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NFL  |  Dec 18, 2014
Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
in 7h

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5

Neither of these teams is playing very good football right now, but it’s clear that the Titans have been playing much worse than the Jaguars of late. The Titans have lost eight in a row coming in with five of those losses coming by 14 points or more. They have rarely been competitive, and they seem to have quit on their season.

It’s clear that the Jaguars have not quit this season. They have played three competitive games in a row that started with a 25-24 home win over the Giants. They did lose to the Texans 13-27 at home the next week, but that game was more competitive than the final score would indicate. Last week, they went into Baltimore and hung tough for four quarters, eventually losing by a final of 12-20 as 14-point underdogs.

Jacksonville has only been outgained by more than 71 yards once in its last nine games overall. That shows that it has been highly competitive over this stretch, actually outgaining three teams in the process. Tennessee has been outgained by at least 50 yards in 10 of its last 11 games overall, and by more than 100 yards a whopping six times.

The Jaguars have actually been playing some pretty good defense here of late. They held the Giants to 329 total yards, the Texans to just 304 total yards, and the Ravens to just 312 total yards in their last three games, respectively. I also like that they have stability at the quarterback position as Blake Bortles is clearly getting better as he goes.

The Titans have been awful defensively all season. They are giving up 27.9 points and 378.7 yards per game this season, including 30.3 points and 375.0 yards per game while going 1-6 on the road. They are getting outscored by an average of 13.3 points per game on the road this season. They have given up 36 or more points in three of their last four games overall.

Tennessee is down to its third-string quarterback in Charlie Whitehurst as both Jake Locker and Zach Mettenberger are out with injuries. It has had no stability at the quarterback position all year. It is scoring just 16.5 points per game while ranking 29th in the league in total offense at 307.9 yards per game. This Jacksonville defense should shut down Whitehurst and company with the way it is playing right now.

Jacksonville is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight meetings with Tennessee. It actually outplayed the Titans in the first meeting of the season, but lost 14-16 on the road and will want revenge. It outgained the Titans 379-290 for the game, or by 89 total yards. Blake Bortles went 32 of 46 passing for 336 yards with one touchdown and one pick in one of his best performances of the season.

The Titans are 3-10-1 ATS in all games this season. Tennessee is 1-9 ATS when playing with 6 or fewer days of rest this year. The Titans are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games after scoring 14 points or less in their previous game. Tennessee is 1-9 ATS off one or more consecutive losses this season. The Jaguars are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.  Bet the Jaguars Thursday.

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NBA  |  Dec 18, 2014
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
  at  BMAKER
in 8h

FREE PLAY for 12/18

Sacramento Kings -5.5

The Key: This is a tough spot for the Bucks, who are playing their second road game in as many days and third in four days. And, they will be doing so without Jabari Parker and likely without Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Kings are expected to get DeMarcus Cousins back tonight, and he should provide a lift both physically and emotionally. The Kings have been at home and had yesterday off so they should be the fresher side. They are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a loss of more than 10 points and 17-5 ATS the last three seasons following a stretch of eight or more losses in a 10-game span. Lay the points.

Dave Price is a RED HOT 16-6 (73%) his L22 totals, including a LETHAL 8-2 (80%) his L10 gridiron over/unders, and he keeps the money train rolling with his Titans/Jags Thursday Night Football “Total” Annihilator! Dave’s a RED HOT 12-5 (71%) his L17 basketball plays, including a PERFECT 3-0 in NCAAB since Sunday! He’s also a DOMINANT 27-12 (69%) his L39 7* Top Plays, and the domination continues Thursday with his 7* NCAAB GAME OF THE WEEK!

NCAA-B  |  Dec 18, 2014
Nevada vs. Pacific
in 8h

 On Thursday the free NCAAB Play is on Pacific. Game 526 at 10:00 eastern. Pacific will look to bounce back off a home loss the other night to Western Michigan. They pick up an easier game on their schedule vs a Nevada team that is ranked 322 in the RPI Scale. Pacific has won 52 of 66 vs teams who allow 64 or less and all 4 this year in that role. They have covered 5 of 6 vs Mountain West conference teams and 22 of 31 off a non conference game. As a home favorite from -3.5 to -6 they have covered 6 of 8. Nevada is a mess and has lost 7 straight. In the series they have lost 6 of the 7 here and that’s with far better teams than they have tonight. All 5 of their road games have resulted in losses and by an average 11 points per game. Play Pacific tonight. On Thursday another powerhouse card is led by the Double Perfect NFL System play. NFL Continues to rank # for a 6th straight week. In the NBA Its the Total of the Week from a huge league wide totals system. NBA on a 12-2 run. Finally in College hoops its a Powerful road warrior play with a Powerful RPI Scale indicator edge and 8 big angles. Jump on now as Hoops is hot and cash out with the most powerful data available. For the free play take Pacific. RV

