often this can be said, but UNLV controls its own destiny. It can win the Mountain West on its own without any other help. But standing in the Rebels way is Air Force. Air Force is tie with UNLV and Fresno State in the conference at 8-2. However, the Falcons have lost two games in a row to a pair of teams they were 18 and 20 point favorites to. They lost at home to Army, 3-23, as a 18-point favorite then lost at Hawaii, 13-27, as a 20-point favorite. The Falcons score nearly 29 ppg and totaled just 16 points in the two losses. UNLV having its best season in recent memory. The Rebels will go to a bowl game but they want to win the conference. They have won two straight games since their loss to Fresno State. They beat New Mexico 56-14 and then last week beat Wyoming, 34-14. The Rebels offense has been great with 36.4 ppg and 423 ypg this season. This will be a great game, but I will take the points with the Rebels. Play UNLV. |
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11-18-23 | Utah +1.5 v. Arizona | 18-42 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
Another great PAC-12 matchup here on Saturday has a pair of 7-3 teams meeting up as Utah travels to Tucson to face Arizona. These teams tied for 4th in the PAC-12 behind Oregon State, Oregon and Washington. The Utah Utes are 6-3 vs the spread this year as they average 25.3 ppg and allow just 17.8 ppg. They also average 356.5 ypg while allowing a very good 300.2 ypg. Arizona is 7-3 S/U and also 8-2 vs the spread. The Wildcats have averaged 31.1 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg this season. They also average 438.4 ypg while allowing 335.1 ypg. Arizona coming off a win at Colorado last week. 34-31, but failing to cover the 8-point favorite spread. This looks to be a good defensive battle as both teams have done well on that side of the ball this year. I'll take the Utah Utes as a small dog here on Saturday. |
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11-11-23 | USC v. Oregon -15.5 | Top | 27-36 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
USC having a fine season, but they have struggled against the best teams. The Trojans are 7-3 S/U and 2-8 ATS and score 45.5 ppg with 485.5 yards per game. The problem is the defense, which allows 34.5 ppg and 436.5 yards. That was apparent again last week as their offense tried to stay with Washington, but couldn't keep them from scoring in a Huskies 52-42 win. The Trojans have now allowed a whopping 101 points in their last two games. It won't get any easier this week at they travel to Eugene to face the high scoring Oregon Ducks. The Ducks are 8-1 in and in 2nd place in the PAC 12 behind 9-0 Washington. Oregon averages 47.4 ppg and 540.1 yards. They are coming off a blowout win over Cal last week, 63-19, as a 27-point favorite. The Ducks should have little trouble scoring on this USC defense today. The Oregon defense is much better than USC, as they allow just 16 ppg and 301 yards. USC likely will get their points in this one, but they won't be able to match this Oregon offense. Play Oregon. |
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11-11-23 | Auburn v. Arkansas -2.5 | 48-10 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
SEC Matchup here on Saturday has Auburn looking to become bowl eligible as they sit at 5-4 on the season and 4-5 vs the number. The Tigers have won two straight games after a three-game losing streak. They are coming off a win over Vanderbilt, 31-15, as a 12.5-point favorite. They have covered their last two games. The Tigers average 27.2 ppg while allowing 21.7 ppg. They also average 357.8 ypg while allowing 357.6 ypg. They sit tied for fourth in the SEC West standings. After today's contest, only two games remain on the schedule, at home vs New Mexico State and then a home game vs Alabama. Arkansas is 3-5 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. The Razorbacks snapped a four game losing streak last week at Florida, 39-36, as a 3-point dog. The Hogs had one of their best offensive games of the season with 481 yards, well above their 327.4 ypg average. They also were above their season 27.9 point average. The Hogs are last in the SEC West with games at Florida International and at home vs Missouri to close the season. Not out of the question to get to six wins, but they have to win out to do that. I'll take Arkansas here today. |
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11-11-23 | Appalachian State v. Georgia State -2 | 42-14 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Sun Belt Conference action here today has the 5-4 App State Mountaineers taking on 6-3 Georgia State. James Madison has this conference locked-up with a 9-0 record and Coastal Carolina, Ga Southern and Ga State all right behind at 6-3. App State has won two straight games after winning last week at home over Marshall, 31-9, as a 3-point favorite. They have struggled on the road though, going 1-3 S/U and 1-2-1 vs the spread. They have also been outscored 28.8 to 32.5 on the road this year. The Georgia State Panthers should be going to a bowl but after today they do have to go to LSU before finishing at Old Dominion. A win here today would go a long with with two tough road games coming up. The Panthers look to snap a two game losing streak. They lost at home to conference champ James Madison, 14-42 and two weeks ago at Ga Southern, 27-44. This is a important game for Ga State and it's their last home game of the season so I expect a great effort today before the home faithful in their final game of the season on the home turf. Play Georgia State. |
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11-11-23 | Michigan v. Penn State UNDER 45.5 | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
 Big 10 powerhouses meet here on Saturday as Penn State welcomes Michigan. Michigan will put its perfect 9-0 record and playoff hopes on this matchup today against 8-1 Penn State. Michigan easily beat Penn State last year, 41-17 in Ann Arbor. Michigan will be without HC Jim Harbaugh who has been suspended for this game. Michigan has dominated this season, scoring 40.7 ppg while their staunch defense has allowed just 6.7 points and 231.4 yards per game. The Wolverines coming off a win over Purdue last week, 41-13, but failing to cover the 31-point line. This will be their first big test against this Penn State that has an equally impressive defense that allows just 11.9 ppg and 234.9 yards. Penn State coming off that win last week at Maryland, 51-15, as a 7.5-point favorite. Both these teams are impressive on defense and neither likely to break here today. I won't pick a side in this one, but I will be on the UNDER. |
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11-04-23 | LSU v. Alabama OVER 61 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
SEC Action has two of the best matching up here this evening as Alabama hosts LSU. Alabama is tied with Ole Miss in the SEC WEst at 7-1 with LSU on their heels at 6-2. One glaring stats stands out and that is LSU is a perfect 8-0 over the total this year. That is a big part due to the 47.4 ppg that the LSU Tigers average. The defense hasn't been what it was in the past, allowing 26.5 ppg and 396.5 ypg. But their 553.1 ypg is whooping amount. Alabama is 4-2-2 over/under the total. They are coming off a win over Tennessee, 34-20, going over the 47.5 point total. The Tide average 30.6 ppg and 366 ypg. The defense is better then LSU, allowing 16.5 ppg. There should be plenty of points scored in this one. I'm taking the OVER. |
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11-04-23 | Washington v. USC +3 | 52-42 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Huge PAC 12 contest here today as #5 Washington travels to LA to take on #20 USC. The Huskies are a perfect 8-0 and looking to get into the playoff picture while USC is 7-2 and hopes to play spoiler here today. Two of the best QB's in college will matchup with Washington Michael Penix Jr taking on USC QB Caleb Williams. The Huskies coming off a win at Stanford last time out, 42-33, but didn't come close to covering the 27.5-point spread. USC had to come from behind last week to eek out a win at Cal, 50-49. Right now Huskies' QB Penix Jr leads the nation in passing and is the odds on favorite to win the Heisman. Williams is second in passing and will be considered in the Heisman voting. Both these teams have great offenses led by future NFL QB's. You can make a case for either side here tonight. For me, I like a home dog like USC that wants nothing more than to spoil Washington's chances at that playoff bid. I'll take the points in this one. Play USC. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State -3 | 28-21 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
The Big 12 is loaded with teams that can be bowl eligible so wins will be important for all these teams. That includes these two today. Kansas is 6-2 and tied for 2nd with Oklahoma State. Iowa State is 5-3 and tied wit BYU and West Virginia. The Jayhawks coming off that big win last week over Oklahoma, 38-33. First time in ages that the Jayhawks have beaten the Sooners and the fans tore down the goal posts at the end of the game. Now they take on Iowa State that has won and covered three straight games, including last week at Baylor, 30-18, as a 3-point road dog. The Cyclones last loss came to Oklahoma, 20-50. Iowa State averages 23.9 ppg while allowing 19.7 ppg. They don't pile up the yards though with just 338.3 ypg while allowing 329.6 ypg. Kansas averages 35.7 ppg and 443 ypg. Big offensive advantage here to the Jayhawks. Iowa State has the better defense and I look for that to be the difference here today. I'll lay the small points with the home team. Play Iowa State. |
