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MLB  |  Sep 01, 2014
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
+104
  at  PINNACLE
in 5h

I’m playing on the LOS ANGELES.  

This is the marquee series of the week and a potential NLCS preview with the Dodgers hosting Washington. I like the home team to take Monday’s series opener.

I played against the Nationals yesterday as they lost up in Seattle.  They’d previously won 14 of 18 games, but there were several close calls in there and they have come back down to Earth since winning 10 in a row, which included seven one-run victories. They were actually swept in Philadelphia last week.

The Dodgers, meanwhile, avoided what would have been a sweep with a win in San Diego yesterday. Both of their losses in the series came by one run, each in extra innings.  So it looks like maybe the “luck” is going to turn for both teams in the interim. I like that Los Angeles is coming off a solid offensive performance as well, scoring 7 runs in the win Sunday.

Also making the case against Washington tonight is the fact their starter Gio Gonzalez has not won in some time, July 5th in fact. He’s 0-5 (3-6 TSR) with a 4.38 ERA in nine starts since.

Roberto Hernandez has been surprisingly solid for LA in four starts since being traded from Philadelphia.  Also, in his final start as a member of the Phillies, he faced Washington and allowed just one unearned run in eight innings.  He’s made eight straight starts without giving up more than three runs.  1* free play.

MLB  |  Sep 01, 2014
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
-163
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h

Rating: 1 Unit MLB Free Pick

Ross made his franchise-record 13th straight quality start last Tuesday, when he held Milwaukee to one run over 6 1/3 innings. The All-Star has a 2.57 ERA in seven career games (six starts) against Arizona. Cahill’s string of five consecutive quality starts came to an end last Tuesday as he allowed eight runs (six earned) over 3 1/3 innings against the Dodgers.  Cahill, who is 2-3 in eight career games (seven starts) against the Padres.

MLB  |  Sep 01, 2014
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
+110
  at  5DIMES
in 1h

Jack’s Free Pick Monday: Detroit Tigers +110

The Detroit Tigers (74-62) are just 1/2-game behind the Kansas City Royals for first place in the AL Central.  They are also holding onto a slim 1/2-game lead over Seattle for the final wild card spot in the American League.  They have responded well of late, winning six of their last nine games overall.

Rarely ever will you get the opportunity to back David Price as an underdog, and we’ll take advantage tonight.  The left-hander has gone 12-10 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 28 starts this season, including 6-3 with a 2.84 ERA and 0.915 WHIP in 13 road starts.

Price is 5-1 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in seven career starts against Cleveland.  He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five of those seven starts.  Corey Kluber is having a fine season, but he’s just 2-4 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.372 WHIP in nine career starts against Detroit.

Price is 56-27 (+20.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents in his career.  The Tigers are 19-8 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  Detroit is 6-1 in its last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Tigers Monday.

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MLB  |  Sep 01, 2014
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
-153
  at  PINNACLE
in 1h

FREE PLAY for 9/1

San Diego Padres -153

The Key: The Padres have been worth the price lately, going 11-1 in their last 12 games as a favorite and 9-0 in their last nine as a home fave.  They’ve been a solid investment in this price range for years, going 59-20 in their last 79 as a favorite of -151 to -200.  They are in good hands with Ross on the rubber.  The right-hander has a 1.90 ERA in 14 home starts this season, and the Padres are 5-0 in his last five home starts.  It’s been a rough season for Arizona’s Cahill, who has a 5.71 ERA in 12 starts.  The Diamondbacks are 1-5 in Cahill’s last six starts as a road underdog.  Take San Diego.

EPIC 249 GAMES OVER .500 run has $1,000/game investors up $79,900! Zooming in, Dave is a STRONG 13-6 (68%) his L19 overall picks, including a RED HOT 8-3 (73%), and the winning continues with his Miami/Louisville 7* NCAAF Labor Day *HEAVY HITTER* & 7* MLB Labor Day *HEAVY HITTER*! Crush your book with the 2 strongest plays on the board.

MLB  |  Sep 02, 2014
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Total
7½ un-125
  at  BETONLINE
in 1d



09/02 07:10 PM EST   MLB   (951) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS (952) ATLANTA BRAVES
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your free pick for Tuesday, September 2nd, 2014, comes in baseball as the Phillies and Braves meet in Atlanta. Atlanta is a good pitcher’s park and a pair of lousy offensive teams meet. Last place Philadelphia is 22nd in baseball in runs scored, 24th in on base percentage and 26th in slugging. That offense will struggle against Atlanta starter Mike Minor, who is back on track allowing 1, 1 and 2 runs his last three starts. The under is 4-1-2 in Braves last seven against a team with a losing record. The Atlanta offense is weak, as well, 27th in baseball in runs scored, 20th in on base percentage and 25th in slugging. They are struggling to score, on a 7-2-3 run under the total. Minor tossed seven strong innings against the Mets on Thursday to earn his sixth win of the season. He gave up just one run and four hits while striking out five batters. It’s been a rough season for Minor, but he’s turned things around lately, with four straight quality starts and 24 strikeouts during that period (28.1 innings). The under is 6-1-2 in the Braves last seven against the National League East and this one shapes up as a low scoring tilt. Play the Phillies/Braves Under the Total.      

