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Steve Merril Sports Picks

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Steve Merril Steve Merril

80% (4-1 ATS) NFL Sunday - 79-56 L135 MLB PLAYS. Steve Merril is making his clients BIG $$$ right now! +$64,435 in 2014 - AWESOME 379-276 ATS in All-Sports! (78-60) L138 plays

10* Monday Night TV Cash - Patriots/Chiefs (ESPN)

Steve Merril went 4-1 ATS (80%) in the NFL on Sunday.  Steve has another winner for Monday night - Patriots/Chiefs (ESPN) - 8:35 pm ET - Get it NOW!  Guaranteed Side that will CASH IN BIG!

*This package includes 1 NFL pick

NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
NCAA Football Season Special!

Steve Merril's complete NCAA Football season includes every Side and Total released every day with full detailed analysis!

No picks available.

MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
MLB Season Special!

Steve Merril's complete MLB Season package - every baseball Side & Total for the rest of the regular season, playoffs, and World Series for one special price!

No picks available.

FOOTBALL [NFL+NCAAF] SUBSCRIPTIONS
NFL + NCAA Football **Early-Bird** Special!

Steve Merril's complete NFL + NCAA Football seasons for one price! Every Side & Total that Steve Merril releases for the complete NFL preseason, regular season, playoffs and Super Bowl + the entire NCAA Football season which includes all Bowl games thru the National Title game! Every NFL + NCAA Football Best Bet from now thru February 2015 for one low price!

*This subscription includes 1 NFL pick

NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
NFL Season Special!

This package includes every NFL Side & Total that Steve Merril releases for the complete NFL season from now thru February 2015 for one low price!

*This subscription includes 1 NFL pick

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 28, 2014
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
-130
  at  BOVADA
Lost
$130.0
Play Type: Premium

Atlanta and Philadelphia will play their final game of the season on Sunday afternoon.  The Phillies’ Cole Hamels will look to close out a great season.  Hamels is only 9-8, but he has a strong 2.47 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 29 starts this season.  The southpaw has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 22 straight starts.  He has won two straight outings against Atlanta while giving up just 1 earned run and four hits in those games.  Atlanta’s offense has packed it in this month; they’ve averaged just 2.3 runs during their past 19 games with a horrendous 4-15 team record.

The Braves announced they will not start Alex Wood in this game due to a shoulder ailment.  Atlanta will use a combination of bullpen arms in this game with James Russell getting the start.  Russell has allowed 6 earned runs in 20.3 innings pitched for the Braves since coming over from the Cubs at the trade deadline.  Philadelphia’s offense has been good down the stretch, and they hold the edge over a collection of Atlanta bullpen pitchers in this game.  We expect Philadelphia to notch a solid home win in this game on Sunday afternoon. 

9* Play PHILLIES (-) (action).

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 28, 2014
New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys
Total
53½ ov-110
  at  PINNACLE
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Dallas will host New Orleans on Sunday night football.  This game features two potent offenses and two defenses that are vulnerable to strong passing attacks.  New Orleans got their first win of the season last week when they beat Minnesota 20-9.  The Saints did not play well on offense as they turned 396 yards of total offense into just 20 points.  They will be more efficient in this game, especially against a weak Dallas defense that is allowing 23 points per game against opponents that only average 17.9 points per game.  The Cowboys have given up 6.3 yards per play this season against the 49ers, Titans, and Rams.  Last week, Dallas gave up 31 points and 448 yards of offense to St. Louis and backup quarterback Austin Davis.     

New Orleans has regressed sharply on defense this season.  The Saints are allowing 24 points per game on 6.0 yards per play while facing rookie QB Teddy Bridgewater, and journeymen Matt Cassel and Brian Hoyer.  Dallas has a potent offense that will move the ball consistently on the poor Saints’ defense.  The Cowboys are averaging 25.7 points per game, and they’ve been terrific in their last two games as they’ve been able to run the ball effectively.  DeMarco Murray has rushed for 267 yards in the last two games, and that has opened up the passing game for QB Tony Romo.  We expect both teams to go up and down the field, resulting in a high-scoring game between the Saints and Cowboys on Sunday night.  

