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Steve Merril Sports Picks

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 24, 2015
Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards
Toronto Raptors
+5 -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Toronto and Washington switch locations for Game 3 of this series on Friday night.  The Wizards won both games as road underdogs in Toronto, so they return home up 2-0 on the Raptors.  Toronto and Washington are similar teams, so the results of the first two games do not indicate that the Wizards are the superior team.  Since the All-Star break, Toronto actually played better basketball than Washington even though the teams had similar records.  The Raptors went 13-16 SU with a -0.2 point differential.  The Wizards went 13-15 SU with a -2.4 point differential.  Those numbers show that Toronto was slightly the better team, and in a game they must have, we expect the Raptors to bring their best effort tonight.  “We understand we’re pretty much playing with our backs against the wall,” said Patrick Patterson.  “Plain and simple, black and white, we cannot lose Game 3.”  Kyle Lowry echoed those thoughts:  “It’s a must-win for us.  One win.  That’s what we’ve got to focus on.  One win, one game, one possession at a time.”

Washington is not in the best of spots for tonight’s game even though they are playing at home with a commanding 2-0 series lead.  As mentioned above, the Wizards won the first two games straight-up as underdogs.  But now they are laying a handful of points into a desperate team that is sure to bring their best effort.  Washington’s offense shot incredibly well in Game 2, but that only sets them up to regress tonight.  The Wizards shot 53.2% (42-79) from the field and 47.6% (10-21) from three-point land.  Washington also got to the free throw line 34 times in Game 2.  The Wizards had five players score 10 points or more in that game, and the 117 points scored was their third highest point total of the season.  After scoring 110 points or more this season, Washington has gone just 5-6 SU in their next game, averaging only 96.9 points per game.  Prior to losing Game 1 and Game 2, Toronto was 3-0 versus Washington this season with the Raptors’ average win coming by 8.3 points per game.  We expect this game to come right down to the wire, so we’ll take the points with Toronto in Game 3 on Friday night.

10* Play RAPTORS (+).

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 24, 2015
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
+111 at 5Dimes
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

San Diego and Los Angeles will start a 3-game series on Friday night.  Andrew Cashner will get the start for the Padres.  Cashner faced the Dodgers back on April 8th, and he was not at his best in that outing.  However, we expect a much better bounce-back performance from Cashner in this game considering he still owns a terrific 2.15 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in seven career starts against Los Angeles.

Los Angeles will start Zack Greinke in this game.  Greinke lost 7-3 to the Padres back on April 7th.  San Diego is 5-2 at home this year where they are hitting a solid .284 as a team while averaging 4.1 runs per game.  The Padres are 7-3 in night games, hitting .311 as a team and scoring 5.9 runs per game.  San Diego’s offense is in good current form; they’ve averaged 6.0 runs during their past seven games.  The Dodgers’ bullpen is 0-3 on the road with a terrible 5.19 ERA and 1.62 WHIP, so they’ll provide little help to Greinke on the backend.  There is solid value with San Diego as a home underdog in this game on Friday night.

9* Play PADRES (+) (action).

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 24, 2015
Cleveland Indians vs Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
-133 at pinnacle
Lost
$133.0
Play Type: Premium

Detroit will host Cleveland for a 3-game series beginning on Friday night.  Shane Greene has been a revelation for the Tigers as he makes his fourth start of the season.  Greene is a perfect 3-0 with an incredible 0.39 ERA and an outstanding 0.74 WHIP.  He has given up just 1 earned run and 12 hits in 23 innings of work.  Greene has 11 strikeouts to just five walks on the season.  Cleveland’s offense is hitting a weak .214 while averaging just 2.7 runs in their nine road games this season.  The Indians are hitting just .173 while averaging only 2.3 runs in their six night games as well.

Cleveland’s Danny Salazar will make his second start of the season.  Salazar has struggled against the Tigers in Detroit.  In his last two starts in Detroit, Salazar has allowed 8 runs and 12 hits in two losses for the Indians.  Detroit’s offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game and hitting a solid .286 as a team this season, and they are now taking a big step-down in pitching class against Salazar in this game.  Cleveland’s bullpen is 0-3 with two blown saves; they own a 3.91 ERA and a weak 1.45 WHIP on the season.  Detroit is 29-12 in their last 41 games against Cleveland, so we’ll lay the short price with the Tigers at home on Friday night.

9* Play TIGERS (-) (action).

SERVICE BIO

Steve Merril is considered one of the best sports analysts in the nation. He credits his success to employing a variety of different handicapping techniques such as statistical analysis, trends and systems, and fundamentals such as matchups and emotion. By relying on numerous handicapping methods, Steve continues to beat the pointspread on a consistent basis in both college and pro football, basketball, baseball, and auto racing.

Steve was the first person to ever win the prestigious $100,000 Insiders Handicapping Invitational and his unique knowledge and understanding of the gaming industry is what separates him from other handicappers. Steve has spent the past 15 years studying the odds and probabilities associated with all forms of gambling such as poker, casino games, and even the stock market. Steve has transferred this unique knowledge and understanding of statistics and probabilities into the sports world, which has enabled him to win on a consistent basis.

The most popular part of Steve Merril's award-winning selections is the fact he backs each game with a full detailed report and analysis. You get a strong selection, plus the reason why the play will win. This includes detailed statistical analysis and Steve's powerful team trends and super systems.

You will learn while you earn with Steve Merril's daily selections as each report is packed full of detailed information. Join forces with the most knowledgeable gaming expert in the industry and have your most profitable season ever.