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MLB : Rays vs. Orioles
final | ML | O/U | SCORE |
---|---|---|---|
Rays | -126.0 |
Over 7.50 |
3 |
Orioles | 114.0 | 6 |
Free Picks
Jack Jones
Jack's Free Pick Monday: Tampa Bay Rays -114
The Tampa Bay Rays have a massive edge on the mound tonight over the Baltimore Orioles. As a result, they should be a much bigger favorite tonight and we'll take advantage.
Ace Chris Archer has gone 2-0 with a 3.20 ERA in four starts this season with 27 strikeouts in 25 1/3 innings. The Rays have gone a perfect 4-0 in his four starts this year as he is off to a great start in bouncing back from a rare down season last year.
Ubaldo Jimenez shouldn't even be in Baltimore's rotation. Jimenez went 8-12 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.560 WHIP in 25 starts last season, and he's 1-0 with a 5.51 ERA and 1.469 WHIP in three starts in 2017. Jimenez gave up at least three earned runs in all three of his starts against the Rays last season.
The Rays are 6-0 in Archer's last six starts on four days' rest. Tampa Bay is 5-0 in Archer's last five starts overall. I also think the Orioles could have an emotional letdown in Game 1 of this series after playing an intense series with the Red Sox over the weekend. Bet the Rays Monday.
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Jimmy Boyd
Free Pick on Rays -
Tampa Bay is showing some great value here with their ace Chris Archer on the mound, who has been sensational to start 2017. He's 2-0 with a 3.20 ERA and the Rays have won all 4 of his starts. Baltimore will counter with Ubaldo Jimenez, who is coming off a rare strong start at Cincinnati, where he allowed just 2 hits over 7 2/3 shutout innings. Even with that start, he's got a 5.51 ERA and 1.470 WHIP in 3 starts. He allowed 5 runs in 4 1/3 innings in each of his first two starts and I just don't trust him in this spot. The Rays offense should score enough here to get the win behind Archer. Take Tampa Bay!
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John Ryan
5* graded play on ‘UNDER’ in the Tampa Bay-Baltimore matchup in MLB action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 8 runs will be scored in this game.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points
The following system has gone 30-8 ‘under’ hitting 79% winners and has made 21.1 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play ‘under’ with home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (BALTIMORE) team with a poor OBP of 0.320 or less starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing and is now facing a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350).
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.
Baltimore is 44-24 UNDER (+17.3 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.Â
Baltimore is 55-29 UNDER (+22.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.Â
Baltimore is 39-21 UNDER (+15.6 Units) in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.Â
Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points
If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER’ in this game.
John Ryan's proven algorithm has identified a High-Powered winner in today’s MLB card. It is backed by a remarkable team situation that is undefeated and guaranteed to make your jaw drop. But, you’ll have the power of knowledge to then go and wager this game with complete confidence.
Frank Sawyer
Take the money line with the Baltimore Orioles versus the Tampa Bay Rays listing both starting pitchers Ubaldo Jimenez and Chris Archer. Baltimore (12-5) is very tough at home where they begin this series having won 9 of their last 11 games. The Orioles have also won 25 of their last 31 home games with Jimenez on the hill. Tampa Bay (10-10) has lost a decisive 38 of their last 51 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Rays have also lost 13 of their last 16 road games with Archer on the mound. Take Baltimore with the money line listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.
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For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.