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NCAA-B  |  Mar 17
Quinnipiac vs. Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech
-13-110
  at  BOOKM
> 2h.
Take Virginia Tech -13 over Quinnipiac

Still kicking myself for using Arizona State last night as a play for my only college hoops loser of the night. Still kicking myself because I've been doing this more than 20 years and I know better than to lay big points with a team that has had an MO of being gutless and Sun Devils are about as gutless as you can get. You could make a pretty good argumanet that the Virginia Tech Hokies are "Full Brothers" (race horse jargon) to Arizona State regarding heart, we'll certainly find out tonight. Seth Greenberg bitched and moaned about being criticized for his 339th ranked non-conference strength of schedule. Meet Quinnipiac who was ranked 344 (out of 347) and whose toughest opponent all year was Rhode Island, lost by nine. The Bobcats also lost on home court to Robert Morris, the sacrificial lamb being fed to Villanova. Now you would think that a 23-8 ACC team (15-1 home) that finished third in league ... should boatrace the Bobcats but again we have the question of heart. The Hokies are 21-8 LT in ten NITs winning twice. Greenberg has four NIT wins in his three appearances. All indications are that the Gobblers WANT to play. We'll assume that they do and call it 80-59 Virginia Tech. Fool me twice .... SHAME ON ME!

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NBA  |  Mar 17
San Antonio Spurs vs. Orlando Magic
San Antonio Spurs
+7½-110
  at  BOOKM
> 3h.
Reason: Second of a back to back spot for the Spurs, but this team has been playing well, both straight up and against the spread. They have been great as a dog, winning at Memphis by 10 as a dog, plus winning at Denver as a +6 dog and at New Orleans as a dog. Orlando is 2-2 ATS its last 4 home games, including a straight up loss the last game to Charlotte as a big favorite. San Antonio knows how to play defense and will look to control the tempo and keep it close. Play the Spurs.

NBA  |  Mar 17
Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Indiana Pacers
+14½-110
  at  BETUS
> 2h.
Free Play for 3/17/10
1 Unit on Indiana Pacers +14.5
Expect Indiana to be very motivated tonight against a team that held them to just 73 points in a 21-point loss the last time they faced off. I feel like we are getting pretty good value with this line when you consider that Indy is 12-3 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons and 10-2 ATS in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. In fact, the Pacers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater while the Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. Take the points.

NBA  |  Mar 17
Oklahoma City vs. Charlotte
Total
190 un-110
  at  BODOG
> 2h.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on Thunder/Bobcats UNDER 190
Both of these teams are very strong defensively with the Bobcats only allowing 91.3 points per game on their home floor and the Thunder only giving up 97.3 points per game on the road. You also have to like the fact that plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points, a well rested team playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), are 46-18 since 1996, including 14-2 over the last 3 seasons. And we are only seeing an average of 188.4 total points scored in these games. The Bobcats have played to the Under in 8 of their last 10, and with Gerald Wallace listed as doubtful, they are likely to be without a significant amount of points tonight. The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and we'll take it for 1 unit here.

NBA  |  Mar 17
Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
+3-110
  at  BETUS
> 2h.
Free Play for March 17th, 2010
1 Unit on Atlanta Hawks +3
Bottom Line: We'll take the surging Hawks catching points against the struggling Raptors this evening. The Raptors have lost 5 in a row and 9 of their last 10, and they just don't match up well with this very athletic Hawks team. In fact, the Hawks have won both meetings this season by 31 and 22 points respectively. And they have won 4 straight dating back to last season. The Hawks are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Toronto. The Raptors are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Take the points.

NCAA-B  |  Mar 17
St. Johns vs. Memphis
Memphis
-7-110
  at  BOOKM
> 4h.
St. John's @ Memphis 9:00 PM EST
Play On: Memphis -6 1/2

St John's comes in with a 17-15 record overall this year while Memphis is 23-9 on the season. St John's is 1-6 ATS last 3 years as road underdogs of 6 1/2 to 9 points. Memphis is 165-115 ATS since 1997 when playing against a team with a winning record. Memphis is 104-64 ATS since 1997 when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. Memphis is 16-3 SU at home this year where they are scoring 78.4 points per game while allowing only 60.9 points per game. We'll recommend a small play on Memphis tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

-=TOP PLAY=-
NCAA-B  |  Mar 18
Northern Iowa vs. UNLV
UNLV
-1-110
  at  BETUS
> 1d.


