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MLB  |  Aug 29, 2014
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
+111
  at  PINNACLE
in 1h

This is 1* Free Play on the LA Dodgers.

The visiting Dodgers will send Dan Haren (11-10, 4.44 ERA) to the mound; Haren is looking for his fourth win in five starts and has begun to turn things around after a few rough outings. Haren began the month by losing a fifth straight start, but he’s since gone 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA while posting a very respectable .200 opponents’ batting average in the process (and note that Haren is 1-0 with a 2.31 ERA in two outings at Petco Park this season). The home side counters with Andrew Cashner (2-6, 2.43 ERA) who is making his second start since a lengthy DL stint. The right-hander surrendered two runs and seven hits in five innings and didn’t get a decision in Saturday’s 5-2 loss in Arizona. Cashner has been very good in four career starts against the Dodgers, but I think runs into a buzzsaw today, LA is the better team and is coming in hot having won six of eight; also note that LA has won four of the last six games between these teams. I respect the Padres strong home record (32-26) but I think the Dodgers road mark is even more impressive at 42-26. Los Angeles has won the last six series with San Diego and the rotation has been exceptional during that stretch with a 1.64 ERA. Consider taking the Dodgers as a slight dog on the road.

AAA Sports

NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Arkansas vs. Auburn
Arkansas
+19-110
  at  BOVADA
in 19h

I’m playing on ARKANSAS.  

Auburn is coming off a fairytale season.  After going 0-8 in the SEC in 2012, the Tigers were one play away from their second BCS Title in four years. This remarkable turnaround under Gus Malzahn has raised the bar in 2014 and you can see that by taking a look at the number for their first game of the season.  All of last year the Tigers were favored by more than 20 points just once – aganst Florida Atlantic.

Not that Auburn doesn’t deserve to be favored in this situation. They did beat Arkansas by 18 last year and that was in Fayetteville. The Razorbacks are basically where Auburn was at this time last season. The Hogs failed to win a single SEC game in Bret Bielema’s first year here. But if the faithful need to draw inspiration from somewhere all they need to do is look across the field Saturday afternoon.

This SEC West rivalry has a history of upsets.  The dog has taken the game outright eight of the last 13 years. The home team is just 4-8 straight up.

Arkansas will be better this year as they’ve had a year to adjust to Bielema’s system. I don’t think Auburn will be able to match last year’s magic per se.  They’ll win here, but it will be closer than the oddsmakers projection.  1* free play.

NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Ohio State vs. Navy
Navy
+16½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 15h

Obviously, the loss of quarterback Braxton Miller is a huge blow to Ohio St. but it is still a talented team all around and will still be playing for the Big Ten Championship. While the line has been adjusted to make up for the Miller absence, it has not gone down as much as I thought it would so we are still getting value on Navy. The Midshipmen are never an easy matchup for any team and especially one that does not see them very often. Navy is one of the few full-time practitioners of the triple-option left at the college level and it is very difficult to prepare for, no matter this being the first game of the season. Ohio St. knows that. Navy came into Ohio Stadium to open the 2009 season against an Ohio State team that would end up going 11-2, winning the Big Ten and then beating No. 7 Oregon in the Rose Bowl and lost by just four points as a 22-point underdog. Junior quarterback Keenan Reynolds leads an offense that was No. 2 in the FBS last year in rushing at 325.4 ypg. Reynolds ran for 1,346 yards and 31 touchdowns. It will be up to the Buckeyes defense to slow down the Navy attack in order to give its offense a chance. Redshirt freshman J.T. Barrett will be starting at quarterback for Miller and he will be the first freshman to start a season opener for the Buckeyes since Art Schlichter did so in 1978. Navy is one of the most experienced teams in the nation with 15 returning starters and that is an added asset when the team is one of the most disciplined in football. Navy has been one of the best underdog teams over recent years as it is 29-12-1 ATS in its last 42 games when getting points. Look for that run to continue Saturday. Play (158) Navy Midshipmen

Matt had an OUTSTANDING CFB Week 1 last season that included a PERFECT 4-0 SWEEP on Saturday! He is once again going for the CLEAN SWEEP the first Saturday of 2014 as he has FOUR plays going this Saturday as well! Matt is on a SPECTACULAR +$35,284 Football Run including a SWEET +$6,082 in profits in 2013 CFB! How about another SWEEP! Do not make a move without this info!

NCAA-F  |  Aug 29, 2014
UNLV vs. Arizona
Arizona
-23½-108
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Arizona -23.5

Arizona is coming off a second straight 8-5 season under head coach Rich Rodriquez. He has done a solid job of turning this program around and at least making the Wildcats respectable. In fact, they pulled off one of the biggest upsets of the season by knocking off Oregon by a final of 42-16 as an 18-point home underdog. They went on to thump Boston College 42-19 in the AdvoCare V100 Bowl in 2013.