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11-04-23 | Penn State v. Maryland +9 | 51-15 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday has Maryland hosting Penn State. Penn State is 7-1 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. The Nittany Lions only loss coming a few weeks ago at Ohio State, 12-20 as a 4-point dog. The Lions won last week at home over Indiana, 33-24, but failed miserably to cover the 31-point chalk line. The loss carried over to last week's game as the offense had just 342 total yards of offense. Penn State is behind both 8-0 teams in the Big 10 East, Michigan and Ohio State. Maryland is 5-3 S/U and sits behind the aforementioned teams and Rutgers too. The Terapins have lost three straight both S/U and ATS, including last week at Northwestern, 27-33, as a 14.5-point favorite. The Terps can score, averaging 32.6 ppg and 418.5 ypg of offense. They are holding opponents to 20.4 ppg and 341.4 ypg. Maryland getting almost double digits at home here today. I expect their offense to give the Lions all they can handle. Take the points with Maryland. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas State +3.5 v. Texas | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here today as Kansas State takes on the Longhorns of Texas from Austin. Kansas State is 6-2 S/U and ATS on the season and one of the best rushing teams in the nation with a 226 ypg average. The Wildcats average 37.4 ppg while allowing only 15.9 ppg. They also average 464.8 ypg while allowing 344.3 ypg. They are coming of a rout of Houston last week, 41-0 where they held the Cougars to just 208 total yards. They will face a 7-1 S/U and 4-4 ATS Texas team here today. The Horns also one of the best rushing teams, averaging 180.3 ypg. They are tied with Oklahoma for the Big 12 conference title with Kansas State, Kansas and Oklahoma State all one game back. The Horns average 34.5 ppg while allowing just 16 ppg. Texas coming off an easy win over BYU last week, 35-6, covering the 20.5-point spread. Still, they have covered just one of their last three games. Should be a great game here today. If Kansas State can use their running game to control the ball and clock they should be in this one at the end. I'll take the points with Kansas State. |
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11-04-23 | Arkansas +3 v. Florida | 39-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Arkansas looks to get a much needed win here today as they are just 2-6 overall on the season. The Razorbacks are also 4-3-1 vs the number as they head to Florida to face the Gators. The Hogs are last in the SEC West with a 2-6 conference record, which doesn't bode well in the bowl picture. They average 26.5 ppg while allowing 22.9 ppg. They also average 308.3 ypg while allowing 334.5 ypg. The Hogs need a win desperately after dropping six straight including last week vs Mississippi State, 3-7 as a 6.5-point favorite. The defense keeps them in games though, allowing just 24 points to Alabama, 27 to Ole Miss in their last two weeks. Florida is 5-3 on the season and fourth in the SEC East. They are coming off that loss last week at home to Georgia, 20-43, failing to cover the two TD dog line. That snapped a two game win/spread cover for the Gators. Florida averages 28 ppg while allowing 22.9 ppg. I'm taking the road dog here today. Play Arkansas. |
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11-03-23 | Boston College +3 v. Syracuse | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
A couple of former Big East schools meet here today as Syracuse hosts Boston College. BC coming off a win over U Conn last week, 21-14, but failing to cover the 14.5-point spread. Syracuse coming off a loss at Virginia Tech, 10-38. The BC Eagles started the season at 1-3 but have since won four straight. Syracuse started the season 4-0 and have since dropped four straight games to even their record at 4-4. The have been outscored in those four games 34-150. They have also dropped all four vs the spread. Momentum seems to be all on the side of Boston College as we come into this contest. I'll take BC here plus the points. |
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11-01-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green -5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
It's a Big MAC attack here on Wednesday as this conference takes center stage as Ball State and Bowling Green face off. Ball State comes into this game 2-6 S/U and 3-4-1` ATS on the season. Bowling Green comes in 4-4 S/U and 5-3 vs the number. The Ball State Cardinals are last in the MAC West and won't be going to the Bowl season. The Cardinals offense is pretty pathetic, averaging 16.1 ppg and 295.1 ypg. The defense allows 29 ppg and 361.9 ypg. The Cardinals snapped a four game losing streak last week with a win over Central Michigan at home, 24-17, as a 5.5-point dog. The Bowling Green Falcons can still make a bowl, but they need to wi here tonight. They sit third in the MAC East. The Falcons average 22.2 ppg and 302.9 ypg. They allow 25 ppg and 331.0 ypg. The Falcons have won two straight games including last week over Akron, 41-14 as a 7.5-poing home favorite. This is a running team, as they have over two hundred yards in each of the last two wins and fewer than 100 yards passing. Ball State allows 125 rushing yards per game and that should be good news for this Bowling Green running game. I'll take the home team in this one. Play Bowling Green. |
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10-28-23 | Oregon State v. Arizona +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
Late evening action here on the Saturday schedule has a pair of PAC-12 teams facing off as Arizona hosts Oregon State. Oregon State comes into this contest with a 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS record. Arizona is 4-3 S/U and 6-1 vs the spread. Oregon State won at home two weeks ago against UCLA, 36-24, as a 3.5-point favorite. They had last week off. That makes three wins in row since their loss to Washington State for the lone blemish on their record. The Beavers average 38.1 ppg while allowing 20.3 ppg. They also average 445.1 ypg while allowing 343.9 ypg. Arizona also had last week off to prepare for this game. They snapped a two game losing streak two weeks ago at Washington State, 44-6, as a 7.5-point road dog. They have now covered their last three games, all as underdogs. Arizona averages 31.9 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg. They have 452.4 ypg and allow 333.4 ypg. Arizona covers spreads, especially as a dog. They are a home dog here today and I'll be on the points with this one. Play Arizona. |
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10-28-23 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +14.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
Big 10 clash here on Saturday has Wisconsin hosting Ohio State. Ohio State kept its perfect record in tact as the Buckeyes improved to 7-0 a big win last week over Penn State, 20-12, covering the 4-point favorite spread. That was a huge win for the Buckeyes and will have them in the current playoff picture. It was also the teams third cover in a row and 4-0-1 ATS their last five games after starting the season 0-2 vs the number. Not only does the Buckeyes offense rank 33.7 ppg, but they have one of the best defenses in the country, allowing just 10 ppg and 260 total yards. Ohio State has its sights set on that Nov 25th clash with currently 8-0 Michigan in the regular season finale. Wisconsin lucky to be in the Big 10 West where they don't have to contend with either Ohio State or Michigan. The Badgers are 5-2 and a half game back in the West behind Iowa. Wisconsin averages 26.9 ppg while allowing 18.3 ppg. They also average 396.4 ypg while allowing 334.9 ypg. Getting somewhere around two TD's at home with Wisconsin too much to pass up on here today. The Buckeyes should be in a bit of a letdown spot after that big win last week. I'll take the points with Wisconsin. |
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10-28-23 | Wyoming +4.5 v. Boise State | 7-32 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
Two teams with postseason aspirations meet today in this Mountain West clash between Wyoming and Boise State. Wyoming can take a big step to a Bowl game with a win today that would improve them to 6-2 on the season. As for Boise, a win and they even their season at 4-4, a loss and they could be behind the eight ball for the postseason. Wyoming is 4-2-1 vs the spread after last week's loss at Air Force, 27-34, though they covered the 12.5 point dog line. That snapped a three game win streak for the Cowboys. Wyoming averages 26.3 ppg while allowing 25.6 ppg. They also allow more yards then they gain with a 324.7-380.7 mark. Boise State looks to rebound after their loss at Colorado State two weeks ago, 30-31, as a 8.5-point chalk. The Broncos had last week off to stew over that loss, their second in their last three games. The Broncos average 29.7 ppg but allow 30.9 ppg on the season. They also allow 428.3 ypg while averaging slightly less at 425 ypg. I like the Cowboys getting points in this since I believe they can win straight up. Play Wyoming. |
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10-28-23 | Purdue +2 v. Nebraska | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday as a pair of West division teams matchup. Purdue is last in the West with a 2-5 conference record, while Nebraska is fourth at 4-3. Purdue had last week off to prepare for today's contest. They looks to snap a two-game losing streak, including last game vs Ohio State, 7-41. The Boilermakers average 23 ppg while allowing 29.9 ppg on the season. They also average 370.7 ypg and allow 396.3 ypg. The Huskers coming off a win last week at home vs Northwestern, 17-9, but failed to cover the 11-point line. That makes them 1-3 ATS in their last four games. Nebraska averages just 18.7 ppg and allows 19.3 on the season. They also average 330 ypg while allowing 313.6 ypg. I'll take the well rest Purdue team in this one plus the points. Play Purdue. |
