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NBA  |  Nov 28, 2014
Dallas Mavericks vs. Toronto Raptors
Dallas Mavericks
+4-110
  at  BOVADA
in 4h

FREE PLAY for 11/28

Dallas Mavericks +4

The Key: Right away, you have to like the fact that November underdogs with a win percentage of 60-75% are 55-29 ATS the last five seasons. Furthermore, Dallas has been an exceptional investment on the road where it is on a 34-17 ATS run. It is on a 29-15 ATS run in road games versus winning teams and a 22-9 ATS run as a road dog. I’ll take the points as Dallas takes Toronto right down to the wire.

2-0 THANKSGIVING SWEEP! Now LETHAL 15-5 L20 (75%) 7* Top Plays & 19-8 L27 (70%) gridiron releases! ONE & ONLY 7* NCAAF GAME OF THE YEAR goes in Saturday’s NCAAF 3-Play Power Pack! But first, 3 BLACK FRIDAY WINNERS, including Dave’s 7* NCAAF Black Friday *HEAVY HITTER*!

NBA  |  Nov 28, 2014
Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
-2½-110
  at  BETONLINE
in 5h


On Friday The Free NBA System Play iis on the Denver Nuggets. Game 720 at 9:00 eastern. The Nuggets have revenge for a loss in Phoenix on Wednesday as these two play the 2nd of a home and home. Home teams with no rest like Denver that are off a road spread loss and scored 110 or more and allowed 100 or more have covered nearly 90% vs an opponent like Phoenix that won and covered as a home favorite of 5 or more and scored 120 or more points. Denver should win this game as a small favorite and the inning team in this series has covered 18 straight. Were doing Denver tonight. On Friday a Powerful card is up with 2 College Football plays led by an early 5* System, an Afternoon TV Totals of the Month with a 96% scoring system, and the Triple system ESPN Side winner in evening action. NBA Has 2 Undefeated totals, one is the Western Conference total of the Month. There is also an NCAAB Dominator with 10 big angles. Football remains ranked #1 on several leader boards. Jump on now and start the weekend big. For the free play take Denver. RV

NCAA-F  |  Nov 29, 2014
Utah State vs. Boise State
Utah State
+10-110
  at  BOVADA
in 1d

The Mountain West Conference Mountain Division is on the line Saturday night but even if Utah St. is eliminated from contention by Colorado St. winning, there is still a lot on the line. The Aggies have won five straight games and it is because of their defense which has been stout all season long as they are ranked 10th in the nation in scoring defense, allowing just 18.3 ppg. While Boise St. possesses a potent offense, the Broncos have not scene a defense of this caliber since Week One, when Mississippi pummeled the Broncos, 35-13. On the other side, Utah St. has found some rhythm behind freshman quarterback Kent Myers, the team’s fourth string signal caller, as he has led them to all five wins while throwing for 639 yards and five touchdowns and rushing for 192 yards and three touchdowns. The Boise St. defense is ranked just 79th in the country, giving up more than 28 ppg and that average jumps to 31 ppg in conference play. Utah St. is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games against teams averaging 31 or more ppg while going 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games after a win by 21 or more points. Boise St. meanwhile is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games after rushing for 300 or more yards while going 0-4 ATS in its last four games following a win of more than 20 points. Play (383) Utah St. Aggies

Matt looks to continue his Saturday WINNING in CFB as he has DOMINATED this day all year! He is riding a FANTASTIC +$31,389 Overall Football Run since the start of last summer and he adds to it with FIVE Winners! Matt has put up a PROFITABLE RETURN in CFB this year and he keeps the WINNING rolling! Do yourself a favor and get on board! Guaranteed!

NFL  |  Nov 30, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. Indianapolis Colts
Washington Redskins
+10½-130
  at  5DIMES
in 1d

1* Free Play Washington Redskins.

