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Steve Merril Sports Picks

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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 05, 2015
San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
-158 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

Washington will host San Francisco on Sunday Night Baseball.  The Nationals will start Jordan Zimmermann who is 3-3 but has a terrific 2.39 ERA and a sterling 1.16 WHIP in his nine home starts this season.  Zimmermann is in excellent current form as he owns a fantastic 1.19 ERA and an outstanding 0.93 WHIP over his last three starts.  He has an impressive 17/1 strikeout/walk ratio in his last 22.2 innings of work.  In his last three starts against San Francisco, Zimmermann has allowed just 4 runs on 16 hits in 23.2 innings of work.  Nori Aoki (3-12), Brandon Crawford (3-13), Angel Pagan (5-24), and Buster Posey (3-15) all struggle against Zimmermann.  Washington has a strong bullpen that owns just one loss and three blown saves at home on the season with a solid 2.57 ERA and 1.14 WHIP, so Zimmermann has plenty of support on the backend.

San Francisco will start Ryan Vogelsong in this game tonight.  Vogelsong is 4-4 with a terrible 5.04 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in his eight road starts this season.  He faced the Nationals three times last season, and his results were not pretty.  Vogelsong allowed 10 runs and 15 hits in 17 innings of work; Washington went 2-1 in those games.  Ian Desmond (4-10) and Denard Span (5-13) have hit Vogelsong the hardest.  Washington is 24-14 at home where they’ve scored 18 total runs over their last three games.  The Nationals have won the first two games of this series, outscoring the Giants 11-4, and we expect Washington to sweep this series and notch another solid home win on Sunday night.

9* Play NATIONALS (-) (action).

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 05, 2015
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
6½ un+100 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

Philadelphia will play in Atlanta on Sunday afternoon.  The Phillies will start Cole Hamels who owns a solid 3.22 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in sixteen starts this season.  Hamels is 16-9 with a terrific 3.17 ERA and an outstanding 1.10 WHIP in 34 career starts against Atlanta.  In his last three outings against the Braves, Hamels has only allowed 3 earned runs on 7 hits in 21 innings of work.  Hamels had an excellent 23/6 strikeout/walk ratio in those outings.  Jonny Gomes (1-8), Kelly Johnson (4-26), Andrelton Simmons (1-16), and Juan Uribe (1-14) all struggle versus Hamels.  The Braves are only hitting .223 as a team against left-handed starters, and they’ve scored just 29 total runs in their last eleven games overall (2.6 runs per game).

Atlanta will start Shelby Miller who is 2-3 with a 2.22 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in seven home starts this season.  He has a solid 43/13 strikeout/walk ratio in those outings.  Miller has been fantastic against Philadelphia this season.  Miller has given up just 2 earned runs on 6 hits in 15 innings pitched to the Phillies; he had an 11/3 strikeout/walk ratio in those games.  Carlos Ruiz (2-13), Ben Revere (0-9), Freddy Galvis (0-6), and Cody Asche (0-7) have all struggled against Miller.  The Phillies’ offense is only hitting .241 while averaging just 3.2 runs in daytime games this season.  With two solid pitchers on the mound facing two struggling offenses, we expect a low-scoring game between the Phillies and Braves on Sunday afternoon.

10* Play UNDER the total (Phillies/Braves).

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 05, 2015
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
New York Yankees
-127 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

New York and Tampa Bay will conclude their 3-game series on Sunday afternoon.  The Yankees will start Ivan Nova in this game.  Nova has been good in his two starts this season, allowing just 2 earned runs on eleven hits in 12 innings of work.  Overall, Nova is 5-5 with a 3.75 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in thirteen career starts against Tampa Bay.  The Rays’ offense is in poor current form as they’ve scored just 34 total runs in their last 13 games (2.6 runs per game); Tampa Bay is just 2-11 SU in those games.  The Yankees’ bullpen has blown just one save attempt at home this season, so Nova has plenty of support on the backend.

The Rays will start Erasmo Ramirez in this game.  Ramirez has a poor 4.18 ERA in five road starts this season.  He has allowed 11 earned runs on 22 hits in just 23.2 innings of work away from Tampa Bay.  Ramirez will face a New York team that is 23-14 at home where they are averaging a robust 5.7 runs per game this season.  The Yankees’ offense has scored 34 runs in their last five games at home.  New York has won three games in a row, and six of their past ten games overall.  Tampa Bay’s bullpen has 17 losses on the season, so Ramirez has little support on the backend.  New York is 8-4 in twelve meetings versus Tampa Bay this season, including 4-1 at home.  We’ll lay the price with New York in this game on Sunday afternoon.

9* Play YANKEES (-) (action).


Steve Merril is considered one of the best sports analysts in the nation. He credits his success to employing a variety of different handicapping techniques such as statistical analysis, trends and systems, and fundamentals such as matchups and emotion. By relying on numerous handicapping methods, Steve continues to beat the pointspread on a consistent basis in both college and pro football, basketball, baseball, and auto racing.

Steve was the first person to ever win the prestigious $100,000 Insiders Handicapping Invitational and his unique knowledge and understanding of the gaming industry is what separates him from other handicappers. Steve has spent the past 15 years studying the odds and probabilities associated with all forms of gambling such as poker, casino games, and even the stock market. Steve has transferred this unique knowledge and understanding of statistics and probabilities into the sports world, which has enabled him to win on a consistent basis.

The most popular part of Steve Merril's award-winning selections is the fact he backs each game with a full detailed report and analysis. You get a strong selection, plus the reason why the play will win. This includes detailed statistical analysis and Steve's powerful team trends and super systems.

You will learn while you earn with Steve Merril's daily selections as each report is packed full of detailed information. Join forces with the most knowledgeable gaming expert in the industry and have your most profitable season ever.