First, I am on serious rolls in both the NCAA and NBA hardwoods. In CBB, 15* Conference Games of the Month ended at 20-12 ATS for 64% ATs winners. 25* Conference Games of the Year ended 3-1-1 ATS. 10 Titan plays have hit 23-11 ATS L33 releases for 68% ATS winners. This is not an usual year, however, and we are looking forward to another highly profitable NCAA/NIT Tournament.

NBA is even better than the NCAA hitting 80% winners in the Month of March.

The 8/9 matchups are always very competitive games and very hard to predict consistently. The sports handicapping model shows a 5* graded play on UNLV. Supporting this graded play is a series of game dependent angles based on the model projections. Here is just one, but under scores the theme that UNLV will be able to run and shooting above 40%. UNLV is 8-4 ATS this season, 24-9 ATS the past 3 seasons, and 67-39 ATS since 1997 when shooting between 40 and 46%. UNLV HC Kruger is also very good at preparing his team for an anticipated close game. Note that he is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) when the line is +3 to -3; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games in all games he has coached. UNLV is also in solid roles based on their recent schedule and results. UNLV is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after playing a game as favorite this season.

Based on the projections I also like a 3* amount on the first half line. There is no doubt in my mind that UNLV will want to put as much pressure on the Ni defense as possible. By looking run on every possible transition fatigue will become a factor and NI defenders will get out of position allowing for high percentage shots by UNLV. NI did very well in conference play and statistically has a very strong defense. The emphasis is on the word statistically as they will have enormous difficulty defending the quickness and athleticism of the Rebels. Here is a first half system that under scores these points and more. It has gone 50-20 ATS for 71.4% winners since 1997. Play against neutral court teams versus the 1st half line after allowing 65 points or less 5 straight games facing an opponent after a loss by 10 points or more. Take UNLV.

NCAA-B  |  Mar 17
Nevada vs. Wichita State
Wichita State
-8-110
  at  BODOG
> 3h.
Free Pick for Wednesday: Take Wichita State -8 points over Nevada!


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NCAA-B  |  Mar 18
Wake Forest vs. Texas
Texas
-5-105
  at  BODOG
> 1d.




Texas -5 versus Wake Forest


Thursday NCAAA Tourney Round 1


I watched Texas play twice last week in Kansas City. They have a good team. Although I continue to scratch my head everytime I see this team that is LOADED with talent and they continue to flater, I think they have the horses both at guard and in the paint with Pittman to get over on an inconsistent Wake team who was destroyed my Miami in the ACC tourney in the first round as a favorite. Wake has dropped by 5 out of 6 and really I was surprised they made the tourney to be honest. Texas has the offense to outpace Wake here, and if they play to 90% of their potential with their bench and James plays well at guard, this should be an 8-10 point win by Texas, then an early exit in round 2 for them.


FREE PLAY on Texas.


TOP PLAY ALERT on Thursday on a 2 game, 3 Unit BLOWOUT NCAA Tourney Acrd. 20-9-2 ATS run with bonus Plays and RED HOT guys with TOP PLAYS, 9-3 run with multiunit plays!


NBA  |  Mar 17
New Orleans Hornets vs. Golden State Warriors
Total
228 ov-110
  at  BETUS
> 5h.
Sizziling HOT HOT HOT! 4-0 since monday for Craig's plays including 3-0 in the NBA. Tonight have two huge 5 star winners: NBA DOUBLE DOWN WINNER and CBB BANKROLL BUILDER PLAY! Get them both and thank us later!

629 Over 228 NO/GS: These two have been playing well offensively but not so great on defense. In fact thest two played a few weeks ago scoring 266 together. GS has been on a roll offensively since getting back Ellis, scoring 118 average in that time span. NO has gotten younger at spots due to injuries and thus have had to run more to create offensive oppurtunities. Look for an up and down game as this one cruises over the posted total!


-=TOP PLAY=-
NCAA-B  |  Mar 17
Northwestern vs. Rhode Island
Rhode Island
-5-110
  at  SPBOOK
> 2h.
The Dogs have been growling so far & this favorite does cover tonight.

<> Jr O goes to the 23-9 Rams tonight as this is a huge gut move for us , We are not sold on the Wildcats on the road tonight who rely heavy on the on the 3. We note that the Cats have a terrible road record 2-8 ats with ugly losses to the Hooisers 88-80 & Nit Lions 79-60 (ouch). The Cats will get killed on the boards tonight, The pure fact that the Rams succeed in transition and vs the Owls last game they had only one fast break bucket and sharp shooter Akeeem Richmond went 0-5 last game from the 3 puts the Rams in a nasty mood. They get out and run tonight.