UNLV is also coming off a very good season as well. In fact, it went 7-6 and made it to its first bowl game since 2000. The Rebels would lose to North Texas 14-36 in the Heart of Dallas Bowl, but that was essentially a home game for the Mean Green. Either way, it was a massive step in the right direction for head coach Bobby Hauck, who was squarely on the hot seat after three straight two-win seasons. He’ll be back for his fifth year in 2014.

The Wildcats have really fared well in non-conference play the last two seasons. They beat both Toledo and Oklahoma State in 2012, including a 59-38 victory over the Cowboys that year. They also thumped Northern Arizona, UNLV and UTSA in 2013 all by 25 points or more. I like their chances of covering this 23.5-point spread against the Rebels in the 2014 opener as well.

Arizona brings back 13 starters this year and should be a real threat to compete for a Pac-12 South Title. The offense does lose Ka’Deem Carey, but seven starters return on this side of the ball, including four starters and 104 career starts along the offensive line. The defense only gave up 24.2 points per game last year and improved greatly over 2012. This stop unit should continue to get better in 2014 with six starters and four of the top six tacklers back.

UNLV loses its leading rusher in Tim Cornett (1,284 yards, 15 TD’s) and brings back 13 starters as well. This defense was terrible last year, giving up 31.8 points and 433 yards per game. The stop unit is going to be even worse in 2014 with the losses of four of their top five tacklers. Also, QB Caleb Herring has graduated after completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 2,718 yards with 24 touchdowns and only five interceptions a year ago. The losses are simply too big for this team to make much noise this season.

When these teams played last year, Arizona won 58-13 in a blowout that was every bit as big as the final score would indicate. The Wildcats outgained the Rebels 478-282 for the game in a one-sided affair. Expect more of the same in 2014. The Rebels are 12-37-4 ATS in their last 53 road games. UNLV is 1-13 in its last 14 road openers, including six straight losses by an average of 23 points per game.  Bet Arizona Friday.

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NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
LSU vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin
+5-105
  at  BOVADA
in 1d

Wisconsin Badgers +5

This is going to be a humdinger of a ball game that should feature two very good running games…and very inexperienced quarterbacks. Assuming that both of those factors kind of cancel it makes a lot of sense to grab Wisconsin and those 5 big points. This opened smaller but 5 seems like a great spot to get down because I am not sure how much more this number is going to move. 

I am super intrigued by the elusiveness of newly names Badgers QB Tanner McEvoy who will add some elusiveness we don’t usually see from the Great White North. 

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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MLB  |  Aug 29, 2014
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
+110
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h


08/29 10:10 PM EST  MLB   (961) LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS (962) SAN DIEGO PADRES
Take: (961) LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Reason: Your free pick for Friday, August 29th, 2014, comes in baseball as the LA Dodgers and the Padres meet at Petco Park in San Diego. Dan Haren (11-10) is a veteran who throws strikes, a fly ball pitcher who is perfect for a huge park like Petco. Haren (11-10) picked up the win as he pitched seven fantastic innings Friday against the Mets, allowing only one run on three hits while striking out six hitters and walking none. Since hitting a rough patch of awful starts, Haren has performed well of late with three wins and three quality starts over his last four games. The Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 road games, 40-15 on the road against a team with a losing record. They face the worst offense in baseball in San Diego, a team that is 0-5 following an off day. The Padres are 3-8 in Andrew Cashners last 11 starts vs. the National League West and no stopped, 3-9 in his last 12 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Dodgers are 16-5 in the last 21 meetings, including 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego. Play the LA Dodgers!      

MLB  |  Aug 29, 2014
Washington Nationals vs. Seattle Mariners
Washington Nationals
+165
  at  5DIMES
in 1h

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PLAY ON: WASHINGTON NATIONALS +165  (MLB)

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NFL  |  Sep 07, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. Houston Texans
Washington Redskins
+3-125
  at  BMAKER
in 8d

Chip’s NFL FREE Winner

Washington at Baltimore 7:30 ET

Redskins over Ravens- The Baltimore Ravens are playing like a team on a mission as they are now 17-9 straight-up in pre-season under John Harbaugh after their pounding of the Cowboys in Dallas. They opened their season with a 23-2 win over San Francisco and have established their macho approach. Still, The Redskins under new coach Jay Gruden will be working harder. Take WASHINGTON!

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NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Western Michigan vs. Purdue
Purdue
-10-110
  at  5DIMES
in 15h

A pair of 1-11 SU teams from a year ago will do battle in West Lafayette on Saturday. Things didn’t go well for Purdue head coach Darrell Hazell in his first season and he’ll have the Boilermakers ready to make a statement against one of the MAC’s weakest teams.

Technically speaking, this isn’t a bad spot for PU. According to my notes, game one favorites priced at -7 or more are a strong 18-2 SU and 13-7 ATS provided they won two games or less the previous season. That bodes well for the Boilers. Also, double-digit MAC underdogs are a stiff 2-35 SU and 14-23 ATS in their last 37 against Big 10 foes including just 0-13 SU and 3-10 ATS at game two or less. That spells trouble for the Broncos.