RG III and company kept it close in San Francisco last weekend and I think the offensive unit will have a much easier time moving the ball against the Colts; while I won’t go so far as to call for an outright upset, I do believe this is too many points to be giving up to this hungry visiting side. Washington is just 3-8, but its overall stats simply aren’t that horrible. 7th overall in passing, 16th in rushing yards, 10th in opponent passing yards and 11th in opponent rushing yards. How about the Colts? Indianapolis is No. 1 in the league in passing, but just 17th in rushing yards. It’s also dismal defensively, 27th in opponent passing yards and 17th in opponent rushing yards. Washington will have its opportunities on offense today. The Colts are on the road in Cleveland the following week, so this doesn’t set up as a “look ahead” spot, but note Andrew Luck and the Indinapolis offensive line looked pretty shaky vs. the Jaguars, Luck finished 21 of 32 for just 253 yards with one TD pass and ran eight times for 49 yards; but note that he was sacked five times, fumbled three times and lost two, all in the first half. As a situational handicapper, these are the types of suspect lines I always keep my eyes open for, consider a second look at WASHINGTON in this one.

AAA Sports

NBA  |  Nov 28, 2014
Dallas Mavericks vs. Toronto Raptors
Total
208½ ov-110
  at  BETONLINE
in 4h

These are the two best offensive teams in the NBA thus far this season, and there is no reason to think this won’t be a shootout. This should also be a very competitive game, so there should be the absence of the blowout factor, one thing that can kill a good over, and there could be fouling at the end of the game, which always bodes well for the over. Both teams are averaging about 109 points this season. We think Dallas wants to run here. And the Raptors, who are really good defensively and adept at half-court play, can also play with pace and will have no problem matching that tempo. Toronto has scored 100 or more in three of their last four games, while the Mavs shoot very efficiently, hitting better than 48 percent of their shots on the season. Only Golden State is more efficient. Both teams are solid defensively, but we think the offenses will be more on display tonight, and both teams should come with a lot of energy after having Thursday off.

NCAA-F  |  Nov 29, 2014
Minnesota vs. Wisconsin
Minnesota
+14½-110
  at  5DIMES
in 1d

Saturday NCAA Free Play

 

Minnesota +14 @ Wisconsin

Wow.  This is a ton of points for a division crown.  Jerry Kill is a great coach and he will have his team ready here, and the Gophers went into Lincoln last week and came from behind with a second half  21-3 explosion and beat the Huskers on Senior Day.  NO RESPECT should be the calling card this week at Gopher practice and I like a team in a title game with nothing to lose since no one gives them a chance in this one.  This is the biggest game in Minnesota Football in the last 20+ years folks!  Much more on the line here for Wisconsin, with all world Gordon at RB in the national headlines and off another 200 yard day last Saturday, but off back to back games against Nebraska and Iowa, which the Hawkeyes gave them all they wanted wire to wire last week is allot to ask to cover 2 TD’s.  Minny playing with 10 time revenge here as well, and no respect, expect an all-out effort from Minny.

Last week RB Cobb, a stud running back for Minny had some leg issues at Nebraska but is fully expected to play, and the dual threat QB of Minnesota will provide more of a challenge running the ball than throwing it.  All that said the Paul Bunyan Axe up for grabs here and more importantly a date with Ohio State in Indy in the Big 10 title game, and laying 14 points here is insane in my opinion, Minnesota a good team who held RB Abdullah last week on the road to 98 yards.  Yes Gordon will get his yards and this is Wisconsin at home but games like this rarely come easy and Minny undervalued in my humble opinion.

Minnesota and the Points.

3 Game SEC – PAC 12 Flat Bet Card Gents today – On a roll in CFB – ALSO a discounted end of the season package with all bowl games and my red hot NBA Season Pass 30% off and a Top 10 finish last year in the NBA!  

NCAA-F  |  Nov 29, 2014
Georgia Tech vs. Georgia
Georgia
-12½-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 20h

Rating: 1 Unit NCAAF Free Pick

Under head coach Mark Richt, the Georgia Bulldogs are 38-1 SU at home versus. non-SEC opponents. They are 12-1 SU overall versus Georgia Tech, covering the spread in seven of their last nine meetings. With frosh phenom Nick Chubb leading the way, UGA is averaging 6.2 yards per rush.