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10-28-23 | Oregon v. Utah +6.5 | 35-6 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
Huge PAC-12 contest here as Oregon travels to the Beehive state to face Utah U. Both teams come into this contest at 6-1 S/U. Oregon rebounded from their first loss of the season two weeks ago at Washington (33-36) with a win over Washington State, 38-24, but failed to cover the 19.5-point chalk line. This Oregon team is very dynamic with Nix at QB after transferring to Oregon this year. They average 553.4 ppg and 47 ppg on the season. They are also very balanced with over 200 yards rushing average. Utah coming off a big win over USC last week, 34-32, as a 7-point dog. That's two wins in a row that they have scored 34 points. They only allow 296 ypg and 15 ppg this season. This should be one of the marquee games on Saturday. Utah getting almost a TD at home too much for me to pass on. I'll take Utah and see if they can keep the ball out of the hands of this dynamic Oregon offense. Play Utah. |
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10-25-23 | UTEP +3.5 v. Sam Houston State | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Not sure how the oddsmakers favor a team by a field goal or more when they are 0-7 on the season. But, that's just what they did with Sam Houston State tonight who is still looking for its first win of the season after seven losses. The Bearkats lost last week to Florida International, 27-33, again a favorite, this time 5.5-point chalk. The Kats are also 3-4 vs the number and 1-4 ATS their last five games. They average just 13.4 ppg while allowing 25.9 ppg. The Kats also average just 283.1 ypg while allowing 383.3 ypg. UTEP isn't great either, in fact the Miners won't be going to a bowl as they sit at just 2-6 S/U and ATS. The Miners lost to New Mexico State last week, 7-28, as a 3-point dog. The Miners average more yards then the Bearkats with 353.8 ypg. They average 16.4 ppg and give up 26.4 ppg. The Miners are a run first offense and average around 40 rushing attempts per game so I look for them to control the ball and the clock in this game. Conversely, Sam Houston doesn't have much of a run attack which will find them behind the sticks a lot in this one. This is a good matchup for UTEP as I look for the Miners run game to control the ball, the clock and the final score. Play UTEP. |
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10-21-23 | Duke +14.5 v. Florida State | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
ACC Clash here on Saturday as 5-1 Duke taking on 6-0 Florida State. The Blue Devils are 4-2 vs the number while FSU is also 4-2 ATS. Duke's only loss was that seven point loss at home to Notre Dame, 14-21, as a 5.5-point dog. FSU expects to win the ACC with an undefeated season thus far. Duke goes as their QB goes in Riley Leonard. Leonard has been nursing an ankle injury with his status questionable for today. Duke has an excellent rushing game, ranking 19th in the country. The FSU Seminoles have a well balanced offense, ranking 37th in passing and a running game around the middle of the pack in the nation. Duke getting double digits looks like a gift here today. But only if Leonard actually plays. They do have the rushing game to lean on, but that also opens up with Leonard in the game. I'll take the points with Duke today. |
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10-21-23 | Minnesota +3.5 v. Iowa | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
Big 10 West clash as Minnesota take on 24th ranked Iowa from Ames. Iowa is 6-1 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. Minnesota coming off a bye week after losing to Michigan, 10-52 as a 18.5-point dog. Iowa is coming off a win over Wisconsin, 15-6. Minnesota will rely on the ground game, ranking 5th in the Big 10 in rushing with 180.5 yards per game. The defense ranks 10th in the Big 10 allowing 21.7 ppg. Iowa lost it's high profile transfer QB, Cade McNamara to a torn ACL. Deacon Hill has had to step into the starting position. Hill has averaged just 87.3 ypg passing thus far. The Hawkeyes rank 11th in the Big 10 in scoring with 20.9 ppg. They are last in passing with 116.6 ypg through the air. Hard to lay points with a Iowa team that will struggle to put TD's on the scoreboard. I'll take the points here with Minnesota. |
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10-21-23 | Penn State v. Ohio State UNDER 46 | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Marquee matchup of the day has a pair of 6-0 teams facing off as Penn State travels to Columbus to face Ohio State. The loser could be on the outside looking in on the CFB Playoff picture. Penn State is 6-0 S/U and ATS while they are also 4-2 Over/under. Ohio State is 6-0 S/U, 3-2-1 ATS and 1-5 Over/Under. Both of these teams are ranked in the nation's top 10 and along with Michigan are all vying for the Big 10 East title. The Nittany Lions defense is outstanding, ranking 1st in total yards allowed, first in passing defense and points allowed. They also average 4.5 sacks per game. Penn State has scored at least 30 points in every game this year while allowing 13 or fewer in every game. Ohio State's defense has allowed just 9.7 ppg while the offense has averaged 36 ppg. They also allow just 263 yards per game. I usually favor the defenses when both units are great as they are today. Neither team allows much and I look for that to continue here today. Play the UNDER. |
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10-21-23 | Central Florida +17.5 v. Oklahoma | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
 Big 12 showdown from Gaylor Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium as the Sooners host Central Florida. Central Florida Golden Knights started the season 3-0 before dropping their last three games. They are coming off a loss at Kansas, 22-51, as a 2.-5 point favorite. Oklahoma is coming off one of its biggest wins in some time in the Red River Classic as they beat Texas, 34-30 as a 5-point dog. That makes the Sooners a perfect 6-0 on the season both S/U and ATS. Now have to think they could be in for that letdown week after that emotional win last week. The Sooners have all the great numbers, they average 45.2 ppg while allowing just 14 ppg. They average 506.7 yards while allowing 353 yards. Central Florida can score, averaging 35 ppg and 516 yards per game. The Knights getting 17.5-points here on Saturday. I feel Oklahoma will be somewhat flat in this game and take this 3-3 UCF team for granted. Take the points with UCF. |
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10-17-23 | Middle Tennessee State v. Liberty -14 | Top | 35-42 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Conference USA clash this week between Middle Tennessee State and Liberty. Mid Tenn State Blue Raiders are just 2-5 S/U and 1-4 ATS. They are coming off their first cover of the season vs Louisiana Tech, 31-23, as a 3-point favorite. Now they face their biggest challenge of the season in undefeated Liberty Flames. The Flames are also 5-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville State, 31-13, as a 7-point favorite. The Flames average 35.3 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. They average 479.3 yards while allowing 315.3 yards per game. Mid Tenn gets outscored 31.9 to 22.1 on the season. The Blue Raiders offense is not that good, ranking 75th in total offense and 112th in rushing. The defense ranks 95th in the country and they give up the yards through the air as they rank 112th. They have to face Liberty's 12th ranked offense and a viscous ground game that is 3rd in the country. Also don't expect many turnover from this Liberty team as they protect the ball well, ranking 5th in the country in turnover differential. I fully expect Liberty to extend to 7-0 tonight and to easily cover this spread. Take Liberty as your Conference USA Game of the Year! |
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10-14-23 | USC +3 v. Notre Dame | 20-48 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
The big annual rivalry between USC and Notre Dame will take place today from South Bend, IN. USC puts its 6-0 record online here Saturday and hopes of a college playoff berth. A loss could pretty much sink those playoff hopes. USC is only 2-4 vs the number, but that's mainly because they have been laying big numbers. While they have won their last three, they have failed to cover as 21-point favorites or more. That includes a close call at home vs Arizona last week in which the Trojans just got by with a 2-point win as a 21-point favorite. USC allowed 506 yards to the Wildcats while gaining just 365 themselves. Notre Dame is 5-2 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. The Irish have averaged 34.1 ppg while allowing 15.9 ppg on the season. They have averaged 437.9 ypg and allowed 279.7 ypg. The Irish lost their second game of the season last week at Louisville, 20-33, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Irish had just 44 yards on the ground and 254 passing yards. The Trojans can't let their guard down here on Saturday evening if they want that playoff berth. I'll take USC plus the few points. Play USC. |
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10-14-23 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +7.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