NCAA-B  |  Dec 18, 2014
Duke vs. Connecticut
in 6h

Duke and Connecticut meet for the first time since 2009 as the second ranked Blue Devils look to remain undefeated as they head to New Jersey to tame on the Huskies. They are off to a 9-0 start with every win coming by double-digits which is the reason for the hefty line posted for tonight. After a perfect 5-0 start against the number, Duke is just 1-3 ATS in its last four games, losing the money in all three games when favored. Granted those were huge lines but I feel we are getting significant value on Connecticut here. The Huskies opened 3-0 before losing three straight games including two one-point setbacks at home. The Huskies righted the ship last time out as they defeated Coppin St. which was a much needed confidence builder even though it was against a poor team. This is obviously a different team from the 2014 National Championship team but this team is loaded with talent and playing on the top of its game, it can hang with the top teams in the country. Duke freshman Jahlil Okafor is living up to his highly touted expectations as he is having a monster season but he will be facing his toughest test so far against Huskies 7’0″ center Amida Brimah. Here, we play on underdogs after a win by 20 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 75 points or more four straight games. This situation is 69-34 ATS (67 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (518) Connecticut Huskies

Matt is on a PERFECT 5-0 run in hoops the last two days including a PERFECT 3-0 in CBB and carries that into Thursday! Fargo put together his FOURTH STRAIGHT WINNING NFL WEEK last week and he heads into Week 16 riding a SENSATIONAL 65% run! Going back even further, he is on a FANTASTIC +$32,845 NFL run and all records are extended Thursday night!

NBA  |  Dec 18, 2014
New York Knicks vs. Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
  at  BOVADA
in 6h

Free Pick on Chicago Bulls -

The Bulls embarrassed the Knicks 104-80 at New York in the season opener and I’m expecting a similar beatdown in Chicago tonight in a nationally televised game on TNT. I really believe the Bulls are out to send a message to Carmelo Anthony, after he chose to stay with the Knicks instead of jumping ship to Chicago. Tom Thibodeau has done an excellent job slowing down Anthony in recent meetings, holding him to just 17.3 ppg over the last 3.

Another big reason I like Chicago here is they come into this game off a loss at Atlanta. The Bulls have dropped consecutive games once all season and that when they were dealing with numerous injuries to key players. Chicago is expected to get back Joakim Noah tonight and will be at near full strength, as the only player sidelined will be rookie Doug McDermott, who hasn’t been a major contributor.

Chicago has turned up the defensive intensity the last couple of games and should be playing with a lot of energy on that end of the floor coming off a full two days of rest. With the Knicks giving up 103.8 ppg on the road, where they are 2-11 on the season, I look for the Bulls to have no problem winning here by 12+ points.

The Knicks are just 3-13 ATS over the last 3 seasons revenging a loss where they scored less than 85 points, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when they come in having lost 4 of their last 5 and 2-8 ATS following a double-digit loss at home. These trends combine to form a 82% (29-6) system in favor of the Bulls. Take Chicago!

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NFL  |  Dec 21, 2014
Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers
  at  BMAKER
in 2d

1* Free Play Packers.

Last week I gave you a free play on the Jacksonville Jaguars, an easy winner that almost took the game outright. This week I’m looking at a larger favorite, but one which I think has a number of different situational, motivational and strong trend based reasons working in its favor; I definitely feel that the Green Bay Packers are worth a second look in this spot. 

The Packers five game win streak would get snapped in last week’s listless 21-13 setback at Buffalo, however take note that it was the second straight week that Green Bay failed to cover the spread. A date vs. the inconsistent Buccaneers is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though in my opinion, Tampa is coming off its fourth straight SU loss in last week’s 19-17 setback at Carolina. The Packers are in a dog fight with Detroit for the NFC North’s top seed, added incentive today to take full advantage of their weaker opponent. Note that Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off an upset loss as a favorite, while Tampa Bay is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after scoring 20 points or less in three straight games. At this time of year, “situations” become very a important tool for handicappers, consider a play on GREEN BAY this weekend.

AAA Sports

NCAA-F  |  Dec 20, 2014
Western Michigan vs. Air Force
Air Force
in 2d

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #208 Take Air Force Falcons over Western Michigan Broncos (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, Saturday, 5:45 pm ESPN) The Falcons continue to be undervalued by the bookmakers as this is far and away the best of the academy teams in 2014. The Falcons are 9-3 on the season and that includes wining five of their last six games including a victory over Colorado State. The MAC was not as strong of a football conference this season compared to the Moutain West and I just do not believe Western Michigan is excited to be playing this game in Boise, ID. The Falcons get their quarterback back for this game and he is the straw that stirs the drink. He has the ability to beat you with his arm or his legs and Air Force is not just a run on all downs team anymore. Air Force has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Do not miss Doc’s Sports Weekend Football Card featuring a monster selection on Saturday from the New Orleans Bowl and as well as our NCAA Game of the Year. Get all of the action now, right here and let 43 years of handicapping experience work for you.