NFL  |  Nov 30, 2014
New England Patriots vs. Green Bay Packers
Total
58 un-105
  at  BOVADA
in 2d

Recommendation: Take the Under

NFL Totals don’t get much higher than this, with the current Over/Under posted in the 58/58.5 range for Sunday’s Patriots – Packers clash.  And I can certainly understand why this total is posted in this range – we’re looking at two teams that rank #1 and #2 in points scored this season; two teams with elite QB’s playing at the top of their game; and two teams that are a combined 12-2 to the Over since the beginning of October.

But all of that is most assuredly factored into this inflated number – the bookmakers and the betting markets aren’t flying blind at this late stage of the season.  Game temperatures at Lambeau Field are expected to be below freezing at kickoff, with the lookahead weather forecast showing the potential for foggy conditions as well (never a good thing for either downfield passing game).  And both teams are likely to emphasize the run on Sunday, efforting to control the clock, control the gameflow and keep the opposing elite quarterback off the field.

And make no mistake about it – we’re talking about two Super Bowl caliber defenses here!  Both the Packers and the Patriots rank among the top dozen NFL defenses according to Football Outsiders DVOA rankings.  Green Bay hasn’t allowed more than 20 points in any game on this field since Week 2.  They’ve held nine of their last ten foes to 24 points or less.  Cornerbacks Tremon Williams and Sam Shields have been stellar all year; while safeties Morgan Burnett and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix have kept nearly everything in front of them.

The Patriots are a team capable of changing their gameplan completely from one week to the next.  Two weeks ago, New England spent more than half the game in a power run formation with six offensive linemen, grounding out yards against the Colts.  Last week, the Pats opened the game with a 52-13 pass-to-run ratio before garbage time against the Lions.  In this particular matchup, I’m expecting a classic Belichick switcheroo back to a run-first attack; looking to keep Aaron Rodgers off the field as much as possible and to take advantage of a Packers run defense that’s a notch or two weaker than their pass D.

New England’s defense has held nine of their last ten opponents to 25 points or less, controlling the flow week after week.  And the strength of that defense, much like that of the Packers, is in the secondary.  Darrelle Revis and Alfonzo Dennard are both legitimate shutdown corners.  Safeties Devin McCourtey and Patrick Chung simply don’t get burned deep very often.  Last week in this space, I recommended a play on the Patriots Under vs. Detroit an it cashed thanks to the Pats keeping the Lions out of the end zone.  I don’t think New England keeps Green Bay out of the end zone here, but I’m certainly not expecting a shootout in which both teams approach 30 points, and that’s what it’ll take to cash an Over ticket.  Take the Under.

NBA  |  Nov 28, 2014
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Total
215 un-105
  at  PINNACLE
in 7h


11/28 07:35 PM  NBA   (723) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS (724) LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Take: UNDER
Reason: Your free pick for Friday, November 28, 2014, comes in the NBA as Minnesota heads to the Staples Center to play the Lakers in Los Angeles. Since giving up 140 at Dallas the Lakers are playing some defense allowing 101 and 99 the last two games (both under the total). In fact, they are on a 3-1 run under the total and the under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 home games. LA is 7-3 under against a team with a winning percentage below .400 and a banged up Minnesota team is in town struggling to score, 16th in the NBA in points scored. They just scored 86 points in a loss to Milwaukee at home. Ricky Rubio (ankle) and Mo Williams (illness) were sidelined again in a 103-86 home loss to Milwaukee. The injury-plagued Wolves are also without Kevin Martin (fractured right wrist) and former Laker Ronny Turiaf (sore hip). LA star Kobe Bryant finished with 22 points on 5-of-15 shooting the last game, dropping his field-goal percentage to 37.9%. Nick Young hasn’t been able to find his touch either, totaling 25 points while missing 25 of 33 shots over his past three. The Lakers are shooting 38.7 percent from the field, including 16 of 71 (22.5 percent) from 3-point range, during their home losing streak. The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles between these teams, too. Play the Timberwolves/LA Lakers Under the total.