<> PLAY THE RAMS AS WE SEE DBL DIGIT WIN

<> be well

NBA  |  Mar 17
Chicago Bulls vs. Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
-14-110
  at  SPBOOK
> 3h.
Widow's NBA Free Pick Wednesday:

1* on Dallas Mavericks -14


This game has all the making of a double-digit blowout by at least 20 points in favor of the Dallas Mavericks. First off, Dallas is playing with 3 days' rest while the Bulls are playing their second of a back-to-back, so the Mavericks are certainly the more rested team which will result in them bringing more energy to the floor tonight. Secondly, the Bulls are short-handed right now with Joakim Noah and Derrick Rose sitting on the sidelines due to injury, and Luol Deng listed as questionable after missing last night's game against Memphis. Third, Dallas is coming off their worst loss of the season, a blowout home loss to the lowly New York Knicks. They'll be hungry to get back on the floor and make amends tonight. Fourth, Dallas is 13-1 in their last 14 games overall while Chicago is 0-8 S.U. & 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Finally, Chicago is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season, losing in these spots by 17.0 points/game. This is a very tough spot for Chicago tonight, and a great spot for the Mavericks. Take Dallas and lay the points.

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NCAA-B  |  Mar 18
Saint Marys CA vs. Richmond
Saint Marys CA
-1½-110
  at  SIA
> 22h.
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #712 Take Saint Mary’s over Richmond (Thursday 3 pm CBS) A battle between two mid-majors will take place on Thursday in Providence, Rhode Island. The Gaels put any doubt that they would be in this tournament with an impressive performance in the West Coast Conference Tournament Final beating Gonzaga, 81-62. Richmond also reached the finals of the A-10 Tournament but they played two emotional games over the weekend and I do not believe that they will have much left in the tank for the NCAA Tournament. The Gaels have great balance on offense with five players averaging double figures in scoring. They put up close to eighty points per game and that is 10 points per game more then what Richmond is averaging. Richmond did not shoot it well from long range against Temple and Xavier over the weekend going 8 for 26 on Saturday (31%) and 5 for 19 on Sunday (26%). If Saint Mary’s can extend their defense and challenge shots, I expect them to march into the second round. Doc’s Sports has nailed six straight weekend top play winners in college basketball and this Thursday they will release our NCAA Tournament Game of the Year. This is a must have for any big game hunter so sign-up now since Doc has been handicapping college basketball since 1971.

NBA  |  Mar 17
New Jersey Nets vs. Philadelphia 76ers
New Jersey Nets
+6-110
  at  BOOKM
> 2h.
Info Plays Wednesday NBA Free Play:

3* on New Jersey Nets +5

Reasons why the Nets cover:


1.) System Play. We'll Play On - Road teams (NEW JERSEY) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 85 points or less. This is a 56-24 ATS System hitting 70% over the last 5 seasons.

2.) New Jersey does not want to go down in history with the worst record the NBA has ever seen. They know they only have a few winnable games left, and this is certainly one of them as they take on the struggling Philadelphia 76ers. New Jersey has been very competitive of late, going 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall as they are playing with urgency. The 76ers are just 1-10 SU in their last 11 games overall. Bet the Nets on the road.

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NCAA-B  |  Mar 17
St. Johns vs. Memphis
St. Johns
+7-110
  at  BETUS
> 4h.
Memphis goes from the National Runner-Up two years ago to the Sweet 16 last year to the NIT this year. I’m sure the Tigers are real fired up for this one and the fans are right behind them. This is a huge disappointment for Memphis. Coming into the season we knew things were not going to be anything like the past few seasons as the Tigers lost a ton of talent as well as head coach john Calipari who bolted for Kentucky in lieu of a possible investigation into the Memphis program whether he admits it or not. The Tigers still had a very good season, going 23-9 overall including 13-4 in C-USA. Those are normally good enough records for teams to get into the NCAA Tournament but not in this case. Taking nothing away from C-USA, who had some good talent in it this season, but it is still a weak conference and for Memphis to bow out in the quarterfinal round of the conference tournament, is pretty bad plain and simple. The tigers had no quality wins this season as they went 1-7 against teams that are currently in the Big Dance and that one win was against Houston. Even worse is that two of those losses came against Houston as well. A second place finish in that conference is equivalent to where St. John’s finished in the Big East Conference in my opinion. St. John’s made a strong run toward the end of the season as it went 5-5 in its last 10 games. That included two losses to Marquette by two points each and a loss to Pittsburgh by just seven points. It also included wins over Louisville and Notre Dame as well as a blowout of Connecticut in the opening round of the Big East Tournament. The Red Storm did make progress this season as they went from playing in the CBI Tournament to playing in the NIT but rumors are that it still might not save head coach Norm Robert’s job. It is up to the players, who respect and play hard for Roberts, to keep winning and save his job. This game comes down to who wants it more and that is an easy answer. It will also help knowing that the Red Storm are much deeper and much more physical and that will wear down Memphis with a style it does not prefer to play with. Memphis continues to be overpriced as it is 7-16 ATS this season as a favorite while St. John’s is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games. 3* St. John’s Red Storm