NFL  |  Sep 07, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. Houston Texans
Washington Redskins
+3-125
  at  BMAKER
in 5d

Chip’s NFL FREE Winner

Washington at Baltimore 7:30 ET

Redskins over Ravens- The Baltimore Ravens are playing like a team on a mission as they are now 17-9 straight-up in pre-season under John Harbaugh after their pounding of the Cowboys in Dallas. They opened their season with a 23-2 win over San Francisco and have established their macho approach. Still, The Redskins under new coach Jay Gruden will be working harder. Take WASHINGTON!

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MLB  |  Sep 01, 2014
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
+104
  at  PINNACLE
in 1h

Monday MLB Free Play from Doc’s Sports Take #919 Detroit Tigers over Cleveland Indians (Monday, 4:05pm EST)  Two aces square off in Cleveland when Corey Kluber and the Indians host David Price and the Tigers. Kluber has been one of the biggest surprises of the 2014 season, ascending from mediocrity to one of the best pitchers in baseball all in one year. He still doesn’t get the full attention that he deserves, but at 13-8 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.10 WHIP he should garner more fanfare. Price certainly gets his share as he has established himself among the best in the sport over the last few seasons. He also got quite a bit of attention last week when he was bombed for eight runs on 12 hits in two innings of work against the Yankees. That included a record nine straight hits in the third inning. Price will certainly be looking to redeem himself after his worst outing of his career, and the Indians aren’t particularly good against southpaws. That sets up the Tigers nicely as they shouldn’t need much from their offense. Kluber will certainly be tough to crack, but he hasn’t been nearly as sharp over his last few outings. Maybe he is wearing down after the best season of his career. In any case, the Tigers as underdogs with a motivated Price on the hill certainly appear to have some value. Take Detroit as our free play selection.

MLB  |  Sep 01, 2014
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland A’s
Oakland A’s
-134
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h

Free Pick on Oakland A’s -

The A’s are showing great value as a small home favorite against the Mariners on Monday. Oakland was just swept in a 4-game series at Los Angeles and you have to expect a great team like the A’s to bounce back with a win at home. Oakland should have a nice advantage on the mound. The A’s will send out Jason Hammel, who has settled down with a 2.86 ERA over his last 4 starts. Hammel also has a 3.13 ERA and 1.261 WHIP over 4 career starts against the Mariners.

Seattle will counter with Chris Young, who has not been nearly as effective on the road as he has at home. Young has a 3.22 ERA and 1.180 WHIP over 25 starts, but just a 4.24 ERA and 1.426 WHIP over his 12 road starts.

Oakland is 20-6 in their last 26 home games after a road trip of 7 or more days, 20-7 in their last 27 home games with a money line of -100 to -150 and 21-4 in their last 25 home games with an OBP of .300 or worse over their last 15 games.

There’s also a strong system in play telling us to fade the Mariners. Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher after a win by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are just 66-137 since 1997. That’s a 68% system in favor of the A’s. Take Oakland!

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MLB  |  Sep 01, 2014
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
-153
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h

On Labor Day Monday the free play is on the San Diego Padres. Game 910 at 4:10 eastern. The Padres have a solid pitching edge in this game with T. Ross over T. Cahill. Ross has a superb 1.90 home era and has won 6 of his 7 day starts. He has a solid 2.63 era vs Arizona and has won 6 of his last 8 starts. Cahill is 1-4 on the road with a 5.71 era. he has dropped 5 of 6 vs N.L. West teams. Arizona has lost 20 of 30 when the total is 7 or less and has lost 10 of 13 on Monday. San Diego fits a solid league wide system that plays on home favorites with a total that is 8 or less and is off a home dog loss and scored 2 or less runs, vs an opponent like Arizona that is off a home win. These teams have won over 80% of the time. Sunday we swept the board, On Monday we start the month and week with a Powerful 3 game Labor day card that has the 100% College Football release from a perfect angle. College is on a 6-1 run. In Bases we have blasted our top totals of late and have an Early Perfect system total. In evening action its a huge 5* Blowout backed with an undefeated system that dates to 2004 and wins on average by 4 runs per game. Jump on now and Roll your book big. For the free play take San Diego. RV



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