The Louisville Cardinals improved to 6-0 S/U and 3-3 ATS with a big win and statement last week at home over Notre Dame, 33-20, as a 6-5-point dog. The Cardinals rushed for 185 yards and passed for another 145 yards in the win. They held the Irish to just 44 rushing yards. Louisville now averages 193 yards on the ground this year and 36.3 ppg. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has bad a rough go thus far at 1-4 both S/U and ATS. The Panthers coming off a loss two weeks ago at Virginia Tech, 21-38, as a 2.5-point favorite. They got the week off to rest and prepare for this week's game. Pitt averages 23.4 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have also averaged 308.8 ypg and allowed 303.8 ypg. Pitt has played better then its record shows. Pitt getting around or just over a TD at home. With the week off and getting the points, I'll take a shot with the Panthers here on Saturday and look for Louisville to have a letdown after that big win last week. Play Pittsburgh. |
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10-14-23 | Illinois +13.5 v. Maryland | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
 The 2-4 Fighting Illini will travel to to the 5-1 Maryland Terps in this Big 10 battle. Illinois is coming off a loss last week to Nebraska, 7-20, as a 3-point favorite. The Illini have yet to cover a spread this season. They have averaged 377.3 ypg while allowing 401.8 ypg. The Illini average 19.2 ppg and give up 28.8 ppg. Maryland is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off their first loss of the season last week at Ohio State, 17-37, as a 18 point dog. They held the Ohio State team to just 64 rushing yards, but gave up 320 passing yards. Maryland has averaged 429.3 ypg while giving up 337.5 ypg. They also score 35 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. Have to think their might be a big of a letdown here this week after that tough game at Ohio State last week. I'll take the points with Illinois in this one. |
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10-14-23 | Michigan State +5 v. Rutgers | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Early Big 10 Action here on Saturday has Michigan State playing at Rutgers. Michigan State has pretty much owned Rutgers, winning nine of the last ten meetings between these teams. Michigan State started the season by winning its first two games, but have since dropped three straight, including two weeks ago at Iowa, 16-26, as a 10-point dog. The Spartans had last week off to prepare for this game. The Spartans are 2-2-1 vs the spread. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are 3-2 S/U and 4-0-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Wisconsin last week, 13-24, as a 13-point dog. Rutgers has averaged 336 ypg while allowing 283.7 ypg this year. The Big 10 East is tough this year with four teams having five wins while Rutgers comes in with four wins and Michigan State is last with a 2-3 record. I like this Spartans team off the bye week to prepare for this game. I'll take the points in this one. Play Michigan State. |
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10-13-23 | Fresno State -4 v. Utah State | 37-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Mountain West clash here tonight has Fresno State visiting Utah State. Fresno is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The have a turnover ratio of +7 this season and have outscored their opponents by a 33.5-18.2 margin. The Bulldogs have averaged 408 yards per game while allowing 289.8 yards per game this season. Fresno looks to rebound from its first loss of the season after last week's setback at Wyoming, 19-24, as a 5-point road favorite. The defense has allowed over 10 points twice in their five games this year. The Utah State Aggies are 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They have a +2 turnover ratio and have average 38.2 ppg while allowing 32.2 ppg. The Aggies average 462.8 ypg while allowing 407.2 ypg. Utah State has won two straight games after last week's win over Colorado State, 44-24. Utah State lost at home to James Madison and on the road at Air Force, both as dogs. Their wins have been when they are the favorite. As the dog tonight I expect another loss for the Aggies tonight. Play Fresno State. |
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10-07-23 | Fresno State -5.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
Mountain West clash here today has Wyoming hosting Fresno State from Laramie, WY. The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this game 24th in the nation at 5-0 and will face a 4-1 Cowboys squad. Fresno has beaten Wyoming in four straight games, including last year in a 30-0 shutout. Fresno coming off a tough outing last week vs Nevada, failing to cover the 25.5-point favorite spread in a 27-9 win. Still, the Dogs average 36.4 ppgs this season, ranking them 26th in the nation. They average 304.8 ypg passing (14th in nation) and 120.2 yards rushing (108th). Their defense is very good, allowing just 17 ppg (23rd in country) and allowing just 282 yards per game (14th). Wyoming coming off a fine start to the season at 4-1, with their only loss coming against Texas, 10-31. They won their first conference game last week against New Mexico, 35-26, failing to cover the 14.5-point line. Wyoming averages 26.6 ppg (84th) and 324.6 ypg (115th). The Wyoming offense will have troubles against this very good Fresno defense. I'll take Fresno and lay the points in this one. |
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10-07-23 | Kentucky v. Georgia UNDER 47.5 | 13-51 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
 Big SEC clash here on Saturday has Georgia hosting Kentucky from Sanford Stadium. Both teams coming into this one undefeated. Kentucky coming off a big win over Florida last week, beating the Gators by 19-points, 3-14 and easily covering the 1-point spread. That made them 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS. The issue though for Kentucky will be the offensive line where just three regulars are left. They are also hurting at running back as they are down to just two backs. Kentucky will rely on their excellent defense, ranked 18th in the country in total yards and top 10 vs the run. Georgia comes in 5-0 but has yet to cover a spread at 0-4-1 ATS. They have also seen three of their five games go under. Georgia also hit by injuries as four players will be out and five questionable. This one again looks to be on the lower scoring side as both teams nurse injuries and both teams rely on very good defenses. I'll take the UNDER here on Saturday. |
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10-07-23 | Marshall +6.5 v. NC State | 41-48 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
Non-Conference matchup here on Saturday. The Marshall Thundering Herd come into today's contest at North Carolina State with a 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS record. They have rushed for an average of 169 yards per game this season while passing for 243.3 yards per game. Marshall is coming off a win over Old Dominion, 41-35, but failed to cover the 14.5 point spread. NC State is 3-2 S/U and 1-4 ATS on the season. The Wolfpack averages 151 yards on the ground and 194.2 yards passing. The Wolfpack is coming off a loss at home to Louisville, 10-13, covering the 3.5-point dog line. It was the Pack's first cover of the season after four straight losses to start the season. NC State trying to rebound from a 4-9 campaign last season. Marshall is 58th in the country in passing offense and 53rd in rushing offense. NC State is 3-2 on the season but just 1-2 at home and 1-1 in the ACC. The Pack are just 106th in passing offense and 71st in rushing offense. Marshall getting 6.5-points here today and for me I can see the Herd winning this game outright. I'll take the points though. Play Marshall. |
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10-07-23 | Maryland v. Ohio State UNDER 57 | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
Two undefeated Big 10 teams meet here on Saturday as 4-0 Ohio State host 5-0 Maryland from Columbus, OH. The Maryland Terps have a seven game win streak dating back to last season. Ohio State had last week off after their late win over Notre Dame the week prior. Maryland coming off their win over Indiana, 44-17. QB Taulia Tagovailoa threw for a career high five TD passes in the game. Ohio State just getting by Notre Dame two weeks ago in what was a pretty easy early season schedule where they faced Indiana, Youngstown State and Western Kentucky. Ohio State has an outstanding defense, allowing just 255.5 yards per game (6th in nation) with 149 yards passing yards allowed (5th in nation. They held Sam Hartman of Notre Dame to just 175 yards passing with one TD. Ohio State's offense hasn't been all that great, getting 23 points vs Indiana and rushing for just 126 yards vs Notre Dame. Maryland's offense will find the road much more difficult against this Ohio State defense. For me, I'm looking for a lower scoring contest here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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10-07-23 | Oklahoma v. Texas OVER 60 | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