Once a force in the “Little Big 10″ Conference (what I like to call the MAC), WMU has struggled something fierce posting a dismal 24-40 SU and 21-36-2 ATS record in its last 64 games including a disturbing 6-25-2 ATS in this set priced as an underdog of +24 or less. Also, against Big 10 opponents, Western Michigan is a woeful 0-12 SU and 3-9 ATS in its last 12 tries and has lost by an average of 19.3 points per game.

The Boilermakers brass has decided to issue free admission for students to Saturday’s game against the Broncos. That means coach Hazell, Morgan Burker and president Mitch Daniels are picking up the tab to fill the stands. Rest assured, PU will look to impress with the Ross-Ade Stadium potentially full. Take Purdue. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Boston College vs. UMass
UMass
+17-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 18h

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #172 Take UMASS Minutemen over Boston College Eagles (Saturday 3 pm ESPN 3) The Mark Whipple Era gets underway facing an in-state opponent at a home game site that is actually closer to the Boston College than it is to UMASS. The Minutemen were just 1-11 last season but did cover the number in their fair share of games in 2013. Boston College is not a powerhouse and they did lose their workhorse in Andre Williams, who now plays for the New York Giants. Boston College went just 2-4 ATS in road games last season and they have just 9 of a potential 22 returning starters on offense and defense. UMASS stay below the number in their home opener and we collect in the process as well. Do not miss Doc’s Sports Opening Week of college football. Doc’s went a perfect 7-0 in college football last year in week 1 (+$3,000) and this week is one you cannot afford to miss. Jump on board now and let 43 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Penn State vs. Central Florida
Penn State
+2-103
  at  PINNACLE
in 12h

Courtesy of Tony George Sports

Penn State +2 vs Central Florida  (Dublin, Ireland)  8:30 AM EST

Avenging a loss where Penn State had over 450 yards of offense last year in this game, but no Blake Bortles for UFC this year and the Golden Knights lost 85% of their offensive production to the NFL including their RB.  Penn State has a great QB, and a great new Head coach and I doubt against a beatable team he will fail in his opener, even on the road in IRELAND!

I will say Penn State has lost their luster since the Joe Pa/ Sandusky scandal rocked the University, but Bill O’Brien (now head coach in the NFL) did a nice job of constructing a solid foundation and new head coach Franklin landed 12 Four Star recruits as ranked by Rivals last year, and many have made huge strides in fall camp.  A quick look at what it is, Penn State has their 2 best offense offensive players back at QB and RB, and CFU lost both of theirs and have to play a motivated team in another country and break in a whole new set of skill players on offense.

Advantage Penn State. – Free Play on the Penn State

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NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Penn State vs. Central Florida
Central Florida
-2-105
  at  BOVADA
in 12h

Free Pick on UCF Knights -

There’s no denying that UCF lost a couple of key pieces from last year’s dream season in starting quarterback Blake Bortles and leading rusher Storm Johnson, but there’s still a ton of talent coming back for the Knights. In fact, UCF has 15 returning starters and lost just 11 lettermen from last year’s squad. I look for this team to surprise a lot of people with how well they play without Bortles in 2014.

Penn State on the other hand will be transitioning to a new head coach in James Franklin, who replaces an outstanding coach in Bill O’Brien, who did a tremendous job of keeping the program on it’s feet after the Sandusky scandal. O’Brien really worked wonders with the Nittany Lions’ quarterbacks and that has me concerned with sophomore starter Christian Hackenberg being able to match last year’s numbers. Not only does Hackenberg lose his mentor in O’Brien, but he lost his favorite target in Allen Robinson, who had 97 receptions for 1,432 yards and 6 touchdowns. Penn State’s top returning receiver is tight end Jesse James, who had a mere 25 receptions for 333 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Even if the UCF offense struggles without Bortles, they should be very good defensively with 9 of 11 starters back. I look for the Knights to dominate this game on that side of the ball and cash in at least a 3-point win. Take UCF -2!

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NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Clemson vs. Georgia
Total
54½ un-101
  at  PINNACLE
in 21h

Clemson/Georgia U55 1.1* Free play
Clemson and Georgia are returning a ton of talent on the defensive side of the ball and will have arguably top 5 defenses or at least top 5 front 7 units.  The score of last year’s game was a 38-35 shootout, but both teams had 3 year starting QB’s in their senior years.  I would make this a larger play if I didn’t have a lot of respect for each team’s offensive coordinator, because they are among the elite, but replacing a 3 year start at QB along with having to replace 3 offensive linemen is not easy early in the season when defenses usually are a bit ahead of the offenses.  This game is important to both teams and I expect it to stay under the total here.

Currently #1 College Handicapper on this network by far!  Season package still available for $799 and I have profited over $217,000 for $1,000 players in my career!  We got off to a great start for 2014 on Thursday night with a big top play winner on A&M along with our winner on Wake Forest / LA Monroe easily going under the total.  Boise caught turnover bug and easily covered through 3 quarters before giving up 28 points to Ole Miss in the 4th.  Here is what’s on tap for this weekend.


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