9* Play OVER the total.

 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 28, 2014
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
+8-110
  at  BOVADA
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Tennessee has not played good football over the last couple of weeks after opening the season with a 26-10 win over Kansas City.  However, the Titans were in a bad spot for their game against the Cowboys as they went from a road underdog win to the role of a home favorite against a team off an ugly loss.  Last week, Tennessee had to play the best team in the league after three weeks, and they were non-competitive in a 33-7 loss in Cincinnati.  The Titans will now play their first divisional game, and since they are familiar with their opponent, we expect Tennessee to be in this game from start to finish.  Charlie Whitehurst is expected to start at quarterback for injured Jake Locker, and Tennessee’s game plan will be to control the ball on the ground and keep Andrew Luck off the field.  The game plan would have been the same with Locker under center, so the quarterback change will not be much of a factor in this game.

Indianapolis comes in off their 44-17 blowout win in Jacksonville last Sunday.  The Colts have dominated the Jaguars over the last few years, so that win wasn’t surprising.  However, Indianapolis played well above their heads in that game, and the Colts are sure to regress off that performance.  After beating the Jaguars by a combined 54 points in two games last season, the Colts only won their next games by 1 and 6 points.  The Colts’ defense is terrible as they are giving up 26 points per game this season, and poor stop units make poor favorites, especially when laying a touchdown or more.  This game will be closer than expected, so we’ll take the points with Tennessee on Sunday afternoon.     

9* Play TITANS (+).

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 28, 2014
Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings
+3½-110
  at  BOVADA
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Atlanta played one of the best games in recent NFL history last Thursday night.  The Falcons beat Tampa Bay 56-14 after gaining 488 yards with 344 of those yards coming thru the air.  Quarterback Matt Ryan completed 21 of his 24 passes with 3 touchdowns and zero interceptions.  Atlanta can’t play any better, and off such a perfect performance, there’s a very good chance the Falcons will regress sharply in this game.  Ryan will be facing a solid Minnesota defense that is giving up just 18.7 points per game this season.  The Vikings have already faced two elite quarterbacks this season, and they held Tom Brady and Drew Brees to just 3 touchdown passes combined.       

Minnesota has lost back-to-back games after opening the season with a solid 34-6 win in St. Louis.  The Vikings were in bad spots for their last two games.  In Week 2, Minnesota had to play just two days after the Adrian Peterson news broke.  Last week, the Vikings had to play in New Orleans against a Saints team that was 0-2 and playing their first home game of the season.  Minnesota also lost QB Matt Cassel early in the game which forced rookie Teddy Bridgewater into action.  Bridgewater will get the start in this game, and with a full week to prepare, we expect a good performance, especially against a soft Atlanta defense that is giving up 24 points per game.  Minnesota is better than their last couple of games, and with Atlanta off a peak performance, we’ll take the points with the Vikings.

9* Play VIKINGS (+).

 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 28, 2014
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+7½-110
  at  BETONLINE
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Tampa Bay was embarrassed last Thursday night in Atlanta.  The Buccaneers trailed 56-0 at one point before scoring a couple of late touchdowns to lose 56-14.  That performance was one of the worst in recent NFL history, but with extra prep time, Tampa Bay will bring their best effort and play much better football, especially with Mike Glennon now at quarterback.  Prior to that humiliating loss, the Buccaneers played two competitive games to open the season; they lost by six points to the Panthers and only lost by two points to the Rams.  Those two teams play a physical style of football unlike the finesse passing attack of Atlanta.  The Bucs match-up much better against those teams, and a team like Pittsburgh because of their style, so this game is closer than public perception.