Red River Rivalry from Dallas, TX as Texas takes on Oklahoma in one of College football greatest rivalries. Both teams with aspirations of a football playoff berth as Texas comes in ranked 3rd at 5-0 and the Sooners also 5-0 and ranked 12th. Oklahoma coming off a blowout win over Iowa State last week, 50-20. The Sooners rank sixth in total offense, 8th best in passing and 56th in rushing. Texas coming off a blowout win last week over 24th ranked Kansas, 40-14. They had 661 total yards of offense, 336 yard rushing and 325 passing. They rank 12th in total offense, 23rd in rushing and 25th in passing. Both these teams are great offensively and both limit turnovers. I will be taking the OVER here today. |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Conference USA matchup here on Thursday night has Louisiana Tech hosting Western Kentucky from Joe Aillet Stadium. The La Tech Bulldogs are 3-3 S/U and 2-0 in conference play. The W.Ky Hilltoppers are 3-2 and 1-0 in conference play. W.Ky rebounded from a loss the week before with a win over Middle Tennessee State, 31-10 last week. They average 31.6 ppg this year, ranking 55th in the nation. They do allow 29.2 ppg, which is 98th in the nation. La Tech also won last week, snapping a 2-game losing skid by beating conference opponent UTEP, 24-10. The Dogs average 27 ppgs, good for 81st in the country. They allow 25.7 ppg, 76th in the country. QB Hank Bachmeier (shoulder) is listed as questionable here tonight. Western Ky is a 6-point road favorite. I'll take the points in this one. Play La Tech. |
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09-30-23 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
 A pair of 3-1 teams meet here on Saturday as TCU hosts West Virginia from the Amon Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX. TCU won this matchup last season, 41-31 as a 7-point road favorite. West Virginia lost its opener to Penn State, 15-38. However, they have ton three straight over Duquesne, Pitt, and last week over Texas Tech, 30-13, as a 6-point dog. They have at least 146 yards rushing in each game. They have also covered their last three games. TCU also opened with a loss to Colorado, 42-45, but have since beaten Nicholls State, Houston and last week over SMU, 34-17. They are 2-2 vs the spread. The Horned Frogs have averaged 208.3 yards on the ground and 292.8 yards through the air. Their defense has held opponents to just 85.8 rushing yards. TCU has averaged 38.3 ppg, good for 23rd in the nation. They are 23rd in passing and 20th in rushing. I don't see West Virginia being able to move the ball well against this TCU defense and keep up with the dynamic TCU offense. TCU a double digit favorite but I have to believe that they will cover this game by at last a TD over that number. Play TCU. |
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09-30-23 | Notre Dame v. Duke +6 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
 One of the marque games on the schedule for Saturday has Notre Dame taking on Duke. The Notre Dame Irish are 4-1 on the season after a tough game at home last week vs Ohio State, 14-17, pushing the 3-point dog line. The Irish are now 3-1-1 vs the number. Notre Dame had 176 yards rushing and 175 yards passing vs Ohio State for 351 yards. They held the Buckeyes to 366 yards. Their rushing attack ranks 30th in the nation this year. Duke was 9-4 last year and returned 18 starters this year. It's no wonder they have looked very good as they start 4-0. They are also 3-1 vs the spread with their only loss coming against Lafayette as they failed to cover a 43-point line. They have held three of their first four opponents to just seven points each and 14 to Northwestern. The defense allows just 276 total yards per game while the offense is averaging 424 yards. The offense ranks 49th in the nation and 26th in rushing. QB Riley Leonard has 778 yards with Two TD's and no INT's. He can also run the ball as he has 238 yards and four TD's on the ground. Duke a nice home dog here on Saturday. I have to wonder if that late loss to Oklahoma last week by the Irish will have any carry over effects this week. I'll take the points with Duke in this one. |
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09-30-23 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +6.5 | 34-22 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
SEC Classic here from AT&T Stadium as Arkansas hosts Texas A&M. The Aggies have won nine of the last 10 meetings with the Razorbacks. A&M is 3-1 S/U and ATS with their lone loss coming at Miami in week 2, 33-48 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Aggies had a nice win to go to 1-0 in the SEC last week over Auburn, 27-10, as a 10-point favorite. The Aggies have one of the best rushing attacks in college football, averaging 149.5 ypg and getting 209 last week vs Auburn. Arkansas opened the season with a pair of wins over Western Carolina and then Kent State. However, they lost in week three to BYU, 31-38, and then last week last at LSU, 31-34, covering the 17.5-point dog line. They played their best game last week at LSU with 137 yards on the ground and 289 yards passing. Arkansas is a 6-point dog here on Saturday. A&M will be without QB Conner Weigman who has a foot injury. QB Max Johnson is probable and expected start. I'll take the points here with Arkansas. |
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09-30-23 | Clemson v. Syracuse +7 | 31-14 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
Two ACC teams meet here on Saturday as the 4-0 Syracuse Orange host the 2-2 Clemson Tigers. The Tigers are 9-1 their last 10 vs the Orange, including last year's 27-21 win as a 14-point favorite. Clemson looking to rebound from that wrenching loss last week at home to Florida. They led all the way until OT when Florida pulled out the win, 31-24. Clemson kicker Jonathan Weitz missed a 29-year field goal late in the 4th that could have won the game for the Tigers. Clemson lost their opening game at Duke, 7-28 before winning games vs Charleston Southern, 66-17, and Florida Atlantic, 48-14. Syracuse is 4-0 after beating Army last week, 29-16, pushing the 13-point line. The Orange are now 3-0-1 vs the number. They had an easy win vs Colgate, 65-0, then beat Western Michigan, 48-7, and a nice win at Purdue, 35-20. These two team very close in the power ranking and Syracuse a TD home dog here. I think Syracuse makes this a close game and possibly pulls out their 5th win. Play Syracuse. |
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09-29-23 | Cincinnati v. BYU +1.5 | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
Two new members of the Big 12 will meet here on Friday as Cincinnati plays BYU in Provo. The Cincinnati Bearcats are 2-2 and 0-1 in the Big 12 after losing at home last week to Oklahoma, 6-20. The Cats had 376 yards of offense, but could manage just two field goals. What has hurt the team most thus far are turnovers, as they rank 84th in the nation in turnover differential. BYU is 3-1 after losing its first game of the season last week to Kansas, 27-38. The Cougars led at halftime, 17-14, but were outscored 21-3 starting the second half and never could come back. BYU is 41st in turnover differential. The offense has looked good, though the defense has had some issues thus far. BYU at home as a dog here on Friday is a bit more than I can pass on. The Cougars have the offensive weapons to stay in this game and I look for an outright win by BYU. Play BYU. |
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09-23-23 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +3.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
One of the marquee matchups on Saturday has Notre Dame hosting Ohio State. The Irish faithful will be in full force for this one. Both teams are undefeated as Ohio State is 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS while the Irish are 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Ohio State opened the season with a win over Indiana, 23-3, failing to cover the 30-point line. Then beat Youngstown State, 35-7, also failing to cover the 45.5-point line. And then last week beat Western Kentucky, 63-10, covering the 29-point line. This will be their toughest matchup of the season at Notre Dame. The Buckeyes have out gained their opponents 474.7 ypg to 223.7 ypg. They also have outscored opponents, 40.3 to 6.7 ppg. Notre Dame is coming off a win over Central Michigan last week, 41-17, failing to cover for the first time this year. The Irish biggest win was two weeks ago over NC State where they won 45-24 as a 7-point favorite. The Irish are out gaining opponents 508.8 to 234.8 ypg this year. They have outscored their opponents 46-11.7 ppg. This is a game that could really pad a resume for the playoffs at the end of the season. For me, I can't pass on the points at home with Notre Dame. Play the Irish plus the points. |
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09-23-23 | Texas -16.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
Big 12 action here today has Baylor hosting Texas. Texas comes into this game 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS. Baylor looking for its first win at 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS. Texas opened the season with a win over Rice, 37-10 as a 35.5-point favorite, then pulled the big shocker win with a 34-23 win at Alabama as a 7-point dog. They had a bit of a letdown last week in a much closer game then it should have been, win over Wyoming, 31-10. They failed to cover the 30.5-point spread vs the Cowboys. Texas is outscoring their opponents 34-14.7 this season. They are out gaining their opponents 409.3 to 276.3 ypg. The Longhorns defense is holding opponent rushing to just 2.9 ypa. Baylor opened the season with a loss to Texas State, 31-42 as a 26.5-point favorite. Then two weeks ago they lost to Utah, 13-20, as a 7-point dog, pushing the line. The Bears had last week off to prepare for today. The Bears are outgaining opponents 431.5 to 409 ypg but getting outscored 22 to 31 ppg. The Bears better hope they found a better offense and defense after with their week off. I really don't expect that but do expect the Longhorns to roll here on Saturday. Play Texas. |
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09-23-23 | Oregon State v. Washington State +3 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
