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MLB  |  Apr 27, 2015
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
-144
  at  BETONLINE
in 2h

Play – St. Louis Cardinals w/Lackey vs Hamels (Game 960).

Edges – Cardinals: Lackey 2-0 with 2.06 ERA career home team starts versus Philadelphia.  Phillies: Hamels 2-10 last twelve April team starts, and 3-5 last eight overall team starts in this series.  With the Cards 6-2 their last eight games as a host in this series, we recommend a 1-unit play on St. Louis.  Thank you and good luck as always.

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MLB  |  Apr 27, 2015
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres
Houston Astros
+113
  at  5DIMES
in 3h

I’m backing Houston on Monday night.  Houston’s rebuilding effort finally is paying off as the Astros are in first place in the American League West and winners of three in a row with a 7-2 road record.  Collin McHugh has won his last 10 decisions dating to last year and the Astros have won 10 of his last 11 starts overall.  McHugh has allowed only five earned runs with 18 strikeouts in 18 2/3 innings.  James Shields is 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA but the Padres have lost four of their last five games after a strong start to the season.  San Diego is a small favorite in this game due to the home field and Shields but the value clearly lies with the underdog in this matchup.  I’m recommending a play on the Astros on Monday.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

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NBA  |  Apr 28, 2015
Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
-6-110
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

1* Free Play Rockets.

Houston is 3-1 SU, but just 2-2 ATS in this series. Most recently the Mavericks would avoid the dreaded sweep by pulling away for a convincing 121-109 victory in Game 4, but with a shift in venue and with a chance to wrap this one up in front of the home town crowd, I expect the Rockets to be on top form Tuesday night and definitely feel they’re worth a second look in this one. Obviously the last thing Houston can afford is to give the Mavs any hope, a loss today would have to be considered a monumental letdown, I simply can’t foresee the Rockets not coming in completely focused this time around on both ends of the court. And note, this is in fact a position in which the Mavericks have struggled in for bettors all season long as they’re just 19-23 in all road games, only 18-24 ATS after scoring 105 points or more and interestingly, a poor 20-28 ATS vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest. Conversely, take note that this is a spot in which the Rockets have dominated in all year, 28-15 ATS overall in front of the home town crowd, 12-2 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more and a near-perfect 11-1 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. So what do you think? Can the Mavs steal another one and force a Game 6, or does Houston lay the hammer down at home?

AAA Sports

MLB  |  Apr 27, 2015
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
+138
  at  5DIMES
in 2h

The Cardinals dropped their series finale in Milwaukee yesterday which put an end to their four-game winning streak. They have a two-game lead over the Cubs in the National League Central and despite the defeat, they still own the second best record in baseball. It will not be an easy task for the Phillies but the pitching matchup is not that big of a disadvantage to what this line might be stating. Philadelphia won its series against Atlanta to even up its homestand at 3-3 and it sends Cole Hamels to the hill tonight. He has been pretty inconsistent through four starts as he has two non-quality outings to go along with two quality efforts including allowing no earned runs last time out over six innings against Miami. Pitching in St. Louis may seem daunting but in his last three starts here, he has posted three quality performances while putting up a 0.84 ERA. John Lackey counters for St. Louis and he has not looked very sharp. He did shut out Milwaukee for seven innings but has allowed nine runs over 11.2 innings in his other two starts. Granted those were on the road but I think he is getting a little too much credit here. Play (959) Philadelphia Phillies

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MLB  |  Apr 27, 2015
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
+131
  at  5DIMES
in 53m

Free Pick on Rays +

Tampa Bay enters on a 5-game winning streak after taking the final 2 of a 3 games series against the Red Sox and sweeping the Blue Jays over the weekend. This is simply a great price to back the red-hot Rays, especially with the Yankees in a bit of a letdown spot here after their big subway series against the Mets over the weekend.

The pitching matchup for this one is a rematch from the previous series back on 4/17. While the Yankees won that game 5-4, Tampa Bay’s Nate Karns was the better of the two starters. Karns allowed just 2 runs on 2 hits over 5 innings with a season-high 7 strikeouts. New York’s Adam Warren lasted just 4 innings, allowing 4 runs on 6 hits.

Tampa Bay is 7-0 in their last 7 road games against at team with a bullpen ERA under 2.00 over their last 5 games, 10-2 in their last 12 road games after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 overall and 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5+ runs in their previous game. These trends combine to form a dynamite 92% (23-2) system in favor of the Rays. Take Tampa Bay!

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MLB  |  Apr 27, 2015
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
+135
  at  5DIMES
in 2h

Monday Free Play from Doc’s Sports Take #959 Philadelphia Phillies over St. Louis Cardinals (Monday, 8:15pm EST) The St. Louis Cardinals were dealt a huge blow on Saturday when Adam Wainwright was lost for the season to an Achilles injury. It took the wind out of a Cards team that was playing great baseball leading up to the injury, and it may take some time for them to get back on track. They host a bad Phillies team on Monday night, but it’s not nearly as bad when Cole Hamels is on the mound. The talented left-hander could be dealt away at any time, but while he’s in Philadelphia he’s going to give his team a great chance to win every fifth day. The Cardinals also endured another injury over the weekend as Jason Heyward went down with a groin injury. That makes things easier on Hamels and also hurts the St. Louis defense quite a bit. The line on this game is about 10 cents too high, so we’ll take the Phillies.

MLB  |  Apr 27, 2015
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Total
8 ov-120
  at  PINNACLE
in 53m

Jack’s Free Pick Monday: White Sox/Orioles OVER 8

This game between the Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles will be a slug fest tonight.  Both teams are swinging the bats well, especially the Orioles, who are coming off an 18-run outburst yesterday and have scored a combined 34 runs in their last four contests.

Hector Noesi isn’t going to last in the White Sox rotation if he keeps performing like he has.  Noesi is 0-2 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.451 WHIP in two starts this season.  He has never beaten the Orioles, going 0-3 with a 7.08 ERA and 1.623 WHIP in four career starts against them.

Ubaldo Jimenez is getting too much respect from the books in the early going due to a great start.  But he gave up four earned runs in five innings in his last start against the Blue Jays, and he’s 2-3 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.635 WHIP in 10 career starts against the White Sox.

Baltimore is 7-0 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season.  The OVER is 11-1-2 in Orioles last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 12-2-2 in Orioles last 16 home games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

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