Matt went 2-1 yesterday in CBB including YET ANOTHER 10* TOP Winner and he has been on a roll since the conference tournaments! This includes a SIZZLING 12-5-1 ATS (70.6%) record with his 10* Reports and these plays have been BRILLIANT all year as his 10* Reports are 40-21-4 ATS (65.5%) YTD! 10* TOP Report from the NIT goes Wednesday! The ASSAULT continues another night!


NCAA-B  |  Mar 17
St. Johns vs. Memphis
St. Johns
+7-110
  at  BETUS
> 4h.
Memphis is 23-9 this year. Guard Elliot Williams scores 18.3 points a game. Forward Wesley Witherspoon scores. Guard Roburt Sallie scores 10.8 points a game. Guard Doneal Mack scores 10.3 points a game. The Tigers score 75.3 points a game. Memphis is 1-7 ATS their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 7-16 ATS their last 23 games overall. Saint John's is 17-15. Forward D.J. Kennedy scores 15 points and 6 rebounds a game. He also shoots 38% from behind the arc. Guard Dwight Hardy scores 10.5 points a game while shooting 38% from behind the arc. Guard Paris Horne scores 9.2 points a game. Four other players score between 6.8 and 6.2 points a game. Saint John's scores 67.2 points a game. The Red Storm is 5-1 ATS their last 5 road games and they are 5-2 ATS their 7 Non-Conference games. PLAY ON SAINT JOHN'S +

NBA  |  Mar 17
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
+5½-110
  at  SPBOOK
> 5h.
Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: L.A. Clippers +5.5

After six straight wins, the Milwaukee Bucks are certainly overvalued right now. This places all value on the Clippers at home tonight, who will be giving their best effort knowing they get a rare chance to play on National TV as this game airs on ESPN tonight. The Clippers have won 7 of their last 9 meetings with the Bucks, and L.A. is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings with Milwaukee overall. The Bucks are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.

This play also falls under a system that is 53-23 (71%) over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%). No matter how you put it, the clear value is with the Clippers at home tonight. Take L.A.

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NBA  |  Mar 17
Chicago Bulls vs. Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
-14-110
  at  SPBOOK
> 3h.
On Wednesday we go for an 8th straight free play winner. The Play is on the Dallas Mavericks. Game 626 at 8:35 eastern. Normally I dont like playing teams off a loss that followed a long win streak. However The Mavericks have had 3 days to stew in their blowout loss to the Knicks. The loss they suffered is rare in deed. Only 1.3% of NBA games has a home favorite that was a favorite at -10 or more lose the game by 20 or more points. Tonight we will look at a rare system to see how these blowout losers respond. What we want to do is play on a .600 or better home favorite of -3 or more off a home favored loss of 20+ points if they won their previous game by at least 6 points. These Home favorites have responded in a solid way. They are 13-3 ats since 1990. With Chicago likely without D.Rose tonight and playing with no rest. We will back the Mavericks to win and cover tonight. On the Wednesday card I have a 6 unit 33-1 NIT GOY + a solid NCAAB System play as well as an XX-Large Double system NBA play. Dont miss this big card as we get heated up for the NCAA Tournament. For the free play take Dallas. RV

NCAA-B  |  Mar 19
Utah State vs. Texas A&M
Utah State
+3-110
  at  BETUS
> 1d.
Taking these Aggies as my FREE PLAY. Don't get down on Utah State since they didn't win the WAC Conference Tourney. This team did run off 17 straight wins before that loss. They don't turn the ball over and shoot the ball well.

NCAA-B  |  Mar 18
UTEP vs. Butler
UTEP
+2½-110
  at  BETUS
> 23h.
Free Play on UTEP MINERS

NCAA-B  |  Mar 17
Nevada vs. Wichita State
Wichita State
-8-110
  at  SPBOOK
> 3h.
Free Play on Wichita State

 

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