A pair of undefeated PAC-12 teams meet here on Saturday as 3-0 Oregon State takes on 3-0 Washington State. The Oregon State Beavers are 2-1 vs the spread and 2-1 over/under this season. Oregon State opened with a winner over San Jose, 42-17, then beat Cal Davis, 55-7 and then last week got by San Diego State, 26-9, but failed to cover that 24.5-point spread. The Beavers are outgaining their opponents 466 yards to 257 yards. They also rush for 6.3 yards per carry while holding the opponents to just 2.0 ypg. They outscore their opponents 41-11 on the season. Meanwhile, Washington State opened the season with a win and cover vs Colorado State, 50-24 and then a upset win at Wisconsin, 31-22 and last week beat Northern Colorado, 64-21, but failed to cover the 47.5-point line. The Cougars outgain their opponents 535.7 to 363.7 yards per game. They have also outscored opponents 48.3 to 22.3 ppg. Both these teams have been great on offense and solid on defense. I'm taking the home dog here on Saturday. Play Washington State. |
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09-23-23 | Colorado v. Oregon OVER 70 | 6-42 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
 PAC 12 action has the surprising Colorado Buffaloes travelling to Oregon to take on the Ducks. Colorado has been the surprise team of the season with Deion Sanders the new head coach and his one son playing QB and the other both offense and defense. Despite both teams being 3-0 on the season, the oddsmakers aren't all that impressed with Colorado as they have them a 21-point dog. The Buffaloes opened with that shocker at TCU, covering the 21 point spread, 45-42. Then beat Nebraska as a 2.5-point favorite, 36-14. It was last week that might have swayed oddsmakers as the Buffs had to fight all game long to beat their instate rivals, Colorado State in double OT, 43-35. The offense has rolled though, averaging 41 ppg while allowing 30.3 ppg. Oregon has been a scoring machine this year, with 81 points vs Portland State in their opener, 38 vs Texas Tech and then last week beating Hawaii, 55-10, as a 38-point favorite. They have outscored opponents 58-15.7 and outgained them 587 - 286 on the season. Both teams can put up points and Colorado won't be able to stop the Oregon offense. I'll take the OVER here on Saturday. |
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09-16-23 | Tennessee v. Florida +6.5 | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 43 h 8 m | Show | |
SEC Clash here on Saturday has Florida hosting Tennessee. First conference game for both teams here on Saturday has Tennessee coming in at 2-0 while Florida is 1-0. The Vols are coming off a win over Austin Peay, 30-13, coming way short of the 48.5-point line. Meanwhile Florida is coming off a blowout win over McNeese State, 49-7, but also failed to cover the 48-point line. Have to take these softball games with a grain of salt as both teams piled up the yards and points. Florida lost its opener to Utah before bouncing back against McNeese State. The Florida defense has been good, allowing just 15.5 ppg thus far. This will be the first test for Tennessee while Florida did face Utah in their opener. I'm just not ready to lay points on the road in the SEC. I'll take Florida here today. |
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09-16-23 | Liberty v. Buffalo +3 | 55-27 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 9 m | Show | |
 Buffalo looking for its first win of the season after starting 0-2. They face Liberty here on Saturday with the Flames coming in at 2-0. The Flames beat Bowling Green, 34-24, covering the 8-point line. They also beat New Mexico State last week, 33-17, also covering the 9-point line. The rolled up 526 total yards against New Mexico State last week. Liberty is in the Conference USA this year after being an independent. Buffalo lost its opener to Wisconsin 17-38, but covered the 29-point line. It was last week when they lost to FCS school Fordham, 37-40, that really hurts. They failed to cover the 22.5-point line despite leading 21-3 in the 2nd quarter. Liberty will be laying points at Buffalo here on Saturday. I look for Buffalo to put a lot of effort in this one after that loss to Fordham last week. I'll take the points at home with Buffalo. |
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09-16-23 | LSU -9 v. Mississippi State | Top | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 36 h 9 m | Show |
SEC matchup here on Saturday has Mississippi State hosting LSU. Miss State Bulldogs are off to a 2-0 start under new HC Zach Arnett. They have wins over Southeastern Louisiana and Arizona thus far. This will be their biggest test of the young season. LSU comes in here winning four of the last five in this series. LSU lost its opener this season to Florida State, which makes this SEC contest even bigger for the Tigers. They are led by Jayden Daniels who has 708 of LSU's 1081 total yards this season. This is almost a must win spot for LSU and against 1st year coach Arnett I give a big edge to the Tigers here today. I look for LSU to win and cover this game against a Mississippi State still learning the ropes under a new head coach. Take LSU |
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09-09-23 | New Mexico State +10.5 v. Liberty | 17-33 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
Conference USA Action here on Saturday has two teams expected to make some noise in the conference this year as Liberty hosts New Mexico State. New Mexico State Aggies finished last year 7-6 under HC Jerry Kill while Liberty was 8-5 under HC Jamey Chadwell. New Mexico State opened this season with a loss to U Mass before beating Western Illinois in their second game, 58-21. They had 438 yards of offense in the 2nd half alone last week. This Aggies team was 38th in defense last season. Liberty is 1-0 with a win in their opening week over Bowling Green, 34-24. Though leading 24-0 they had to hold off a furious rally by Bowling Green. They were led by sophomore QB Kaidon Salter who had 143 yards and two TD's. Liberty had five interceptions on defense, the most by a Liberty defense since 1995. New Mexico State won this matchup last year 49-14. Double digit favorite is Liberty this year and I think that's just too many points to give this New Mexico State squad. Play New Mexico State. |
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09-09-23 | Appalachian State +19.5 v. North Carolina | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
App State hits the road for the first time this season after beating Gardner-Webb last week at home, 45-24. North Carolina opened with a win over South Carolina last week, 31-17. App State struggled a bit last week, pulling away in the 2nd half and allowing 24 points on defense. The Tar Heels had 269 yards passing and 168 yards rushing last week. A lot of points to cover here this early in the season against what has been a good App State program in season's past. I'll take the points here with App State. |
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09-09-23 | Western Michigan v. Syracuse OVER 56.5 | 7-48 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
Western Michigan heads to Syracuse to take on the Orange from the JMA Wireless Dome. Western opened the season with a win over St Francis PA, 35-17 while Syracuse routed Colgate, 65-0. The Western Michigan Broncos have a very good rushing attack, gaining 339 yards on the ground last week. They are ranked 7th in the nation in rushing. Syracuse ranked 5th in scoring after 65 point performance last week. They also had 677 yards of total offense. QB Garrett Shrader passed for 257 yards and four TD's. Both these teams looked great on offense last week against inferior opponents. I expect one of them will show it was the real deal and put up plenty of points again here on Saturday. Take the OVER. |
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09-09-23 | Ole Miss -7 v. Tulane | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
Ole Miss travels to Tulane here on Saturday to face the Green Wave from Yulman Stadium. These teams last met two years ago with Ole Miss taking that one, 61-21. The Rebels closed out last season by losing their last four games of the year and five of the last six. The Rebs did open with a win in their opener, scoring 70 points in the process, but that was against Mercer. Today will be a much tougher test for this team. They do have an explosive offense though with one of the best QB's in Jaxson Dart. Quinshon Judkins looks to carry the load running the ball. Tulane is coming off that bowl win vs USC last season. They dominated South Alabama at home last week with a 20-point win. Now comes an SEC team to town, which is going to be a early test for this Tulane squad. Michael Pratt will be at QB after a 14-of-15 performance last week for four TD's. The Rebels will be out to get that bad taste from the end of last year from their mouths. I don't see them overlooking this Tulane team. I'll lay the points with Ole Miss. |
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09-03-23 | LSU v. Florida State +110 | 24-45 | Win | 110 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
One of the marquee matchups of week one takes place tonight in Orlando as Florida State takes on LSU. These same two opened last season with FSU taking an exciting game 24-23 on a blocked extra point. FSU finished last year 10-3 and ranked No 11 in the nation. Lots of excitement in this team to push Clemson in the ACC and in the conference and maybe a playoff push. QB Jordan Travis is back to lead this high octane offense while the defense returns eight starters. LSU recovered from their opening loss to Florida State and got better as the year went along and beat Alabama 32-31 and finished 10-4 overall. They went on to the Citrus Bowl where they pounded Purdue. FSU will be a tough beat though here in Orlando where they lead the all time series with LSU, 10-0-2. They have also won eight of the last 10 overall with LSU. I'm taking Florida State here on the money as a small dog. Play Florida State Money Line. |