Pittsburgh comes into this game from the opposite end of the spectrum after the Steelers routed the Panthers 37-19 in Carolina last Sunday night.  These two teams have both played Carolina this season.  The Bucs closed as 5-point favorites while the Steelers closed as 3-point underdogs.  So with lopsided results last week, this line has been super inflated on Pittsburgh as the sports books know one-way money is going to be on the Steelers in this game.  Pittsburgh’s defense still has issues, especially after three more starters got hurt last week.  The Steelers are giving up 24 points per game, and poor stop units make poor favorites, especially when laying a touchdown or more.  With Tampa Bay off a spotlight blowout loss and Pittsburgh off a spotlight blowout win, we’ll take the generous points with the Buccaneers on Sunday afternoon.   

9* Play BUCCANEERS (+).

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 28, 2014
Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers
-4½-105
  at  BMAKER
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Philadelphia is 3-0, but they could very well be 0-3 on the season.  The Eagles fell behind in all three games before coming back to win.  They trailed Jacksonville 17-0, Indianapolis 20-6, and Washington 17-7.  Philadelphia is the first team in NFL history to win three consecutive games after trailing by double digits.  The fact that they’ve been down to three weak teams is not a good sign at all going forward, and we expect the Eagles good fortune to run out in this game.  This is a terrible situational and scheduling spot for the Eagles.  Philadelphia is not only coming off the three come from behind wins, but they are also coming off a high-scoring divisional win at home and now must travel across the country to face a good team off back-to-back losses.

San Francisco has played sloppy football over the last two weeks.  After opening their season with a 28-17 win in Dallas, the 49ers have lost back-to-back games.  In their 28-20 home loss to the Bears, San Francisco turned the ball over four times en route to blowing a 20-7 lead.  Last week, the 49ers blew a 14-6 lead in Arizona.  The 49ers return home to their brand new stadium, and after opening the place with an ugly loss, San Francisco will be eager to get their first win on their new field.  The setup for a prime San Francisco performance couldn’t be any better, especially since they’ll be facing a poor and fatigued Philadelphia defense that is allowing 26 points per game.  The Eagles’ secondary has been carved up by Kirk Cousins, Chad Henne, and Andrew Luck to the tune of 865 yards and 8 touchdown passes.  This is a great spot for San Francisco to get a blowout win, so we’ll lay the points with the 49ers on Sunday.  

10* Play 49ERS (-).

 

PREMIUM PICK STREAKS

All Sports Sides (+11834)  1990-1643  L3633 55%

Basketball Picks (+9922)  979-812  L1791 55%

NBA Picks (+9013)  564-437  L1001 56%

MLB Money Lines (+5126)  601-453  L1054 57%

NCAA-B Sides (+2277)  338-291  L629 54%

Football Sides (+1899)  173-140  L313 55%

NFL Sides (+1727)  37-18  L55 67%

NCAA-F Picks (+1355)  118-96  L214 55%

NFLX Picks (+325)  31-25  L56 55%

SERVICE BIO

Steve Merril is considered one of the best sports analysts in the nation. He credits his success to employing a variety of different handicapping techniques such as statistical analysis, trends and systems, and fundamentals such as matchups and emotion. By relying on numerous handicapping methods, Steve continues to beat the pointspread on a consistent basis in both college and pro football, basketball, baseball, and auto racing.

Steve was the first person to ever win the prestigious $100,000 Insiders Handicapping Invitational and his unique knowledge and understanding of the gaming industry is what separates him from other handicappers. Steve has spent the past 15 years studying the odds and probabilities associated with all forms of gambling such as poker, casino games, and even the stock market. Steve has transferred this unique knowledge and understanding of statistics and probabilities into the sports world, which has enabled him to win on a consistent basis.

The most popular part of Steve Merril's award-winning selections is the fact he backs each game with a full detailed report and analysis. You get a strong selection, plus the reason why the play will win. This includes detailed statistical analysis and Steve's powerful team trends and super systems.

You will learn while you earn with Steve Merril's daily selections as each report is packed full of detailed information. Join forces with the most knowledgeable gaming expert in the industry and have your most profitable season ever.