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09-03-23 | Northwestern v. Rutgers -6.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 71 h 29 m | Show |
Big 10 action already on tap here on Sunday as Rutgers hosts Northwestern. The Northwestern Wildcats had one of their worst years in history, finishing 1-11 on the season. They return a couple of QB's who will battle for the starting job. Rutgers looks for a winning season after losing since 2014. They had a 4-8 campaign last season. The QB job is wide open this season with a trio of players competing for the job. The defense should be solid this year, led by the pass rush and a good secondary. Both teams looking to get off to that winning start. For me I'll take Rutgers here at home. |
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09-02-23 | Old Dominion +16.5 v. Virginia Tech | 17-36 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 28 m | Show | |
Reason: Virginia Tech looks to start its season on a positive note and that means avenging a loss to Old Dominion from last year. The Monarchs defeated Tech, 20-17 last year and sent Tech on a 3-8 season. Bhayshul Tuten transfers over from NC A&T to bolster the running game for the Hokies. Old Dominion finished last year 3-9 and had some major roster overhauls. So it's yet to be seen how those will effect this year's team. Still, the Hokies not a team to be laying this many points even in a revenge situation. I'll take the points with ODU here on Saturday. |
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09-02-23 | South Alabama +6.5 v. Tulane | 17-37 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Both teams open the season here on Saturday night. South Alabama Jaguars finished with a 10-3 record last season while the Tulane Green Wave were 12-2. The Jags won 10 games for the first time in school history which has them one of the top teams to win the Sun Belt this year. They averaged 29.8 ppg last year while have a very balanced offense rushing for 156 ypg and passing for 267 ypg. Carter Bradley is back at QB after hitting on 65% of his passes and having 28 TD's last year. South Alabama should be just as good as last year with most players returning. They had a very good defense that held opponents to 22.5 ppg. Tulane did lose their leading rusher from last as Shaadie-Clayton-Johnson is expected to fill the void. The Jags had an excellent offense and balance attack with a good defense. The Green Wave did struggle against the run last year and that could be exploited here today. The Jags had the 6th best run defense in the country last year and should disrupt the Tulane rushing attack today. This South Alabama team just too good on both sides of the ball to be getting this many points. Take South Alabama. |
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09-02-23 | West Virginia v. Penn State UNDER 50.5 | 15-38 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 56 m | Show | |
West Virginia looking to improve on a 2022 season that saw the Mountaineers win only five games. This team looks to be a run first type offense again with a very good backfield. They still have questions to answer at the QB position though. The defense also needs to improve as they allowed 32 ppg last season. Meanwhile Penn State comes into the season with high expectations. They rank in the top 10 preseason polls and won 11 games last season. They also have 14 returning starters including their QB Drew Allar and top running back. This was one of the best defensive teams last season. They have depth on defense and look to use their defense to lead the way. That's what I look for here in week 1 for the Nittany Lions. I expect them to shut down this West Virginia offense. The home crowd will be up for this one and inspire a great effort from the Penn State defense. I'm not going to lay the big number, but rather take the UNDER in this game. |
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09-02-23 | Northern Illinois +9 v. Boston College | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
Opening game for both these teams as Northern Illinois Huskers look to improve on their 3-9 season last year. However, five of those losses came by one score. Rocky Lombardi is back at QB for NIU after 645 yards and five TD's last year. NIU suffered through a lot of injuries last year so they are looking for more consistent play this season. Boston College had its worst season since 2015 last year, finishing with a 3-9 record. They also return last year's QB as Emmett Moorhead is back behind center. NIU is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games while BC is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 overall games. Getting more than a TD with a team that lost five games last year by one score is good for me. I'll take the points with Northern Illinois. |
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09-01-23 | Central Michigan +14 v. Michigan State | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
 Battle of Michigan teams here today has the Central Michigan Chippewas taking on Michigan State from Spartan Stadium. C.Michigan picked to finish fourth in the MAC has a somewhat difficult non-conference schedule with Michigan State and Notre Dame on tap. Michigan State takes on Richmond and Washington in their other non-conference games. C.Mich was 4-8 last year and turned the ball over a lot (-18 turnover ratio). Jim McElwain looks to improve the team as he did at Colorado State and Florida. They will start Sophomore QB Jase Bauer or reshirt freshman Bert Emanual Jr. The defense has talent at every level with a experience secondary. Michigan State has not announced a QB yet for week one as redshirt junior Noah Kin and redshirt freshman Katin Houser both compete for the spot. Michigan State will have to rely on a good defense until the offense finds its footing. Early on here I am like some nice dogs and today is one of them. I'll take the points with Central Michigan. |
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08-31-23 | Nebraska +7.5 v. Minnesota | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
 Big 10 football on tap to start both Nebraska and Minnesota season. Nebraska parted ways with HC Scott Frost after losing four straight seasons. In comes Matt Rhule, former Carolina Panthers head coach. Rhule has shown he can help rebuild teams as he did at Temple and Baylor. The Huskers averaged 22.6 ppg last year. Jeff Sims, former Georgia Tech QB, will be the starter at Nebraska this year. Minnesota has won at least nine games in three of the last four years (Covid season the exception). They averaged 28.2 ppg last year. The bad news is they lost both QB's from last year and their leading rusher. Western Michigan transfer Sean Tyler is expected to replace their leading rusher, Mohamed Ibrahim. The defense lost some key members to a squad that was one of the best defensive teams in the country, allowing just 13.3 ppg last year. How the replacements will be is yet to be seen. The Minnesota team was a rushing team last year and didn't throw the ball much. How the loss of Ibrahim will effect them will be the big test. The defense also has lots of questions, losing their top three tacklers from last year. I'm looking for the Huskers to give them a good game here on Thursday under their new head coach. I'll take the points with Nebraska. |
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08-31-23 | NC State v. Connecticut +14 | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
NC State travels to Hartford tonight to kickoff the season with U Conn for both teams. NC State finished last year 8-5 and lost in the Mayo Bowl to Maryland. U Conn finished 6-7 and lost in the Myrtle Beach Bowl to Marshall, 14-28. NC State will be rebuilding this season after losing a number of starters off of last year's team. That includes losing QB Devin Leary who transferred to Kentucky. They did get Virginia transfer Brennan Armstrong though. The defense returns six starters which finished 15th overall in scoring defense. As for U Conn, they look for another bowl bid this year and that would mark the first time for back-to-back bowl seasons since 2008-10. They will have Maine transfer Joseph Fagnano at QB. He had 15 TD's and 2231 yards last year at Maine. He will have an offensive line in front of him that returns four starters. Last time these teams met was 2022 with NC State winning at home, 41-10. Both teams have lots of new faces on both sides of the ball. I'm taking the points here today at home with the Huskies. Play U Conn. |
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08-26-23 | Navy +20.5 v. Notre Dame | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
This is the first game of the college football season as Notre Dame hosts Navy. Notre Dame has high aspirations for this season and a CFB playoff in part to Wake Forest transfer Sam Hartman. The Irish were 9-4 last year in the debut of HC Marcus Freeman. Still, they need improvement after losses last year to Marshall and Stanford. Navy will have a new look at HC as DC Brian Newberry takes over after 15-year HC Ken Niumatalolo was fired. Notre Dame a huge favorite here on Saturday. Hartman was one of College football's top QB's and will be a big upgrade at the position for Notre Dame. One thing Navy has going for it is the option. Always hard to prepare for a good option team. And this year you can expect more passing from this Middie tea under new OC Grant Chestnut. This more passing attack could catch the Irish off guard today. The offensive line should be very good with three returning seniors. Navy needs to get the ground game going and keep the Irish offense off the field. Navy covered last year, losing by just three points to the Irish, 32-35. I'll take the big points here with Navy on Saturday. Play Navy. |
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01-09-23 | TCU +13 v. Georgia | 7-65 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 55 m | Show | |
College Football Championship game here has TCU a big dog to defending Champion Georgia. Georgia really could not be here if the Ohio State kicker made that last second 50-yard Field Goal. Ohio State truly deserved to be here as much as Georgia as they led a lot of the way in that semi-final game. Yet, Georgia survived that missed field goal and here they are. TCU surprised everyone with a dominating performance over Michigan. TCU will have to contend with a Georgia team, though torched by Ohio State, still ranks 5th in the nation in scoring defense. TCU is no slouch though, ranking 5th in the nation in scoring defense (14.8 ppg). They also rank fifth in the FBS in scoring (41.1 ppg). Both teams you can make an argument for. But for me, I have to take these points with TCU. They have a great defense and offense and can stay with Georgia tonight, just as they did with Michigan. Take the points here with TCU. |
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01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State +1.5 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
 The Rose Bowl has the PAC-12 Champion Utah taking on Penn State from the Big 10. The Utah Utes are 10-3 on the season and look to win their first ever Rose Bowl here on Monday. They won the PAC-12 in back-to-back seasons. They rank in the top 20 in both the offense and defense. Penn State will be making its fifth trip to the Rose Bowl and its first win since 1995. Penn State was third in a very good Big 10 in both scoring 35.8 ppg and total offense. Utah though will be hampered a bit here on Monday as both their top rusher and receiver from the regular season will not play here today. Will we see the same Utah team that took down USC in the PAC-12 Championship? I see this Penn State team as being very well balanced and with those two key players missing on Utah, I'll take the Nittany Lions here today. Play Penn State. |
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01-02-23 | Purdue v. LSU -14 | 7-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
One big thing you have to keep in mind for these bowl games is which teams have players that want to play. We see it more and more where players either enter the transfer portal or opt out to prepare for the NFL draft. Some still will play for their team, but most don't. Purdue will get hit by that today in the Citrus Bowl. The Boilermakers were 8-5 on the season. Former Purdue QB and Saint's all star Drew Brees will be an assistant coach today as HC Jeff Brohm moves on to Louisville. They will also be without QB Aidan O'Connell and WR Charlie Jones (the Nation's leading receiver in receptions) along with three other full-time starters. All five of those players opted out to enter the transfer portal. LSU was 9-4 and while they will also miss a few players, they weren't hit nearly as hard as Purdue. WR Kayshon Boutte will be their biggest player opting out for the NFL Draft. LSU was happy to welcome back QB Jayden Daniels who announced he would return for 2023. Purdue's offense will be a big question here today without HC Brohm and the combo of O'Connell to Jones also gone. I'm taking LSU here today as they will have a big edge at the QB position. Play LSU. |
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01-02-23 | Mississippi State -3 v. Illinois | 19-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Early game on the Monday Bowl schedule has Mississippi State taking on Illinois. The Bulldogs will be playing with heavy hearts here today after the passing of their coach, Mike Leach. Both these teams did more than expected of them this year. Illinois started the season with a 7-1 record but then had three straight losses to Michigan State, Purdue and Michigan. They did finish the season with a win over Northwestern to get to eight wins. Miss State also started fast, getting out of the gate to a 5-1 start, but they could only play .500 ball the rest of the way. Have to wonder how this Miss State will rebound since the passing of their coach on Dec 12. DC Zach Arnett will take over the heac coaching duties here today. Miss State decided to play this game despite losing their coach. That makes me believe that want to win this one for the coach. That can be a strong motivating factor and I will be on them here today. Play Mississippi State. |
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12-31-22 | Ohio State +6 v. Georgia | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Ohios State Buckeyes looked like the team to beat in the Big 10 before Michigan dismantled them in their annual matchup. Really Ohio State is lucky to be here with USC losing and opening the door for them to slide back in. There is no pressure on the Buckeyes here today since really they shouldn't even be here. The Buckeyes were 2nd in scoring offense with a 44.5 ppg average. They also had a very good defense, ranked 13th in scoring, holding opponents to just 19.2 ppg. Meanwhile, Georgia was perfect on the Year and had little trouble in the SEC. Stetson Bennet led the team with 3,425 yards passing and 20 TD's. Of course you can make a case for either team. But for me, this high scoring Ohio State team as a nice dog is too much for me to pass up on. I believe Ohio State can win this game, but I'll take the points anyways. Play Ohio State. |
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12-31-22 | TCU +8 v. Michigan | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Look for defense to be the name of the day here as TCU takes on Michigan. The TCU defense has been great, especially in a secondary that forces a lot of INT's. On offense, they are led by QB Max Duggan, the Heisman Trophy runner up. Duggan had 30 TD's this year and over 3,300 yards passing and just four INT's. But his legs also get him lots of yards with 404 rushing and six TD's on the ground this year. They also will be healthy for this game as everyone is available. For Michigan, they will miss their best running back in Blake Corrum (1,463 yards and 18 TD's after he injured his knee vs Illinois and will not play today. For me, it's all about the TCU offense led by Duggan and their excellent defense. I can get a TD or even better here with the Horned Frogs looks to be a steal to me. Play TCU. |
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12-31-22 | Kansas State +7 v. Alabama | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Bowl has Alabama taking on the Big 12 Champion, Kansas State. The Alabama Crimson Tide might be in for a bet of a letdown here today. Winning bowl games is about the players that want to be there and play in the game. I have to wonder about Alabama. They finished with 10 wins and made a case for their being in the playoff final four, but find themselves instead in the Sugar Bowl. Most teams would relish the kind of season Alabama had, but this isn't any team. Most surprising is that neither team looks to without players opting out or going into the transfer portal. Alabama is loaded at offense with last year's Heisman winner Bryce Young leading them at QB. This team averaged 40.8 ppg during the regular season. The Tide look to be a heavy favorite with their offense, but I still wonder if they will have motivation here today. Kansas State can take solice in that the Tide allowed 318 yards to Auburn in their last game, 181 yards rushing to Ole Miss and 185 yards rushing to LSU, all three of those over their last four games. Kansas State won 10 games too this year and might figure to be the be dog as everyone counts them out. I'm going to take the points with the Wild Cats here today and see which Alabama team shows up. Play Kansas State. |
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12-31-22 | Iowa v. Kentucky UNDER 31 | Top | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
The Iowa Hawkeyes and Kentucky WildCats will meet here in the Music City Bow, their second straight postseason meeting. The same teams met last year in the Citrus Bowl with Kentucky coming out on top 20-17. Iowa started the season slow, going 3-4 after being pummeled by Ohio State, 54-10. However, after Mark Stoops turned down the Iowa job that seemed to revitalize the team as they went 4-1 the rest of the way with big wins over Purdue, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Kentucky started the season 4-0 and then went 3-5 the rest of the to finish 7-5. Look for a low scoring bowl game here with the impressive Iowa defense on the field. The Iowa offense ranks near the bottom of the nation, scoring just 17.9 points per game. Now add to that the loss of QB Spencer Petras and those numbers likely will be even less here today. QB Alex Padilla would have started, but he entered the transfer portal so the duties fall to third stringer, Joe Labas. No one knows much about Labas so the WildCats can't really prepare for him. Kentucky will also be without their top QB, as Will Levis has opted out of today's game. So has RB Christopher Rodriquez Jr, who led the team in rushing. The Cats also fired OC Rich Scangarello. Hard to play any game under this posted total, but will either team score here today? This will be very low scoring and I'll take a shot under this low posted total. Play UNDER. |
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